International journal of disaster risk reduction最新文献

{"title":"Lookahead strategies for planning of post-disaster emergency restoration of road networks","authors":"Li Sun ,&nbsp;John Shawe-Taylor ,&nbsp;Siyao Yang ,&nbsp;Božidar Stojadinović","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105648","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105648","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Post-disaster emergency restoration (ER) has emerged as a promising approach to enhancing the resilience of critical infrastructure systems (CISs). However, devising optimal ER plans immediately after real-world disasters is inherently challenging due to the vast state space of modern CISs. To address this challenge, this paper proposes a range of strategies to guide these campaigns, with a particular focus on road networks (RNs) under earthquake disasters. Initially, a set of heuristic-based, easy-to-interpret strategies has been developed. Building on prior research, this study investigates the integration of lookahead search, examining its potential to refine and adapt these heuristics to meet diverse optimization objectives of ER campaigns. To operationalize these strategies, a multi-agent-based model (MABM) is established, wherein each restoration group is modelled as an autonomous agent, guided by the proposed planning strategies. The applicability of the model is demonstrated by its implementation in a real-world RN under catastrophic earthquake scenarios. The impact of various strategies on the effectiveness of the ER campaign is examined and elucidated. Notably, the planning strategy that combines a newly developed, accessibility-based heuristic with lookahead proves effective in sequentially balancing the trade-off between the accessibility and criticality of collapsed bridges. Based on the case study result, this approach consistently fulfils diverse optimization objectives across a range of earthquake scenarios, establishing it as the benchmark planning strategy of the post-shock ER of RNs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"126 ","pages":"Article 105648"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144297773","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Firing the imagination? A visual analysis of bushfire preparedness videos from Australian fire agencies, 2015–2022","authors":"Deniz Yildiz,&nbsp;Chloe Lucas,&nbsp;Aidan Davison","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105644","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105644","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Australian fire agencies use videos to inform and advise the public about strategies and actions they can take to prepare for bushfire danger. This study examines videos about bushfire preparedness published on YouTube by Australian state and territory fire services over the period 2015–2022. Through visual analysis, we investigate the explicit and implicit messages of videos by fire agencies about public bushfire risk in Australia. Quantitative content analysis of actors, settings, actions, and messages present in videos reveals a lack of representation of diversity in Australian society, and an overwhelming focus on risks faced by nuclear, home-owning families of European ancestry in low-density residential landscapes. Analysis is informed by the concept of social imaginaries – socially-embedded structures of perception that integrate expectations, aspirations, and images in shaping communication in cultural settings. Videos reproduce an imaginary in which women are positioned as guardians of families, and responsible for children's safety, while men are identified with the role of the firefighter. Fire itself is imagined as an external enemy within settler-colonial histories, and the nuclear family home is embedded in an imaginary of private economic responsibility and stability. These colonial, national, and neoliberal imaginaries about fire shape contemporary bushfire communication, despite the profound material changes to Australian populations and cultures over recent decades. We conclude that identifying, understanding and questioning culturally embedded imaginaries in fire agency communication can improve public communication about bushfire preparedness.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 105644"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144306556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Rethinking migration in a changing climate: Multifaceted and interconnected drivers and adaptive strategies in Bangladesh","authors":"Gazi Alif Laila ,&nbsp;James D. Ford ,&nbsp;Diana Ivanova ,&nbsp;Jouni Paavola","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105646","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105646","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climatic hazards could shape migration in regions vulnerable to climate change such as the Southwestern coast of Bangladesh. While the nexus of environmental change and human mobility has been researched, how contexts shape migration drivers and patterns remain unclear. This article addresses this gap by examining migration dynamics in the Khulna City Corporation and Koyra Upazila, to discern the influence of urban and rural vulnerabilities. We surveyed 300 households and conducted four focus group discussions and six key informant interviews to unpack the interplay of environmental, economic, and social drivers of migration. The findings indicate that in Koyra migration is predominantly driven by hazards such as cyclones and salinity intrusion, which severely disrupt rural livelihoods. In Khulna, migration is in turn shaped by economic opportunities and better living conditions. In both locations, economic vulnerability amplifies the impact of climatic hazards particularly among low-income groups. While survival-driven migration persists in Koyra, migration in Khulna is increasingly a result of strategic decisions and planned adaptation aimed at long term socio-economic resilience, for example by investing in skills development. The results highlight how immediate environmental pressures intersect with aspirations for economic stability and make migration a complex phenomenon. These insights can guide policy measures to enhance community resilience, reduce vulnerabilities, and address the multidimensional migration challenges across diverse settings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"126 ","pages":"Article 105646"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144307964","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Corrigendum to “Structured insights: Enhancing disaster preparedness through survivor testimonies and interoperable data systems” [Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct., Volume 116, (2025) 105115, ISSN 2212–4209, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2024.105115]","authors":"Ricardo Gacitua ,&nbsp;Michael Klafft ,&nbsp;Ivana Harari ,&nbsp;Solhanlle Bonilla Duarte ,&nbsp;Agnieszka Dudzinska-Jarmolinska","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105609","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105609","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"126 ","pages":"Article 105609"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144307963","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Modeling household decision-making for structural retrofit processes","authors":"Maria C. Porada ,&nbsp;Rachel A. Davidson ,&nbsp;Joseph E. Trainor ,&nbsp;Gina Hardy ,&nbsp;Linda K. Nozick ,&nbsp;Meghan Millea ,&nbsp;Jamie Kruse ,&nbsp;Farah Nibbs","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105643","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105643","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"126 ","pages":"Article 105643"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144297366","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Early warning services for disaster risk reduction in Brazil: The experience of CEMADEN during the floods of Rio Grande do Sul of May 2024","authors":"Jose A. Marengo ,&nbsp;Enner H. Alcantara ,&nbsp;Osvaldo L. Moraes ,&nbsp;Rodney Martinez ,&nbsp;Marcelo Seluchi ,&nbsp;Regina C. Alvalá ,&nbsp;Giovanni Dolif ,&nbsp;Demerval Goncalves","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105645","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105645","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Floods are among the most expensive meteorological hazards globally and are the leading cause of disaster-related fatalities worldwide. They also result in severe health, social, and economic consequences. The unprecedented floods that occurred from April to May 2024 in the state of Rio Grande do Sul, southern Brazil, affected over 90 % of the state and resulted in 183 deaths. These floods were triggered by heavy rainfall exceeding 500 mm within five days, causing the water levels in Guaíba Lake to reach 5.35 m on May 6, the highest level since the flood in 1941. This inundation severely affected vulnerable areas of the capital city, Porto Alegre. Prior to the major flooding event in Porto Alegre, rainfall forecasts and high-risk flood warnings were issued a few days in advance. In Brazil, the Early Warning System (EWS) operates through an intersectoral, multi-agency framework. Over the past fifteen years, the integration of climate information into disaster prevention, risk reduction, monitoring, and early warning has improved significantly. However, despite the National Center for Monitoring and Early Warning of Natural Disasters (CEMADEN) being the primary institution responsible for monitoring and issuing nationwide early warnings for floods, flash floods, and landslides, there is still a need for better integration of information. This improvement could enhance response actions and contribute to resilience building. This study provides a brief review of the climatological conditions that led to the floods in Rio Grande do Sul in April–May 2024. It also examines the role of EWS and Multi-Hazard Early Warning System (MHEWS) centers in Brazil during the disaster, as well as an evaluation of CEMADEN's prevention and early warning activities before and during the event. The aim is to understand the unique nature and impacts of this disaster to better prepare for similar events in the future.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"126 ","pages":"Article 105645"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144271531","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Evaluating supply and demand relationship of urban flood regulation service and identifying priority areas for green infrastructure implementation in urban functional zones","authors":"Wen Liu ,&nbsp;Qi Feng ,&nbsp;Xin Zhang ,&nbsp;Bernard A. Engel","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105640","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105640","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Balancing the supply and demand of flood regulation services (FRS) in urban ecosystems is crucial for urban flood management. However, FRS supply-demand relationship in urban functional zone is less concerned, and future changes for urban FRS under climate change scenarios remain unclear. This study analyzed the relationships of FRS supply-demand and identified priority areas for green infrastructure implementation at the urban functional zone scale. Results showed the deficient area of FRS supply totally occupies 36.1 % of the study area. FRS supply-demand matching degree was mainly distributed in the surplus zone (high supply, low demand). Commercial zone and residential zone have the highest number of units with the FRS deficit zone (low supply, high demand), while green space zone have the highest number of units with the FRS surplus zone. Under the climate change scenarios, FRS supply showed a declining trend from 10-year to 100-year storm events (0.28–0.21, 0.26–0.22 for the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively); while the changes in the averaged FRS supply-demand ratio values caused by climate change increased as the return period increased (from −0.69 % to −4.36 % and from −1.48 % to 2.55 % under the SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios, respectively). The area proportion of residential zone units located in the high priority level for green infrastructure implementation was 51.8 %, and the area of commercial zone units located in the high priority areas accounts for 38.4 %. These results could promote understanding FRS supply-demand relationship in urban areas, and provide potential implications for urban flood mitigation measures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"126 ","pages":"Article 105640"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144271533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Explainable GeoAI and statistical analysis reveal complementary insights about disparities of 311 help requests during the 2022 Buffalo blizzard","authors":"Ryan Zhenqi Zhou ,&nbsp;Yingjie Hu ,&nbsp;Kai Sun ,&nbsp;Ryan Muldoon ,&nbsp;Susan Clark ,&nbsp;Kenneth Joseph","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105635","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105635","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The 2022 Buffalo blizzard was a catastrophic winter storm that struck Buffalo, New York in the week of Christmas in 2022. It claimed 47 lives and left much of the region stranded for the holiday week. In this disaster, the 311 call service was used by many residents to request help for issues due to the blizzard. This study examines these 311 help requests and their potential disparities across communities. Specifically, we aim to: (1) understand the spatial and temporal distributions of different types of 311 help requests; (2) identify the physical and social vulnerability factors, as well as human behavior factors, that are associated with the use of 311 calls. Methodologically, we leverage both explainable geospatial artificial intelligence (GeoAI) methods and statistical analysis to analyze 311 help requests and their associated factors. Our analysis shows significant spatial disparities in 311 help requests across communities. Results from explainable GeoAI and statistical analysis also reveal complementary insights on key factors associated with 311 help requests, such as historical 311 request behavior and percentage of minority population. These results could inform future disaster management decisions and help mitigate the negative impacts of winter storm disasters.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"126 ","pages":"Article 105635"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144271532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"An adaptation and validation of the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC): A case study of South Korea","authors":"Min-Kyu Kim ,&nbsp;Ho-Suk Yang ,&nbsp;Tae-An Yoo ,&nbsp;Han-Sol Jang ,&nbsp;Myunghwan Kwak ,&nbsp;Min-Hye Park ,&nbsp;Ji-Bum Chung","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105634","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105634","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Community resilience plays a critical role in mitigating disaster impacts and facilitating recovery. This study constructs a resilience index for South Korea, adapted from Cutter's BRIC framework, with modifications to better reflect local contexts. We validated the index using natural hazard losses and external cause mortality, with particular emphasis on the latter as an objective measure of resilience. The results showed that higher resilience scores were associated with reduced damage and mortality, underscoring the index's effectiveness. However, institutional resilience and community capital unexpectedly correlated positively with damage and mortality, although this effect diminished in further regression models that controlled for rural status. These findings highlight disparities between metropolitan and rural areas. Spatial analysis supported this finding, with metropolitan areas like Seoul and Busan exhibiting higher resilience compared to rural regions. By emphasizing the feasibility and utility of external cause mortality as a validation metric, this study contributes to the development of a robust tool for assessing resilience and guiding targeted policy interventions to strengthen community resilience.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"126 ","pages":"Article 105634"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144262430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Exploring the contingent effect of cultural tailoring of GenAI chatbots on multiethnic members’ disaster information seeking and preparation attitude: A cross-group comparison","authors":"Wenlin Liu ,&nbsp;Yan Huang ,&nbsp;Xinyan Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105639","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105639","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Current research in disasters has identified significant barriers to reaching and effectively communicating disaster information with racial minorities. Cultural tailoring, a communication practice that presents information in a culturally relevant, appropriate, and appealing manner, offers great potential in customizing disaster information to meet diverse individuals’ disaster information needs. Extending existing research on cultural tailoring, the current study tests the effect of culturally tailored GenAI chatbot communication in promoting positive disaster information-seeking and coping outcomes, identifying two pathways through which cultural tailoring operates: <em>in-group familiarity through homophily</em> and <em>enhanced source credibility</em>. An experiment with 346 residents from Hispanic and African American groups living in Texas and Florida suggests that cultural tailoring effects are significantly moderated by race, and the two mediating pathways differently predict information seeking and preparation attitudes across the two groups. Results offer a more nuanced understanding of cultural tailoring in a diverse community context, providing practical guidelines for designing fair and inclusive GenAI technologies in disaster communication.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"126 ","pages":"Article 105639"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144271534","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}