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Improving cost–benefit analyses for health-considered climate mitigation policymaking 改进考虑健康的气候减缓政策制定的成本效益分析
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-05 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02351-9
Jianxiang Shen, Shihui Zhang, Mengzhen Zhao, Chi Zhang, Wenjia Cai, Can Wang
{"title":"Improving cost–benefit analyses for health-considered climate mitigation policymaking","authors":"Jianxiang Shen, Shihui Zhang, Mengzhen Zhao, Chi Zhang, Wenjia Cai, Can Wang","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02351-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02351-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p>There is growing discussion about enhancing climate policy efficiency by prioritizing health, with expectations for including health co-benefits in the next round of nationally determined contribution updates. Critical to this effort is the need to compare the benefits to the costs of mitigation. Here we synthesize the current cost-effectiveness of climate policies based on health-included cost–benefit analyses and identify key research challenges and opportunities for scaling up health-considered or even health-centred climate policies. Furthermore, we show factors essential to accelerating the development and implementation of mitigation policies, including providing tangible and policy-relevant health co-benefits, promoting interdisciplinary contributions and cross-sector policy engagement, conducting regional studies and improving inter-study comparability, and exploring health-considered optimized strategies.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"4 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144219010","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Meeting climate target with realistic demand-side policies in the residential sector 以切合实际的住宅需求侧政策实现气候目标
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-05 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02348-4
Lucas Vivier, Alessio Mastrucci, Bas van Ruijven
{"title":"Meeting climate target with realistic demand-side policies in the residential sector","authors":"Lucas Vivier, Alessio Mastrucci, Bas van Ruijven","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02348-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02348-4","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The European Union (EU) has established an ambitious policy framework for demand-side mitigation in buildings towards net-zero targets. Here, we conduct a comprehensive quantitative assessment of 384 demand-side policy combinations for residential space heating that complement supply-side decarbonization efforts. We show that implementing the EU Emissions Trading System 2, even when combined with energy supply decarbonization, falls short of climate targets. Beyond the EU Emissions Trading System 2, we emphasize the need for ambitious heat-pump subsidies as a critical component of a successful strategy. Conversely, a large-scale generic ‘Renovation Wave’ contributes modestly to decarbonization, is not a cost-effective strategy at the EU level and requires significant public spending increases. We advocate for the implementation of a carbon tax, paired with substantial heat-pump subsidies and targeted incentives for home insulation by country and building. This approach supports the decarbonization of the residential sector, limits the strain on the electricity grid and alleviates energy poverty.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"100 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144218992","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
European Union needs large heat pump and targeted renovation subsidies to meet heating targets 欧盟需要大型热泵和有针对性的改造补贴来满足供暖目标
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-05 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02342-w
Lucas Vivier, Alessio Mastrucci, Bas van Ruijven
{"title":"European Union needs large heat pump and targeted renovation subsidies to meet heating targets","authors":"Lucas Vivier, Alessio Mastrucci, Bas van Ruijven","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02342-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02342-w","url":null,"abstract":"Current European Union policies are insufficient to achieve residential heating decarbonization targets. Substantial subsidies for heat pumps and carefully targeted incentives for home renovation are critical to efficiently and affordably meet climate goals. We emphasize the importance of adapting strategies to national contexts.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144218734","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Author Correction: Explaining the adaptation gap through consistency in adaptation planning 作者更正：通过适应计划的一致性来解释适应差距
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-04 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02370-6
Diana Reckien, Attila Buzasi, Marta Olazabal, Paris Fokaides, Filomena Pietrapertosa, Peter Eckersley, Monica Salvia
{"title":"Author Correction: Explaining the adaptation gap through consistency in adaptation planning","authors":"Diana Reckien, Attila Buzasi, Marta Olazabal, Paris Fokaides, Filomena Pietrapertosa, Peter Eckersley, Monica Salvia","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02370-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02370-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Correction to: <i>Nature Climate Change</i> https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02334-w, published online 12 May 2025.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144211034","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Flood-induced selective migration patterns examined 研究了洪水引起的选择性迁移模式
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-03 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02346-6
{"title":"Flood-induced selective migration patterns examined","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02346-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02346-6","url":null,"abstract":"Selective migration patterns emerge in flood-prone regions in the USA. The sociodemographic profiles of individuals who were more inclined to move in or out of flood-prone areas were strikingly different. Media sentiment aggravates population replacement in these regions, leading to short-term structure changes in the housing market and long-term socioeconomic decline.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"110 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144201722","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Assessing risk of ecosystem collapse in a changing climate 评估气候变化下生态系统崩溃的风险
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02324-y
Jessica A. Rowland, Emily Nicholson, José R. Ferrer-Paris, David A. Keith, Nicholas J. Murray, Chloe F. Sato, Anikó B. Tóth, Arn Tolsma, Susanna Venn, Marianne V. Asmüssen, Patricio Pliscoff, Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio, Rebecca E. Lester, Tracey J. Regan
{"title":"Assessing risk of ecosystem collapse in a changing climate","authors":"Jessica A. Rowland, Emily Nicholson, José R. Ferrer-Paris, David A. Keith, Nicholas J. Murray, Chloe F. Sato, Anikó B. Tóth, Arn Tolsma, Susanna Venn, Marianne V. Asmüssen, Patricio Pliscoff, Carlos Zambrana-Torrelio, Rebecca E. Lester, Tracey J. Regan","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02324-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02324-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Climate change affects ecosystems globally, but their diversity and complexity make it difficult to estimate how severe these impacts are. Here we discuss how to conceptualize the effects of climate change on ecosystems so that they can be reliably captured in ecosystem risk assessments, focusing on the International Union for Conservation of Nature Red List of Ecosystems, a headline indicator for the Kunming–Montreal Global Biodiversity Framework. We highlight key challenges and propose solutions, which include using diverse teams, conceptual models and data sources (including projections), learning from analogous ecosystems, and evaluating uncertainties. This approach will improve the capacity to produce reliable assessments of risk under climate change to inform timely and effective conservation.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144193352","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Prioritizing parents from global genebanks to breed climate-resilient crops 优先考虑全球基因库中的亲本，培育适应气候变化的作物
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02333-x
Quinn Campbell, Nora Castañeda-Álvarez, Ryan Domingo, Eric Bishop-von Wettberg, Bryan Runck, Hervé Nandkangré, Anna Halpin-McCormick, Nathan Fumia, Jeffrey Neyhart, Benjamin Kilian, Peterson Wambugu, Desterio Nyamongo, Sariel Hübner, Sidney Sitar, Addie Thompson, Loren Rieseberg, Michael A. Gore, Michael B. Kantar
{"title":"Prioritizing parents from global genebanks to breed climate-resilient crops","authors":"Quinn Campbell, Nora Castañeda-Álvarez, Ryan Domingo, Eric Bishop-von Wettberg, Bryan Runck, Hervé Nandkangré, Anna Halpin-McCormick, Nathan Fumia, Jeffrey Neyhart, Benjamin Kilian, Peterson Wambugu, Desterio Nyamongo, Sariel Hübner, Sidney Sitar, Addie Thompson, Loren Rieseberg, Michael A. Gore, Michael B. Kantar","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02333-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02333-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Crop diversity is an essential resource for global breeding programmes aimed at climate resilience. However, adaptation depends both on whether genetic diversity exists and if it is accessible. Here we consider the biological and social risks of crop adaptation at global and national levels using 1,937 publicly available genotyped and georeferenced accessions of sorghum, a staple crop for subsistence farmers. Accessions were given a future climate resilience score and a genomic adaptive capacity score using genomic estimated adaptive values generated from environmental genomic selection. We identified the best potential parents and the geographies that harbour the most promising genotypes for crop improvements, as well as more at-risk areas. Such methods may be expanded to other crops and used for decision support for future breeding. Adapting agriculture to future climate conditions will necessitate increased accessibility to plant genetic resources and their genetic characterization.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"138 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144165523","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unlocking genebanks for climate adaptation 打开适应气候变化的基因库
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02336-8
Andrés J. Cortés
{"title":"Unlocking genebanks for climate adaptation","authors":"Andrés J. Cortés","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02336-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02336-8","url":null,"abstract":"Genebanks hold the key to crop resilience and adaptation, yet their potential remains underutilized. Now, a study demonstrates how merging genomic and environmental data can unveil the best-suited germplasm for future climates.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"5 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144165520","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Keeping forests on the agroforestry agenda 将森林问题列入农林业议程
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-28 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02344-8
Karam C. Sheban, Sara E. Kuebbing, Marlyse C. Duguid, Mark S. Ashton, Alex C. McAlvay, John F. Munsell, Joseph Orefice, Mark A. Bradford
{"title":"Keeping forests on the agroforestry agenda","authors":"Karam C. Sheban, Sara E. Kuebbing, Marlyse C. Duguid, Mark S. Ashton, Alex C. McAlvay, John F. Munsell, Joseph Orefice, Mark A. Bradford","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02344-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02344-8","url":null,"abstract":"Emerging agroforestry initiatives focus on planting trees rather than managing existing forestland. The result is a missed opportunity to support forest ecosystems, rural livelihoods and climate mitigation.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"45 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144153400","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Targeted policies to break the deadlock on heating bans 有针对性的政策打破供暖禁令的僵局
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02343-9
Ottmar Edenhofer, Andreas Gerster, Johannes Gessner, Erica Myers, Michael Pahle, Karen Palmer
{"title":"Targeted policies to break the deadlock on heating bans","authors":"Ottmar Edenhofer, Andreas Gerster, Johannes Gessner, Erica Myers, Michael Pahle, Karen Palmer","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02343-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02343-9","url":null,"abstract":"As an important policy instrument for building sector decarbonization, bans on fossil fuel-based heating face fierce opposition with doubts over their economic viability. With a unified perspective that incorporates the views of proponents and opponents, we discuss the importance of targeted policies to break the deadlock.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144137032","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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