Anna H. Andreassen, Jeff C. Clements, Rachael Morgan, Davide Spatafora, Moa Metz, Eirik R. Åsheim, Christophe Pélabon, Fredrik Jutfelt
{"title":"Evolution of warming tolerance alters physiology and life history traits in zebrafish","authors":"Anna H. Andreassen, Jeff C. Clements, Rachael Morgan, Davide Spatafora, Moa Metz, Eirik R. Åsheim, Christophe Pélabon, Fredrik Jutfelt","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02332-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02332-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Evolution of warming tolerance may help species resist the impacts of climate change but can also lead to negative fitness outcomes. Identifying correlated responses to warming tolerance evolution could identify such negative consequences and help uncover the underlying mechanisms. By assessing the correlated responses of life history and physiological traits to seven generations of artificial selection to increase or decrease the acute upper thermal tolerance limit (CT<sub>max</sub>) in zebrafish (<i>Danio rerio</i>), we show that warming-adapted lines have improved cooling tolerance. Furthermore, the absence of difference between selected lines in aerobic metabolic scope, brain heat shock protein levels, fecundity, growth or swimming speed contradicts several hypotheses concerning the mechanisms controlling acute warming tolerance. These results suggest that selection due to acute heating events does not target variation in metabolic rates but can benefit tolerance to cold, making individuals more resilient to extreme temperature events.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"116 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143945686","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Steven R. Smith, Manjana Milkoreit, Frank W. Geels, Timothy M. Lenton
{"title":"Advancing science, policy and action in tipping points research","authors":"Steven R. Smith, Manjana Milkoreit, Frank W. Geels, Timothy M. Lenton","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02335-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02335-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding tipping points is essential for governing systemic risks in the Earth system and accelerating the transition to a low-carbon future. Kopp and colleagues<sup>1</sup> raise important questions about the conceptual clarity and practical utility of tipping points research. While we welcome these questions and share their commitment to precise language and careful scientific communication, we worry that the negative orientation of their paper may lead some scholars to discard tipping points research before fully appreciating its value. We therefore highlight more positive conceptual and empirical insights relating to four topics raised by Kopp and colleagues.</p><p>First, tipping points theory has developed scientifically rigorous foundations since first being applied to climate science in 2008. Essential features — including system reorganization, thresholds, self-propelling feedbacks and nonlinear change — are now well established in the scientific literature<sup>2</sup>. Like other complex concepts in sustainability science, the term’s use can diversify across various disciplines, and it can be misunderstood and misrepresented. This presents opportunities to study and improve how tipping points science is communicated, rather than grounds for dismissal. The concept has also been usefully applied across diverse disciplines and topics — including the acceleration of species’ extinction, groundwater resource depletion, the rise of asset uninsurability and the growing amount of space debris<sup>3</sup>. This ability of the tipping points approach to be tailored to suit different research topics can be viewed positively and can contribute to a broader and richer understanding of the concept.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"31 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143940296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Diana Reckien, Attila Buzasi, Marta Olazabal, Paris Fokaides, Filomena Pietrapertosa, Peter Eckersley, Monica Salvia
{"title":"Explaining the adaptation gap through consistency in adaptation planning","authors":"Diana Reckien, Attila Buzasi, Marta Olazabal, Paris Fokaides, Filomena Pietrapertosa, Peter Eckersley, Monica Salvia","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02334-w","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02334-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p>An adaptation gap exists when adaptation efforts fail to meet adaptation needs. While conceptualizing and operationalizing this gap is challenging, we argue that it should begin with aligning climate risks with policy goals, measures and monitoring and evaluation—what we refer to as ‘consistency’ within adaptation policy. Through a comprehensive European study, we demonstrate how assessing consistency in adaptation plans can enhance understanding and help reduce the adaptation gap.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"26 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143933214","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Gregory Munday, Chris D. Jones, Norman J. Steinert, Camilla Mathison, Eleanor J. Burke, Chris Smith, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca M. Varney, Andy J. Wiltshire
{"title":"Risks of unavoidable impacts on forests at 1.5 °C with and without overshoot","authors":"Gregory Munday, Chris D. Jones, Norman J. Steinert, Camilla Mathison, Eleanor J. Burke, Chris Smith, Chris Huntingford, Rebecca M. Varney, Andy J. Wiltshire","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02327-9","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02327-9","url":null,"abstract":"<p>With global warming heading for 1.5 °C, understanding the risks of exceeding this threshold is increasingly urgent. Impacts on human and natural systems are expected to increase with further warming and some may be irreversible. Yet impacts under policy-relevant stabilization or overshoot pathways have not been well quantified. Here we report the risks of irreversible impacts on forest ecosystems, such as Amazon forest loss and high-latitude woody encroachment, under three scenarios that explore low levels of exceedance and overshoot beyond 1.5 °C. Long-term forest loss is mitigated by reducing global temperatures below 1.5 °C. The proximity of dieback risk thresholds to the bounds of the Paris Agreement global warming levels underscores the need for urgent action to mitigate climate change—and the risks of irreversible loss of an important ecosystem.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"124 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143933228","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Public R&D investment","authors":"Lingxiao Yan","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02339-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02339-5","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Ariel Ortiz-Bobea of Cornell University, USA, and colleagues quantified the public R&D growth needed to compensate for the future climate change impacts on US agricultural productivity. First, based on historical data, they used econometric models to quantify the effect of R&D spending and weather fluctuations on national agricultural total factor productivity (TFP). Then they estimated that, to offset climate damage by 2050, R&D spending should grow by 5.2% to 7.8% per year under a fixed spending growth scenario or by an additional US$2.2 billion to US$3.8 billion per year under a fixed supplement spending scenario, compared with the US$5 billion per year baseline in 2020. The needed investment scale is large because of the imminent climate-induced slowdown in TFP growth and long research lags.</p><p><b>Original reference:</b> <i>Proc. Natl Acad. Sci. USA</i> <b>122</b>, e2411010122 (2025)</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"73 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143930790","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Responsibility attribution in Africa","authors":"Danyang Cheng","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02340-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02340-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding citizens’ views on who is responsible for climate action helps clarify their expectations around climate commitments and responses. However, little is known about how responsibility is perceived across low- and middle-income countries, particularly in Africa. Without clear attribution of responsibility, growing climate vulnerability and risk cannot be effectively or equitably addressed.</p><p>Nicholas Simpson from the University of Cape Town and colleagues from South Africa, the USA and the UK analysed public opinion data from 39 African countries. They find that citizens who are aware of climate change primarily assign responsibility for addressing climate change to their own governments, followed by ordinary African citizens, and then to a mix of industry and historic emitters. But these notions of responsibility are not uniform, and variation is associated with sociodemographic factors and state capacity. Higher education levels, reduced poverty and access to new media sources are associated with increased attribution of responsibility to historical emitters. This study highlights that many Africans are willing to act on the climate crisis and expect their governments to do the same.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"35 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143930789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Expanding cracks","authors":"Jasper Franke","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02338-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02338-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In their study, Andrew Hoffman from Columbia University in the USA and colleagues from the GHOST project team used satellite data in combination with image segmentation methods and crevasse modelling to quantify changes in surface crevasses in the Amundsen Sea embayment between 2015 and 2022. They find that crevasses have grown on Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers and now extend further inland than at the beginning of this time period. This expansion of crevasses is mainly linked to an accelerated loss of ice at the grounding zone, which leads to higher surface stress. These crevasses are mostly restricted to the surface firn layer and, therefore, do not yet lead to a loss of stability of the glaciers. They are, however, a signal of the accelerated mass loss that is observed from these glaciers.</p><p><b>Original reference:</b> <i>Cryosphere</i> <b>19</b>, 1353–1372 (2025)</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"35 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143930884","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Powerful people","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02347-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02347-5","url":null,"abstract":"Many voices are needed in the climate change discussion to reach across society. Pope Francis is one example who offered his voice and support, in the conversation that needs to continue.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143930792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Carbon in river floodplains","authors":"Bronwyn Wake","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02341-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02341-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Rivers play an important role in the transport and alteration of sediment and organic carbon. Yet, the role of floodplains in terrestrial carbon storage is poorly quantified as rivers vary in their erosion rates, transport and deposition of sediment, influenced by meanders, width and depth, among others.</p><p>To better understand what controls the timescales for carbon and sediment storage in river floodplains, Emily Geyman of the California Institute of Technology and co-authors used simulations, along with geomorphic mapping and dating techniques, applied to three Alaskan field sites with diverse characteristics. They show that the storage timescales can be predicted from the channel migration rate, channel width and the floodplain width.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143930791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The rich bear their fair share of climate costs","authors":"Christopher Callahan","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02329-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02329-7","url":null,"abstract":"It has long been recognized that the highest-emitting regions should bear disproportionate responsibility for climate action. Now, a study shows how the highest-income individuals have specifically contributed to climate impacts worldwide.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"270 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143915371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}