Nature Climate Change最新文献

Government efforts to reduce fossil fuel subsidies have failed at a very high rate 政府减少化石燃料补贴的努力失败率很高

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02304-2

Paasha Mahdavi, Michael L. Ross, Evelyn Simoni

引用次数: 0

Dual impact of global urban overheating on mortality 全球城市过热对死亡率的双重影响

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02303-3

Shasha Wang, Wenfeng Zhan, Bingbing Zhou, Shilu Tong, TC Chakraborty, Zhihua Wang, Kangning Huang, Huilin Du, Ariane Middel, Jiufeng Li, Zihan Liu, Long Li, Fan Huang, Manchun Li

{"title":"Dual impact of global urban overheating on mortality","authors":"Shasha Wang, Wenfeng Zhan, Bingbing Zhou, Shilu Tong, TC Chakraborty, Zhihua Wang, Kangning Huang, Huilin Du, Ariane Middel, Jiufeng Li, Zihan Liu, Long Li, Fan Huang, Manchun Li","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02303-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02303-3","url":null,"abstract":"It is known that the urban heat island (UHI) effect could increase mortality in hot seasons, yet its potential health benefits during cold spells are often overlooked. Here we assess the beneficial and detrimental impacts of the UHI effect and associated cooling strategies on temperature-related mortality in more than 3,000 cities worldwide by integrating multi-source datasets. This study finds that the UHI effect reduces global cold-related mortality, surpassing the increase in heat-related mortality more than fourfold. Widely implemented urban cooling strategies, including green and reflective infrastructure, can have an adverse net effect in high-latitude cities but benefit a few tropical cities. We propose seasonal adjustments to roof albedo as an actionable strategy to reduce heat- and cold-related mortality. Our findings highlight that urban heat can protect against mortality in most non-tropical cities in the cold season, emphasizing the importance of seasonally and place-based adaptive UHI mitigation strategies to reduce temperature-related mortality.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"43 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143857279","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Urban heat islands increase or reduce mortality in different cities 城市热岛会增加或降低不同城市的死亡率

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02310-4

引用次数: 0

Observations reveal changing coastal storm extremes around the United States 观测揭示了美国沿海极端风暴的变化

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02315-z

Joao Morim, Thomas Wahl, D. J. Rasmussen, Francisco M. Calafat, Sean Vitousek, Soenke Dangendorf, Robert E. Kopp, Michael Oppenheimer

{"title":"Observations reveal changing coastal storm extremes around the United States","authors":"Joao Morim, Thomas Wahl, D. J. Rasmussen, Francisco M. Calafat, Sean Vitousek, Soenke Dangendorf, Robert E. Kopp, Michael Oppenheimer","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02315-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02315-z","url":null,"abstract":"Understanding extreme storm surge events that threaten low-lying coastal communities is key to effective flood mitigation/adaptation measures. However, observational estimates are sparse and highly uncertain along most coastal regions with a lack of observational evidence about long-term underlying trends and their contribution to overall extreme sea-level changes. Here, using a spatiotemporal Bayesian hierarchical framework, we analyse US tide gauge record for 1950–2020 and find that observational estimates have underestimated likelihoods of storm surge extremes at 85% of tide gauge sites nationwide. Additionally, and contrary to prevailing beliefs, storm surge extremes show spatially coherent trends along many widespread coastal areas, providing evidence of changing coastal storm intensity in the historical monitoring period. Several hotspots exist with regionally significant storm surge trends that are comparable to trends in mean sea-level rise and its key components. Our findings challenge traditional coastal design/planning practices that rely on estimates from discrete observations and assume stationarity in surge extremes.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143841508","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Carbon uptake rate dominates changes in vegetation productivity over time 碳吸收率主导植被生产力随时间的变化

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02316-y

引用次数: 0

The impact of Antarctic ice-shelf cavities on Earth system dynamics 南极冰架空腔对地球系统动力学的影响

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02307-z

引用次数: 0

Increasing burden of poor mental health attributable to high temperature in Australia 澳大利亚高温造成的心理健康不良负担日益加重

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-14 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02309-x

Jingwen Liu, Blesson M. Varghese, Alana Hansen, Keith Dear, Geoffrey Morgan, Timothy Driscoll, Ying Zhang, Vanessa Prescott, Vergil Dolar, Michelle Gourley, Anthony Capon, Peng Bi

{"title":"Increasing burden of poor mental health attributable to high temperature in Australia","authors":"Jingwen Liu, Blesson M. Varghese, Alana Hansen, Keith Dear, Geoffrey Morgan, Timothy Driscoll, Ying Zhang, Vanessa Prescott, Vergil Dolar, Michelle Gourley, Anthony Capon, Peng Bi","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02309-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02309-x","url":null,"abstract":"High-temperature exposure has important implications for mental and behavioural disorders (MBDs), which could lead to increased risks under climate change. However, knowledge gaps exist in quantifying the attributable burden. Here we assessed the burden of MBDs attributable to temperatures above the location-specific thresholds from 2003 to 2018 using disability-adjusted life years and projected future burdens under the climate scenarios representative concentration pathways RCP 4.5 and 8.5 across Australia, considering various climatic, demographic and adaptation scenarios. We show that high temperatures contributed to an annual loss of 8,458 disability-adjusted life years, representing 1.8% of total MBD burden in Australia. Our findings project a consistent upward trend in the high-temperature-attributable burden of MBDs over time. Specifically, this burden is expected to increase by 11.0–17.2% in the 2030s and by 27.5–48.9% in the 2050s compared to the baseline. Our study underscores the need for both adaptation and mitigation strategies to counteract the adverse effects of warming climate on mental health.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"21 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143827217","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Enhanced vegetation productivity driven primarily by rate not duration of carbon uptake 植被生产力的提高主要受碳吸收速度而非持续时间的驱动

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-10 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02311-3

Zunchi Liu, Philippe Ciais, Josep Peñuelas, Jianyang Xia, Sha Zhou, Yao Zhang, Yongshuo H. Fu

引用次数: 0

Subsurface heatwaves in lakes 湖泊的地下热浪

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-10 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02314-0

R. Iestyn Woolway, Miraj B. Kayastha, Yan Tong, Lian Feng, Haoran Shi, Pengfei Xue

引用次数: 0

Regional conditions determine thresholds of accelerated Antarctic basal melt in climate projection 区域条件决定了气候预测中南极基底加速融化的阈值