Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-15DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103814
Albert Grafe, Julius Range, Benedikt Gloria
{"title":"Living on the highway? Addressing highway infrastructure potential through object detection","authors":"Albert Grafe, Julius Range, Benedikt Gloria","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103814","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103814","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid increasing demand for freight transport has precipitated a critical need for expanded highway infrastructure, including Heavy Goods Vehicle (HGV) parking spaces. Utilizing state-of-the-art object detection techniques in satellite imagery, we conduct a comprehensive analysis to assess the current availability of HGV parking facilities along German highways. We relate our results to HGV traffic volume data. Our findings reveal local disparities in infrastructure supply and demand. In a next step, we conduct location analysis to determine regions impacted the most by identified undersupply. Our results deliver valuable insights to both, specialized real estate developers and policymakers likewise.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103814"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145223102","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-13DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103813
Seol Ah Moon, Eun Jin Shin
{"title":"Spatial patterns, implementation barriers, and facilitators in Seoul's E-scooter parking corral system: A mixed-methods analysis","authors":"Seol Ah Moon, Eun Jin Shin","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103813","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103813","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid rise of shared e-scooters has raised concerns about disorderly parking, which negatively impacts pedestrian safety and public space management. Consequently, many cities worldwide have recently introduced designated parking corrals; however, their implementation remains in its early stages and has received limited academic attention. This study examines the distribution of shared e-scooter parking corrals in Seoul, South Korea, using spatial analysis to assess their spatial inequality and alignment with demand. In addition, in-depth interviews with key stakeholders and an analysis of media coverage and policy documents identify the challenges and facilitating factors shaping corral implementation and explaining the observed spatial patterns. The findings reveal an overall shortage of e-scooter corrals and stark disparities across neighborhoods and districts, with only a few areas relatively well-served. A clear spatial mismatch emerges between e-scooter parking supply and demand. Qualitative analysis identifies multiple implementation barriers, many of which stem from Seoul's centralized governance structure and the absence of a national legal framework and an operator-permit system. These include a fragmented and non-binding regulatory framework, financial constraints, limited spatial availability, and the underutilization of existing corrals. Collectively, these factors hinder effective implementation and perpetuate the limited and uneven distribution of e-scooter parking infrastructure. Despite these challenges, this study finds that government-led multi-stakeholder collaboration can play a critical role in the effective implementation of e-scooter corrals. Drawing on these findings and situating them within a comparative context, this study proposes a policy framework for diagnosing and assessing the implementation capacity of e-scooter infrastructure policy in centralized governance contexts that lack a formal operator-permit system.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 103813"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145096368","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-12DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103807
Fuad Yasin Huda , Graham Currie , Allan Pimenta , Liton (Md) Kamruzzaman
{"title":"Valuing driverless commuting – Downtown parking impacts","authors":"Fuad Yasin Huda , Graham Currie , Allan Pimenta , Liton (Md) Kamruzzaman","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103807","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103807","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Autonomous vehicles (AVs) are expected to transform travel behaviour and transport planning, with self-parking capabilities being a key advantage. In downtown or central business districts (CBDs), car commuters either pay for parking themselves (self-paid, SP) or have it covered by their employers (employer-paid, EP). However, the extent to which these groups will value their travel time (VOT) and whether they will engage in empty cruising cost to avoid parking costs in an AV era remain unexplored. This study addresses these gaps through an online stated preference survey in Melbourne, Australia, employing a discrete choice experiment and mixed logit modelling. Findings reveal that SP commuters would value travel time at 14.9 $/hr in private AVs, compared to 22.2 $/hr in conventional cars (CARs), while EP commuters’ VOT would be higher, at 24.3 $/hr for private AVs and 28.2 $/hr for CARs. SP commuters will experience a 33 % VOT decrease in AV travel compared to CAR travel, whereas EP commuters will experience a 14 % VOT reduction. These results indicate a significant decline in VOT for AV travel, particularly among SP commuters. The findings provide critical insights for transport practitioners in travel demand forecasting, transport modelling, parking policies and cost-benefit analyses. Policymakers can leverage these insights to assess the potential travel benefits of AV adoption and make informed decisions regarding infrastructure investments to support a sustainable AV future.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 103807"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145061105","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-12DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103812
Xavier Fageda , Marta Gonzalez-Aregall
{"title":"Determinants of air cargo traffic in Europe: Intercontinental flights, competition and airlines’ business model","authors":"Xavier Fageda , Marta Gonzalez-Aregall","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103812","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103812","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this paper, we examine the determinants of air cargo traffic in European airports from 2002 to 2019 by estimating a two-way fixed effects model. We focus on the correlation between air cargo and key attributes of passenger services at airports, including the number of non-stop intercontinental destinations, the share of network airlines, and the intensity of competition. We consider different samples with a special attention to mid-sized airports located in relatively big cities. We find that the availability of direct flights to North America, East Asia, and the Middle East has a positive impact on air cargo. A higher percentage of flights offered by network airlines leads to more air cargo as well. However, we also find that competition stimulates air cargo, meaning that medium-sized airports can benefit from a greater presence of non-European network airlines.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 103812"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145096367","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-12DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103811
JiangBo Yu , JianCheng Weng , Jiaolong Chai , Pengfei Lin , Tian Wang
{"title":"The spatial efficiency evaluation and classification of multi-modal passenger transportation hubs: A case study in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration, China","authors":"JiangBo Yu , JianCheng Weng , Jiaolong Chai , Pengfei Lin , Tian Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103811","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103811","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The spatial efficiency evaluation of multi-modal passenger transportation hubs (MPTHs) in urban agglomeration is conducive to the optimization of future hub layout and urban development enhancement. This study delves into the spatial efficiency of MPTHs by considering three dimensions: intercity travel network characteristics, urban development features, and the connectivity between MPTHs and urban facilities. An evaluation index system consisting of 22 indicators was constructed for MPTHs within urban agglomerations. Gaussian Mixture Clustering was employed to conduct a detailed classification of the development of these MPTHs. A ‘Node-Place-Connectivity’ coupling coordination model was proposed to assess the spatial efficiency of them. Using the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei urban agglomeration as a case study, the spatial efficiency variations among MPTHs were examined. The results indicated that the efficiency of MPTHs and the coupling coordination degree are divided into 12 classes. Highly balanced MPTHs were concentrated in Beijing, showcasing a monocentric regional structure within the urban agglomeration. Good coordinated MPTHs were strategically located in the main urban areas of cities such as Tianjin, Shijiazhuang, and Baoding, potentially fostering a polycentric urban structure within the urban agglomeration. The coordination and balance of MPTHs gradually decreased from the main urban areas to the periphery, forming a distinct concentric distribution pattern, which was particularly evident in cities like Beijing, Tianjin, and Shijiazhuang. In the marginal areas of cities and urban agglomerations, the efficiency of MPTHs was relatively low, and these MPTHs should be further developed to promote the fairness of socio-economic development in urban agglomerations. This method can serve as a decision-making tool for the planning of MPTHs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 103811"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145096369","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-11DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103810
Lingyue Li , Yujie Wang , Chunzhu Wei , Xiaozhi Ma , Dian Sheng
{"title":"Determinants of scrubber adoption in container shipping: A time-varying survival analysis","authors":"Lingyue Li , Yujie Wang , Chunzhu Wei , Xiaozhi Ma , Dian Sheng","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103810","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103810","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The International Maritime Organization's (IMO) 2020 global sulphur cap has accelerated the adoption of scrubbers in the container shipping sector. However, research on when to install scrubbers and how key factors affect installation remains limited. This study addresses that gap by applying a time-varying survival analysis to investigate the determinants of scrubber adoption in container ships. Using data from 4492 container ships built between 2000 and 2023, we examine how ship characteristics (e.g., age, size, fuel type), market features (e.g., shipbuilder and ship operator), and policy environment (e.g., IMO regulation, flag) influence the timing and likelihood of scrubber adoption. The results show that by the end of 2023, approximately 27.5 % of container ships have been equipped with scrubbers, with the adoption rate significantly accelerating after 2019. Among all influencing factors, fuel type determines the major part of a ship's operating cost and shows the strongest statistical association with scrubber adoption, highlighting the centrality of cost-benefit tradeoffs in compliance decisions. Ship age is the second important factor and shows a negative impact, while IMO regulation is the third important factor. Ship size, operator, flag, and builder also have significant but more moderate influences. The results also reveal important temporal dynamics in scrubber technology diffusion. The effect of IMO regulation decays exponentially, while the effect of fuel type decays linearly, indicating that scrubber adoption decisions have complex temporal dynamics. These findings extend our understanding of scrubber technology diffusion in maritime transportation, highlighting the dynamic nature of adoption drivers and the interaction between technical, economic, and regulatory factors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 103810"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145057365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-10DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103809
Chengkun Li , Pierre Cariou , Dong Yang
{"title":"Geopolitical risks and port-related carbon emissions: Evidence and policy implications","authors":"Chengkun Li , Pierre Cariou , Dong Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103809","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103809","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Geopolitical risks (GPR) have emerged as a critical source of disruption in global trade and transportation systems, yet their environmental consequences on port-related emissions remain underexplored. This study examines the impact of geopolitical tensions on port-level carbon emissions using a monthly panel dataset covering 269 container ports across 40 countries and regions from 2016 to 2023. Employing a system generalized method of moments (SYS-GMM) estimator, we find that heightened geopolitical risks significantly increase carbon emissions at ports. A key mechanism underlying this relationship is that geopolitical tensions disrupt the vessel arrival schedules, which reduces port efficiency, and consequently increases emissions from ships at berth. Further heterogeneity analyses reveal that the environmental impact of GPR is more pronounced at ports serving larger container vessels, as these ports are typically involved in long-haul routes that are more exposed to geopolitical disruptions. In contrast, the impact is less significant at ports with fewer calling carriers, likely because dominant shipping lines tend to internalize the costs of inefficient berthing by smoothing vessel arrival times. This study provides novel empirical evidence on the environmental consequences of geopolitical shocks in the maritime sector, offering actionable policy insights for risk-sensitive and sustainable port governance.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 103809"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145049751","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-08DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103794
Lei Yang, Shuhong Ma, Xifang Chen, Chaojie Duan
{"title":"The impact of emerging intercity travel modes on transportation decarbonization","authors":"Lei Yang, Shuhong Ma, Xifang Chen, Chaojie Duan","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103794","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103794","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Emerging intercity travel modes, such as Customized Road Passenger Transport (CRPT) and Bus-like Railway Passenger Transport (BRPT), are restructuring multimodal transportation systems and exerting significant impacts on CO2 emissions. Using the Guan-Zhong Plain Urban Agglomeration as a case, a methodology is developed to quantify carbon emissions from intercity multimodal travel. The concept of \"travel carbon flow\" is introduced as a dynamic, spatial-emission network. It traces CO<sub>2</sub> dispersion through passenger movements. A dynamic model is constructed to describe emission patterns within the multimodal transportation system. Multiple planning scenarios for CRPT and BRPT are designed. Scenario analysis is used to evaluate the decarbonization potential of these emerging intercity travel modes. The results demonstrate that private vehicle travel remains the primary contributor to carbon emissions. Carbon flow intensity is shaped by infrastructure configuration and travel demand, exhibiting spatially radiating patterns from urban cores to peripheral zones. CRPT and BRPT contribute to enhanced emission reductions and distributional equity across the urban agglomeration.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 103794"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145049749","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-07DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103782
Alex Karner , Dana Rowangould , Jesus M. Barajas
{"title":"U.S. transportation research at a crossroads","authors":"Alex Karner , Dana Rowangould , Jesus M. Barajas","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103782","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103782","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Science in the United States has become increasingly politicized, with a wave of recent federal grant terminations and censorship of equity and climate-related work. U.S. transportation research has not been immune. The Transportation Research Board (TRB), a stalwart convener and funder, has canceled research contracts, undertaken a dramatic internal restructuring, and appears poised to censor research presented at its marquee annual meeting. These shifts are significant in part because TRB espouses the values of scientific objectivity, independence, and integrity. Accordingly, TRB has historically funded work identified as needed by the broader research community and has been a home for the free and open exchange of ideas at its conferences, meetings, and events. We argue that TRB’s recent actions suggest that it is no longer able to act with scientific integrity. In this commentary, we provide a brief history of TRB and its objectives, discuss its recent actions, and propose paths forward for researchers and practitioners interested in pursuing equity, justice, and climate change-oriented work.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 103782"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145049748","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2025-09-06DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103797
Yan Hu , Ying Zhao , Xiaodong Li , Tao Feng
{"title":"Context-dependent uncertainty-aware parking choices of autonomous car owners","authors":"Yan Hu , Ying Zhao , Xiaodong Li , Tao Feng","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103797","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103797","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As autonomous vehicle (AV) technology advances, effectively managing parking behavior has become increasingly critical for urban parking systems, traffic congestion, and transportation sustainability. This study aims to investigate AV owners’ parking choices under various activity-travel contexts, uncertainty conditions, and parking attributes. A stated choice experiment was designed, and a mixed logit cumulative prospect theoretical model was developed to analyze parking decisions under uncertain waiting times underlying different parking modes. The findings indicate that individuals exhibit risk preferences in response to waiting time uncertainty. When waiting times are shorter than expected, they show risk aversion with diminishing sensitivity to further reductions. Conversely, longer-than-expected waits lead to risk-seeking behavior, heightened sensitivity, and biases in probability perception. These risk preferences significantly influence individuals' parking choices, particularly in prolonged, uncertain waiting scenarios. Additionally, travel context factors (e.g., purpose, activity duration, and idle time) and parking attributes (e.g., cost, revenue, and social influence) significantly influence AV owners' parking decisions, along with socio-demographic characteristics (e.g., age, education, and car ownership). The findings provide valuable insights for urban planners, policymakers, and car-sharing platforms, suggesting flexible pricing strategies and the promotion of shared mobility services to enhance parking efficiency and support sustainable transportation development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"173 ","pages":"Article 103797"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145049745","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}