Transport Policy最新文献_第10页

Price cap deregulation and competitive entry: Evidence from China’s airline markets 放宽价格上限与竞争进入：来自中国航空市场的证据

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104011

Wei Wan , Dongliang Pang , Jingjie Xiang

引用次数: 0

Investigating container-truck drivers’ choice preferences toward different parking modes in port cities: A stated preference case study 港口城市集装箱货车司机对不同停车方式的选择偏好：陈述偏好案例研究

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104027

Xiaofeng Pan , Xunqian Chen , Shaobo Liu

{"title":"Investigating container-truck drivers’ choice preferences toward different parking modes in port cities: A stated preference case study","authors":"Xiaofeng Pan , Xunqian Chen , Shaobo Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104027","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104027","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper aims to investigate the preferences of container truck drivers to choose different parking modes (i.e., exclusive parking, shared parking and nearby parking) in port cities. Stated choice data of container truck drivers' parking choice are collected based on an online survey carried out in Beilun, a part of the Ningbo-Zhoushan port of China. Discrete choice models are applied and estimated based on the collected data. In addition, the analyses of willingness-to-pay and marginal effect are carried out as well. The final results show the following conclusions. First, in terms of alternative-specific attributes, the attributes “distance from parking space to the residence”, “distance from parking space to the nearest port”, “parking fee”, “fine for illegal parking”, “number of stock dumps within 5 km of the parking space”, “whether the parking space has a monitoring system” and “whether there are shared bikes near the parking space” have significant heterogeneous influences on drivers' choice behavior. Second, in terms of personal attributes, drivers' age and education level have significant effects. Third, container truck drivers would like to pay ¥14.44 per month in average to make 1 km shorter of the distance from the parking space to drivers’ residential locations, and would like to pay ¥44.80 per month in average to make 1 km shorter of the distance from the parking space to the nearest port. Fourth, decreasing the distance from the parking space to the residence and improving the education level of container truck drivers show significant marginal effects toward the market share of shared parking. Based on these conclusions, relevant policy recommendations are proposed to related stakeholders.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 104027"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146038579","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Scenic toll roads or cost-effective free roads? A stated preference analysis of private car users 风景优美的收费公路还是经济实惠的免费公路？私家车使用者的偏好分析

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103983

Mengru Shao , Chao Chen , Tao Feng

{"title":"Scenic toll roads or cost-effective free roads? A stated preference analysis of private car users","authors":"Mengru Shao , Chao Chen , Tao Feng","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103983","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103983","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The operation of scenic toll roads serves a dual purpose of enhancing drivers’ travel experiences while generating revenue for road operators, however, its effects on drivers’ route choice decisions remained underexplored. In this paper, we attempt to investigate the determinants influencing private car drivers’ route choice behavior over scenic toll roads and cost-effective free roads in the context of travel time variability, considering various combinations of travel contexts, route-specific attributes, marketing policies, and drivers’ latent attitudes. Using the data collected via a stated choice experiment, we also develop a hybrid prospect theoretic choice model (HPTCM) to further understand drivers’ preferences in scenarios under risky conditions. The results show that increased travel time uncertainty significantly reduces the attractiveness of cost-effective free routes, prompting a shift toward scenic toll roads. Service areas designed by including water and cultural landscapes increases the likelihood of using scenic toll roads. Furthermore, drivers’ attitudes toward safety, regulatory adherents and food health emerge as critical influencing factors. These insights offer practical guidance for toll-road operators in developing pricing mechanisms and enhancing service area infrastructure, thereby contributing to the broader advancement of the transport–tourism nexus.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103983"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145940227","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Perceptions of driverless vehicles among social media influencers in China: A case analysis of Apollo Go 中国社交媒体网红对无人驾驶汽车的看法：以阿波罗号为例分析

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104017

Han Huang , Yu Jiang , Zicheng Wang , Wanqi Ma

{"title":"Perceptions of driverless vehicles among social media influencers in China: A case analysis of Apollo Go","authors":"Han Huang , Yu Jiang , Zicheng Wang , Wanqi Ma","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104017","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2026.104017","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As one of the world's largest driverless taxi service providers, the Apollo Go program has attracted significant public attention, and understanding public attitudes toward it is critical for assessing the broader acceptance of driverless vehicles (DVs). However, studies that examine Chinese public perceptions of Apollo Go from the perspective of social media influencers (SMIs) remain scarce. Therefore, this study investigates SMIs perceptions of DVs through the case of Apollo Go, drawing on 41,312 valid Sina Weibo posts collected between August 18, 2021, and September 30, 2024. Based on stakeholder and topic characteristics, SMIs were categorized into seven groups. First, this study analyzed the forwarding network to reveal the information dissemination relationships among SMIs on the Sina Weibo platform. Second, for sentiment analysis, this study proposed a RoBERTa-enhanced TextCNN with BiLSTM-Attention based on Apollo Go model, which incorporates a multi-feature fusion attention mechanism to capture both local patterns and long-range dependencies. Furthermore, the BERTopic algorithm was applied to cluster the positive and negative texts of each SMI group, uncovering multidimensional perceptions of DVs across different stakeholder categories. The study finds that bloggers and media accounts dominate discussions on driverless technology, with centralized dissemination. Negative sentiments dominate, especially among ordinary users. Across groups, common concerns include technological immaturity, safety, commercialization, and employment. These findings highlight the barriers to SMIs' acceptance of driverless taxi services in China and call for greater attention to technical readiness, social trust, employment, and regulatory governance to support sustainable adoption.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 104017"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145979316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Prioritizing sustainable port strategies for IMO 2030 compliance: A DEMATEL-ANP-based policy framework 优先考虑符合IMO 2030的可持续港口战略：基于dematel - anp的政策框架

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103975

Mehmet Serdar Celik

{"title":"Prioritizing sustainable port strategies for IMO 2030 compliance: A DEMATEL-ANP-based policy framework","authors":"Mehmet Serdar Celik","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103975","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103975","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The study develops a systems-based decision framework to prioritise sustainable port management measures within the framework of the 2023 International Maritime Organization (IMO) Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Strategy and Annex 15. Using an integrated DEMATEL–ANP approach, causal relationships among nineteen port-level measures were identified, and their relative priorities were systematically evaluated across five dimensions: infrastructural transformation, global port development, capacity building, inter-sectoral collaboration, and green and low-carbon innovation. The DEMATEL results reveal that governance and collaboration clusters exert the strongest causal influence on the network, while financial and technical support mechanisms act as key driving enablers. The ANP results indicate that port modernisation for GHG reduction, storage capacity for low-carbon fuels, and joint emission reduction programmes hold the highest overall priorities, reflecting their systemic leverage in accelerating port-level decarbonisation. Based on these findings, the paper contributes to maritime decarbonisation research and policy practice in three tangible ways: (i) it reframes the 2023 IMO GHG Strategy and Annex 15 from a port governance perspective, providing a structured five-cluster framework that operationalises nineteen port-focused measures; (ii) it advances methodological practice by integrating DEMATEL and ANP to quantify interdependencies and derive robust, internally consistent prioritisation outcomes; and (iii) it delivers an evidence-based decision-support tool that identifies the most influential decarbonisation levers particularly port modernisation, fuel storage infrastructure, and joint emission reduction schemes offering concrete guidance for policymakers, port authorities, and climate finance institutions in directing limited resources toward high-impact interventions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103975"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146038563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Study on the impact of population migration on transport carbon emissions 人口迁移对交通碳排放的影响研究

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103957

Jiajia Li , Siyuan Li

引用次数: 0

Ownership, regulation, and ESG in transport and logistics: Insights for policy from explainable machine learning 运输和物流中的所有权、监管和ESG：来自可解释机器学习的政策见解

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103967

Xiaowen Sha , Miao Su

{"title":"Ownership, regulation, and ESG in transport and logistics: Insights for policy from explainable machine learning","authors":"Xiaowen Sha , Miao Su","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103967","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103967","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study employs an explainable machine learning framework to examine the key factors associated with environmental, social, and governance (ESG) performance in China's transportation and logistics industry. Using panel data of 1912 firm-year observations from A-share listed companies (2009–2023), the CatBoost model is combined with SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) for accurate and interpretable predictions. Among 11 mainstream ML algorithms, CatBoost achieves the lowest mean absolute error. Results show that management expense ratio, executive compensation, fixed asset ratio, and capital intensity positively correlated with ESG performance, while firm size, independent director ratio, and ownership concentration of top ten shareholders have negatively associated with it. SHAP reveals nonlinear relationships and complex interactions. Heterogeneity tests indicate notable differences between state-owned and private enterprises and between regulated and non-regulated industries. These findings provide evidence and guidance for stakeholders, supporting targeted ESG strategies and demonstrating the value of explainable AI in promoting sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103967"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145841564","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Identification and dynamic simulation of electric-vehicle charging demand drivers: a high-order hybrid method 电动汽车充电需求驱动因素识别与动态仿真：一种高阶混合动力方法

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103978

Jing Liu , Wei Gao , Xuewen Zhang , Jie Zhang

{"title":"Identification and dynamic simulation of electric-vehicle charging demand drivers: a high-order hybrid method","authors":"Jing Liu , Wei Gao , Xuewen Zhang , Jie Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103978","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103978","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rapid expansion of electric vehicles has made charging demand highly variable in space and time, yet its coupled drivers are poorly understood. We develop a three-stage embedded hybrid method to close this gap. Sixteen spatial, facility, pricing, and weather variables are first identified. Their causal weights are quantified through a Pearson correlation–transfer entropy–DEMATEL sequence. Finally, the weighted relations are embedded in a complex-network framework to perform node-failure, centrality, edge-weight sensitivity, and threshold-based dynamic-pricing simulations. A Shenzhen charger dataset validates the model. Results reveal that charging demand is jointly governed by spatial layout, economic regulation, and environmental conditions. Traffic adjacency, charger count, and occupancy dominate demand, whereas real-time price and inter-station distance, despite weak causality, hold the highest centrality and sensitivity. Dynamic pricing cuts peaks by ∼20 % in stable periods but fails under extreme shocks. We recommend mixed stations and coordinated pricing, demand-response, and storage strategies to enhance network resilience.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103978"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145841563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

From ownership to access: Policies to support the growth of peer-to-peer car sharing in Italy 从拥有到使用：支持意大利点对点汽车共享增长的政策

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103989

Lucia Rotaris , Angela Stefania Bergantino , Romeo Danielis , Mario Intini , Mariangela Scorrano

{"title":"From ownership to access: Policies to support the growth of peer-to-peer car sharing in Italy","authors":"Lucia Rotaris , Angela Stefania Bergantino , Romeo Danielis , Mario Intini , Mariangela Scorrano","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103989","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103989","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Although peer-to-peer (P2P) car sharing is increasingly promoted as a flexible, resource-efficient mobility option, its adoption in many countries, including Italy, remains limited. Policymakers are exploring fiscal and regulatory measures to stimulate participation, but evidence on how such policies affect potential car owners (supply) and renters (demand), as well as how responses vary across population groups, remains scarce. This study addresses this gap by examining how differentiated policy instruments shape individuals’ willingness to participate in P2P car sharing in Italy.</div><div>We collected stated-preference data from two nationally representative samples of the Italian population, each totaling more than 4000 respondents, in a survey conducted in May 2025 that included both car owners and renters.</div><div>Results show that, on the supply side, fiscal incentives such as exemptions from the annual vehicle ownership tax and from income tax on car-sharing revenues significantly increase the likelihood of participation. On the demand side, renters respond most positively to subsidies for hourly rental rates and highway tolls. Policy effectiveness varies markedly across sociodemographic groups and regions: women aged 25 or older, those with higher levels of education, and those who are not employed are among the most responsive, with differing sensitivities emerging depending on place of residence and local accessibility levels.</div><div>Psychological and attitudinal factors, including perceived benefits, social influence, and environmental concern, also play a significant role in participation decisions. These findings underscore the need for policy designs and communication strategies that combine fiscal measures with targeted user segmentation based on both sociodemographic and attitudinal profiles.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103989"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145885302","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Electricity demand assessment and charging infrastructure planning for long-haul electric vehicle operations in Ontario, Canada 加拿大安大略省长途电动汽车的电力需求评估和充电基础设施规划

IF 6.3 2区工程技术

Transport Policy Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103970

Terence Dimatulac, Hanna Maoh, Rupp Carriveau

{"title":"Electricity demand assessment and charging infrastructure planning for long-haul electric vehicle operations in Ontario, Canada","authors":"Terence Dimatulac, Hanna Maoh, Rupp Carriveau","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103970","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.103970","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As Canada advances toward its target of zero-emission heavy commercial vehicle sales by 2040, the success of long-haul electric vehicle (LHEV) adoption will depend on the availability of well-placed, high-capacity public charging infrastructure. This study evaluates how two critical real-world constraints, namely daily utilization time and site space capacity, affect the optimal design of Ontario's future on-route charging network by simulating a total of 63 scenarios. The results show that modest utilization thresholds (e.g., 8 h per day) can reduce the number of required stations by up to 20 % with minimal impact on service coverage. In contrast, restricted space capacity leads to steep declines in the number of supported trips unless more locations are added. When both constraints are applied together, their impacts are largely additive, increasing the need for infrastructure expansion while shifting grid demand across space and time. The study highlights the need to align transportation and electricity infrastructure planning, prioritize high-demand freight corridors, and support regulatory frameworks that promote efficient, high-utilization, and grid-resilient charging solutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103970"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145841560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0