Transport Policy最新文献

{"title":"Transport and quality of life: The car and its link to subjective well-being, health, and life domains","authors":"Kostas Mouratidis","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.014","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.014","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite the harmful impact of automobility on the planet and human societies, car ownership is on the rise globally. However, the contribution of car-based transport to quality of life remains unclear. This paper examines how car ownership relates to subjective well-being, health, and life domains based on three-wave longitudinal data from Athens, Greece and Oslo, Norway. (1) Overall, the findings indicate that car owners have higher well-being and better health than those without a car, both before and after accounting for socio-economic and built environment characteristics. (2) Car ownership is associated with higher life satisfaction, better health, higher leisure satisfaction, and higher satisfaction with social relationships in Athens, and with lower anxiety, better health, and higher vacations satisfaction in Oslo. (3) Although there are positive links between the car and quality of life in both cities, these links are considerably stronger in car-dependent Athens than in transit-oriented Oslo. The study's outcomes suggest that the car may provide several health and well-being benefits to the individual user, contrasting with its negative impact on planetary and societal well-being. Replacing these benefits through urban and transport policies and alternative mobility solutions is urgently needed for a successful transition to sustainable transport and climate change mitigation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"168 ","pages":"Pages 101-111"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143828527","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Explaining Youth Driver Licensing Determinants Using XGBoost and SHAP","authors":"Kailai Wang ,&nbsp;Jonas De Vos ,&nbsp;Michael Smart ,&nbsp;Sicheng Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.009","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.009","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the factors influencing driver's license acquisition among young individuals and examines its broader implications for mobility, safety, and sustainability. Leveraging nationally representative survey data on Millennials and Generation Z, we apply eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) and SHapley Additive Explanations (SHAP) to identify key socioeconomic determinants of teenage driver's license attainment. Our findings reveal consistent predictors across both generations, including the percentage of licensed family members, household income per capita, educational attainment, and public transit ridership. We identify meaningful dose-response relationships, such as the increasing influence of licensed household members beyond a 0.75 threshold and the higher likelihood of licensing among individuals with some college or an associate degree. Additionally, household income exhibits a positive association with licensing within a specific range but declines at higher income levels. Beyond predictive accuracy, this study offers valuable insights into overcoming empirical challenges in transportation research through nonparametric machine learning models. Our findings provide a nuanced understanding of youth mobility behaviors, informing planning and policy strategies to support equitable access to driver education, multimodal transportation options, and sustainable mobility solutions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"168 ","pages":"Pages 87-100"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143828526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Where are parking policies most popular? Empirical findings about the influence of the residential neighbourhood and car parking characteristics on public acceptability","authors":"Annabell Baumgartner,&nbsp;Martin Lanzendorf","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.006","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.006","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Parking policies are a key factor in reducing car usage and improving liveability in urban neighbourhoods, as they link transport and land use. However, policymakers face the challenge of designing parking policies that effectively address local car parking issues while ensuring acceptability within the same neighbourhood. Our empirical analysis aims to develop a typology of different parking policies based on residents’ acceptability. Furthermore, we investigate the influence of spatial differences on the acceptability of parking policies, focusing on the residential neighbourhood and car parking characteristics. We derive our findings from a quantitative household survey (N = 1186) we conducted in eight neighbourhoods in the two German cities of Darmstadt and Frankfurt am Main. Applying principal component analysis (PCA) to 31 initial parking policies, we identify six policy types: (1) parking restrictions and enforcement, (2) conversion of parking space for liveability, (3) conversion of parking space for mobility services, (4) parking space conversion accompanied by additional measures, (5) additional neighbourhood garages and (6) limited parking for SUVs. Our results show that push measures are both among the most accepted and rejected policies, with restrictions for SUVs being generally more popular than those for regular cars. Moreover, we find that the acceptability of the conversion of parking spaces depends on the proposed alternative land use and accompanying additional measures. Despite some disparities, residents are more supportive of parking space conversions for liveability (e.g. greenery) than for alternative mobility services (e.g. car sharing stations). Our results also highlight the important role of the neighbourhood level when setting parking policies. Multivariate analyses indicate that the residential neighbourhood and car parking characteristics, such as the usual parking location, duration and distance from home, influence the acceptability of parking policies. Policymakers might, therefore, consider the local parking situation to be changed in a neighbourhood, the specific target groups to be addressed by a policy and the benefits for residents to be promoted by a transformation of on-street car parking.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"168 ","pages":"Pages 263-278"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143867907","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Wheels of progress: How high-speed railway is shaping human well-being in China","authors":"Yang Wang ,&nbsp;Lu Yang ,&nbsp;Chen Shen","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.005","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.005","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rapid development of high-speed rail (HSR) is regarded as a pivotal catalyst for social and economic advancement. With the aim of assessing its multifaceted effects on human well-being (HWB), this study proposes the novel C4 conceptual framework to comprehensively evaluate the social impacts of HSR projects on HWB. Kernel density estimation (KDE) is employed to examine the spatial distribution and influence scope of the HSR network. A total of 40,000 samples from the Chinese General Social Survey (CGSS) data spanning 2010, 2011, 2012, 2013, and 2015 were utilized in a hierarchical multiple regression model to investigate the impact of HSR on HWB. The findings indicate that (1) The development of HSR has a significant positive effect on individual health and economic well-being, while its environmental impact has transitioned from negative to positive; (2) From a social connection perspective, HSR development has transformed public emotional connection dynamics, decreasing trust in strangers while strengthening ties with relatives and friends; (3) HSR has been found to enhance employability and results in extended working hours, suggesting a potential impact on work-life balance; (4) In its initial stages, HSR construction can contribute to perceived inequities among the population, though such negative effects are alleviated as the network expands and coverage increases.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"168 ","pages":"Pages 40-53"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143824322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"From online deliveries to travel behavior: Socioeconomic insights from 2009, 2017, and 2022","authors":"Jaehyun Ha","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.03.025","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.03.025","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the evolving landscape of online deliveries and travel behavior using three waves of the National Household Travel Survey (NHTS) from 2009, 2017, and 2022. As e-commerce continues to expand and individuals’ shopping behaviors shift, it is important to understand how socioeconomic and geographic factors influence online delivery engagement. The findings reveal persistent disparities over time, with females, well-educated individuals, Whites, high-income households, and employed workers more likely to engage in online deliveries. Notably, while gaps across income levels and age groups have narrowed, disparities in online delivery engagement based on education and employment status have widened. Additionally, we find that online deliveries are positively associated with shopping and meal-related trips, suggesting a complementary relationship. However, there is also evidence of substitution effects as we see a decreasing trend of shopping and meal-related trips over time. These insights contribute to a better understanding of how e-commerce impacts travel demand and highlight the importance of considering socioeconomic variations in transport policy and planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"168 ","pages":"Pages 15-26"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143807873","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Up in the air: How do carbon policy shocks affect air travel?","authors":"Juan-Francisco Albert ,&nbsp;Nerea Gómez-Fernández ,&nbsp;David Boto-García","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.003","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.003","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study assesses the impact of the EU Emissions Trading Scheme (EU ETS) on air travel demand and supply in Europe. Using vector autoregression (VAR) methodology enriched with an external instrument, we analyse how carbon pricing shocks affect passenger numbers on domestic, intra-EU, and extra-EU flights across Europe, alongside examining the effect on the number of flights. This is done for the EU as a whole, and separately for Germany, United Kingdom, France, Italy, and Spain. We document significant reductions in domestic and intra-EU flights, while extra-EU flights are not found to be affected by carbon price shocks. Moreover, we show that carbon pricing policies lead to significant increases in air transportation prices. Overall, flight frequency is found to decrease more than passenger numbers, indicating airlines' strategic adjustments to mitigate carbon-related costs while maintaining operational efficiency. Our study emphasizes the importance of understanding these effects for informing future policy decisions and business practices in the aviation industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"168 ","pages":"Pages 54-68"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143824323","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Early-stage policy formulation for electric vehicle infrastructure development: Key processes, considerations and priorities","authors":"Fengxiu Zhang ,&nbsp;Saba Siddiki ,&nbsp;David W.S. Wong ,&nbsp;Jie Xu ,&nbsp;Green Choi","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.002","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.002","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Research on electric vehicles (EVs) policies continues to flourish as governments and industries advance policy initiatives to encourage infrastructure development to support EV deployment. Complementing the abundant studies that characterize existing EV policies and/or evaluate their impacts, this research sheds light on policy formulation for EV infrastructure development at the local level. Our study highlights how local governments and utilities consider and prioritize key EV issues in the early stages of policy planning, design, and implementation to support EV infrastructure. Such issues include electricity rate setting, charging infrastructure development, and stakeholder engagement. We further evaluate the extent to which early policy formulation reflects consideration of distributional, procedural and recognitional aspects of EV benefits and costs. Drawing on interview and secondary data from local governments and utilities in the extended Northern Virginia region, we find: (1) Electricity rate setting involves consideration of investments, time-of-use pricing, and energy demands; (2) Decisions regarding siting and installation of charging facilities are shaped by convenience, accessibility, affordability, feasibility, and economic development considerations; (3) Governments and utilities have broadly considered the distribution of benefits and costs of EV infrastructure development in their planning and implementation efforts; (4) Stakeholder engagement efforts have largely featured one-way information provision and public education, offering few opportunities for communities to participate in the decision-making processes; (5) Organizations widely acknowledge the challenges that some communities may face during the EV transition; nevertheless, this recognition is not consistently supported by assessments of specific needs and gaps across communities. We conclude with policy recommendations for jurisdictions in the early stages of transportation electrification.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"168 ","pages":"Pages 27-39"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143817816","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The potential of active modes to reduce short car trips. A data-driven approach","authors":"Hannah Gorges ,&nbsp;Giuliano Mingardo","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.03.015","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.03.015","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Motorized individual mobility is associated with numerous negative externalities, necessitating a shift toward more sustainable transport modes. One potential strategy is to replace short car trips with walking and cycling. This study aims to better understand the behavioral patterns underlying short car trips and to quantify potential CO₂ savings from their substitution. We analyze vehicle sensor data from the BMW Group, covering 89.4 million trips made by 149,709 vehicles in Germany, the Netherlands, and Belgium between June 2021 and October 2022. On average, trips under 5 km account for 38.2 percent of all trips, while those under 1 km represent 9.2 percent. These shares show no economically significant variation across seasons, countries, spatial structures, engine types, or driver types. Replacing all trips under 5 km could result in an average monthly CO₂ saving of 7.4 kg per vehicle, while replacing all trips under 1 km would save 0.7 kg CO₂. These findings highlight the persistent reliance on cars, even for short-distance travel.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"168 ","pages":"Pages 1-14"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143799303","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The impact of the China-ASEAN Open Skies Agreement on bilateral air transport","authors":"Mengting Liu ,&nbsp;Qiang Wang ,&nbsp;Changmin Jiang ,&nbsp;Wenliang Ma","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.001","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.04.001","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper applies simultaneous equation model to investigate the impact of China-ASEAN Open Skies Agreement (CAOSA) on bilateral air transport using annual panel data spanning 2011 to 2019. Results show that CAOSA significantly increased both flight frequency and air passenger volume between China and ASEAN. Further heterogeneity analyses find that: (1) Compared to new ASEAN members, the positive effects on flight frequency and air demand are more pronounced between China and old ASEAN members. (2) CAOSA significantly increases flight frequency or air passenger volume in the Pearl River Delta and Yangtze River Delta regions, while no statistically significant impact is found on the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region. (3) CAOSA significantly increases the flight frequency of China first-tier cities, and no significantly impact is found on China second-tier cities. (4) CAOSA has significantly positive impact on flight frequency and air passenger volume of medium- and long-haul air routes, while has no significantly impact on short-haul routes. Our findings are valuable complements to existing research on open skies, offering significant policy implications for the government and the industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"168 ","pages":"Pages 69-86"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143825606","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Dynamic effects of maritime risk on macroeconomic and global maritime economic activity","authors":"Shuiyang Chen ,&nbsp;Bin Meng ,&nbsp;Bingcheng Qiu ,&nbsp;Haibo Kuang","doi":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.03.035","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tranpol.2025.03.035","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We employ textual analysis on 1793935 news articles from seven newspapers to comprehensively measure adverse maritime events and associated risks across seven dimensions, resulting in the development of a news-based Maritime Risk Index (MRI). We validate the professionalism, effectiveness, and robustness of MRI in capturing maritime risks. The MRI adversely affects various aspects of the macroeconomic market performance, monetary policy, employment, and industrial production. Higher maritime risk predicts a decrease in the output of the shipping sector, reducing shipping capacity and significantly impacting global maritime trade activities. MRI innovations include crucial information about port congestion and surging freight rates, playing a key role in explaining and foreshadowing port congestion. It serves as a leading (price discovery) indicator in the dry bulk and container shipping markets and exhibits a bidirectional causal relationship with the tanker shipping market. Our findings not only advance the understanding of maritime transport system risks and their interaction with macroeconomic, but also offer practical applications for improving transport policy and practice.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48378,"journal":{"name":"Transport Policy","volume":"167 ","pages":"Pages 246-263"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143776360","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}