Zhewei Liu, Natalie Coleman, Flavia Ioana Patrascu, Kai Yin, Xiangpeng Li, Ali Mostafavi
{"title":"Artificial intelligence for flood risk management: A comprehensive state-of-the-art review and future directions","authors":"Zhewei Liu, Natalie Coleman, Flavia Ioana Patrascu, Kai Yin, Xiangpeng Li, Ali Mostafavi","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.105110","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.105110","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate hazards are escalating in frequency and severity, with flooding escalating as a major threat. The limitations of the existing analytical necessitate and computational tools for flood risk management necessitates a shift towards more data-driven flood risk management strategies informed by AI-driven tools and methods. This paper explores the forefront of flood risk management focusing on integrating artificial intelligence (AI), specifically machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) technologies. By reviewing hundreds of relevant studies, we present a comprehensive analysis of AI applications in flood risk management by examining flood types, AI models, spatial scales, input data, and practical applications, to provide a holistic view of the current landscape and future potential of AI-enhanced flood risk management. We highlight the extent to which AI-driven solutions can complement the existing tools to enhance the reliability of flood predictions and inform mitigation and response strategies. The paper also address prevailing challenges, including data bias and the need for explainable AI models, and proposes pathways for future research to fully harness AI's potential in mitigating flood risks. The analysis underscores AI's promising potential in improving adaptive flood risk management, which is crucial for safeguarding communities and infrastructures against the escalating challenges posed by floods.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"117 ","pages":"Article 105110"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143142974","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Japanese foreign aid to fisheries in response to disaster: The case of the 2022 Tonga volcanic eruption and transoceanic tsunami","authors":"Daisuke Sasaki, Anawat Suppasri, Fumihiko Imamura","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105268","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105268","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The large-scale eruption of the Hunga Tonga-Hunga Ha'apai submarine volcano off the coast of Tonga in the South Pacific Ocean on January 15, 2022, caused widespread impacts, primarily due to the tsunami. The Ministry of Fisheries in Tonga requested that Japan provide fishery equipment, a gesture reflecting Japan's international cooperation in the sector. This study clarifies the factors influencing positive perceptions of Japan's international cooperation among Japanese fisheries stakeholders through a literature review, hypothesis development based on the review, and an analysis of a questionnaire survey to verify the hypotheses. The questionnaire survey was administered using Rakuten Insight in July 2022 with 200 respondents. Ordinal logistic regression and structural equation modeling were applied to confirm the factor structure of the model, including causal relationships between latent variables, in the form of a path diagram. The results of the analyses verified the hypotheses, indicating that the perception of disaster risk and trust in public aid in Japan may be key factors in shaping a favorable acceptance of Japan's international cooperation aimed at raising the resilience of fisheries in developing countries. In conclusion, we advocate for the Japanese government to focus more on awareness-raising activities for disaster risk reduction in the fisheries sector and to foster domestic trust in public aid to gain the public's consent in Japan.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 105268"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143292719","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hemali H. Oza , Anuj Nanavati , Thomas Clasen , Allison P. Salinger , Matthew C. Freeman , Sheela S. Sinharoy
{"title":"A critical review on measurement tools of urban household and community resilience to disasters and environmental shocks and stressors among low- and middle-income countries: Theory, application, and guidance","authors":"Hemali H. Oza , Anuj Nanavati , Thomas Clasen , Allison P. Salinger , Matthew C. Freeman , Sheela S. Sinharoy","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105267","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105267","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With increasingly severe weather events compounded with additional disasters, environmental shocks and stressors, and socio-economic challenges, there is a growing sense of urgency to build resilience, resulting in the need for assessment tools. We conducted a review of empirical studies that measured household and community resilience to environmental shocks and stressors among urban populations in low- and middle-income countries. This review was conducted to 1) understand how empirical studies measure resilience, 2) identify gaps in current practices, and 3) provide theory-informed recommendations to bridge gaps. Our review included 28 studies of which 25 measured community level resilience and three measured household-level resilience. The studies measured resilience against climate change, disease outbreaks, earthquakes, floods, food insecurity, and disasters. The 751 extracted measures from these studies focused on social (45 %), environmental (34 %), and economic (21 %) domains of resilience. Our review revealed that assessment tools often erroneously use measures of vulnerability (example: age distribution, frequency of shocks/stressor) to assess resilience and sub-domains are inconsistently used to characterize resilience across existing measures. Furthermore, capacity measures (i.e., adaptive, absorptive, and transformative) that reflect the dynamic nature of resilience are inconsistently used. We provide guidance on filling these gaps by 1) informing the development of measures, 2) providing an adapted measurement framework for urban household-level resilience against disasters and environmental shocks and stressors for use in LMICs, and 3) making recommendations for how to contextualize the framework.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 105267"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098375","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Community resilience to flooding in the UK: A study of Matlock, Derbyshire","authors":"Ruth E. McKie , Adam Aitken","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105266","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105266","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The United Kingdom has faced recurring floods since 2019, with 5.2 million homes at risk. This has prompted the UK government to prioritise resilience planning in flood prone areas. This study focuses on community resilience in Matlock, Derbyshire, which has experienced intensified flooding since 2018. Using qualitative interviews and a focus group, the research examines evidence of community resilience and the barriers to its development by focusing on community activities during flooding incidents, if and how these were collective efforts and relationships, and what are the perceived challenges to community resilience building. Our findings revealed that residents of Matlock used local action groups and social media, community led warning systems and promotion and engagement in civic participation to foster and enhance community resilience. While bonding and bridging capital were critical to support community resilience building, there were significant barriers to linking social capital, such as the disconnect between community members and formal institutions (i.e. government organisations) that left participants disheartened and frustrated. In conclusion, the study argues that further fostering of linking social capital through policy recommendations and developments such as regular community, small grants for community initiatives and integrating local knowledge into policy frameworks will bridge the gap between communities and these external stakeholders. In doing so, activities that aim to enhance Matlock's flood resilience may inform broader strategies for place-based and devolved policies addressing environmental challenges in a wider context.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 105266"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098379","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Ming Li , Yixin Huang , Congshan Tian , Shutong Liang , Jiarui Zeng , Tianhao Ye , Yigen Chen , Jinhong Du , Xingwei Li
{"title":"How do rural households adapt to multiple natural hazards in disaster-prone areas? A case study of the Wenchuan earthquake-stricken area, China","authors":"Ming Li , Yixin Huang , Congshan Tian , Shutong Liang , Jiarui Zeng , Tianhao Ye , Yigen Chen , Jinhong Du , Xingwei Li","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105256","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105256","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Households in earthquake-stricken areas are more prone to multiple natural disasters. Although rural households' various coping and adaptation strategies have been reported worldwide, a research gap still exists regarding the multilevel drivers of adopted strategies, which hampers the efficiency of related policy making. Based on 401 household questionnaires in Wenchuan County, the epicenter of the Wenchuan earthquake on May 12, 2008, this study analyzed rural households' distinctive coping strategies during the pre-disaster, during-disaster, and post-disaster stages of multiple secondary disasters. Then a complete two-layer linear model was applied to examine the mechanisms driving different coping strategies during the three disparate stages. The results show that (1) farm households exhibited more diverse post-disaster adaptation strategies, moderate preparing strategies before disasters, and more conservative during-disaster coping approaches. (2) Household-layer factors such as natural, physical, and financial capital significantly influenced pre-disaster strategies, whereas physical capital, social capital, and disaster-related factors significantly impacted the during-disaster strategies. Human, financial, and social capital directly influenced resistance to risks and thus post-disaster decisions. (3) Village-layer factors like topographical conditions, transportation accessibility, and disaster training significantly influence coping strategies by impacting households' livelihood capital and disaster awareness. Based on these findings, the study proposes some policy measures for improving households’ coping and adaptation abilities to natural disasters at different stages. While contributing to the understanding of rural households' distinctive coping strategies to multiple secondary disasters in the Wenchuan earthquake-stricken area, the findings can also inform targeted policy making to improve disaster risk management capabilities in disaster-prone areas worldwide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 105256"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098378","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Amie Furlong , Helen Milroy , Angela Ryder , Shraddha Kashyap , Petra Buergelt , Carolyn Mascall , Selina Edmonds , Michael Wright , Pat Dudgeon
{"title":"Lessons from the COVID-19 pandemic: Safety practices and insights from Aboriginal elders, organisations and communities","authors":"Amie Furlong , Helen Milroy , Angela Ryder , Shraddha Kashyap , Petra Buergelt , Carolyn Mascall , Selina Edmonds , Michael Wright , Pat Dudgeon","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105263","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105263","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The COVID-19 pandemic in Australia highlighted the strengths of Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander communities and organisation However, it also exposed significant challenges relating to equity, equality, and ethical decision-making, underscoring the need for Aboriginal community-based research to gain a better understanding of the pandemic's impact. Using Indigenous Standpoint Theory and Complex Adaptive Systems Theory as philosophical lens and Aboriginal Participatory Action Research as methodology, our team of Aboriginal and ally researchers conducted ten yarning and validation yarning circles with 52 participants in the southwest regions of Western Australia. We theoretically sampled urban and rural Aboriginal Elders, community members and organisations, and explored their experiences and perspectives about COVID-19. Our thematic analysis of the yarning circles revealed that an interaction of individual and contextual factors and processes significantly influenced perception of safety, coping strategies, and decision-making across individual, community, and organisational levels. Although many participants experienced resilience and adaptability resulting from Indigenous ways of being, knowing and doing and sharing ways for circumventing negative and inequitable experiences, these individual and system level interactions also led to many participants experiencing fear in response to the pandemic exacerbating disruptions to services and basic needs. The findings indicate that the complexities of Australia's historical and contemporary colonial practices share similar characteristics with COVID-19 restrictions, evoking traumatic memories from the past. The findings suggest a need for crisis response to be co-created, co-implemented and co-evaluated with local Aboriginal communities to be evaluative, culturally informed, and inclusive of diverse Aboriginal voices, knowledges, and practices.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 105263"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143292720","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A fire following earthquake spread model considering building height and its application to real-world events","authors":"Yuan Tian, Minting Lu, Zhen Xu, Jingyi Ren","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105261","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105261","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Fire following earthquake is one of the most destructive secondary disasters induced by earthquakes. Current spread models for fire following earthquake generally simulate fires by treating an individual building as a single analytical element and disregarding the influence of building height and topography. In real-world cases, the building heights in the neighborhood vary, which significantly complicating the FFE spreading. The height disparities between structures may directly impact the temperature increase effects of a burning building on its surroundings. Thus, this study proposes a simulation method for fire spread following earthquake that considers building height. The analytical approach treats each building story as an analysis element and incorporates the absolute height of each floor (defined as the summation of building height and site elevation) into the spread model, thereby accounting for the influence of height disparities on fire propagation. To validate the effectiveness of this method, comparative validation studies are conducted using the 1995 Great Hanshin Earthquake and the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake. The proposed model achieves an accuracy of 99.3 % in the 1995 Great Hanshin Earthquake case and 90.9 % in the 2024 Noto Peninsula Earthquake case. Results also indicate that incorporating building height leads to accelerated fire spread and expanded spread range, more accurately capturing the complex dynamics of fire spread following earthquake in building clusters, particularly in scenarios with substantial variations in building heights, thus providing a scientific foundation for urban disaster prevention, mitigation, and fire control strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 105261"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098380","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The role of communities in building urban flood resilience in Matola, Mozambique","authors":"José Lourenço Neves , Margareta Espling","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105262","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105262","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Community urban flood resilience is a challenge in different parts of the world, especially in resource-deficient contexts, such as in Mozambique. This paper explores the actions, measures, or strategies the residents of Matola have developed to cope with urban flooding and build community resilience. The study is based on 18 semi-structured interviews, three focus group discussions with 24 residents, two semi-structured interviews with municipal officials from the urban planning sector in Matola, who were present during the 2000 floods, and field observations. The findings reveal that community mitigation actions during the 2000 flood in Matola ranged from reinforcing the material structure of houses and installing water barriers with walls of sandbags, to rescuing and accommodating family and community members in collaboration with municipal rescue teams. Community adaptation measures after the 2000 floods were improving and reconstructing houses destroyed by the floods, raising yard levels with fill, which changed the environment, building new homes in relatively safe self-obtained sites, and adhering to the resettlement promoted by the municipality. The study reveals that during the 2000 floods and the post-flood recovery process, social capital, characterized by pre-existing strong social cohesion and mutual trust among community members, was vital in bringing people together to support and rescue community members besieged by the flood. The municipality's official network of collaboration with communities, represented by their elected leaders, was a relevant factor for community flood resilience because it favoured establishing ongoing connections between the parties identifying the main waterways for the creation of drainage channels and organizing the gradual resettlement of residents who had lost their homes in the flood. However, the findings reveal that with a rapidly increasing population and an accelerated horizontal land occupation for different uses, there seems to be a mismatch between the urban development plans and the municipal efforts to build flood resilience, and what is happening in practice with some constructions violating official regulations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 105262"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143149705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Assessing safety in buildings and of evacuees considering fire impacts","authors":"Feze Golshani, Liping Fang","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105259","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105259","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study creates a fire evacuation simulator considering fire impacts on safety in buildings and of evacuees. Fire dynamics simulation, navigation graph generation, fuzzy logic system, and agent-based simulation are integrated to capture the interactions of fire, building, and evacuees. Indices are proposed to evaluate the safety in all parts of buildings and of evacuees. A fuzzy logic system is built to model exit selection of evacuees concerning fire dynamics. The contributions include: (1) introducing the edge capability deterioration index (ECDI) and path capability deterioration index (PCDI) to evaluate fire impacts on the safety of edges and paths, respectively; (2) presenting a capability (<em>c</em>) index to quantify the fire-affected safety of evacuees; and (3) developing a fuzzy logic system to model exit selection of evacuees. A three-storey building, accommodating a population of 615 individuals, is examined as a case across nine scenarios. The findings include relocating the fire from a non-critical compartment to near an exit decreases the final total <em>c</em> by 3.4% and increases evacuation time by 13.8%. This relocation raises the maximum ECDI at 400 <em>s</em> by 21.1%. They also demonstrate that the shortest path is not always the safest, as illustrated by a specific location at a particular time, in which the safest path takes 83.3% longer but has a PCDI 18.2% lower than the shortest time path. The findings signify the capability of the developed indices in assessing the safety in buildings and of evacuees spatiotemporally.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 105259"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143098422","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Unmanned aerial systems in search and rescue: A global perspective on current challenges and future applications","authors":"Carlos Osorio Quero, Jose Martinez-Carranza","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105199","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105199","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Unmanned Aerial Systems (UAS), commonly known as drones, have become essential assets in Search and Rescue (SAR) operations due to their versatility, rapid deployment, and high mobility. This study reviews drones’ current and emerging uses in SAR, with a focus on advancements in sensor integration, payload capacity, and multi-UAV coordination. It further explores how Artificial Intelligence (AI) can enhance operational efficiency. A comprehensive review methodology is employed to analyze recent progress in drone technology, AI, and digital twin simulations aimed at optimizing SAR missions. The review highlights the current capabilities, strengths, and limitations of existing systems while identifying potential innovations to address persistent challenges. Drones are now effectively deployed to survey vast areas, locate survivors, and assess hazards. Coordinated multi-drone systems have the potential to expand coverage, enhance efficiency, deliver essential supplies, and establish temporary communication networks in inaccessible regions. Future advancements in AI and autonomy will enable drones to perform complex tasks with minimal human intervention. Enhanced sensor technologies will improve detection capabilities, including infrared imaging, radar, and biometric monitoring. However, challenges such as regulatory restrictions, limited battery life, and payload constraints persist. Addressing these challenges will require ongoing research and technological breakthroughs. This study underscores the transformative potential of evolving drone technologies in SAR operations, paving the way for faster, more efficient responses, ultimately saving lives through improved real-time decision-making and operational capabilities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"118 ","pages":"Article 105199"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143292761","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}