Nature Climate Change最新文献_第2页

Bringing justice to informal adaptation to heat stress 为热应激的非正式适应带来正义

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-19 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02728-4

Zakia Sultana, Heleen L. P. Mees, Bishawjit Mallick, Ilan Kelman, J. Magnolia Gilligan, Brianna Castro, Shanawez Hossain, Peter P. J. Driessen, Ajay Bailey

引用次数: 0

A climate impact taxonomy operationalizing IPCC physical driver and risk concepts 实现IPCC物理驱动因素和风险概念的气候影响分类

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-19 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02717-7

Michaela Werning, Edward Byers, Marina Andrijevic, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Seth Monteith, Laura Aldrete Lopez, Valentin Lemaire, Elin Matsumae, Adelle Thomas, Alexander Nauels

{"title":"A climate impact taxonomy operationalizing IPCC physical driver and risk concepts","authors":"Michaela Werning, Edward Byers, Marina Andrijevic, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Seth Monteith, Laura Aldrete Lopez, Valentin Lemaire, Elin Matsumae, Adelle Thomas, Alexander Nauels","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02717-7","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02717-7","url":null,"abstract":"Strengthening the connection between physical climate science and adaptation communities is essential for producing actionable, integrated risk information. Here we present a climate impact taxonomy linking 35 climatic impact-drivers to 8 representative key risks, with metadata on climate impact characteristics, relevant subsystems and adaptation–mitigation linkages. This prototype taxonomy enables researchers, practitioners and policymakers to develop adaptation strategies and direct support towards the most urgent, evidence-based priorities across IPCC-aligned dimensions. Adaptation to climate risks requires integrating knowledge across IPCC working groups. This study presents a climate impact taxonomy that connects climatic impact-drivers from Working Group I to representative key risks from Working Group II and provides more direct guidance for risk assessment and adaptation strategies.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1032-1036"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-026-02717-7.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148769368","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Cities need robust carbon dioxide removal strategies to meet net-zero targets 城市需要强有力的二氧化碳减排战略来实现净零目标

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-18 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02676-z

Giulia Ulpiani, Quirina Rodriguez Mendez, Valeria Todeschi, Gema Hernandez Moral, Nadja Vetters, Marco Pittalis, Sabine Fuss, Christiaan Gevers Deynoot, Felix Creutzig

引用次数: 0

Particulate air pollution undermines plant water-use efficiency by inhibiting photosynthesis 空气微粒污染通过抑制光合作用破坏了植物的水分利用效率

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-17 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02712-y

Jian Wang, Yuyu Zhou, Lingli Liu, Constantin M. Zohner, Jing Wei, Chaoyang Wu

{"title":"Particulate air pollution undermines plant water-use efficiency by inhibiting photosynthesis","authors":"Jian Wang, Yuyu Zhou, Lingli Liu, Constantin M. Zohner, Jing Wei, Chaoyang Wu","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02712-y","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02712-y","url":null,"abstract":"Rising atmospheric CO2 and climate change have generally enhanced plant water-use efficiency (WUE), yet the influence of fine particulate pollution (PM2.5) on this carbon–water coupling remains poorly understood. Drawing on a global database of tree-ring isotopes, eddy-covariance fluxes and satellite-derived vegetation metrics, here we show that PM2.5 exerts a predominantly negative influence on WUE across spatial scales. The magnitude of this effect varies geographically and is modulated by interactions among vegetation traits, pollution levels and climate, with forests and non-forests exhibiting distinct patterns. The WUE decline arises primarily from the PM2.5-induced suppression of photosynthesis rather than changes in evapotranspiration, due to reduced photosynthetically active radiation and carboxylation capacity. Current ecosystem models that omit aerosol processes fail to reproduce the observed PM2.5–WUE relation, which indicates that covarying climate drivers alone are insufficient to explain this effect. Our findings identify PM2.5 as an overlooked yet critical factor that weakens plant carbon–water coupling under climate change. The influence of fine particulate pollution (PM2.5) on plant water-use efficiency remains poorly understood. The authors highlight that PM2.5 exerts a primarily negative effect across scales due to asymmetric effects on photosynthesis and evapotranspiration.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1068-1074"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-08-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148769151","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Empirical insights into residual emissions in urban net-zero targets 城市净零排放目标下剩余排放的实证分析

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-14 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02691-0

Giulia Ulpiani, Quirina Rodriguez Mendez, Valeria Todeschi, Gema Hernandez Moral, Nadja Vetters, Marco Pittalis, Sabine Fuss, Christiaan Gevers Deynoot, Felix Creutzig

{"title":"Empirical insights into residual emissions in urban net-zero targets","authors":"Giulia Ulpiani, Quirina Rodriguez Mendez, Valeria Todeschi, Gema Hernandez Moral, Nadja Vetters, Marco Pittalis, Sabine Fuss, Christiaan Gevers Deynoot, Felix Creutzig","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02691-0","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02691-0","url":null,"abstract":"Cities increasingly pledge net-zero emissions targets, but the robustness of their residual emissions strategies remains uncertain. We examine the approaches of 103 European cities aiming at net zero by 2030. Total residual emissions are 61.4 MtCO2e originating mostly from buildings and transport, with the median at 0.8 tCO2e per capita, indicating a rapid decarbonization process. All municipal strategies rely on temporary, land-based CO2 removal, then carbon credits (40%) and permanent CO2 removal (32%). We develop the residual emissions strategy robustness index to assess the robustness of compensation strategies, indicating that the current maturity is medium-low with notable geographical disparities. Although cities invest in options mapping and governance, little attention is paid to land availability, the potential of the urban fabric to become a distributed carbon sink, provisions against carbon reversals, monitoring, timing and quantification (estimates cover only 18% of total residual emissions). We also distil recommendations and best practices to address residual emissions. Although many cities have set net-zero targets, there is limited understanding of their residual emissions strategies. An analysis of 103 European cities reveals best practices but also a potential over-reliance on temporary land-based carbon removal and the limited robustness of compensation strategies.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1092-1101"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-08-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-026-02691-0.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148729007","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Failure to track a stable AMOC state under rapid climate change 在快速气候变化下，AMOC的稳定状态无法追踪

IF 30.7 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-13 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02730-w

René M. van Westen, Reyk Börner, Henk A. Dijkstra

引用次数: 0

Globally and intergenerationally unequal exposure to hourly heat extremes 全球和代际对每小时极端高温的不平等暴露

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-10 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02724-8

Weilin Liao, Xuanzong Zhang, Xiaoping Liu, Ming Luo, Yang Chen, Duo Chan, Wenfeng Zhan, Yimin Chen, Guangzhao Chen, Rouyan Gong, Lei Zhao

{"title":"Globally and intergenerationally unequal exposure to hourly heat extremes","authors":"Weilin Liao, Xuanzong Zhang, Xiaoping Liu, Ming Luo, Yang Chen, Duo Chan, Wenfeng Zhan, Yimin Chen, Guangzhao Chen, Rouyan Gong, Lei Zhao","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02724-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02724-8","url":null,"abstract":"Heat extremes are intensifying under climate change, yet these events are traditionally identified using daily temperature metrics, which fail to capture the full dynamics of heat events. Here we present a global assessment of hourly heat extremes (HHEs) in summer, and show that HHEs are emerging worldwide and exhibit marked unequal exposure across regions and generations. Under a high-emissions scenario, global HHEs are projected to increase fourfold and their population exposure to grow sixfold by late century. Each hot day will gain about four hot hours, and a further three hot hours will occur on non-hot days, which daily metrics overlook. Low- and middle-income countries bear more than three-quarters of the current and future heat exposure, and successive generations, particularly in low-income countries, face much higher lifetime exposure than earlier cohorts. These findings underscore the urgent need for hourly-scale risk assessments, public preparedness and designing equitable strategies in a warming world. The authors quantify the global emergence of hourly heat extremes (HHEs), highlighting exposure overlooked by daily metrics. HHEs will increase fourfold by the end of the century under high emissions, with low- and middle-income countries, as well as successive generations, facing disproportionate exposure.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1045-1052"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-08-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148729013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Hydraulic traits govern opposing range shifts of montane trees under warming 气候变暖条件下，山地树木的水力特性决定了其相对范围的移动

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-06 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02726-6

Xianliang Zhang (, ), Hongyan Liu (, ), Rubén D. Manzanedo, Justin T. Maxwell, Loïc D’Orangeville, Mingchao Du (, ), Tim Rademacher

{"title":"Hydraulic traits govern opposing range shifts of montane trees under warming","authors":"Xianliang Zhang \u0000 (, ), Hongyan Liu \u0000 (, ), Rubén D. Manzanedo, Justin T. Maxwell, Loïc D’Orangeville, Mingchao Du \u0000 (, ), Tim Rademacher","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02726-6","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02726-6","url":null,"abstract":"Montane tree species are undergoing accelerated elevational range shifts in response to climate warming, yet the mechanisms driving interspecific variation remain elusive. Here we show that hydraulic traits predict opposing biogeographic responses of montane trees to warming and drought. By integrating hemispheric-scale dendrochronological records from 45 species (121,743 individuals), global observations of elevational range shifts from 102 species and hydraulic trait data for 11 functional attributes, we demonstrate that climate-sensitive species tended to rapidly track warming into higher elevations, whereas taxa resistant to these stresses were poised to have expanded downslope. In addition, elevational dependencies in drought sensitivity changed over time for nearly one-third of the species, revealing dynamic reorganization of climate–growth relationships across mountain gradients. These findings establish leaf- and stem-level hydraulic traits as a fundamental predictor of range dynamics, providing a mechanistic basis for forecasting the reorganization of montane forests under continued climate change. The authors integrate dendrochronological records with range shifts to show that shifts in montane tree species are tightly linked to tree hydraulic properties. While climate-sensitive species track warming to higher elevations, stress-resistant species expand downslope.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1084-1091"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148693572","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Persistence of Arctic Ocean acidification under negative emissions 负排放条件下北冰洋酸化的持续性

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-06 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02715-9

Eike E. Köhn, Lester Kwiatkowski, Juliette Mignot, Guillaume Gastineau, Olivier Torres, James C. Orr

{"title":"Persistence of Arctic Ocean acidification under negative emissions","authors":"Eike E. Köhn, Lester Kwiatkowski, Juliette Mignot, Guillaume Gastineau, Olivier Torres, James C. Orr","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02715-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02715-9","url":null,"abstract":"Although net negative emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) are essential to meet climate targets, little is known about how declining atmospheric CO2 levels will affect ocean acidification. Here, by analysing the acidity ([H+]) and corrosivity to aragonite (ΩArag) in eight Earth system models that made simulations under rising then falling CO2 levels, we identify the Arctic as a hotspot for delayed reversibility of ocean acidification. Under falling CO2, Arctic surface waters remain comparatively more acidic, and aragonite-corrosive conditions (ΩArag < 1) persist until atmospheric CO2 drops ~120 ppm below the threshold at which they first appeared under rising CO2. This hysteresis arises from the erosion of the natural surface-layer deficit in dissolved inorganic carbon, initially maintained by sea ice limiting air–sea gas exchange and not fully restored as sea ice recovers during CO2 decline. Thus, the Arctic Ocean experiences not only the greatest acidification but also the most delayed benefits from negative emissions. Changes in the Earth system may persist long after atmospheric CO2 levels decline. This study examines ocean acidification and how it will persist in ocean regions globally, with the Arctic identified as the area that experiences relief from acidification the latest under negative emissions.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1053-1060"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-08-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-026-02715-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148693589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Social influence shapes climate attitudes and action 社会影响决定了对气候的态度和行动

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-08-04 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02711-z

Sam Hampton, Briony Latter, Lorraine Whitmarsh

引用次数: 0