Nature Climate Change最新文献_第5页

Maintaining crop yields limits mitigation potential of crop-land natural climate solutions 维持作物产量限制了农田自然气候解决方案的减缓潜力

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02349-3

引用次数: 0

Vertical climate velocity adds a critical dimension to species shifts 垂直气候速度为物种转移增加了一个关键维度

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02300-6

Laura K. Gruenburg, Janet Nye, Kamazima Lwiza, Lesley Thorne

引用次数: 0

Managing for climate and production goals on crop-lands 管理农田的气候和生产目标

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02337-7

Shelby C. McClelland, Deborah Bossio, Doria R. Gordon, Johannes Lehmann, Matthew N. Hayek, Stephen M. Ogle, Jonathan Sanderman, Stephen A. Wood, Yi Yang, Dominic Woolf

{"title":"Managing for climate and production goals on crop-lands","authors":"Shelby C. McClelland, Deborah Bossio, Doria R. Gordon, Johannes Lehmann, Matthew N. Hayek, Stephen M. Ogle, Jonathan Sanderman, Stephen A. Wood, Yi Yang, Dominic Woolf","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02337-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02337-7","url":null,"abstract":"The assumption that crop-land natural climate solutions (NCS) have benefits for both climate change mitigation and crop production remains largely untested. Here we model GHG emissions and crop yields from crop-land NCS through the end of the century. We find that favourable (win–win) outcomes were the exception not the norm; grass cover crops with no tillage lead to cumulative global GHG mitigation of 32.6 Pg CO2 equivalent, 95% confidence interval (29.5, 35.7), by 2050 but reduce cumulative crop yields by 4.8 Pg, 95% confidence interval (4.0, 5.7). Legume cover crops with no tillage result in favourable outcomes through 2050 but increase GHG emissions for some regions by 2100. Crop-lands with low soil nitrogen and high clay are more likely to have favourable outcomes. Avoiding crop losses, we find modest GHG mitigation benefits from crop-land NCS, 4.4 Pg CO2 equivalent, 95% confidence interval (4.2, 4.6) by 2050, indicating crop-land soil will constitute a fraction of food system decarbonization.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"30 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144088201","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Glacier melt trough after overshoot 超调后的冰川融化槽

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02312-2

Arthur Lutz

引用次数: 0

Irreversible glacier change and trough water for centuries after overshooting 1.5 °C 超过1.5°C后，几个世纪内不可逆的冰川变化和低谷水

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02318-w

Lilian Schuster, Fabien Maussion, David R. Rounce, Lizz Ultee, Patrick Schmitt, Fabrice Lacroix, Thomas L. Frölicher, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner

{"title":"Irreversible glacier change and trough water for centuries after overshooting 1.5 °C","authors":"Lilian Schuster, Fabien Maussion, David R. Rounce, Lizz Ultee, Patrick Schmitt, Fabrice Lacroix, Thomas L. Frölicher, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02318-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02318-w","url":null,"abstract":"Exceeding 1.5 °C of global warming above pre-industrial levels has become a distinct possibility, yet the consequences of such an overshoot for mountain glaciers and their contribution to raising sea levels and impacting water availability are not well understood. Here we show that exceeding and then returning to below 1.5 °C will have irreversible consequences for glacier mass and runoff over centuries. Global climate and glacier simulations project that a 3.0 °C peak-and-decline scenario will lead to 11% more global glacier mass loss by 2500 compared with limiting warming to 1.5 °C without overshooting. In basins where glaciers regrow after peak temperature, glacier runoff reduces further than if the glaciers stabilize, a phenomenon we call ‘trough water’. Half the studied glaciated basins show reduced glacier runoff with overshoot compared with without for decades to centuries after peak warming. These findings underscore the urgency of near-term emissions reductions and limiting temperature overshoot.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144088200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Evolution of warming tolerance alters physiology and life history traits in zebrafish 温耐受性的进化改变了斑马鱼的生理和生活史特征

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02332-y

Anna H. Andreassen, Jeff C. Clements, Rachael Morgan, Davide Spatafora, Moa Metz, Eirik R. Åsheim, Christophe Pélabon, Fredrik Jutfelt

{"title":"Evolution of warming tolerance alters physiology and life history traits in zebrafish","authors":"Anna H. Andreassen, Jeff C. Clements, Rachael Morgan, Davide Spatafora, Moa Metz, Eirik R. Åsheim, Christophe Pélabon, Fredrik Jutfelt","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02332-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02332-y","url":null,"abstract":"Evolution of warming tolerance may help species resist the impacts of climate change but can also lead to negative fitness outcomes. Identifying correlated responses to warming tolerance evolution could identify such negative consequences and help uncover the underlying mechanisms. By assessing the correlated responses of life history and physiological traits to seven generations of artificial selection to increase or decrease the acute upper thermal tolerance limit (CTmax) in zebrafish (Danio rerio), we show that warming-adapted lines have improved cooling tolerance. Furthermore, the absence of difference between selected lines in aerobic metabolic scope, brain heat shock protein levels, fecundity, growth or swimming speed contradicts several hypotheses concerning the mechanisms controlling acute warming tolerance. These results suggest that selection due to acute heating events does not target variation in metabolic rates but can benefit tolerance to cold, making individuals more resilient to extreme temperature events.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"116 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143945686","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Advancing science, policy and action in tipping points research 推进临界点研究的科学、政策和行动

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02335-9

Steven R. Smith, Manjana Milkoreit, Frank W. Geels, Timothy M. Lenton

{"title":"Advancing science, policy and action in tipping points research","authors":"Steven R. Smith, Manjana Milkoreit, Frank W. Geels, Timothy M. Lenton","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02335-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02335-9","url":null,"abstract":"Understanding tipping points is essential for governing systemic risks in the Earth system and accelerating the transition to a low-carbon future. Kopp and colleagues1 raise important questions about the conceptual clarity and practical utility of tipping points research. While we welcome these questions and share their commitment to precise language and careful scientific communication, we worry that the negative orientation of their paper may lead some scholars to discard tipping points research before fully appreciating its value. We therefore highlight more positive conceptual and empirical insights relating to four topics raised by Kopp and colleagues.First, tipping points theory has developed scientifically rigorous foundations since first being applied to climate science in 2008. Essential features — including system reorganization, thresholds, self-propelling feedbacks and nonlinear change — are now well established in the scientific literature2. Like other complex concepts in sustainability science, the term’s use can diversify across various disciplines, and it can be misunderstood and misrepresented. This presents opportunities to study and improve how tipping points science is communicated, rather than grounds for dismissal. The concept has also been usefully applied across diverse disciplines and topics — including the acceleration of species’ extinction, groundwater resource depletion, the rise of asset uninsurability and the growing amount of space debris3. This ability of the tipping points approach to be tailored to suit different research topics can be viewed positively and can contribute to a broader and richer understanding of the concept.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143940296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Explaining the adaptation gap through consistency in adaptation planning 通过适应计划的一致性解释适应差距

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-12 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02334-w

Diana Reckien, Attila Buzasi, Marta Olazabal, Paris Fokaides, Filomena Pietrapertosa, Peter Eckersley, Monica Salvia

引用次数: 0

Risks of unavoidable impacts on forests at 1.5 °C with and without overshoot 在1.5°C（无论是否超调）下对森林产生不可避免影响的风险

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-12 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02327-9

Gregory Munday, Chris D. Jones, Norman J. Steinert, Camilla Mathison, Eleanor J. Burke, Chris Smith, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca M. Varney, Andy J. Wiltshire

引用次数: 0

Public R&D investment 公共研发投资

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02339-5

Lingxiao Yan

引用次数: 0