经历2023年2月6日在土耳其发生的破坏性地震对家庭防备的影响及其决定因素：在伊斯坦布尔进行的一项准实验研究

IF 4.5 1区地球科学 Q1 GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARY

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105841

Sidika Tekeli-Yesil , Ayse Nuray Karanci , Canay Doğulu , Gözde Ikizer , Yasemin Erol , Bülent Özmen

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究调查了2023年2月6日的地震如何影响İstanbul的家庭准备及其心理社会因素，同时也确定了影响事后采取进一步预防措施的因素。利用准实验设计，该数据集包括不同社会经济背景和地震危险区的震前和震后测量数据。考虑到地震的感知影响（受影响和未受影响）的差异，采用2 × 2混合设计方差分析来确定时间（2023年2月6日地震之前/之后）对准备和与准备相关的心理社会因素的影响。为了进一步探讨地震对防灾准备的影响，并确定哪一组因素对这种影响影响最大，我们进行了回归分析。除了心理准备外，时间（2023年2月6日地震之前/之后）对整体准备及其组成部分有显著的主要影响。此外，除了社区参与和信任外，时间对几乎所有社会心理因素的主要影响都是显著的。在地震准备的几个方面，发现时间和感知灾害影响对地震准备的交互作用具有统计显著性。灾后采取额外预防措施与居住在高风险地区和拥有更好的社会经济条件密切相关。女性更有可能采取额外的预防措施。行动应对是唯一与额外预防措施相关的社会心理因素。这些发现凸显了灾后加强社区复原力和家庭备灾的关键机遇。

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Impact of experiencing the destructive 6 February 2023 earthquakes in Türkiye on household preparedness and its determinants: A quasi-experimental study in Istanbul

This study investigates how the February 6, 2023, earthquakes affected household preparedness and its psychosocial factors in İstanbul while also identifying factors that influence taking further precautions afterwards. Utilising a quasi-experimental design, the dataset includes pre- and post-earthquake measurements across various socioeconomic backgrounds and earthquake risk zones.

A 2 x 2 Mixed Design ANOVA was performed to determine the effect of time (before/after the February 6, 2023 earthquakes) on preparedness and psychosocial factors related to preparedness, considering differences in the perceived impact of the earthquakes (Affected and Not Affected). To further explore the impact of the earthquakes on preparedness and to identify which group of factors had the greatest influence on this impact, regression analyses were conducted.

A significant main effect of time (before/after the February 6, 2023, earthquakes) was found on overall preparedness and its components, except for psychological preparedness. Furthermore, the main effect of time on nearly all psychosocial factors was significant, except for community participation and trust.

The interaction effect of time and the perceived impact of the disaster on earthquake preparedness was found to be statistically significant in relation to several aspects of earthquake preparedness.

Taking additional precautions in the aftermath of the disaster was most strongly associated with residing in high-risk areas and having better socioeconomic conditions. Women were more likely to take additional precautions. Action coping was the only psychosocial factor associated with additional precautions.

These findings highlight a critical opportunity to enhance community resilience and household preparedness following disasters.

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来源期刊

International journal of disaster risk reduction GEOSCIENCES, MULTIDISCIPLINARYMETEOROLOGY-METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES

CiteScore

8.70

自引率

18.00%

发文量

688

审稿时长

79 days

期刊介绍： The International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction (IJDRR) is the journal for researchers, policymakers and practitioners across diverse disciplines: earth sciences and their implications; environmental sciences; engineering; urban studies; geography; and the social sciences. IJDRR publishes fundamental and applied research, critical reviews, policy papers and case studies with a particular focus on multi-disciplinary research that aims to reduce the impact of natural, technological, social and intentional disasters. IJDRR stimulates exchange of ideas and knowledge transfer on disaster research, mitigation, adaptation, prevention and risk reduction at all geographical scales: local, national and international. Key topics:- -multifaceted disaster and cascading disasters -the development of disaster risk reduction strategies and techniques -discussion and development of effective warning and educational systems for risk management at all levels -disasters associated with climate change -vulnerability analysis and vulnerability trends -emerging risks -resilience against disasters. The journal particularly encourages papers that approach risk from a multi-disciplinary perspective.