{"title":"Reliability improvement of airport ground transportation vehicles using neural networks to anticipate system failure","authors":"A.E. Smith, D. Coit, C. W. Mccullers","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981623","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981623","url":null,"abstract":"This paper describes a joint industry/university collaboration to develop a prototype system to provide real time monitoring of an airport ground transportation vehicle with the objectives of improving availability and minimizing field failures by estimating the proper timing for condition-based maintenance. Hardware for the vehicle was designed, developed and tested to monitor door characteristics (voltage and current through the motor that opens and closes the doors and door movement time and position), to quickly predict degraded performance, and to anticipate failures. A combined statistical and neural network approach was implemented. The neural network \"learns\" the differences among door sets and can be tuned quite easily through this learning. Signals are processed in real time and combined with previous monitoring data to estimate, using the neural network, the condition of the door set relative to maintenance needs. The prototype system was installed on several vehicle door sets at the Pittsburgh International Airport and successfully tested for several months under simulated and actual operating conditions. Preliminary results indicate that improved operational reliability and availability can be achieved.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"123962204","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Modelling of maintenance, within discrete event simulation","authors":"L. Warrington, J.A. Jones, N. Davis","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981652","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981652","url":null,"abstract":"The concept of maintenance free operating periods (MFOP) requires co-ordination of failure avoidance, failure anticipation and maintenance delay techniques, with the objective of enhancing operational capability in a cost-effective manner. Individual aspects might be modelled mathematically but discrete event simulation is required for an analysis with the necessary fidelity. The ultra reliable aircraft model (URAM) is an aircraft reliability and maintenance discrete event simulation designed to investigate MFOP concepts. Analysis during its development identified several important factors pertaining to maintenance: Allocation and scheduling of resource; maintenance objectives and their operational & time-based over-ride; forward planning of scheduled & prognostics based maintenance; diagnostics, covering both fault visibility & isolation; task prioritisation, based on system structural importance, criticality importance, time & cost. These have been successfully implemented, making URAM an efficient and representative simulation of aircraft reliability, maintenance support and operational tasking. The factors and their implementation in URAM may easily be transferred to discrete event simulation of other complex assets such as ships and railway systems.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115137210","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Reliability tests on power devices","authors":"J. Marcos, J. Pallás, S. Fernandez-Gomez","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981711","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981711","url":null,"abstract":"System dependability has become an important aspect to consider because of the large number of components included in modern systems and the high availability requirements that users demand. In systems such as switch-mode power supplies, power devices like IGBTs play a fundamental role in system functionality and performance, hence the use of reliable components is key. In this paper, the design of dependable systems based on reliable power devices is addressed. Reliability tests have been carried out on a set of IGBTs used in a battery charger to extract accurate reliability prediction models for this type of devices and degradation models, which can help the system designer to generate highly dependable systems. This paper describes the first phase of the authors' research that focus on determining degradation models for IGBTs due to environmental causes. Their tests show the high resistance of the selected devices to environmental stress. None of the devices has failed the tests, and the variation in their electrical characteristics is minimal. This is an important conclusion because our final objective is the design of reliable battery chargers, which requires the use of power devices that can tolerate high stress without degradation of their characteristics. In addition, they were able to detect a flaw in their measurement methodology that helped them to improve their test and analysis flow for the second phase of their research.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"96 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"126933921","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"On reliability modeling and analysis of highly-reliable large systems","authors":"J. Loman, Wendai Wang","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981685","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981685","url":null,"abstract":"Modem systems are getting more and more complex, incorporating new technology to meet customer's high expectations. Hardware, software and data communications are integrated to make systems function properly. One example is a critical power system, which provides electrical power to a data center or to semiconductor manufacturing equipment. Reliability techniques of fault-tolerance, true redundancy, multiple grid connections, concurrent maintenance and so forth are applied in design to provide high system reliability. The techniques make the system larger and more complicated in configuration and behavior. Application of modeling tools and analysis methods to such highly reliable, large, complex and repairable systems is discussed in this paper, based on the experience of assessing critical power systems. The use of reliability block diagram plus simulation is recommended as one of the best engineering practices in planning for such large complex repairable systems.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"260 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"127298357","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A discrete-event simulator for predicting outage time and costs as a function of maintenance resources","authors":"M. Hecht, J. Handal","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981710","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981710","url":null,"abstract":"With the increasing air traffic and growth of deployed FAA equipment, high equipment availability and low outage time is also becoming more important. While the use of simulation models and simple queuing models for assessing the impact of staffing on availability has been available for more than 5 decades, it has not been widely used because of the cost and complexity of implementation. This paper presents an analytical model and software tool that can be used by non-experts to relate FAA maintenance resources including staffing, training, shift allocation, and geographical deployment to National Airspace System (NAS) facility and service downtime and availability. The analytical methodology and tool presented in this paper make it possible for any user to rapidly assess how changes in staffing, training. equipment count, and reliability will impact outage time, availability, maintenance backlog and technician utilization. It allows users to easily perform parametric studies on a variety of \"what if\" scenarios related to economics and capacity. The most significant benefit is that these results can now be made available to analysts and decision makers. The net result will be more informed decisions to account for the impact of maintenance resources on NAS capacity and overall economics.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"18 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121867952","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An approach for understanding and testing third party software components","authors":"J. M. Haddox, G. M. Kapfhammer","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981657","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981657","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper we present an approach to mitigating software risk by understanding and testing third party, or commercial-off-the-shelf (COTS), software components. Our approach, based on the notion of software wrapping, gives system integrators an improved understanding of how a COTS component behaves within a particular system. Our approach to wrapping allows the data flowing into and out of the component at the public interface level to be intercepted. Using our wrapping approach, developers can apply testing techniques such as fault injection, data collection and, assertion checking to components whose source code is unavailable. We have created a methodology for using software wrapping in conjunction with data collection, fault injection, and assertion checking to test the interaction between a component and the rest of the application. The methodology seeks to identify locations in the program where the system's interaction with COTS components could be problematic. Furthermore, we have developed a prototype that implements,our methodology for Java applications. The goal of this process is to allow the developers to identify scenarios where the interaction between COTS software and the system could result in system failure. We believe that the technology we have developed is an important step towards easing the process of using COTS components in the building and maintenance of software systems.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130394294","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Integrated system for reliability-modeling of cold plastic deformation tools used in car industry","authors":"C. Băban, I. Radu, M. Baban","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981644","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981644","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, the reliability assurance of the cold plastic deformation tools used in the car industry was performed by reliability modeling, inspection planning and renewal policies. At the beginning of the paper, a data acquisition system for the measurement of the tools failure was developed. Using the experimental information obtained by the data acquisition system, the global reliability analysis of the equipment was performed by the Kolmogorov-Smirnov goodness-of-fit test. After the reliability modeling, the inspection planning and renewal policies were achieved. The acquisition and the processing of the experimental data, the global reliability modeling, the inspection planning and the renewal policy were performed by an integrated software system developed by the authors. This integrated software system was used for the reliability modeling of a combined stamping die used in the car industry. In conclusion, the reliability modeling of the cold plastic deformation tools used in the car industry allows the estimation of the reliability measures of these tools. The inspection and renewal policy may be designed and the reliability assurance can be achieved.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130539626","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A simple graphical approach for comparing reliability trends of different units in a fleet","authors":"L. Tang, M. Xie","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981617","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981617","url":null,"abstract":"Consider a fleet of repairable systems made up of different line replacement units (LRU) in which the maintenance and repair policy is based on fail-replace-repair-use cycles for all types of LRU within the fleet of repairable systems. We model the failure process of a system by a piecewise HPP model which accounts for random age mix in the pool of LRU. Using the model, we propose a graphical approach for comparing reliability trends of different units in a fleet of repairable systems and between different fleets with identical sets of such units. The applicability of the proposed approach is demonstrated using simulated data as well as actual field data.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"6 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134558003","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Utility of popular software defect models","authors":"P. Hartman","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981659","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981659","url":null,"abstract":"Numerical models can be used to track and predict the number of defects in developmental and operational software. This paper introduces techniques to critically assess the effectiveness of software defect reduction efforts as the data is being gathered. This can be achieved by observing the fundamental shape of the cumulative defect discovery curves and by judging how quickly the various defect models converge to common predictions of long term software performance.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"68 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"134059495","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The future of reliability engineering as a profession","authors":"K. Kapur","doi":"10.1109/RAMS.2002.981680","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1109/RAMS.2002.981680","url":null,"abstract":"Quality and productivity improvement, leadership and effective management are key for global growth for any enterprise. In the last Century, there has been a tremendous evolution of the ideas to improve quality in any organization. Many programs, methods and strategies were developed and continuously changed with conflicting objectives. There have been many new initiatives based on new \"buzz\" words to market and implement them. This has resulted in cynicism in many organizations about these methods, including recent initiatives such as TQM, Six Sigma, ISO standards, etc. In addition, with rightsizing and streamlining, many organizations may be downsizing and integrating reliability activities with other activities. Based on these trends and reality, some reliability professionals may be concerned about their future. The future for reliability engineering as a profession in very bright and will offer tremendous opportunities to reliability engineers with the \"right\" education, skills, attitudes and implementation capabilities based on the following ten principles.","PeriodicalId":395613,"journal":{"name":"Annual Reliability and Maintainability Symposium. 2002 Proceedings (Cat. No.02CH37318)","volume":"266 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2002-08-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133168230","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}