Sarah Clark , Zack Guido , Laura T. Cabrera-Rivera , Pablo Méndez-Lázaro , Ben McMahan , Federico Cintrón Moscoso , Wanda I. Crespo-Acevedo , Marcel Castro-Sitiriche
{"title":"Stakeholder engagement strategies to build resilience to compound hazards: Engaging community-based organizations in research","authors":"Sarah Clark , Zack Guido , Laura T. Cabrera-Rivera , Pablo Méndez-Lázaro , Ben McMahan , Federico Cintrón Moscoso , Wanda I. Crespo-Acevedo , Marcel Castro-Sitiriche","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100693","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100693","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate extremes can generate impacts in one sector that cascade or amplify the impacts in others. Developing strategies that build resilience to these compound hazards requires collaboration among diverse stakeholders to understand hazard dynamics and the synergies and tradeoffs in adaptation activities. In many regions, community-based organizations (CBOs) lead in local climate adaptation, and their engagement in research can help inform research agendas and capacity-strengthening activities that support locally led adaptation. In this paper, we describe a co-produced, collaborative research project that convened CBOs working in climate adaptation, public health, and energy resilience in Puerto Rico. The goals were to identify knowledge gaps and opportunities for immediate action. Based on interviews, a participatory workshop, and a survey, we report on the CBO activities, their networks and their views on the relationships between climate, public health, and energy. We also describe their perspectives on priorities to address compound hazards. Drawing on these results, we discuss five strategies that can help research projects collaborate, co-produce, and engage with CBOs. They include understanding the network to inform engagement, paying attention to differential impacts and justice, employing flexible planning to accommodate multiple goals and perspectives, focusing on information sharing to advance collaboration, exploring narratives of change to understand adaptation and maladaptation, and confronting the question of “what next.” This study informs how research can more effectively engage CBOs in climate adaptation studies, which, in turn, can contribute to building plans and systems that are better equipped to build resilience to compound extreme events.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100693"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143421041","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Helen Thomas , Valentina Marincioni , Scott Allan Orr
{"title":"Multi-determinant climate change risk assessment for heritage: A review of current approaches and future needs","authors":"Helen Thomas , Valentina Marincioni , Scott Allan Orr","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100727","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100727","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Anthropogenic climate change is radically changing the way we relate to and interact with our shared histories. Culturally important sites have already been damaged and lost due to our changing climate and this will only continue. Considering the extent of climate change impacts, it is vital that assessing the risks of climate change looks beyond the changing prevalence of climatic hazards, such as sea level rise, to consider the predisposition of the historic environment to be impacted by the hazard, the location of heritage sites and their relative exposure, adaptive responses and their associated risks, and the cultural significance of the places themselves. This review provides an overview of current climate change risk assessments for heritage, with specific attention paid to how the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) risk framework, and its risk determinants (exposure, hazard, vulnerability, and response) have been conceptualised. It systematically reviews scholarly literature published between 2017 and 2022 to determine: the uptake of the four risk determinants; how these terms are represented; and the methods for combining these elements into a dynamic risk framework which can be scaled to assess multiple sites. Significant advances have been made in identifying and preparing for the future impacts of climate change, but there is still an imbalance towards single-site risk assessments — particularly for the historic built environment. Furthermore, the review identifies and provides summaries of multi-determinant risk assessments that engage with the complexities of heritage futures beyond just changing climatic hazards to better understand the impacts of climate change on the historic environment in its totality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100727"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144702528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alexandre K. Magnan , Jia Li , Adèle Tanguy , Stéphane Hallegatte , Christophe Buffet
{"title":"The value of structured expert judgment to help assess climate adaptation","authors":"Alexandre K. Magnan , Jia Li , Adèle Tanguy , Stéphane Hallegatte , Christophe Buffet","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100692","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100692","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While climate change continues to accelerate and associated risks are expected to become more intense and complex than previously anticipated, climate adaptation policies and projects remain short-sighted and single hazard-focused, limited in scale, limited in addressing the root causes of exposure and vulnerability, and poorly monitored. Understanding whether societies are on track to adapt or on a pathway towards higher risks is essential but raises many methodological challenges. Assessment methods based on quantitative indicators have been prominent up to now, but they show limitations especially relating to the difficulty of identifying statistical data that capture the complex nature of adaptation and are relevant across contexts. This Perspective paper discusses the case of structured expert judgment methods to assess adaptation status based on a wider range of information (quantitative and qualitative, published and non-published, etc.), therefore offering complementary, alternative methods to assess progress.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100692"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143421042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A comprehensive review of disruptive technologies in disaster risk management of smart cities","authors":"Chao Han , Shan Zang","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100703","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100703","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The integration of disruptive technologies<!--> <!-->into smart cities may contribute to a more robust disaster response system.. This paper offers a comprehensive overview of disruptive technologies that are currently being used or suggested for future advancements in urban disaster management. These technologies include the Internet of Things (IoT), image processing, artificial intelligence (AI), big data, and smartphone applications. The main objective of this article is to investigate potential models for smart city development that would allow us to make better use of disruptive innovations and enhance disaster recovery efforts. The main points that are covered include (a) how new technologies can be used to improve upon current disaster management techniques and (b) what are the limitations or obstacles to using disruptive methods in this field. This research presents a new integrated framework that uses artificial intelligence (AI) driven big data analytics for disaster forecasting, early warning systems, and recovery after a disaster, as compared to previous studies that have focused on single uses of disruptive technology. In order to make smart cities more resilient to disasters, this study offers a comprehensive approach that combines processing data from several sources, predictive modelling, and efficient allocation of resources. To address these concerns, we offer an innovative approach for creating a disaster management strategy that make use of disruptive technologies and which depends on integrated methods founded in big data analysis and artificial intelligence.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100703"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143800107","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fernando Rodriguez-Camayo , Julian Ramirez-Villegas , Christian Borgemeister , Mark Lundy , Norma Giraldo , Tina Beuchelt
{"title":"Understanding coffee farmers’ poverty, food insecurity and adaptive responses to climate stress. Evidence from western Honduras","authors":"Fernando Rodriguez-Camayo , Julian Ramirez-Villegas , Christian Borgemeister , Mark Lundy , Norma Giraldo , Tina Beuchelt","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100735","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100735","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Central America faces significant vulnerability to climatic variations. In recent years, national and international organizations have promoted climate-smart agricultural (CSA) to help coffee farmers adapt to climate change. However, limited scientific evidence exists regarding the appropriateness of these strategies in mitigating vulnerability. This study aims to understand the suitability of CSA practices promoted by Honduras’ coffee sector in addressing the needs and vulnerability of coffee-farming households. We integrated quantitative and qualitative methods, to understand how coffee farmers’ poverty levels, and food insecurity status are associated with their dependence on coffee income, demographic characteristics, prevailing stressors, and the responses from farmers and value chain stakeholders. Multiple linear regression and machine learning techniques examine these relationships. Data from a survey of 348 coffee farmers in western Honduras, along with key stakeholder interviews and focus group discussions, inform our analyses. Results indicate that households’ poverty levels and food insecurity are associated with being more dependent on income from the coffee production than from other income sources. Most CSA-related efforts focus on maintaining or enhancing the coffee production, such as introducing grasses or shrub trees, but do not explicit address food security concerns among smallholders. However, around 50% of the smallholders are food insecure. Coffee households report climate hazards, pests and diseases, and low coffee prices as key problems, which are associated with crop losses, income instability, and food insecurity. Our findings suggest that broadening the scope of coffee CSA practices to include food security and income stability could better support smallholder resilience.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100735"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144853003","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Evaluating effectiveness of impact-based heatwave warnings for perceptions and risk-mitigating behaviors: Survey studies in South Korea","authors":"HeeSun Choi , Kyu Rang Kim , Ju-Young Shin","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100733","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100733","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Excessive heat is a serious health hazard across the globe, and heat-related risks may continue to rise due to climate change. Impact-based warning (IBW) systems that provide information on the expected consequences of an impending weather event have the potential to reduce heat-related illness and death by allowing for adequate public responses and decision-making. This research evaluated the effectiveness of heatwave IBWs in South Korea, where heat is the leading cause of weather-related deaths. Two survey studies were conducted with nationally representative samples using actual heatwave warnings issued to the public. In Study 1, participants received either an IBW or a conventional phenomenon warning for a hypothetical scenario for a heatwave scenario with varying risk levels. IBWs were found to improve the perceived threat of the heatwave risk and credibility of the warned impacts, particularly for high-risk heatwaves, but did not lead to higher intentions to take risk-mitigating behaviors. Perceptions were positively associated with behavioral intention, suggesting that IBWs may still indirectly influence risk-mitigating behaviors. In Study 2, where real-time warnings were presented to participants during a low-risk heatwave, no differences in perceptions or behavioral intentions were found between the two warning types. Age and prior heatwave experience were associated with increased risk perception and behavioral intention but did not influence the effects of IBWs. These findings suggest that IBWs can be effective in enhancing risk perception, particularly under higher-risk conditions, but may have limited influence on behavioral responses.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100733"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144826605","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"All downhill from here? Climate change and house prices in the Swiss Alps","authors":"Floris Jan Blok, Franz Fuerst","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100728","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100728","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the relationship between climate (change) and house price development in the Swiss Alps, testing the hypothesis that house-buyers in ski resorts switch from lower-lying, less snow-secure resorts to high-altitude areas with reliable snow cover. The analysis employs a sample of 303 Swiss municipalities across 38 different ski areas from 2001 to 2019. Regressions of municipal-level house price changes on altitude, temperature, and snow cover changes reveal that house prices in ski resorts have depreciated by 3.6–6.0 % per degree Celsius mean winter temperature over the 18-year period. Temperature emerged as a better predictor of house price change than altitude. For municipalities outside ski areas, this relationship between climatic variables and price appreciation does not hold. Perhaps surprisingly, no significant direct link between changes in snow cover and house prices is found. The results suggest that secondary and lower-lying ski areas have experienced relative losses in real estate asset values, possibly transmitted by changing local economic conditions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100728"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144663470","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Le Tao , Xudong Chen , Yun Su , Fangyu Tian , Siying Chen
{"title":"Social response behaviors reveal the enhancement and loss of drought resilience: Example of Sichuan, China in the Qing Dynasty","authors":"Le Tao , Xudong Chen , Yun Su , Fangyu Tian , Siying Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100743","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100743","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Revealing the dynamics of resilience enhancement and loss and their key influencing factors, is of significant importance for disaster risk management. The Qing Dynasty Sichuan serves as a good example to examine this dynamic process by the complete and rapid social development, and it is both a critical agricultural area and a major drought-prone area in China. Through a process-oriented analytical perspective, this study characterizes changes in social response patterns to droughts while comparing the consequences of social impacts in the Qing Dynasty Sichuan by methods of textual and comparing analysis, and identified key changes in resilience. The data came from 565 historical documents. Following conclusions are drawn: 1) Sichuan in 1720 s saw a response model shifted from a personal consumption-driven dominant to a strategic ‘relief’ dominant. At the same time, although the severity of famine caused by drought increased, social instability decreased significantly, and social resilience to drought increased. 2) Loss of resilience occurred in 1820 s with relief kept being dominant but the severity of famine and social unrest caused by droughts increasing significant. 3) The participation of local governments and the gentry class in the redistribution of social resources is associated with lower sensitivity to drought and social stability; however, when the food security threshold is breached, the relief become ineffective, social instability increases, and regional social resilience declines. Rather than merely replicating history, the conclusion emphasizes learning from historical experiences to better enhance drought resilience and avoid critical risks.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100743"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145049681","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Sungju Han , Jasna Plavsic , Diana Dushkova , Oliver Gebhardt , Katarzyna Izydorczyk , Jelena Kovačević-Majkić , Kinga Krauze , Martyna Kuzior , Renata Włodarczyk-Marciniak , Christian Kuhlicke
{"title":"Beyond individual barriers: a systems approach to understanding and addressing nature-based solutions implementation challenges","authors":"Sungju Han , Jasna Plavsic , Diana Dushkova , Oliver Gebhardt , Katarzyna Izydorczyk , Jelena Kovačević-Majkić , Kinga Krauze , Martyna Kuzior , Renata Włodarczyk-Marciniak , Christian Kuhlicke","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100739","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100739","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study advances our understanding of barriers to Nature-Based Solutions (NBS) implementation by applying Fuzzy Cognitive Mapping (FCM) to analyze how implementation challenges influence each other within complex systems across six European river basins. Moving beyond traditional approaches that treat barriers as isolated challenges, we identify three distinct barrier system typologies—institutional-legal-political dominant systems (Type I), knowledge-awareness deficit systems (Type II), and tightly coupled networks (Type III). Our analysis reveals four key feedback mechanisms—Knowledge and Awareness, Political Will and Resources, Implementation Challenges, and Institutional Fragmentation—that create self-reinforcing cycles affecting NBS adoption. By quantifying both barrier centrality and the strength of their relationships, we identify strategic intervention points that could effectively catalyze system-wide improvements. Financial resources and political will emerge as universally important barriers, while knowledge-related barriers demonstrate context-specific importance. The study contributes methodologically by demonstrating how systems thinking can reveal previously hidden barrier interactions, and practically by identifying targeted intervention strategies for different barrier system types, offering valuable insights for policymakers and practitioners working to accelerate NBS implementation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100739"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144902366","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Integrating environmental ethics into climate change adaptation policies in Bangladesh: a narrative review","authors":"Tasnim Nazira Rida","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100748","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100748","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This article examines how environmental ethics are integrated into Bangladesh’s climate change adaptation policies, with a focus on the National Adaptation Plan (NAP) 2023–2050 and the Bangladesh Delta Plan (BDP) 2100. Using a narrative review methodology grounded in moral philosophy, the study applies key ethical frameworks including distributive, procedural, and intergenerational justice, the precautionary principle, ecological stewardship, and biocentric and ecocentric perspectives drawn from UNESCO and COMEST declarations to assess the ethical orientation of these policies. The analysis reveals that the NAP places stronger emphasis on participatory justice, gender and social inclusion, and ecosystem-based adaptation, indicating a gradual shift toward biocentric and ecocentric approaches. In contrast, the BDP 2100 reflects a predominantly technocratic and anthropocentric framing, privileging infrastructure and economic growth while only conditionally recognizing ecological integrity and intergenerational responsibility. Both documents highlight progress in embedding ethical considerations but show gaps in enforceability, indigenous knowledge integration, and accountability mechanisms. Limitations of this study stem from its reliance on document-based analysis rather than field validation; future research should incorporate stakeholder engagement and ethical audits of policy implementation. Overall, the core finding is that while Bangladesh’s climate policies increasingly acknowledge ethical imperatives, their normative integration remains uneven, underscoring the urgent need for enforceable ethical safeguards to achieve climate governance that is equitable, sustainable, and morally coherent.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100748"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145220404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}