International journal of disaster risk reduction最新文献_第2页

Before the flames: California WUI residents’ understanding of fire weather warnings and personal preparation around wildfire

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105396

Alyssa S. Thomas , Emily E. Schlickman , Joseph E. Trujillo-Falcón

引用次数: 0

Multiple hazards and exposure in California: A space-time analysis of temperature, drought, and wildfire

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105391

Erin Shives , Tzu-Hsin Karen Chen , C. Karen Seto

{"title":"Multiple hazards and exposure in California: A space-time analysis of temperature, drought, and wildfire","authors":"Erin Shives , Tzu-Hsin Karen Chen , C. Karen Seto","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105391","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105391","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Natural hazards sharing climatic precursors of temperature and precipitation– heat, drought, and wildfires–amplify their individual effects when they occur in the same time and space. Their combined effects pose numerous challenges to urban areas by decreasing resilience of infrastructure, affecting people's health and safety, and undermining economic stability. This study quantifies the temporal and spatial interactions between heat, drought, and wildfires in California's Metropolitan Statistical Areas for the month of July from 1981 to 2022. We aim to address two questions: 1) How are these hazards changing over time and space? And 2) How are these hazards combined exposing the local land and populations? The temporal analysis found each individual hazard is increasing in frequency. The annual average values for maximum temperature and wildfire burn areas measure consistently above their 20th-century average and drought above the 40-year average. Since 2000, each hazard measured higher than their long-term averages for almost every year, underscoring the persistent climate strain on the state. The spatial assessment revealed, from 1981 to 2022 for the month of July, one-third of California has experienced multiple hazard events encompassing temperature, drought, and/or wildfire. Comparison between population exposure and land (% area) exposure reveals that Riverside experienced the highest total population exposed to multiple hazards, over 2 million people, despite less than 30 % of its land exposed to multiple hazards. The results indicate urbanization has further amplified vulnerabilities and comprehensive data regarding multiple hazards and types of exposure are necessary to estimate risk for public health and economy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"120 ","pages":"Article 105391"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143637288","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Understanding “8.12” flash flood in Suizhou, China: A meteorological analysis and implications for multi-scale prevention strategies

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105397

Enze Jin, Xiekang Wang

{"title":"Understanding “8.12” flash flood in Suizhou, China: A meteorological analysis and implications for multi-scale prevention strategies","authors":"Enze Jin, Xiekang Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105397","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105397","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>On August 12, 2021, Liulin Town in Suizhou, China, experienced a catastrophic flash flood from unprecedented rainfall. This study examines the dynamic mechanism using multi-source datasets. The flash flood was induced by a quasi-stationary convective system embedded within the Yangtze-Huaihe Meiyu Circulation, which was further intensified by an anomalous configuration of the Western Pacific Subtropical High (WPSH). Between 04:00 and 06:00 local time, convective cells persisted over Liulin Town, with rainfall exceeding 100 mm/h. The storm's path aligned with the local natural flood channels, intensifying the disaster's impact. Notably, the primary moisture source differed from typical southerly monsoonal transport. Backward trajectory analysis using the Hybrid Single-Particle Lagrangian Integrated Trajectory (HYSPLIT) model reveals that an easterly jet over the East China Sea served as the dominant moisture supplier, marking a significant deviation from historical patterns. This deviation highlights the role of large-scale atmospheric circulation anomalies in shaping extreme precipitation. Based on these insights, we conceptually propose a multi-scale framework for flash flood prevention that could potentially integrate real-time precipitation tracking across different altitudes and timescales. This theoretical approach suggests a pathway toward more proactive flood risk mitigation by leveraging advancements in rainfall forecasting, hydrometeorological monitoring, and adaptive response systems, though further validation is needed. By shifting from passive response to active defense, this framework provides a scientific foundation for enhancing early warning systems in flood-prone regions. The findings contribute to a deeper understanding of extreme rainfall and offer practical implications for disaster risk reduction in the changing climate environment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"120 ","pages":"Article 105397"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143629288","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Hazard classification, social and economic losses in flooded urban areas

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105395

Mauricio Jonas Ferreira, Humberto Ribeiro da Rocha

引用次数: 0

Progress and prospects for predicting wildfire spread through the wildland-urban interface

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105392

Owen Price, Stefania Ondei, David M.J.S. Bowman

{"title":"Progress and prospects for predicting wildfire spread through the wildland-urban interface","authors":"Owen Price, Stefania Ondei, David M.J.S. Bowman","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105392","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105392","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Wildfires that cross the wildland urban interface (WUI) are a major cause of property loss around the world. Recent disasters are likely exacerbated by climate change and continued expansion of urban areas. There is urgent need for better models WUI fires to improve prediction of major events, understand how fires propagate through the built environment, enabling evaluation of the vulnerability of individual buildings and the testing mitigation options. While there are a wealth of models for fire spread in purely wildland and urban settings, little progress has been made in modelling WUI fires. Scientific understanding of wildfire spread into urban areas is challenging to develop because WUI fires burn a complex mix of fuels derived from native vegetation, gardens, and the built environment. Here, we briefly review the state of knowledge around modelling fire spread in wildland and urban settings and then discuss recent research and options for modelling in the WUI, drawing on published analyses of wildfires have impacted built communities. Based on this review we propose an empirical approach to understand how wildfires can ‘propagate’ into the built environment by estimating the probability of a building being destroyed by WUI fires that would as a function of the characteristics of the wildfire as it enters the built environment, the fuel arrangement in nearby buildings and the garden and the construction details of the buildings. We suggest that our proposed model is feasible given available data sets, computationally efficient, and worthing of further research and development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"121 ","pages":"Article 105392"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143687691","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Exploring communication inefficiencies in disaster response: Perspectives of emergency managers and health professionals

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105393

Reem Abbas, Todd Miller

{"title":"Exploring communication inefficiencies in disaster response: Perspectives of emergency managers and health professionals","authors":"Reem Abbas, Todd Miller","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105393","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105393","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>During disasters, emergency management and health agencies are typically the key providers of healthcare services, yet communication breakdowns between the two sectors often hinder response. This qualitative study explores the experiences of emergency managers and health professionals to identify challenges in cross-agency collaboration. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with professionals from New Zealand and the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs. Inductive thematic analysis revealed three key challenges: structural, operational, and information exchange barriers. Weak interpersonal relationships and lack of prior liaison were found to impede information sharing, reducing situational awareness. Coordination was further undermined by inadequate training, insufficient funding, and reliance on untrained personnel. Rigid planning structures, limited community engagement, and the exclusion of vulnerable groups also weakened response efforts. Overly complex reporting structures and fragmented information systems restricted effective data sharing, with privacy concerns further constraining access to critical information. Interoperability challenges further disrupt the seamless flow of information across disaster response agencies. Finally, the absence of robust auditing and accountability mechanisms highlighted the need for reinforced governance frameworks and institutionalised performance evaluations to enhance disaster resilience and response effectiveness. Identifying barriers to effective communication and information sharing among key disaster response stakeholders provides valuable insights for refining emergency response strategies including the development of clear protocols, improved data integration, and the adoption of AI and digital tools to streamline reporting and enhance decision-making. These enhancements can lead to improved quality of care, faster recovery, and more efficient resource allocation during disasters, ultimately benefiting affected populations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"120 ","pages":"Article 105393"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143620907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Risk assessment of flood disasters in the Loess Plateau using the hazard‐sensitivity‐vulnerability‐recoverability framework

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105379

Pengfei Meng, Xiaoyu Song, Lanjun Li, Chong Fu, Long Wang, Wanyin Wei

{"title":"Risk assessment of flood disasters in the Loess Plateau using the hazard‐sensitivity‐vulnerability‐recoverability framework","authors":"Pengfei Meng, Xiaoyu Song, Lanjun Li, Chong Fu, Long Wang, Wanyin Wei","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105379","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105379","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As global warming intensifies, the risk of rainstorms and flooding in the Loess Plateau (LP) increases considerably. Accurately assessing the risk of rainstorms and flooding helps improve public's knowledge and ability to cope with disasters. In this study, we adopt multi-source data fusion and quantitative assessment techniques to construct a comprehensive assessment framework based on disaster system theory, achieving a quantitative assessment of disaster risk and representation of spatial distribution. Finally, the flood disaster risk for 2020–2100 was assessed using the comprehensive assessment framework. The results suggested that (1) The general trends in the spatial distributions of annual precipitation, flood season precipitation, and rainstorms over the historical period were similar. Overall, there may be an increasing trend of precipitation in the future. The intra-annual distribution of precipitation tends to even out as precipitation increases. (2) The flood disaster risk on the LP has a solid regional nature, with a decreasing pattern from the southeast to the northwest. The high and second-high flood disaster risks were mainly distributed in the central, southern, and southeastern. (3) The flood disaster risk in the LP from 2020 to 2100 induced by climate change and socioeconomic development would increase under combination scenarios of SSP1, SSP2 and SSP5, especially in the northeastern part of the LP. The study assessed the risk of flood disaster from past and future perspectives, which can provide the valuable reference for flood disaster risk management.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"120 ","pages":"Article 105379"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143621036","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

To cut or not to cut: Effect of vegetation height and bulk density on wildfire propagation under varied wind and slope conditions

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105372

Mohammad Tavakol Sadrabadi, Mauro Sebastián Innocente

引用次数: 0

Wildfire preparedness: Optimal adaptation measures for strengthening road transport resilience

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105371

Erica Arango , Maria Nogal , Hélder S. Sousa , José C. Matos , Mark G. Stewart

{"title":"Wildfire preparedness: Optimal adaptation measures for strengthening road transport resilience","authors":"Erica Arango , Maria Nogal , Hélder S. Sousa , José C. Matos , Mark G. Stewart","doi":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105371","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105371","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper addresses the growing need to shift wildfire management strategies from suppression to greater preparedness and adaptation in response to increasingly frequent and intense wildfire events. Traditional approaches prioritize suppression actions, but this study emphasizes the combined role of adaptation measures and suppression efforts in enhancing resilience to wildfires. While suppression tackles immediate threats, adaptation aims to reduce long-term vulnerabilities and enhance resilience to future wildfire risks. The European Union has made significant efforts to promote fire-resistant territories, but gaps persist in adaptation knowledge and preparedness. To address this, the study demonstrates the effectiveness of a resilient-preparedness framework to analyze the systemic impact of adaptation measures. Subsequently, the framework is extended to identify the most cost-effective combination of measures to enhance system resilience. The methodology employs a genetic multi-objective algorithm to identify the most effective set of adaptation measures across various wildfire intensities and dimensions of resilience, including physical, operational, and social aspects. By integrating grey, green, and soft adaptation measures, the methodology contributes to understanding how to enhance the wildfire resilience of road networks. Overall, it serves as a decision-support tool to guide initiatives under the EU Green Deal and improve wildfire management strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":13915,"journal":{"name":"International journal of disaster risk reduction","volume":"121 ","pages":"Article 105371"},"PeriodicalIF":4.2,"publicationDate":"2025-03-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143687718","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

“Contingent adaptation”: Crafting new agricultural practices to respond to a historic flood in northern uplands of Vietnam "应急适应"：在越南北部高地创造新的农业实践，以应对历史性洪灾

IF 4.2 1区地球科学

International journal of disaster risk reduction Pub Date : 2025-03-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijdrr.2025.105388

Emmanuel Pannier , Phan Thi Kim Tam , Phuong Anh Phan

引用次数: 0