Nature Climate Change最新文献_第2页

High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide 高收入群体对全球极端气候的影响不成比例

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02325-x

Sarah Schöngart, Zebedee Nicholls, Roman Hoffmann, Setu Pelz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner

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Author Correction: Heterogeneous pressure on croplands from land-based strategies to meet the 1.5 °C target 作者更正：为达到1.5°C目标而采取的陆基战略给农田带来的异质性压力

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02353-7

Peichao Gao, Yifan Gao, Yang Ou, Haewon McJeon, Gokul Iyer, Sijing Ye, Xiaofan Yang, Changqing Song

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Individualized cost–benefit analysis does not fit for demand-side mitigation 个性化的成本效益分析不适合需求侧缓解

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02330-0

Sebastian Berger, Felix Creutzig

{"title":"Individualized cost–benefit analysis does not fit for demand-side mitigation","authors":"Sebastian Berger, Felix Creutzig","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02330-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02330-0","url":null,"abstract":"The desirability of demand-side options depends on their mitigation potential and well-being implications. Work from the IPCC suggests that demand-side mitigation is estimated to reduce emissions by 40–70% in end-use sectors while being consistent with similar or increased levels of human well-being1. Based on a cost–benefit case study from Beijing, China, Tan-Soo et al.2 show that eight out of 12 policies allegedly incur individual welfare losses and seven result in social welfare loss. Using the approach of Tan-Soo et al., we show that the results hinge on assumptions worthy of debate. We show that an approach that is more sophisticated psychologically—accounting for endogenous preferences, for example—flips the central findings, leading to overall positive effects of demand-side mitigation on welfare.Tan-Soo et al.’s finding that two-thirds of all demand-side climate mitigation options result in social welfare loss contrasts with previous findings that more than two-thirds of demand-side mitigation options improve eudaimonic well-being1. This difference raises critical questions on the methodology and conceptual understanding of costs, preferences and well-being. Here we open the discussion on the appropriate methodology. We applaud Tan-Soo et al.’s attempt to quantify the (social) welfare of demand-side options, but find their assumptions in contrast with our own understanding of how demand-side options need to be evaluated1,3,4,5.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143898095","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Reply to: Individualized cost–benefit analysis does not fit for demand-side mitigation 回复：个性化成本效益分析不适合需求侧缓解

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02331-z

Jie-Sheng Tan-Soo, Ping Qin, Yifei Quan, Jun Li

引用次数: 0

Ambiguity of early warning signals for climate tipping points 气候临界点早期预警信号的模糊性

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02328-8

Max Rietkerk, Vanessa Skiba, Els Weinans, Raphaël Hébert, Thomas Laepple

引用次数: 0

Government efforts to reduce fossil fuel subsidies have failed at a very high rate 政府减少化石燃料补贴的努力失败率很高

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02304-2

Paasha Mahdavi, Michael L. Ross, Evelyn Simoni

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Dual impact of global urban overheating on mortality 全球城市过热对死亡率的双重影响

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02303-3

Shasha Wang, Wenfeng Zhan, Bingbing Zhou, Shilu Tong, TC Chakraborty, Zhihua Wang, Kangning Huang, Huilin Du, Ariane Middel, Jiufeng Li, Zihan Liu, Long Li, Fan Huang, Manchun Li

{"title":"Dual impact of global urban overheating on mortality","authors":"Shasha Wang, Wenfeng Zhan, Bingbing Zhou, Shilu Tong, TC Chakraborty, Zhihua Wang, Kangning Huang, Huilin Du, Ariane Middel, Jiufeng Li, Zihan Liu, Long Li, Fan Huang, Manchun Li","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02303-3","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02303-3","url":null,"abstract":"It is known that the urban heat island (UHI) effect could increase mortality in hot seasons, yet its potential health benefits during cold spells are often overlooked. Here we assess the beneficial and detrimental impacts of the UHI effect and associated cooling strategies on temperature-related mortality in more than 3,000 cities worldwide by integrating multi-source datasets. This study finds that the UHI effect reduces global cold-related mortality, surpassing the increase in heat-related mortality more than fourfold. Widely implemented urban cooling strategies, including green and reflective infrastructure, can have an adverse net effect in high-latitude cities but benefit a few tropical cities. We propose seasonal adjustments to roof albedo as an actionable strategy to reduce heat- and cold-related mortality. Our findings highlight that urban heat can protect against mortality in most non-tropical cities in the cold season, emphasizing the importance of seasonally and place-based adaptive UHI mitigation strategies to reduce temperature-related mortality.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"43 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143857279","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Urban heat islands increase or reduce mortality in different cities 城市热岛会增加或降低不同城市的死亡率

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02310-4

引用次数: 0

Observations reveal changing coastal storm extremes around the United States 观测揭示了美国沿海极端风暴的变化

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02315-z

Joao Morim, Thomas Wahl, D. J. Rasmussen, Francisco M. Calafat, Sean Vitousek, Soenke Dangendorf, Robert E. Kopp, Michael Oppenheimer

{"title":"Observations reveal changing coastal storm extremes around the United States","authors":"Joao Morim, Thomas Wahl, D. J. Rasmussen, Francisco M. Calafat, Sean Vitousek, Soenke Dangendorf, Robert E. Kopp, Michael Oppenheimer","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02315-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02315-z","url":null,"abstract":"Understanding extreme storm surge events that threaten low-lying coastal communities is key to effective flood mitigation/adaptation measures. However, observational estimates are sparse and highly uncertain along most coastal regions with a lack of observational evidence about long-term underlying trends and their contribution to overall extreme sea-level changes. Here, using a spatiotemporal Bayesian hierarchical framework, we analyse US tide gauge record for 1950–2020 and find that observational estimates have underestimated likelihoods of storm surge extremes at 85% of tide gauge sites nationwide. Additionally, and contrary to prevailing beliefs, storm surge extremes show spatially coherent trends along many widespread coastal areas, providing evidence of changing coastal storm intensity in the historical monitoring period. Several hotspots exist with regionally significant storm surge trends that are comparable to trends in mean sea-level rise and its key components. Our findings challenge traditional coastal design/planning practices that rely on estimates from discrete observations and assume stationarity in surge extremes.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143841508","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Carbon uptake rate dominates changes in vegetation productivity over time 碳吸收率主导植被生产力随时间的变化

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-16 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02316-y

引用次数: 0