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Contrasting biological production trends over land and ocean 对比陆地和海洋生物生产趋势
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02375-1
Yulong Zhang, Wenhong Li, Ge Sun, Jiafu Mao, Matthew Dannenberg, Jingfeng Xiao, Zuchuan Li, Haipeng Zhao, Qianru Zhang, Shineng Hu, Conghe Song, Nicolas Cassar
{"title":"Contrasting biological production trends over land and ocean","authors":"Yulong Zhang, Wenhong Li, Ge Sun, Jiafu Mao, Matthew Dannenberg, Jingfeng Xiao, Zuchuan Li, Haipeng Zhao, Qianru Zhang, Shineng Hu, Conghe Song, Nicolas Cassar","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02375-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02375-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Terrestrial and marine ecosystems constitute the primary components of the Earth’s biosphere, yet their photosynthetic productions are typically studied separately, which limits understanding of planetary carbon uptake and biosphere health. Here, using multiple satellite-derived products, we identify contrasting net primary production (NPP) trends between land and ocean, probably reflecting their differential sensitivity to climate warming, especially in tropical regions. Planetary NPP shows an overall increase of 0.11 ± 0.13 PgC yr<sup>−1</sup> (<i>P</i> = 0.05) from 2003 to 2021, driven by a significant terrestrial enhancement of 0.20 ± 0.07 PgC yr<sup>−1</sup> (<i>P</i> &lt; 0.001) and partially offset by an oceanic decline of −0.12 ± 0.12 PgC yr<sup>−1</sup> (<i>P</i> = 0.07). While land contributes to the strong upwards NPP trend, the interannual variability in global NPP is predominantly driven by the ocean, especially during strong El Niño–Southern Oscillation events. Our findings highlight the resilience and potential vulnerability of biosphere primary productivity in a warming climate, calling for integrated land–ocean monitoring and assessment to support climate mitigation initiatives.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"11 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144756565","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Contemporary trends in planetary photosynthetic production 行星光合作用生产的当代趋势
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-08-01 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02390-2
{"title":"Contemporary trends in planetary photosynthetic production","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02390-2","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02390-2","url":null,"abstract":"Terrestrial and marine photosynthetic production are typically studied separately. Now, an integrated analysis of land and ocean net primary production for 2003–2021 reveals that land and ocean net primary production show contrasting trends. Enhanced biospheric primary production is predominantly driven by an increase over land, partially offset by an oceanic decrease.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"97 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144756556","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shifting hotspot of tropical cyclone clusters in a warming climate 变暖气候下热带气旋群的热点转移
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-31 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02397-9
Zheng-Hang Fu, Dazhi Xi, Shang-Ping Xie, Wen Zhou, Ning Lin, Jiuwei Zhao, Xin Wang, Johnny C. L. Chan
{"title":"Shifting hotspot of tropical cyclone clusters in a warming climate","authors":"Zheng-Hang Fu, Dazhi Xi, Shang-Ping Xie, Wen Zhou, Ning Lin, Jiuwei Zhao, Xin Wang, Johnny C. L. Chan","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02397-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02397-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Multiple tropical cyclones can be present concurrently within one ocean basin, and these clusters can induce compound hazards within a short time window. While the western North Pacific has historically been home to most tropical cyclone clusters, how climate change might affect this is unclear. Here we use observations and high-resolution climate model simulations to develop a probabilistic model, assuming that tropical cyclones are mutually independent and occur randomly. Against this baseline, we identify outliers as clusters with dynamic interactions between tropical cyclones. We find that the recent global warming pattern induces major shifts in tropical cyclone cluster hotspots from the western North Pacific to the North Atlantic by modulating tropical cyclone frequency and synoptic-scale wave activity. Our probabilistic modelling indicates a tenfold increase in the likelihood of tropical cyclone cluster frequency in the North Atlantic, surpassing that in the western North Pacific, from 1.4 ± 0.4% to 14.3 ± 1.2% over the past 46 years.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"717 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144747132","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reconsidering space-for-time substitution in climate change ecology 重新考虑气候变化生态学中的时空替代
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-30 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02392-0
Margaret E. K. Evans, Peter B. Adler, Amy L. Angert, Sharmila M. N. Dey, Martin P. Girardin, Kelly A. Heilman, Stefan Klesse, Daniel L. Perret, Dov F. Sax, Seema N. Sheth, Michael Stemkovski, Jennifer L. Williams
{"title":"Reconsidering space-for-time substitution in climate change ecology","authors":"Margaret E. K. Evans, Peter B. Adler, Amy L. Angert, Sharmila M. N. Dey, Martin P. Girardin, Kelly A. Heilman, Stefan Klesse, Daniel L. Perret, Dov F. Sax, Seema N. Sheth, Michael Stemkovski, Jennifer L. Williams","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02392-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02392-0","url":null,"abstract":"Ecologists often leverage patterns observed across spatial climate gradients to predict the impacts of climate change (space-for-time substitution). We highlight evidence that this can be misleading not just in the magnitude but in the direction of effects, explain why, and make suggestions for improving the reliability of ecological forecasts.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"13 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-07-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144736841","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Green backlash and right-wing populism 绿色反弹和右翼民粹主义
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02384-0
Valentina Bosetti, Italo Colantone, Catherine E. De Vries, Giorgio Musto
{"title":"Green backlash and right-wing populism","authors":"Valentina Bosetti, Italo Colantone, Catherine E. De Vries, Giorgio Musto","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02384-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02384-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This Review delves into the politics of climate policy, specifically focusing on the so-called green backlash—that is, rising resistance from voters, parties and governments to the climate transition. We present a narrative review of the literature on the political consequences of climate policies, highlighting the presence of backlash among citizens negatively affected by decarbonization efforts. Populist right forces emerge as the primary beneficiaries of the backlash as they tend to be more sceptical regarding anthropogenic climate change and less supportive of climate policies. In turn, their electoral success has negative implications for countries’ climate policymaking and performance. Finally, we draw insights from the literature to reflect on what can be done to improve the political sustainability of climate policies.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"24 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144719405","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reduction of methane emissions through improved landfill management 透过改善堆填区管理，减少甲烷排放
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02391-1
Haoran Tong, Tianhai Cheng, Xingyu Li, Hao Zhu, Xiaotong Ye, Donghao Fan, Tao Tang
{"title":"Reduction of methane emissions through improved landfill management","authors":"Haoran Tong, Tianhai Cheng, Xingyu Li, Hao Zhu, Xiaotong Ye, Donghao Fan, Tao Tang","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02391-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02391-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Solid waste in landfills continuously emits methane, which has become the third-largest anthropogenic source of methane emissions globally. The methane emissions from landfills exhibit substantial variability due to factors such as waste management practices and climatic conditions. Here we assessed methane emissions from 102 high-emitting landfills worldwide under different management strategies and climate conditions using 5 years of satellite observations. We find that, for these sites, total methane emissions from open dumps are underestimated by a factor of 5.3 ± 0.3 in the EDGAR v8.0 inventory. Transforming open dumpsites worldwide into sanitary landfills, while diverting organic waste to composters and biodigesters, can decrease methane emissions by 80% (60–89%), offering a mitigation potential of 760 (570–850) Mt CO<sub>2</sub>e annually. These results highlight that prioritizing improved waste management in developing countries, supported by economic and technological measures, represents one of the most effective strategies for mitigating methane emissions from the solid waste sector.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144715477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Wind droughts threaten energy reliability 风旱威胁着能源的可靠性
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02383-1
Sue Ellen Haupt
{"title":"Wind droughts threaten energy reliability","authors":"Sue Ellen Haupt","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02383-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02383-1","url":null,"abstract":"Wind energy is helping to mitigate climate change. But now a study shows that climate change may make wind power less reliable.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"22 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144715418","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prolonged wind droughts in a warming climate threaten global wind power security 在气候变暖的情况下，持续的风旱威胁着全球风电的安全
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02387-x
Meng Qu, Lu Shen, Zhenzhong Zeng, Bolei Yang, Huiru Zhong, Xinrong Yang, Xi Lu
{"title":"Prolonged wind droughts in a warming climate threaten global wind power security","authors":"Meng Qu, Lu Shen, Zhenzhong Zeng, Bolei Yang, Huiru Zhong, Xinrong Yang, Xi Lu","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02387-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02387-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Prolonged low-wind events, termed wind droughts, threaten wind turbine electricity generation, yet their future trajectories remain poorly understood. Here, using hourly data from 21 IPCC models, we reveal robust increasing trends in wind drought duration at both global and regional scales by 2100, across low- and high-CO<sub>2</sub> scenarios. These trends are primarily driven by declining mid-latitude cyclone frequencies and Arctic warming. Notably, the duration of 25-year return events is projected to increase by up to 20% under low warming scenarios and 40% under very high warming scenarios in northern mid-latitude countries, threatening energy security in these densely populated areas. Additionally, record-breaking wind drought extremes will probably become more frequent in a warming climate, particularly in eastern North America, western Russia, northeastern China and north-central Africa. Our analysis suggests that ~20% of existing wind turbines are in regions at high future risk of record-breaking wind drought extremes, a factor not yet considered in current assessments.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"53 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144715417","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Antarctic phytoplankton communities restructure under shifting sea-ice regimes 南极浮游植物群落在不断变化的海冰制度下重组
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-25 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02379-x
Alexander Hayward, Simon W. Wright, Dustin Carroll, Cliff S. Law, Pat Wongpan, Andrés Gutiérrez-Rodriguez, Matthew H. Pinkerton
{"title":"Antarctic phytoplankton communities restructure under shifting sea-ice regimes","authors":"Alexander Hayward, Simon W. Wright, Dustin Carroll, Cliff S. Law, Pat Wongpan, Andrés Gutiérrez-Rodriguez, Matthew H. Pinkerton","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02379-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02379-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Phytoplankton are critical to the Antarctic marine food web and associated biological carbon pump, yet long-term shifts in their community composition are poorly understood. Here, using a machine learning framework and combining pigment samples and environmental samples from austral summertime 1997–2023, we show declines in diatoms and increases in haptophytes and cryptophytes across much of Antarctica’s continental shelf. These trends—which are linked to sea ice increases—reversed after 2016, with a rebound in diatoms and a large increase in cryptophytes, coinciding with the loss of sea ice. Significant changes (<i>P</i> &lt; 0.05) across the 25-year dataset include diatom chlorophyll <i>a</i> (chl-<i>a</i>) declines of 0.32 mg chl-<i>a</i> m<sup>−3</sup> (~33% of the climatology) and increases for haptophytes and cryptophytes of 0.08 and 0.23 mg chl-<i>a</i> m<sup>−3</sup>, respectively. The long-term shifts in phytoplankton assemblages could reduce the dominance of the krill-centric food web and diminish the biologically mediated export of carbon to depth, with implications for the global-ocean carbon sink.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"119 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-07-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144701430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Heatwaves disrupt prey behaviour 热浪扰乱了猎物的行为
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-22 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02393-z
Laura R. Stein
{"title":"Heatwaves disrupt prey behaviour","authors":"Laura R. Stein","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02393-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02393-z","url":null,"abstract":"Sublethal impacts of heat on reproductive outcomes are beginning to be considered as important drivers of population persistence under climate change. Now, research shows that the impact of transient heat on antipredator behaviours may be an underappreciated source of variation that could have far-reaching implications for survival.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"24 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144677522","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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