Nature Climate Change最新文献

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Silence among farmers 农民沉默
IF 29.6 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02320-2
Danyang Cheng
{"title":"Silence among farmers","authors":"Danyang Cheng","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02320-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02320-2","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 4","pages":"351-351"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143793997","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Attributing soybean production shocks 归因于大豆生产的冲击
IF 29.6 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02319-9
Tegan Armarego-Marriott
{"title":"Attributing soybean production shocks","authors":"Tegan Armarego-Marriott","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02319-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02319-9","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 4","pages":"351-351"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143793990","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The emotional toll of fieldwork 野外工作的情感代价
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-04 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02301-5
Anna Lena Bercht, Verena Sandner Le Gall
{"title":"The emotional toll of fieldwork","authors":"Anna Lena Bercht, Verena Sandner Le Gall","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02301-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02301-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The Comment by Schipper et al.<sup>1</sup> offers a crucial perspective on the emotional strain climate scientists face as they confront the accelerating climate crisis. It highlights how climate scientists experience feelings of despair, anxiety, sadness and worry, yet hesitate to communicate these emotions due to the prevailing norm that rigorous science should be objective, value-free and apolitical — essentially unemotional. This problematic dichotomy between emotion and science, particularly in the natural sciences, resonates deeply with our experiences as qualitative human geographers working on climate adaptation and climate justice.</p><p>While Schipper et al. focus on the emotional burdens in climate science more broadly, we believe that one aspect warrants further attention: the profound emotional challenges that may arise specifically during and after ethnographic fieldwork. Unlike laboratory or desk-based work, ethnographic fieldwork — especially in regions disproportionately affected by climate change — often places researchers in direct contact with the environments and communities where the immediacy of climate impacts and human vulnerability is most acute and palpable. It may be one thing to model the rise of global temperatures or project the consequences of climate change in a controlled and stable environment; it is another to confront the tangible impacts of these changes in person on the ground. The embodied detachment provided by engaging with quantitative models and computer simulations that are abstracted and distant from the everyday human experience of climate change, as well as from individuals’ hopes, dreams and identities, may create psychological buffers that field scientists might lack. Fieldwork, by its nature, is a deeply embodied experience<sup>2</sup>.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143775365","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enhance responsible governance to match the scale and pace of marine–climate interventions 加强负责任的治理,以配合海洋气候干预的规模和速度
IF 29.6 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-03 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02292-3
Emily M. Ogier, Gretta T. Pecl, Terry Hughes, Sarah Lawless, Cayne Layton, Kirsty L. Nash, Tiffany H. Morrison
{"title":"Enhance responsible governance to match the scale and pace of marine–climate interventions","authors":"Emily M. Ogier,&nbsp;Gretta T. Pecl,&nbsp;Terry Hughes,&nbsp;Sarah Lawless,&nbsp;Cayne Layton,&nbsp;Kirsty L. Nash,&nbsp;Tiffany H. Morrison","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02292-3","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02292-3","url":null,"abstract":"Oceans are on the frontline of an array of new marine–climate actions that are both poorly understood and under-regulated. Development and deployment of these interventions is outpacing governance readiness to address risks and ensure responsible transformation and effective action.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 4","pages":"356-357"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02292-3.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143766348","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Novel marine-climate interventions hampered by low consensus and governance preparedness 由于缺乏共识和治理准备,新的海洋气候干预措施受到阻碍
IF 29.6 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-03 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02291-4
Emily M. Ogier, Gretta T. Pecl, Terry Hughes, Sarah Lawless, Cayne Layton, Kirsty L. Nash, Tiffany H. Morrison
{"title":"Novel marine-climate interventions hampered by low consensus and governance preparedness","authors":"Emily M. Ogier,&nbsp;Gretta T. Pecl,&nbsp;Terry Hughes,&nbsp;Sarah Lawless,&nbsp;Cayne Layton,&nbsp;Kirsty L. Nash,&nbsp;Tiffany H. Morrison","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02291-4","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02291-4","url":null,"abstract":"Novel marine-climate interventions are now being rapidly implemented to address both the causes and consequences of warming oceans. However, the governance implications of proposed upscaling of such interventions are uncertain. We conduct a survey of 332 intervention practitioners, revealing five types and 17 sub-types of interventions proposed or deployed in 37 marine systems globally. Most (71%) report marine-climate interventions aimed at supporting species and ecosystem adaptation, with 29% aimed primarily at climate mitigation and societal adaptation. Perceptions of climate benefits vary widely, with low consensus across practitioners on the climate goals of specific interventions. Intervention decision-making also remains focused on technical feasibility to meet minimum permitting requirements, with limited appraisal and management of broader ecological, cultural and social risks and benefits of intervention. Practitioners also warn that many marine-climate interventions are currently being tested and deployed in an under-regulated pseudo-scientific bubble. Oceans are on the front line of new planned climate actions, but understanding of novel marine-climate intervention development and deployment remains low. Here a survey among intervention practitioners allows identification of science and governance gaps for marine-climate interventions.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 4","pages":"375-384"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02291-4.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143766349","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
China’s carbon sinks from land-use change underestimated 中国土地利用变化的碳汇被低估
IF 29.6 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02296-z
Yakun Zhu, Xiaosheng Xia, Josep G. Canadell, Shilong Piao, Xinqing Lu, Umakant Mishra, Xuhui Wang, Wenping Yuan, Zhangcai Qin
{"title":"China’s carbon sinks from land-use change underestimated","authors":"Yakun Zhu,&nbsp;Xiaosheng Xia,&nbsp;Josep G. Canadell,&nbsp;Shilong Piao,&nbsp;Xinqing Lu,&nbsp;Umakant Mishra,&nbsp;Xuhui Wang,&nbsp;Wenping Yuan,&nbsp;Zhangcai Qin","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02296-z","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02296-z","url":null,"abstract":"The size and attribution of the regional net carbon flux from land-use change (LUC) activities (ELUC) are often highly debated, especially in regions such as China, which has experienced decades-long extensive reforestation activities. Here, using a LUC dataset incorporating remote-sensing and national forest inventory data with two modelling approaches, we show that ELUC in China shifted from a carbon source to a sink in the 1990s, contributing to a net cumulative CO2 removal of 2.0 Pg C during 1981–2020. From 2001 to 2020, the average ELUC was −0.14 Pg C yr−1, accounting for over one-third of the national land carbon sinks. Forest-related LUC activities contributed greatly to national carbon fluxes, while non-forest-related activities played a dominant role in certain areas. Our findings suggest that the carbon sinks from LUC activities in China may be largely underestimated in global assessments, underscoring the need to develop region-specific modelling for evaluation and potential regulation. The terrestrial carbon flux—sources and sinks—under land-use change (LUC) is difficult to quantify. Here, using a LUC dataset drawing on remote sensing and forest inventory data, the authors show that in China the carbon sink from LUC (such as afforestation) may be underestimated.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 4","pages":"428-435"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143744732","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Constrained Earth system models show a stronger reduction in future Northern Hemisphere snowmelt water 受约束的地球系统模式显示,未来北半球融雪水的减少幅度更大
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-03-28 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02308-y
Yuanfang Chai, Chiyuan Miao, Pierre Gentine, Lawrence Mudryk, Chad W. Thackeray, Wouter R. Berghuijs, Yi Wu, Xuewei Fan, Louise Slater, Qiaohong Sun, Francis Zwiers
{"title":"Constrained Earth system models show a stronger reduction in future Northern Hemisphere snowmelt water","authors":"Yuanfang Chai, Chiyuan Miao, Pierre Gentine, Lawrence Mudryk, Chad W. Thackeray, Wouter R. Berghuijs, Yi Wu, Xuewei Fan, Louise Slater, Qiaohong Sun, Francis Zwiers","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02308-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02308-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Although Earth system models (ESMs) tend to overestimate historical land surface warming, they also overestimate snow amounts in the Northern Hemisphere. By combining ground-based datasets and ESMs, we find that this paradoxical phenomenon is predominantly driven by an overestimation of light snowfall frequency. Using spatially distributed emergent constraints, we show that this paradox persists in mid- (2041–2060) and long-term (2081–2100) projections, affecting more than half of the Northern Hemisphere’s land surface. ESMs underestimate the frequency of freezing days by 12–19% and overestimate snow water equivalent by 28–34%. Constrained projections indicate that the raw ESM outputs overestimate future Northern Hemisphere snowmelt water by 12–16% across 53–60% of the Northern Hemisphere’s land surface. This snowmelt water overprediction implies that the amount of water available in the future for agriculture, industry, ecosystems and domestic use may be lower than unadjusted ESM projections suggest.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-03-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143723125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global distribution, quantification and valuation of the biological carbon pump 生物碳泵的全球分布、量化与评价
IF 29.6 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02295-0
F. Berzaghi, Jérôme Pinti, Olivier Aumont, Olivier Maury, Thomas Cosimano, Mary S. Wisz
{"title":"Global distribution, quantification and valuation of the biological carbon pump","authors":"F. Berzaghi,&nbsp;Jérôme Pinti,&nbsp;Olivier Aumont,&nbsp;Olivier Maury,&nbsp;Thomas Cosimano,&nbsp;Mary S. Wisz","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02295-0","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02295-0","url":null,"abstract":"The biological carbon pump (BCP) sequesters vast amounts of carbon in the ocean, but its importance for conservation, climate finance and international policy has not been properly assessed. Here, using spatial analysis and financial valuation of the BCP service, we estimate that, annually, the BCP adds 2.81 GtC (range 2.44–3.53 GtC) to the ocean with a storage time of at least 50 years (±25 years). This ecosystem service is worth US$545 billion per year (US$471–694 billion) in areas beyond national jurisdiction and US$383 billion per year (US$336–471 billion) within all exclusive economic zones, where the sum of its discounted values for 2023–2030 is US$2.2 trillion (range US$1.9–2.7 trillion). These results quantify the climate and economic importance of the BCP and the important role of large ocean states in carbon sequestration. These findings can support discussions in climate finance and in the COP global stocktake for climate action. This study quantifies and values the carbon stored in the ocean due to biological processes. With uptake in the order of 2.8 Gt per year, valued at around US$1 trillion annually (at a carbon price of US$90 per ton of CO2), this service should be included in the global stocktake and climate actions.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 4","pages":"385-392"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143712789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fossil fuel subsidy reforms have become more fragile 化石燃料补贴改革变得更加脆弱
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-03-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02283-4
Paasha Mahdavi, Michael L. Ross, Evelyn Simoni
{"title":"Fossil fuel subsidy reforms have become more fragile","authors":"Paasha Mahdavi, Michael L. Ross, Evelyn Simoni","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02283-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02283-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Since the mid-2010s, many governments have pledged to reduce their subsidies for fossil fuels. Yet, it is unclear whether these reforms have been implemented, with prior studies showing conflicting results. Here we collect original monthly data on the 21 countries with the largest gasoline subsidies in the 2003–2015 period and evaluate their reform efforts from 2016 to 2023. Since 2016, there has been an increase in the frequency and ambition of subsidy reforms but a drop in their durability: just 30% of the reforms survived for 12 months, and only 9% survived for 36 months. Subsidies rose for 12 countries in our sample and were virtually unchanged in the other 9. This pattern calls into question the effectiveness of recent strategies for reducing fossil fuel subsidies.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"183 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143702880","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Drought hinders the advance of spring phenology through ecosystem memory effects 干旱通过生态系统记忆效应阻碍了春季物候的推进
IF 29.6 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-03-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02274-5
{"title":"Drought hinders the advance of spring phenology through ecosystem memory effects","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02274-5","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02274-5","url":null,"abstract":"Analysis of satellite observations and in situ phenology records revealed a delayed onset of spring after drought in northern ecosystems. These delays are regulated by both endogenous memory within plants and exogenous memory of the environment, with the latter having a dominant role.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 4","pages":"362-363"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143703313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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