International journal of disaster risk reduction最新文献_第9页

Prevention capacity significantly reduced the livestock exposure to snow hazards across the Qinghai Plateau 预防能力大大降低了青海高原牲畜遭受雪灾的风险

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104714

{"title":"Prevention capacity significantly reduced the livestock exposure to snow hazards across the Qinghai Plateau","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104714","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104714","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Livestock snow disaster is one of the most serious natural disasters in pastoral areas during cold seasons, leading to substantial livestock losses over the past few decades. Accurate assessment of livestock exposure is crucial for reducing the risk of livestock snow disaster, while much less is known about the livestock exposure due to the lack of available gridded livestock density data with long time series. In this study, the gridded density datasets of large livestock, sheep and total livestock at a spatial resolution of 1 km across the Qinghai Plateau (QP) during 1983–2018 were generated by developing livestock density models and disaggregating livestock census data. Then, the spatiotemporal patterns of livestock exposure to snow hazards in the QP were explored and the relative contributions of influencing factors (snow hazard, livestock density and prevention capacity) were quantified. There was a significant negative trend (<em>p</em> < 0.10) of −1.16 × 10<sup>6</sup> standard sheep units (SSUs) decade<sup>−1</sup> in annual total livestock number and −4.67 × 10<sup>7</sup> SSUs-day decade<sup>−1</sup> (<em>p</em> < 0.05) in annual total livestock exposure across the QP from 1983 to 2018. Spatially, snow hazard, livestock density and prevention capacity dominated the total livestock exposure changes in 38.11 %, 22.70 % and 34.95 % of pastoral areas, respectively. However, the reduction in total livestock exposure across the QP was primarily contributed by prevention capacity (56.13 %). This study provides a comprehensive understanding and scientific decision-making basis for livestock snow disaster mitigation and risk management, contributing to the high-quality development of pastoral areas.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221242092400476X/pdfft?md5=31c031abb50149c1a8491b4c341a9830&pid=1-s2.0-S221242092400476X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936503","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Flood threat to livable communities: Understanding the impact of emotional conflicts and information availability on disaster preparedness through mitigation capacity in Nigeria's coastal region 洪水对宜居社区的威胁：通过尼日利亚沿海地区的减灾能力了解情感冲突和信息可用性对备灾的影响

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104729

{"title":"Flood threat to livable communities: Understanding the impact of emotional conflicts and information availability on disaster preparedness through mitigation capacity in Nigeria's coastal region","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104729","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104729","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Climate change poses significant risks to coastal regions, compromising habitats, economies, and well-being through flooding. This research assesses the indirect effects of information availability and emotional factors, such as property emotional attachment and emotional burdens on flood disaster preparedness through mitigation capacity. Data from 360 individuals across three Nigerian coastal communities were analyzed using a partial least squares structural equation model (PLS-SEM). Evidence demonstrated that information availability directly enhances disaster preparedness. Conversely, information availability is not significantly associated with mitigation capacity. Strong emotional attachment to property negatively impact mitigation capacity, but no direct effect on disaster preparedness. Mitigation capacity exhibits a significant positive direct effect on disaster preparedness. Notably, heightened emotional burden bolsters flood disaster preparedness by first increasing mitigation capacity. In contrast, intensified emotional attachment to property dampens mitigation capacity, thereby diminishing disaster preparedness. These insights highlight the necessity of integrating frameworks for addressing issues of information dissemination, property emotional attachment, and emotional burden when devising flood risk reduction strategies for coastal communities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936514","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Insights into earthquake insurance demand in high-risk regions: A case study of Turkey 洞察高风险地区的地震保险需求：土耳其案例研究

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104725

{"title":"Insights into earthquake insurance demand in high-risk regions: A case study of Turkey","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104725","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104725","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Over the last three decades, earthquakes have caused approximately USD 1 trillion in economic damage globally. While earthquake insurance can help reduce this damage, there is a significant coverage gap, especially in emerging nations. This research focuses on Turkey, a nation with high vulnerability to seismic activity, to investigate the complex reasons for the low adoption of earthquake insurance. Utilizing a comprehensive set of indicators, including socioeconomic factors, real estate data, and earthquake hazards, this study applies multiple linear regression analysis across various districts. The findings reveal that insurance demand is influenced by peak ground acceleration, average household size, crude birth rate, and percentage of college graduates. While conventional factors such as marriage rate and home price per square have some impact, other expected indicators such as population growth and old age dependency do not show significant influence. By demonstrating how demographic, economic, and seismic risk indicators can predict insurance demand, this research offers fresh insights for policymakers and insurers to enhance their coverage strategies. This approach sheds light on the under-examined dynamics of earthquake insurance demand in high-risk regions and suggests a model that can be adjusted for comparable analyses in other emerging markets.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141979748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A new fire damage index to assess the vulnerability of immovable cultural heritage 评估不可移动文化遗产脆弱性的新火灾损失指数

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104731

{"title":"A new fire damage index to assess the vulnerability of immovable cultural heritage","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104731","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104731","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The recurrent occurrence of devastating fires in cultural heritage constructions highlights the need for more studies focusing on the assessment of their fire vulnerability to support the development of adequate mitigation measures. To address the limitations of existing methods, this article introduces the Potential Fire Damage Index (PFDI) as a new approach. The PFDI is an indicator-based method that integrates twenty-one Fire Vulnerability Indicators (FVIs) into four categories with varying weights. The method is applicable to various types of heritage constructions and independent of national fire safety codes, which makes it a versatile tool for assessing fire vulnerability and estimating potential damage that can impact the cultural values of these structures. The article emphasizes the significance of the PFDI for preliminary identification of critical points in heritage constructions requiring vulnerability reduction measures, paving the way for subsequent more rigorous fire safety engineering analyses. The detailed criteria for assessing the FVIs are presented, and a case study illustrates the PFDI's applicability. The case study analyses a historic church in Portugal and evaluates its current conditions, as well as the impact of implementing certain measures to reduce fire vulnerability. To evaluate the robustness of the PFDI, its results were also compared with those of a well-established method in the literature.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S221242092400493X/pdfft?md5=881b3199b854bf5be0a78aa513b02dcd&pid=1-s2.0-S221242092400493X-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141954218","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

A MAP-based approach to identify the social vulnerability to flood hazard in states adjacent to Mexican Gulf 采用基于 MAP 的方法确定墨西哥湾附近各州洪水灾害的社会脆弱性

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104717

{"title":"A MAP-based approach to identify the social vulnerability to flood hazard in states adjacent to Mexican Gulf","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104717","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104717","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The impact of floods can significantly differ based on the local circumstances. The severity of the impact caused by a natural flood in one area compared to another depends on the distinct vulnerability factors present within the affected community, encompassing cultural, social, and economic aspects. Understanding a society's capacity to anticipate, adapt to, endure, and recover from the effects of natural floods relies on evaluating its social vulnerability, which is closely connected with potential risks and community resilience. This study adopts a framework that can analyze the interaction between natural hazards and social factors and is flexible to be applied to different geographic locations. This framework encompasses flood hazards and social vulnerability within the scope of flood risk reduction. This paper explores how social vulnerability can be integrated into the analysis of flood risks within the states adjacent to the Mexican Gulf. Initially, social components are selected and applied to measure and map the Social Vulnerability Index (SVI). Next, a MAP-based methodology is adopted to identify the spatial variability of social vulnerability concerning flood hazards. Then, a risk matrix is developed and the classifications on SVI map are aligned with those on a flood hazard map; provided by the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA). This led to the development of a qualitative social vulnerability exposure map to flood hazards, emphasizing regions marked by high levels of both flood risk and social vulnerability. The findings of this study highlight the importance of integrating social vulnerability into flood risk mitigation policies and emergency management, and planning.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936359","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Communicating with the public in emergencies: A systematic review of communication approaches in emergency response 在紧急情况下与公众沟通：系统审查应急响应中的传播方法

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104719

{"title":"Communicating with the public in emergencies: A systematic review of communication approaches in emergency response","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104719","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104719","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Natural hazards and man-made emergencies pose a consistent challenge to emergency responders and government agencies, raising questions about how to communicate with the public most effectively during the emergencies to maintain safety. We conducted a pre-registered systematic review of current literature with the aim of categorising the depictions of emergency responders’ views of the public (e.g., as a group simply to help or as a group to also elicit help from) and modes of communication (e.g., online or face-to-face). From a screened set of 2084 papers, we identified 26 that met our inclusion criteria. Across these papers, the approaches of the emergency responders and government agencies were categorised into three main categories: Command and Control, Uncertainty and Management, and Trust and Collaboration. We found different modes of communication usage across different types of emergencies (e.g., fires and floods) in the literature, with social media being the most prominent. Further, three different patterns of social media use can be categorised: one-way, passive two-way and active two-way. We identified challenges in implementing two-way communication: specifically, distrust in the public during emergencies and organisational constraints on using information from the public. The views toward the public that emergency responders and government agencies hold can be related to what modes of emergency communication they choose to use with the public. Importantly, two-way communication between emergency responders/government agencies and the public should be encouraged, allowing for dialogue where the public share information with emergency responders who in turn make use of public engagement to enhance public safety.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924004813/pdfft?md5=81b29ae04545c5c46e0319284f842e65&pid=1-s2.0-S2212420924004813-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936524","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Influences of social networks, demographics, and evacuation duration on evacuation decisions: Insights from Ohio and Pennsylvania 社交网络、人口统计学和疏散持续时间对疏散决策的影响：俄亥俄州和宾夕法尼亚州的启示

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104701

引用次数: 0

Modeling of the cascading impacts of drought and forest fire based on a Bayesian network 基于贝叶斯网络的干旱和森林火灾连带影响建模

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104716

{"title":"Modeling of the cascading impacts of drought and forest fire based on a Bayesian network","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104716","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104716","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The cascading impact of disastrous events has become an important focus of disaster research. In recent years, forest fires have occurred frequently in China, causing huge economic losses. Studying the cascading impacts of drought and forest fire is of great significance for reducing disaster risks. Taking Yunnan Province of China as an example, meteorological data and forest fire point data from 2005 to 2018 were collected and statistically analyzed. A Bayesian network model of the cascading impacts of drought and forest fire was established, enabling the prior probability and conditional probability of nodes to be determined. Based on this information, a probability prediction was established using causal reasoning. Finally, in the case test, the Brier score was used to test the accuracy of the model. The Brier test value was 0.305, which was less than the qualified threshold of 0.6. The results indicated that the Bayesian network model established in this study had a good prediction performance, which was basically consistent with the facts. The results provide an insight into the mechanism by which drought induced forest fires occur and will be of use in forest fire prevention work.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936519","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Threats of tropical cyclone on cropping systems and crop calendar of rice in India: Issues, policy practice gap and adaptation strategies 热带气旋对印度水稻种植系统和作物日历的威胁：问题、政策实践差距和适应战略

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104722

{"title":"Threats of tropical cyclone on cropping systems and crop calendar of rice in India: Issues, policy practice gap and adaptation strategies","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104722","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104722","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) has calculated that by 2050, we will need to grow 60 % more food to provide for a population of 9.3 billion people worldwide. India must increase its yearly food grain production from the current level of 252–333 million tonnes by 2050 in order to fulfil its expanding population demand. India is one of the nations most at risk from climate change due to its geophysical location and variability. This research explored the impact of cyclonic storm surges on crop calendars (‘<em>Aman</em>’ and ‘<em>Boro</em>’ rice) and also suggested adaption strategies during these conditions. This study showed that alteration of contemporary rice sowing and harvesting dates significantly impacts achieving sustained yields, surpassing all other crop management, soil, and other criteria. The origin and landfall of the cyclone of the Bay of Bengal (BoB) in pre- and post-monsoon season impede the goal of optimal rice production in Eastern and south-eastern India. We have estimated that ‘<em>Rabi</em>’ and ‘<em>Kharif</em>” rice production potential will increase by about 29 % with attainable changes to rice sowing and harvesting dates incorporating the severe cyclonic storm (SCS) landfall and rainfall in the study area. Our results also show that transformational benefits in rice yields are only possible in India if the convectional crop calendar changes with the modern scientific crop calendar. Managing the seasonal cropping calendar more effectively can benefit food security, economic success, and climate adaptability rice seed as a method for adaptation to ongoing climate change.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936515","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

What about the “soft factors”? Longitudinal effects of leadership behaviors on psychological resources of firefighters 软因素 "如何？领导行为对消防员心理资源的纵向影响

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2024-08-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104720

{"title":"What about the “soft factors”? Longitudinal effects of leadership behaviors on psychological resources of firefighters","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104720","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.104720","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In addition to adequate training and reliable equipment, firefighters need robust psychological resources (e.g., self-efficacy, team cohesion) to sustain readiness for potential deployment in large-scale disasters. However, recurrent exposure to emergency situations in their every-day work poses a threat to psychological resources and jeopardizes readiness. In this study, we examine how leaders in fire services support their subordinates in maintaining high levels of these resources. We hypothesize that person-oriented leadership is particularly effective in this respect. Specifically, we predict that person-oriented leader behaviors increase subordinates' psychological resources and magnify the benefits of their performance behaviors in terms of resource acquisition. In a preregistered longitudinal study (five monthly measurements) with firefighters in Germany (<em>N</em> = 189), we tested our hypotheses using random intercept cross-lagged panel modeling. In line with our expectations, perceived person-oriented leader behaviors predicted subordinates' resources on a month-to-month basis, and also in an additional follow-up survey one year later. However, person-oriented leadership did not increase the return on subordinates' performance behavior in terms of resources. Notably, perceived task-oriented leader behaviors also predicted subordinates’ resources, but only on a month-to-month basis. We discuss possible mechanisms and time frames of the observed effects. Together, our findings indicate that person-oriented leadership can counteract resource depletion due to adverse working conditions and, thus, add to higher levels of readiness. Policymakers and senior executives may foster this effect by integrating person-oriented competencies into leadership norms and training programs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2024-08-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212420924004825/pdfft?md5=6239c7e7653fd2b2e1bb0dc101fb527a&pid=1-s2.0-S2212420924004825-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141936523","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0