Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-24DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.017
{"title":"Simulation of land use changes by capturing the different impacts of rail transit in both mother city and new towns","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.017","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.017","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rail transit system plays an important role in connecting the urban center, new towns and suburbs in the metropolitan area. Exploring the methods of integrating rail transit and land use in different locations is essential to improve trip rates and promote transit-oriented development (TOD). Taking Wuhan, China, as a case study, this research uses a cellular automaton-based random forest (CA-RF) model to simulate land use change surrounding rail transit by capturing the impact differences in mother city (MC) and new towns (NT). An impact area identification model is proposed to recognize the most sensitive threshold of land use change in both MC and NT stations, which are 1000m and 1200m, respectively. The characteristics of land use change from 2010 to 2020 are analyzed and compared. The CA-RF model calibration shows that transportation and spatial accessibility present wide variations in driving land use change surrounding the MC and NT stations. The high accuracy of CA-RF model, which is 88.1% for MC and 82.1% for NT, indicating its effectiveness in quantifying the non-linear relationship of land use change and spatial attributes. The forecasted land use maps for proposed rail stations provide a reference for governments and planners in policy intervention and decision-making. This research framework can be applied to other metropolitans to explore the regulations of land use development and promote transit-oriented sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142357041","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-21DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.010
{"title":"Understanding the urban mobility challenge: Why shared mobility providers fail to attract car drivers","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.010","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.010","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Reducing urban car traffic has become a global policy objective. A vital element in achieving this objective is the availability of shared mobility providers offering sustainable alternative travel modes such as micromobility, carsharing, and ridehailing. Despite policy and industry efforts, shared mobility options have failed to change the travel patterns of current car users. We explore this urban mobility challenge through an empirical study of 807 urban travelers. Our results show that car drivers estimate travel costs conceptually rather than rationally and consider both trip purpose and length. In particular, car users perceive longer and recreational trips as cheaper per distance driven than shorter and work-related trips. A segmentation analysis reveals that habitual and technology-averse car drivers are particularly susceptible to this skewed cost perception, unlike more frequent transit users. Embedding these results in a case study of current shared mobility options shows that these options are ill-adjusted to the preferences of car travelers but more attractive to current transit users, potentially leading to cannibalization. Based on these findings, we outline several strategies for mobility providers and policymakers to attract car drivers to shared mobility options, thereby contributing to solving the urban mobility challenge.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142322473","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-21DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.011
{"title":"The changing politics of road death in Britain: from policy action to kicking the can down the road","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.011","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.011","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Britain has one of the lowest road casualty rates globally, yet tens of thousands of people are killed or seriously injured annually, and numbers have plateaued since 2012. Despite the consequential impact of road trauma, there has been limited evaluation of Britain's policy response. This paper uses Kingdon's Multiple Streams Model to understand agenda setting and analyses <em>how</em> road safety policies were made or not made over time. Critical discourse analysis evaluates patterns and themes in new data acquired via thirty-five interviews with politicians and policy participants, and data from Parliamentary debates and policy documents, spanning the period between 1987 and 2021. The data suggests two distinct time periods: 1987 to 2002, the policy problem was accepted, policy solutions advanced, when policy windows opened as political discourse was constructive, the multiple streams coupled, and policy change resulted. Policy development in road safety is therefore possible when it is viewed as an important policy agenda in need of attention. After 2003, there was a perception the problem had been resolved. Road safety lost out to a dominant mobility framing, road deaths were reframed as <em>accidental</em> and so unavoidable, solutions were contested, the politics stream flowed slowly, and from 2011, with the tight fiscal environment, discarded targets, and significant competition for attention from alternative policy areas, policy stasis resulted. The prevailing politics meant that the policy problem remained sidelined and policy solutions continued to be kicked down the road. The paper explores how this shift occurred and the consequences on the politics of road death.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142425776","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-19DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.007
{"title":"Older adults’ perceptions and behaviors on driving: A mixed method study","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.007","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.007","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding older adults' driving behavior based on their personal assessment, along with challenges they encounter when driving will support community leaders and policymakers to develop effective supportive strategies for their safety on the road. This study uses a mixed methodology approach, including a survey and an interview to examine older drivers' perceptions and concerns regarding their driving habits. Collecting data from cities in Texas and Nevada, to achieve diverse perspectives on older adults who live in environments with different land use patterns and road geometry.</div><div>Using the survey to understand the older adults' self-evaluated driving skills, where most consider themselves very good drivers even though they have some challenges, based on the roads, their reflexes changing over the years, and the impact of their physical and cognitive health. Supplementing the survey results with the interview allows the study to identify older drivers' major challenges including adverse weather, construction sites, and in-vehicle distractions. Supporting that visual and cognitive challenges are limiting older adults’ driving patterns (e.g., not driving at night).</div><div>To avoid any conflicts with aggressive drivers, the older adults are passively driving, and if accessible, utilizing in-vehicle technologies to increase their safety. However, older drivers suggested that all drivers, particularly younger drivers, should have access to more educational materials. They recommended that older adults' licensing requirements should be evaluated based on their health condition rather than age. Participants’ concern regarding roadway infrastructure elements and driver behavior can be resolved through improvements in road design and driver education.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142310658","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-18DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.006
{"title":"How successful is my DRT system? A review of different parameters to consider when developing flexible public transport systems","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The digitisation of transport services has led to the implementation of so-called demand-responsive transport (DRT) systems with varying setups and goals around the globe. Numerous approaches have been made to account for differences in the local circumstances and regulations to achieve the most successful outcome for those services in both, rural and urban areas. The reasons for their widespread popularity are the envisaged benefits of economically reasonable operations combined with ecologically and socially beneficial traffic. Yet, while some DRT systems persist over an extended period, many fail to become a permanent passenger transportation option, especially in rural areas.</div><div>This paper shall explore parameters suited to measure the success of a DRT system and structure their inter-dependencies. Firstly, the paper presents types of flexibility and their different gradations in order to classify varying systems. Secondly, suitable and already used parameters to measure figures of DRT systems like travelled distances and vehicle occupations are examined and with their respective application cases lucidly compared. Thirdly, the paper proposes a four-step evaluation framework and discusses existing and new approaches to comparing the success of different flexible transport systems and future possibilities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142433934","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-13DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.008
{"title":"The deeper and wider social impacts of transportation infrastructure: From travel experience to sense of place and academic performance","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.008","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.008","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Traditional transportation planning emphasized the direct economic benefits of transportation infrastructure. While there is a growing awareness of the environmental consequences, social impacts are frequently overlooked due to methodological complexities and political neglect. Although existing literature acknowledges the existence of transportation-related social exclusion, it primarily concentrates on quantifiable and immediate short-term social outcomes arising from improved accessibility and affordability, which facilitate place-to-place interactions and activities. There has been limited exploration of the more intricate and indirect societal impacts associated with transportation. This paper argues that new transportation infrastructure not only affects mobility and travel experiences but also has deeper social impacts on the sense of place. These effects may extend to broader benefits, including academic performance, by influencing place identity, attachment, and dependency, which in turn affect daily activities unrelated to travel. Our study focuses on a university student community (<em>N</em> = 323), a pivotal future workforce, and investigates how the introduction of a new metro line passing through the campus reduces commuting time, subsequently enhancing academic productivity. Employing structural equation modeling method, our analysis reveals that sense of place acts as a mediator between travel experience and student engagement under the influence of transportation mode choice. These findings may have broad applicability in identifying indirect social impacts of transportation infrastructure, thus providing insights for investment decisions.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142242329","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-13DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.009
{"title":"From death to birth: Do logistics parks help local renewals in logistics industry?","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the era of E-commerce and globalization, the logistics industry has become a new driving force for local economic development, with government-led logistics parks planned and constructed as a powerful policy instrument. Skeptical about whether logistics parks really take effect as expected, this paper investigates the local process of creative destruction in the logistics industry, focusing on how government-led logistics parks bridge between firm exit and firm entry during industrial renewal. Using firm-level data of third-party logistics firms in China from 2003 to 2021 and adopting system GMM estimator method, we verify that previous exit contributes to future entry but varies by the firm type and the city's importance in the regional transport network. Furthermore, we find two major roles of government-led logistics parks: (1) accelerating this process by providing the platform where various resources can be reused and reorganized into high-quality new logistics firms; and (2) prioritizing the rebirths from local existing firms over arrivals from other cities, though with some level of local protectionism. Government policies and planning decisions should maintain such function without inhibiting regional market integration.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142425798","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-11DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.005
{"title":"Voyage charterparty arrangement for river tramp shipping: Green and traditional vessels comparison","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Voyage charterparty arrangement (VCA) for river shipping is a common agreement between a shipowner and a charterer regarding the transportation of specific cargoes from one port to another via a tramp vessel. Optimizing VCA with the essential terms such as laytime and sailing speed of the vessel, is a crucial task for both parties to reduce potential disputes and achieve win-win outcomes. This paper models the problem from two perspectives: the VCA negotiation stage and execution stage. Firstly, according to the given probability distribution of port time, the theoretically optimal laytime is obtained by using textbook formulation of newsvendor problems (NVP). On this basis, considering the concerns about the inaccuracy of the given probability distribution and the adjustment measures taken by charterers and shipowners in reality, an integrated adjustment model is constructed to determine the optimal laytime in the VCA negotiation stage. Secondly, taking into account the vessel's uncertain lock crossing time, an operations coordination model with information sharing of the berth plan is established to obtain the optimal sailing speed under a certain confidence level in the VCA execution stage. Finally, a case study of chartering tramp vessels on the Yangtze River validates the applicability and effectiveness of the models proposed in this paper, and some important management insights are derived. The results show that establishing lower optimal speed limits and relatively shorter laytime when signing a contract with the shipowner of green river vessels is reasonable for the charterer. By notifying the shipowner of the berth plan after the green river vessel crosses through the lock, the charterer can avoid higher demurrage costs due to speeding-up. Operations coordination would be mutually beneficial without abusing the contract terms. Compared to traditional river vessels, it's more reasonable to reduce the benefits allocated to charterers from the deceleration of green river vessels by shipowners.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142242331","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-07DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.004
{"title":"Association of transit-oriented development with transit use: Effects of gentrification and spatial autocorrelation","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.004","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.09.004","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The empirical evidence in the existing literature primarily supports the positive association of transit-oriented development (TOD) with transit use. However, indirect relationships between TOD and transit use may be observed due to TOD-induced gentrification and spatial autocorrelation. This research examined the relationships between TOD, gentrification, and transit use with the consideration of spatial autocorrelation. The study observations were from the gentrifiable neighborhoods in Taipei City, Taiwan, and were analyzed using simultaneous equation models and spatial regression methods. Empirical results reveal three major findings: 1) A positive and direct association of TOD-ness with the modal share of transit substantially occurs and confirms the findings in the existing literature. 2) A negative and indirect association of TOD with transit use mediated by gentrification may occur under the moderation of rising car ownership. 3) A positive spatial autocorrelation of transit use substantially occurs between adjacent neighborhoods. These findings prompt local administrations to implement TOD policies containing or being accompanied by instruments inhibiting car ownership throughout urban areas rather than just along major transit corridors.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142162973","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Transport PolicyPub Date : 2024-09-05DOI: 10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.08.016
{"title":"“How much should public transport services be expanded, and who should pay? Experimental evidence from Switzerland”","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.08.016","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2024.08.016","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The twin challenge of increasing capacity to accommodate growing travel demand while simultaneously decarbonizing the transport sector places enormous pressure on public transport (PT) systems globally. Arguably the most fundamental policy choice and trade-off in designing and operating PT systems in the coming years will be service levels versus cost implications. On the presumption that public (citizen and consumer) opinion is crucial to making such choices, we study this question with a focus on Switzerland by using a factorial experiment (n = 1′634) that considers the frequency and geographic coverage of PT services as well as the cost implications for PT users and taxpayers. We find that support for increased frequency of connections and more services to peripheral regions is high as long as such service expansion is funded mainly by the government, rather than PT users. Preferences are generally consistent across subgroups, except in the case of government funding, where preferences differ by political orientation. This suggests that there is substantial demand across the board for PT services expansion funded primarily by the government, but that the question of funding is also potentially politically the most controversial. While our findings are specific to a country with a highly developed PT system, our research provides a template for similar research in other countries that struggle with a similar challenge.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0967070X24002452/pdfft?md5=c1145cacecb65ceb316d4cbb2b551ad8&pid=1-s2.0-S0967070X24002452-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142242330","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}