Nature Climate Change最新文献

Changing wildfire complexity highlights the need for institutional adaptation 不断变化的野火复杂性凸显了制度适应的必要性

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02367-1

Branda Nowell, Kate Jones, Shannon McGovern

{"title":"Changing wildfire complexity highlights the need for institutional adaptation","authors":"Branda Nowell, Kate Jones, Shannon McGovern","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02367-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02367-1","url":null,"abstract":"As wildfires grow increasingly complex, institutional adaptation—adjusting institutions to respond effectively to environmental changes—is crucial for enhancing wildfire management capabilities. However, institutional adaptation is a challenge as the connection between environmental changes and human institutions remains poorly understood. Here, by analysing trends in five incident characteristics linked to institutional complexity at national and regional levels from 1999 to 2020 in the USA, we show national trends of increasing institutional complexity of wildfire indicators associated with wildfire governance, logistics, management, resource scarcity and network coordination. Substantial regional variation was observed, with some cases exhibiting trends in opposite directions. For example, while average jurisdictional complexity showed an increase in the west, it decreased in the east. These results offer insight into the linkage between environmental change and demands for institutional adaptation and provide an empirical basis for considering potential trade-offs of different institutional adaptations in light of competing pressures.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"52 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144488386","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Protect young secondary forests for optimum carbon removal 保护幼小的次生林，以达到最佳的碳清除效果

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02355-5

Nathaniel Robinson, C. Ronnie Drever, David A. Gibbs, Kristine Lister, Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert, Viola Heinrich, Philippe Ciais, Celso H. L. Silva-Junior, Zhihua Liu, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Sassan Saatchi, Yidi Xu, Susan C. Cook-Patton

引用次数: 0

Author Correction: Recommendations for producing knowledge syntheses to inform climate change assessments 作者更正：为气候变化评估提供知识综合的建议

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02378-y

James D. Ford, Robbert Biesbroek, Lea Berrang Ford, Felix Creutzig, Neal Haddaway, Sherilee Harper, Jan C. Minx, Mark New, Anne J. Sietsma, Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo, Max Callaghan

引用次数: 0

Social strategies to engage video gamers in climate action 让电子游戏玩家参与气候行动的社交策略

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-20 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02369-z

Jennifer Carman, Marija Verner, Marina Psaros

引用次数: 0

Navigating the black box of fair national emissions targets 在公平的国家排放目标的黑盒子中导航

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-16 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02361-7

Mark M. Dekker, Andries F. Hof, Yann du Robiou Pont, Nicole van den Berg, Vassilis Daioglou, Michel den Elzen, Rik van Heerden, Elena Hooijschuur, Isabela Schmidt Tagomori, Chantal Würschinger, Detlef P. van Vuuren

{"title":"Navigating the black box of fair national emissions targets","authors":"Mark M. Dekker, Andries F. Hof, Yann du Robiou Pont, Nicole van den Berg, Vassilis Daioglou, Michel den Elzen, Rik van Heerden, Elena Hooijschuur, Isabela Schmidt Tagomori, Chantal Würschinger, Detlef P. van Vuuren","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02361-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02361-7","url":null,"abstract":"Current national emissions targets fall short of the Paris Agreement goals, prompting the need for equitable ways to close this gap. Fair emissions allowances rely on effort-sharing formulas based on fairness principles, yielding diverse outcomes. These variations, shaped by normative decisions, complicate policymaking and legal assessments of climate targets. Here we provide up-to-date numbers, comprehensively accounting for three dimensions—physical and social uncertainties, global strategies and equity—and the relative impact of them on each country’s emissions allowance. In the short run, normative considerations substantially impact fair emissions allowances—directing current discussions to this debate—while global discussions on temperature targets and non-CO2 emissions take over in the long run. We identify many countries with insufficient nationally determined contributions in light of fairness and discuss implications for increased domestic mitigation and financing emissions reductions abroad—yielding a total international finance flux of $US0.5–7.4 trillion in 2030.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"10 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144296158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Using deep learning to generate key variables in global mitigation scenarios 利用深度学习在全球缓解情景中生成关键变量

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-13 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02352-8

Peijin Li, Rongqi Zhu, Haewon McJeon, Edward Byers, Peijie Zhou, Yang Ou

引用次数: 0

Future climate-driven fires may boost ocean productivity in the iron-limited North Atlantic 未来气候导致的火灾可能会提高北大西洋铁资源有限的海洋生产力

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-13 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02356-4

Elisa Bergas-Masso, Douglas S. Hamilton, Stelios Myriokefalitakis, Sagar Rathod, María Gonçalves Ageitos, Carlos Pérez García-Pando

{"title":"Future climate-driven fires may boost ocean productivity in the iron-limited North Atlantic","authors":"Elisa Bergas-Masso, Douglas S. Hamilton, Stelios Myriokefalitakis, Sagar Rathod, María Gonçalves Ageitos, Carlos Pérez García-Pando","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02356-4","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02356-4","url":null,"abstract":"Rapid shifts in fire regimes affect the carbon cycle by releasing carbon and nutrients such as iron (Fe), potentially enhancing marine productivity and carbon export. Here we use fire emission projections and Earth system models to examine how climate-driven changes in fire emissions may alter soluble Fe (SFe) deposition and productivity. By century’s end, climate change could increase Fe emissions from fires by 1.7–1.8 times beyond projections considering only direct human influences. Model projections show rising SFe deposition in Northern Hemisphere high latitudes under increasing socio-economic activity, potentially boosting the impact of SFe deposition on productivity in the Fe-limited North Atlantic by up to 20% annually (40% in summer), assuming stable macronutrient levels. However, declining macronutrient availability may shrink Fe-limited areas, where climate-driven fires could offset productivity losses by 7–8%. In the Southern Ocean, fossil fuel emissions primarily control SFe deposition, as reductions in anthropogenic fires counterbalance climate-driven increases.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"6 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-06-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144278821","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Facebook algorithm’s active role in climate advertisement delivery Facebook算法在气候广告投放中的积极作用

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-13 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02326-w

Aruna Sankaranarayanan, Piotr Sapiezynski, Una-May O’Reilly

引用次数: 0

Exploring climate futures with deep learning 用深度学习探索气候的未来

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-13 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02350-w

Alaa Al Khourdajie

引用次数: 0

Recommendations for producing knowledge syntheses to inform climate change assessments 为气候变化评估提供综合知识的建议

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-10 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02354-6

James D. Ford, Robbert Biesbroek, Lea Berrang Ford, Felix Creutzig, Neal Haddaway, Sherilee Harper, Jan C. Minx, Mark New, Anne J. Sietsma, Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo, Max Callaghan

引用次数: 0