International journal of disaster risk reduction最新文献

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Gendered vulnerabilities and sexual violence: Intersecting inequalities during the 2024 floods in Porto Alegre, Brazil 性别脆弱性和性暴力:2024年巴西阿雷格里港洪水期间的交叉不平等
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105728
Julia de Freitas Sampaio
{"title":"Gendered vulnerabilities and sexual violence: Intersecting inequalities during the 2024 floods in Porto Alegre, Brazil","authors":"Julia de Freitas Sampaio","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105728","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105728","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In May 2024, severe floods affected 94 % of the counties in Rio Grande do Sul, Brazil, displacing 615,000 people and creating a significant population of climate refugees. This article examines the gendered vulnerabilities faced by women during this extreme weather event, particularly focusing on the experiences of women in improvised emergency shelters. The study reveals that women were disproportionately affected by harassment and sexual violence, necessitating the creation of gender-segregated shelters for protection. Additionally, the findings highlight that racial minorities and low-income groups were disproportionately impacted due to pre-existing social and economic inequalities, exacerbating their vulnerabilities during the disaster. Utilizing a qualitative approach, the research analyzes reports from news outlets and social media, emphasizing the importance of examining how media framings shape public understanding of gender-based violence in disaster contexts. Contextual demographic data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) is also used to situate these vulnerabilities within broader patterns of structural inequality. This study advocates for an intersectional approach to Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) policies that acknowledges the interplay of these vulnerabilities. By emphasizing the need for feminist-informed, inclusive DRR strategies, the research contributes to the discourse on gender and climate change, aligning with the United Nations Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) 5 (gender equality), 10 (reduced inequalities), and 16 (peace, justice, and strong institutions). This article offers an original contribution by combining intersectional feminist theory with media discourse analysis to examine how gender-based violence is both experienced and represented in the context of a major climate disaster in Brazil. The article offers policy recommendations aimed at enhancing gender and racial equity in disaster response and resilience planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105728"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144704294","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A holistic approach for assesssing multidimensional adaptive capacity to floods: From conceptualization to empirical assessment 评估洪水多维适应能力的整体方法:从概念化到实证评估
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105729
Hassam Bin Waseem, Irfan Ahmad Rana
{"title":"A holistic approach for assesssing multidimensional adaptive capacity to floods: From conceptualization to empirical assessment","authors":"Hassam Bin Waseem,&nbsp;Irfan Ahmad Rana","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105729","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105729","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Adaptive capacity is crucial for implementing adaptation and risk reduction strategies. This study conceptualizes adaptive capacity as a multidimensional construct, i.e., physical, social, economic, psychological, technological, and institutional dimensions. Indexes are computed using the composite index method, and their values are calculated based on descriptive statistics to facilitate data normalization. Significant differences were evaluated using one-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) tests, and the impacts were assessed through multiple regression analysis. Three flood-prone urban communities of Islamabad, Pakistan, namely Chak Shahzad, Sector E−11/D-12, and River/Soan Garden, were selected. Data was collected from a random sample of 600 households, with 200 households each from the selected communities. A structured questionnaire containing 48 indicators across the dimensions was used. Communities were found to have a moderate adaptive capacity (mean = 0.52), with higher capacity in the physical (mean = 0.64) and technological (mean = 0.58) dimensions, while lower capacity levels were observed in the economic (mean = 0.41) and institutional (mean = 0.49) dimensions. The presence of elderly household members and the extent of flood damage was positively associated with adaptive capacity, whereas past flood experiences had a negative impact. Non-conformity to land-use and zoning laws, the absence of social protection programs and insurance, and ineffective warning were the main factors reducing adaptive capacity. This highlights the need to formulate effective adaptation strategies and policies to improve the adaptive capacity of the communities. The approach can also be applied to other settings and hazards to understand the adaptive capacity at different spatial scales.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105729"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144704295","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Worse or better? Incorporating the time perspective into residents’ life satisfaction during temporary housing 更糟还是更好?将时间视角纳入居民临时住房生活满意度
IF 4.5 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105727
Yajie Zeng , Baofeng Di , Xintao Liu , Wen He , Jierui Li , Yue Shui , Bin Zhang , Hongkai Chen , Minghua Zhang , Qiyu Pan
{"title":"Worse or better? Incorporating the time perspective into residents’ life satisfaction during temporary housing","authors":"Yajie Zeng ,&nbsp;Baofeng Di ,&nbsp;Xintao Liu ,&nbsp;Wen He ,&nbsp;Jierui Li ,&nbsp;Yue Shui ,&nbsp;Bin Zhang ,&nbsp;Hongkai Chen ,&nbsp;Minghua Zhang ,&nbsp;Qiyu Pan","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105727","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105727","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Temporary housing (TH) is an essential form of post-disaster recovery. Assessments of the dynamics of residents’ life satisfaction (RLS) in the TH period can facilitate the effective organization of reconstruction plans and the mitigation of adverse effects. A survey was carried out 3 months (n = 90), 8 months (n = 112) and 12 months (n = 103) after the Luding earthquake in three transitional settlements (TSs) in the townships that suffered the most extensive damage. This study observed the longitudinal changes in RLS in TH period and explored the relationship between RLS and disaster experience, social support, and other relevant variables. The results indicated that RLS was moderate and significantly decreased during TH. Trust in government had a consistent impact on RLS. Variables associated with disaster experience such as mental health, was found to influence RLS in the short-to medium-term (3 and 8 months). Nevertheless, the extent of medium-to long-term satisfaction was correlated with the temporary community factor (8 and 12 months). This study provides important ideas and models for achieving orderly post-disaster resettlement and facilitating recovery and reconstruction.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105727"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144737979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Providers of decentralized blue-green flood adaptation measures protect others, not themselves, even in flat urban terrain 分散式蓝绿洪水适应措施的提供者保护的是他人,而不是自己,即使在平坦的城市地形上也是如此
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105721
Matteo Roggero , Fabio Brill , Franziska Tügel
{"title":"Providers of decentralized blue-green flood adaptation measures protect others, not themselves, even in flat urban terrain","authors":"Matteo Roggero ,&nbsp;Fabio Brill ,&nbsp;Franziska Tügel","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105721","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105721","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We address social dilemmas in dealing with urban pluvial floods in Berlin, Germany. The city has made little progress towards its own goal of becoming a sponge city, promoting decentralized rainwater management through blue-green infrastructure. Policy instruments in place focus on stimulating citizen's voluntary, precautionary self-protection against pluvial floods, implicitly assuming that providers and beneficiaries of decentralized, blue-green flood protection are the same. Analyzing flooding areas and their subcatchments based on hydrodynamic simulations of heavy-rain events with return periods between 10 and 100 years, we show that this is not the case. Despite the city's flat topography, we observe upstream-downstream relations between providers and beneficiaries of decentralized, blue-green flood protection. Addressing pluvial floods with blue-green infrastructure implies the protection of others – a different social dilemma requiring different policy instruments.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105721"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144713577","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pathways to humanitarian shelter durable solutions: A global comparative analysis of projects 通往人道主义住房持久解决方案之路:全球项目比较分析
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105723
Philip De Pasquale, Aaron Opdyke
{"title":"Pathways to humanitarian shelter durable solutions: A global comparative analysis of projects","authors":"Philip De Pasquale,&nbsp;Aaron Opdyke","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105723","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105723","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Annual increases in global displacements due to conflict and natural hazards have intensified the need for durable humanitarian shelter solutions. Despite growing conceptual clarity over the ‘durable solution’ concept, a distinct lack of research exists to ascertain the combinations of conditions that lead to these outcomes. This research investigates the conditions supporting shelter durable solutions across 229 global case studies, employing fuzzy-set Qualitative Comparative Analysis (fsQCA). Three pathways emerged from the analysis centred around the following mechanisms: co-produced systems – emphasising joint agency and community-driven efforts for long-term recovery in diverse contexts; community-led incremental building – enabling durable solutions in conflict settings through local skills and incremental stabilisation; and recovery alliances, emphasising smaller, well-coordinated responses in natural hazard contexts to facilitate targeted, sustainable solutions. This study provides practical guidance for implementing agencies through these approaches, exhibiting how coordinated, locally driven, and financially adaptable efforts can successfully facilitate durable solutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105723"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144704293","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluation of psychology-based training for improving interoperability in the emergency services: A comparison of online and in-person delivery methods 评估为提高应急服务的互操作性而进行的基于心理学的培训:在线和面对面交付方法的比较
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105725
Louise Davidson , Holly Carter , John Drury , Richard Amlôt , S. Alexander Haslam
{"title":"Evaluation of psychology-based training for improving interoperability in the emergency services: A comparison of online and in-person delivery methods","authors":"Louise Davidson ,&nbsp;Holly Carter ,&nbsp;John Drury ,&nbsp;Richard Amlôt ,&nbsp;S. Alexander Haslam","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105725","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105725","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Recent research highlights the importance of incorporating psychological perspectives to improve interoperability in multi-agency emergency response in order to address persistent challenges and prevent future issues. To address this, we developed a psychology-based training programme grounded in the Social Identity Approach. Its effectiveness and optimal delivery method were evaluated with 65 emergency responders from UK Police (<em>N</em> = 8), Fire and Rescue (<em>N</em> = 12), and Ambulance (<em>N</em> = 45) Services. Participants completed the training either online (<em>N</em> = 28) or in-person (<em>N</em> = 37), with follow-up interviews conducted with seven of the online participants. In terms of participant satisfaction, the training was positively received and recommended by participants. They valued the psychological elements but stressed the need for accessible presentation. Interviewees preferred in-person training, but survey data showed no difference in participant satisfaction between delivery methods. In terms of knowledge gain, both delivery methods increased confidence in multi-agency teamwork, though in-person training better enhanced knowledge of specific collaborative actions. Participants highlighted the importance of understanding responders’ motivations, especially regarding mandatory training. This evaluation offers valuable insights into the design and delivery of effective emergency service training and demonstrates how integrating psychological theory can support better interoperability in multi-agency contexts. Practical implications are discussed.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105725"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144695024","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Flood-ABM: An agent-based model of differential flood effects on population groups and their decision-making processes 洪水- abm:基于agent的洪水对不同人群及其决策过程的影响模型
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105698
Obeng A. Addai , César P. Soares , Richa S. Dhawale , Corinne J. Schuster-Wallace , Raymond J. Spiteri
{"title":"Flood-ABM: An agent-based model of differential flood effects on population groups and their decision-making processes","authors":"Obeng A. Addai ,&nbsp;César P. Soares ,&nbsp;Richa S. Dhawale ,&nbsp;Corinne J. Schuster-Wallace ,&nbsp;Raymond J. Spiteri","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105698","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105698","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Flooding is a global concern with wide-ranging impacts on communities, infrastructure, and ecosystems. Its effects are often unevenly distributed, influenced by complex interactions between environmental and social systems. In this paper, we present an agent-based model (ABM) that links hydrological and social systems through a differentiating lens. Our ABM captures individual and collective behaviors across pre-flood, during-flood, and post-flood phases, while differentiating population groups through a socio-economic index to examine how disparities in resources and vulnerability influence decisions related to preparedness, evacuation, coping, and adaptation. Our model innovatively integrates four decision-making theories—Protection Motivation Theory, the Theory of Planned Behavior, Cultural Risk Theory, and Social Capital Theory—in a complex framework that reflects diverse individuals strategies during floods. We find that agents facing intense flood threats respond rapidly with emergency measures—such as swift evacuations and immediate protective actions—even when constrained by resource limitations. In contrast, agents in less critical scenarios exhibit more measured responses, engaging in thorough pre-event planning and gradual evacuations that facilitate smoother adaptations post-flood. Economic impacts quantified by the model demonstrate that widespread business closures significantly reduce earnings, while increased spending on healthcare and evacuation drives up overall costs. During peak flooding, shelter agents suffer wealth declines due to the high costs of providing emergency services, and healthcare agent resources are strained by surging demand as health deteriorates among affected populations. Our results indicate that increased shelter capacity, expedited rescue responses, and enhanced healthcare provision collectively promote post-flood economic stabilization by reducing stranded individuals and mitigating peak-phase financial losses.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105698"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144713579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Benchmarking attention mechanisms and consistency regularization semi-supervised learning for post-flood building damage assessment 基于基准关注机制和一致性正则化半监督学习的灾后建筑损伤评估
IF 4.5 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105664
Jiaxi Yu , Tomohiro Fukuda , Nobuyoshi Yabuki
{"title":"Benchmarking attention mechanisms and consistency regularization semi-supervised learning for post-flood building damage assessment","authors":"Jiaxi Yu ,&nbsp;Tomohiro Fukuda ,&nbsp;Nobuyoshi Yabuki","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105664","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105664","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rapid and accurate building damage assessment (BDA) following floods is critical for effective disaster response, yet faces challenges from limited labeled data and subtle damage cues in satellite imagery. Existing deep learning change detection (CD) methods may exhibit low recall or misclassify damage inappropriately when transferred directly to the post-flood BDA (Flood-BDA) task. This study addresses these gaps by establishing the first systematic benchmark evaluating both supervised CD model transfer and semi-supervised learning (SSL) specifically for Flood-BDA. This research investigate image-level consistency regularization SSL to combat data scarcity, finding that strategies using pseudo-label derived reference distributions significantly enhance performance (+1.17% avg. Kappa at 5% labels). Notably, pseudo-label outperform ground-truth label strategies in low-label settings (e.g., +4.84% Kappa at 5% labels). Furthermore, confronting the limitations of transferred CD models (low recall, misclassifying ’destroyed’ as ’no damage’), this paper proposed a simple prior attention disaster assessment Net (SPADANet), a lightweight U-Net incorporating a simple prior attention module designed for Flood-BDA. SPADANet demonstrably improves recall (+9.22% over best CD baseline) and exhibits more favorable error patterns for Flood-BDA, despite a precision trade-off. This work provides crucial benchmarks, validates the need for recall-driven, DA-specific designs distinct from CD, and demonstrates the potential of prior attention and image-level consistency regularization for post-flood building damage assessment. The code will be available at <span><span>https://github.com/JX-OctoNeko/Flood_BDA_benchmark.git</span><svg><path></path></svg></span></div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105664"},"PeriodicalIF":4.5,"publicationDate":"2025-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144724268","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A strategic- and tactical model for managing complex risks in social systems 管理社会系统中复杂风险的战略和战术模型
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105716
Marianne Synnes Emblemsvåg , Jan Emblemsvåg
{"title":"A strategic- and tactical model for managing complex risks in social systems","authors":"Marianne Synnes Emblemsvåg ,&nbsp;Jan Emblemsvåg","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105716","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105716","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Complex risks are unique as they emerge from potentially undetectable sources into problematic situations often with high- and lasting impact, such as the COVID-19 pandemic. Their emergent nature, starting with weak signals, renders the traditional risk management approach of risk identification less effective. Assigning probability estimates can also be difficult because some complex risks, such as pandemics, are certain to emerge. To address these challenges, the literature is reviewed to understand complexity, complex risks, risk management and risk communication and more. One key insight is that the maneuverability inherent in the Observe-Orient-Decide and Act (OODA) model used in maneuver warfare is beneficial for managing complex risks. Another important insight is that management and communication cannot be treated as separated and sequential processes. Hence, to manage complex risks, a model based on the OODA model is developed with more explicit focus on risk communication through active leadership. The financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic are used throughout the paper to illustrate key points. Operationalization of the model is future work.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105716"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144703629","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Operational impact-based flood early warning in Lao PDR and Cambodia 老挝人民民主共和国和柬埔寨基于业务影响的洪水预警
IF 4.2 1区 地球科学
International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-07-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105718
Lorenzo Alfieri , Agathe Bucherie , Andrea Libertino , Lorenzo Campo , Mirko D'Andrea , Tatiana Ghizzoni , Simone Gabellani , Marco Massabò , Lauro Rossi , Roberto Rudari , Bounteum Sisouphanthavong , Hun Sothy , Eva Trasforini , Ramesh Tripathi , Jason Thomas Watkins
{"title":"Operational impact-based flood early warning in Lao PDR and Cambodia","authors":"Lorenzo Alfieri ,&nbsp;Agathe Bucherie ,&nbsp;Andrea Libertino ,&nbsp;Lorenzo Campo ,&nbsp;Mirko D'Andrea ,&nbsp;Tatiana Ghizzoni ,&nbsp;Simone Gabellani ,&nbsp;Marco Massabò ,&nbsp;Lauro Rossi ,&nbsp;Roberto Rudari ,&nbsp;Bounteum Sisouphanthavong ,&nbsp;Hun Sothy ,&nbsp;Eva Trasforini ,&nbsp;Ramesh Tripathi ,&nbsp;Jason Thomas Watkins","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105718","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105718","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Operational flood forecasting and early warning systems are key tools for disaster risk prevention, with implementation rates steadily increasing worldwide. Yet, most operational systems focus on detecting only the hazard characteristics of upcoming floods, rather than the likely impacts on the society, which are the variables of highest interest for warning centers and emergency responders. This work describes the implementation of FloodPROOFS, a physically based modelling framework to predict the occurrence and the consequent impacts of riverine floods in five river basins in Cambodia and in Lao People's Democratic Republic. The system is updated twice daily with four numerical weather predictions for the next 5 days. It uses a modeling cascade to produce estimates of river discharges, water levels, exceedance of flood thresholds, inundation depth and extent, socio-economic impacts for seven exposure categories, including a novel approach for the automated estimation of impact-based warnings at the district level. The latter are included in a warning bulletin application co-designed with the two national meteo-hydrological services for daily monitoring and dissemination of alert messages ahead of impending disasters. The system is operational from summer 2024 and has already shown significant value in rising preparedness ahead of some moderate-magnitude floods, including the floods of the Prek Thnot river near Phnom Penh in July 2024.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 105718"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144713578","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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