International journal of disaster risk reduction最新文献

{"title":"Turning every disaster into an opportunity: An exploratory study on refugees’ perceived emergency management capacity and community resilience","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104727","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104727","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This article explores the perceived emergency management capabilities and community resilience among refugees residing in Texas. Adopting the theoretical framework of structural and cognitive social capital, we conducted in-depth interviews with refugees from Afghanistan, Congo, Iran, Myanmar, Somalia, and Thailand. The study identifies the specific needs of the refugee community regarding disaster management and their simultaneous vulnerability and resilience. Based on our research findings, we suggest that local disaster management agencies identify and collaborate with the community leaders in refugee communities to efficiently achieve their communication goals, strengthen refugees' community resilience, and better integrate refugee communities into the local community's resilience development.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936512","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Phased post-disaster recovery challenges: 2016–2017 floods and landslides in Colombo and Kalutara, Sri Lanka","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104728","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104728","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper aims to understand the challenges arising in individual post-disaster recovery (PDR) phases and how they contribute to overall recovery progress. It further investigates the transition of recovery from one phase to the subsequent phases of PDR. The 2016 and 2017 floods and landslides in Sri Lanka were used as the case study focusing on the two affected districts, Colombo and Kalutara. An in-depth study was conducted to explore the PDR phases from response to long-term reconstruction and development following the disaster events.</p><p>A mixed methods approach was adopted where, under a qualitative approach, twenty-two semi-structured interviews with disaster management stakeholders were conducted. Moreover, on quantitative analysis, a survey questionnaire was conducted. The case study field data was supplemented with an extensive document review.</p><p>The study found several factors in different PDR phases hindering long-term recovery. They include: a lack of communication and coordination mechanisms among key stakeholders in the response phase, and limited capacity and resources of local authorities in the rehabilitation phase. The challenges in recovery and long-term reconstruction and development phases were to disaster governance, collection and management of data and information, and low level of inter-agency collaboration. Some factors were recurring and continually hindered the PDR process and had a larger impact in Kalutara than in the Colombo district. Regarding the transition of recovery, there was only one transition from response and rehabilitation to the recovery phase occurred. No evidence was found for the second recovery transition from recovery to the long-term reconstruction and development phase.</p><p>These findings will assist in planning future post-disaster recoveries in the region to ensure issues are anticipated, and proper planning is done ahead of time. The goal is to tackle the issues impeding long-term recovery in each PDR phase to allow a smooth and successful transition into the long-term phase.</p><p>The findings of this research make an original contribution to the limited scholarship on the implications of individual PDR phases on long-term recovery.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936504","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Translating resilience research to political practice – The case of the German Resilience Strategy","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104724","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104724","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>There is a gap between research in disaster resilience and the implementation of resilience via political strategies. This paper uses three frameworks from resilience research to analyse the 2022 German Resilience Strategy as a case study. It answers two questions: Does the German Resilience Strategy reflect resilience understandings from research and what are its strengths and shortcomings? Are such resilience frameworks useful for analysing political documents and what are their strengths and shortcomings? The resilience frameworks are Bruneau et al.’s 4Rs of resilience, Hollnagel's four cornerstones of resilience, and Thoma et al.’s resilience cycle. The paper uses qualitative content analysis to interpret the 345 recommendations for measures of the Strategy. The results show that the Strategy lives up to a holistic definition of resilience. It implicitly also embraces a complexity-informed understanding of resilience, but risks losing sight on adaptive capacity due to its broadness. The Strategy focuses on natural hazards, although it officially follows the all-hazard approach. There is a lack of recommendations on individual and societal disaster recovery. The three resilience frameworks are applicable for analysing political strategies. The 4Rs of resilience framework has a blind spot with respect to unknown disruptions. The four cornerstones of resilience framework bases on an innovative resilience conception and could be useful for disaster studies if it was more thoroughly translated to the latter's specifics. The resilience cycle framework is limited due to its cyclical approach, and it entails prevention, which is not part of resilience.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924004862/pdfft?md5=3defcd34ce255cbc696d4f7c519c0b59&pid=1-s2.0-S2212420924004862-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936513","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Leveraging local knowledge for landslide disaster risk reduction in an urban informal settlement in Manado, Indonesia","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104710","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104710","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Disaster preparedness and response, including for landslides, increasingly involves local knowledge. Incorporating contextual, dynamic and experience-based local knowledge leads to greater awareness of the interconnectedness of geological, natural, and social processes. Still, technical literature on urban landslide risk is mainly based on geological and natural dynamics and, to a lesser extent, physical infrastructure. Moreover, although local knowledge is recognized as important in principle for all aspects of disaster risk management, it is not frequently taken as a starting point for identifying contextually specific landslide risk factors in practice. To gain insights into local knowledge on factors contributing to landslide risk, we conducted a qualitative case study within a landslide-prone informal settlement in Manado, Indonesia. The study comprised qualitative household interviews, transect walks, and ethnographic observation. Our findings indicate that anthropogenic factors specific to informal settlements, particularly inadequate solid waste management, may serve as an overlooked risk factor for urban landslides. This is especially problematic in low-income or informal neighborhoods, where detrimental effects of poor solid waste management frequently intersect with heightened vulnerability to various hazards. We therefore advocate systematically incorporating anthropogenic factors into studies of contributing factors to urban landslides. Additionally, we encourage further research into the interactions between inadequate solid waste management and landslide risk. Finally, we call for leveraging local knowledge to enhance policy, planning, and research efforts, with the ultimate goal of fostering safer urban environments for all.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924004722/pdfft?md5=0efd9e0ab827db6806b9feeb90420f5e&pid=1-s2.0-S2212420924004722-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936416","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Agent-based simulation for pedestrian evacuation: A systematic literature review","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104705","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104705","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Agent-based models (ABMs) offer promise for realistically simulating human behaviours and interactions during emergency evacuations. This review aims to systematically assess the state of the art in ABM-based evacuation modelling with respect to methodologies, validation practices, and the associated challenges over the past decade. The review critically examines 134 studies from 2013 to 2023 that have applied ABMs for pedestrian evacuation simulation to synthesise current capabilities, limitations, and advancement pathways. Findings identify persistent challenges related to modeller bias, computational complexity, data scarcity for calibration and validation, and the predominance of simplistic rule-based decision-making models, while promise exists with the adoption of flexible behavioural frameworks, high-performance computing architectures, machine learning techniques for adaptive agent behaviours and surrogate modelling, and evolutionary computation methods for transparent rule generation. The findings underscore the importance of interdisciplinary collaboration among behavioural scientists, modellers, and emergency planners to enhance the realism and reliability of ABMs. By providing a critical synthesis of the state-of-the-art and proposing future research directions, this review aims to accelerate the development and application of ABMs that can meaningfully enhance the safety and resilience of communities facing emergencies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924004679/pdfft?md5=da3364ff88eb84404b8cda4a9abd31b7&pid=1-s2.0-S2212420924004679-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936415","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Climate-induced mortality projections in Europe: Estimation and valuation of heat-related deaths","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104692","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104692","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Extreme heat is becoming more prevalent in Europe and its localized impacts on human health in urban environments are difficult to project. Our main objective was to develop a local-scale integrated assessment model (IAM) to explore the impacts of global warming on heat-related mortality in Europe, with a focus on urban areas. Using the apparent temperature metric, we develop several risk frameworks to project heat-related deaths and help policymakers evaluate future extreme heat risk. We also compute the monetary impact of expected deaths using the value of statistical life. Our results show that the compliance with the Paris agreement targets would limit the cumulative losses during this century to 2.6 million people, compared to almost 5.5 million under alternative climate scenarios. Our analysis suggests that Europe could save more than €150 billion annually through avoided heat-related mortality. We also focus on the relationship between heath-induced mortality and population concentration in urban areas. Limiting the urban heat island effect in compliance with the Paris agreement emissions reduction would lower the number of deaths by up to 40%.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924004540/pdfft?md5=58d901662a81a208674a919f7601c62b&pid=1-s2.0-S2212420924004540-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936522","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Construction and intergenerational transmission of the perception of volcanic risk in Mexico","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104715","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104715","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Many populations live around active volcanoes with the uncertainty of a possible big eruption, as is the case of the populations near Popocatépetl in Mexico, which began a period of activity in 1994. The risk perception of these populations is complex to manage, due to factors such as territorial rootedness, social identity, cultural factors, as well as diverse positions among generations. A qualitative research was conducted in the municipality of Tetela del Volcán in Mexico, located in a high volcanic risk zone. The main objective of this work was to analyze the social construction of the perception of volcanic risk considering the exchange of knowledge between different generations. An ethnographic and participatory study was carried out from symbolic interactionism, using elements of grounded theory and deductive elements for the analysis of information. The participants were adolescents, adults, and seniors from different social sectors. The results allowed the construction of a theoretical mapping of the processes of intergenerational construction of volcanic risk perception. It was found that different generations coexist, including adults born during the current period of volcanic activity. Also, risk perception is constructed from the integration of three dimensions: 1) culture and environment, 2) socio-cognition and emotions, and 3) responses to volcanic risk. From these findings it is possible to understand the continuities and social transitions of different generations coexisting with the Popocatépetl risk and uncertainty. This work can help decision makers improve public policies, risk management practices, and risk communication strategies and disaster risk reduction.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142011469","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Role preferences for ethnic autonomous region government in emergency management in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104702","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104702","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>China's ethnic autonomous regions, inhabited by diverse ethnic groups and located near national borders or at provincial intersections, confront complex natural, relatively underdeveloped economic, and ethnic harmony challenges. Governments balance central government-assigned tasks and ethnic harmony, showing varied responses: some prioritize stability, others focus on management, and some are indifferent to local emergencies. Given this phenomenon, why do governments in these regions vary in their responses to emergencies? This research, based on government role theory, examines how role preferences influence government behavior in emergency management, identifying two key roles: economic man and social man, and establishes a four-quadrant role analysis framework: : local guardian, political competitor, moral paragon, and indifferent bystander. Grounded theory explains these roles and evaluation indicators, with evaluations from 44 scholars gathered via questionnaire, and the indicator weights determined using the Analytic Hierarchy Process. The weight matrix then calculates economic man (X) and social man (Y) values for 272 cases based on expert scores. The research results reveal that (1) these governments exhibit an overall role preference of “local guardian &gt; political competitor &gt; indifferent bystander &gt; moral paragon” in emergency management. (2) This ranking also reflects their preference for the economic man role. (3) Factors contributing to this ranking include cultural differences, administrative contracting, and performance tournaments within the Chinese system and administrative ethics. These findings provide theoretical insights into emergency management role preferences in multi-ethnic, multi-racial, and even multicultural regions, ultimately aiming to enhance local government emergency management efficiency, optimize policy formulation, and ensure community resilience.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936517","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Assessing vulnerabilities and resilience in the Indian Sundarbans: A case study of gosaba C.D block, West Bengal, India","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104699","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104699","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Sundarbans region, being a largest mangrove extending over 10,000 sq. Km, is one of the most critical ecosystems in the world. Due to its coastal location, the region has been severely affected by climatic events, including recent cyclones Amphan and Yaas. The present study examines the nature of vulnerabilities and subsequent adaptation and recovery processes of the affected villages in the Gosaba C.D block due to the impacts of back-to-back extreme cyclonic events. In this study, we first introduce the sample characteristics with the help of descriptive statistics, followed by Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to assess the vulnerabilities faced by the coastal communities due to super-cyclones. A binary logistic regression was computed to predict the schemes accessed by the coastal communities based on criteria and predicted variables. Results indicate that agricultural land is most affected by saline intrusion, inundation, and erosion; while homesteads are affected by cyclones, inundation and erosion. This study also reveals the strong disparities among villagers’ in accessing the schemes provided by different institutions. Therefore, the socio-economic conditions of the coastal communities have deteriorated and altered their occupations from farming to fishing and other economic activities, with many migrating in search of employment. In conclusion, the adaptation strategies and recovery processes toward resilience building of the communities have been measured through frequency distribution based on selected variables. There is a need for building resilience in order to live with uncertainties, as their changing occupations have already indicated. Moving to other locations with proper planning and policy formulation by the state government may help them face the multiple challenges along with providing multiple options for livelihood security.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936414","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Social and health factors influence self-reported evacuation intentions in the wildfire-prone island of Tasmania, Australia","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104712","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104712","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><p>Personal decisions regarding evacuation to a safer place in response to the threat of wildfire have multiple social and cultural influences. However, little is understood about the role of an individual's health in shaping these decisions. Aim: To investigate associations between self-reported sociodemographic and health-related variables and wildfire evacuation intentions.</p></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><p>We used data collected in the 2016 Tasmanian Population Health Survey and implemented log binomial regression modelling to characterise associations between variables, including overall health status, presence of a chronic medical condition, age group, sex, educational attainment, employment status, financial security, and intention to leave during a wildfire threat.</p></div><div><h3>Results</h3><p>Females were significantly more likely than males to report an intention to leave (RR = 1.52, 95 % CI [1.40–1.66]), as were those with higher versus lower educational attainment (RR = 1.02, 95 % CI [1.00–1.03]), and those with a diagnosis of depression/anxiety (RR = 1.07, 95 % CI [1.00–1.15]) compared to those without. When stratified by sex, significant associations with intention to leave and asthma and higher educational attainment were observed in males (asthma: RR = 1.28, 95 % CI [1.04–1.57]; educational attainment RR = 1.05, 95 % CI [1.01–1.09]), while the association with anxiety/depression was imprecisely elevated for females (RR = 1.08, 95 % CI [1.00–1.16]). For males only, the presence of a chronic condition was significantly associated with an intention to stay (RR = 0.78, 95 % CI [0.62–0.99]).</p></div><div><h3>Conclusion</h3><p>Sex, educational attainment, and the presence of asthma and depression/anxiety influenced evacuation intentions for residents in our study. Such social, demographic and health differences should be considered in planning communication and messaging to residents in fire-prone areas.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924004746/pdfft?md5=d2402f29af6aea41aec588ff4667b2ca&pid=1-s2.0-S2212420924004746-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936520","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}