Anthony J. Richardson, Kristine Camille V. Buenafe
{"title":"A deep dive into climate connectivity","authors":"Anthony J. Richardson, Kristine Camille V. Buenafe","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02253-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02253-w","url":null,"abstract":"Species are shifting their distributions in response to climate change, which on land depends on routes connecting intact habitat patches. Now, an analysis exploring the interaction between climate-driven shifts and human activities across ocean depths reveals threats for deep-sea biodiversity.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"248-249"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143538532","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Tracing inclusivity at UNFCCC conferences through side events and interest group dynamics","authors":"Judy Jingwei Xie, Nora Alessandra Escher, Matilda E. Dunn, Yurong Yu, Iain Staffell, Joeri Rogelj","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02254-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02254-9","url":null,"abstract":"Inclusivity and transparency are the foundations of procedural justice in climate governance. However, concerns persist around the influence of business interest groups at United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) Conferences of Parties (COPs). COPs have increased in size and complexity, obscuring agendas and organizational relationships. Here we analyse the discourse and networks of actors at COP side events from 2003 to 2023 using machine learning-based topic modelling and social network analysis. We trace how discussions on energy, food and forests have evolved. Focusing on energy topics, we show that fossil fuel lobbyists gain COP access through developed-country business non-governmental organizations (NGOs) and developing-country governments. Their nominators focus on renewable energy and system approaches but are peripheral in the anti-fossil fuel discourse which grew from a collaborative network of environmental NGOs. Despite data availability challenges, systematically tracing the inclusivity of COP processes can uncover power dynamics at the highest levels of climate governance. Side events of annual UNFCCC Conferences of Parties are one of several channels by which non-state actors influence climate negotiation. By analysing discourse and networks of actors, this research examines how topics evolve over time and how energy interest groups gain access to agenda setting.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"270-278"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02254-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143532584","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Lucas Chancel, Cornelia Mohren, Philipp Bothe, Gregor Semieniuk
{"title":"Climate change and the global distribution of wealth","authors":"Lucas Chancel, Cornelia Mohren, Philipp Bothe, Gregor Semieniuk","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02268-3","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02268-3","url":null,"abstract":"Wealth inequality dynamics influence economic and social outcomes and stability. While climate change and climate policies affect both physical capital and financial assets, their impacts on aggregate wealth and its distribution remain underexplored. Preliminary calculations suggest that climate change and climate investments could have substantial effects on wealth inequality, although the direction of these changes remains uncertain. This Perspective builds on numerical insights, outlines a conceptual framework and proposes a research agenda aimed at advancing the understanding of global wealth inequality under climate change, highlighting the need for interdisciplinary collaboration on the issue. Rising wealth inequality is a major challenge for this century, and climate change could further exacerbate it. Based on an overview of existing studies, this Perspective proposes a framework to advance understanding of wealth inequality in relation to climate change and climate policies.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 4","pages":"364-374"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143532585","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Governance challenges for domestic cross-border carbon capture and storage","authors":"Xiaoyu Zhang, Fengting Li, Yifan Gu","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02250-z","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02250-z","url":null,"abstract":"Governance of domestic cross-border carbon capture and storage faces great challenges, which varies across political systems, economic structures and socio-cultural backgrounds, yet is often overlooked. Overcoming these challenges requires a comprehensive and coordinated approach built on synergistic cluster governance.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 4","pages":"345-347"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143518200","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Nima Farchadi, Laura H. McDonnell, Svenja Ryan, Rebecca L. Lewison, Camrin D. Braun
{"title":"Marine heatwaves are in the eye of the beholder","authors":"Nima Farchadi, Laura H. McDonnell, Svenja Ryan, Rebecca L. Lewison, Camrin D. Braun","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02257-6","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02257-6","url":null,"abstract":"Critical methodological choices in marine heatwave detection can yield dramatically different results. We call for context-specific methods that account for regional variability to advance marine heatwave research and socio-ecological outcomes.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"236-239"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143518198","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Kathryn E. Smith, Alex Sen Gupta, Michael T. Burrows, Karen Filbee-Dexter, Alistair J. Hobday, Neil J. Holbrook, Neil Malan, Pippa J. Moore, Eric C. J. Oliver, Mads S. Thomsen, Thomas Wernberg, Zijie Zhao, Dan A. Smale
{"title":"Ocean extremes as a stress test for marine ecosystems and society","authors":"Kathryn E. Smith, Alex Sen Gupta, Michael T. Burrows, Karen Filbee-Dexter, Alistair J. Hobday, Neil J. Holbrook, Neil Malan, Pippa J. Moore, Eric C. J. Oliver, Mads S. Thomsen, Thomas Wernberg, Zijie Zhao, Dan A. Smale","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02269-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02269-2","url":null,"abstract":"In 2023–2024, widespread marine heatwaves associated with record ocean temperatures impacted ocean processes, marine species, ecosystems and coastal communities, with economic consequences. Despite warnings, interventions were limited. Proactive strategies are needed for inevitable future events.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"231-235"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143517947","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Haiyuan Yang, Haihong Guo, Zhaohui Chen, Wenju Cai, Lixin Wu, Jinzhuo Cai, Tao Geng, Zhao Jing, Bolan Gan, Xiaohui Ma, Yingying Wang
{"title":"Onshore intensification of subtropical western boundary currents in a warming climate","authors":"Haiyuan Yang, Haihong Guo, Zhaohui Chen, Wenju Cai, Lixin Wu, Jinzhuo Cai, Tao Geng, Zhao Jing, Bolan Gan, Xiaohui Ma, Yingying Wang","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02258-5","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02258-5","url":null,"abstract":"Subtropical western boundary currents (WBCs) refer to swift narrow oceanic currents that flow along the western edges of global subtropical ocean basins. Earlier studies indicated that the WBCs are extending poleward under a warming climate. However, owing to limited observations and coarse resolution of climate models, how greenhouse warming may affect the zonal structure of the WBCs remains unknown. Here, using seven high-resolution climate models, we find an onshore intensification of the WBCs in a warming climate. The multimodel ensemble mean of onshore acceleration ranges from 0.10 ± 0.08 to 0.51 ± 0.24 cm s−1 per decade over 1950–2050. Enhanced oceanic stratification associated with fast surface warming induces an uplift of the WBCs, leading to the projected change. The onshore intensification could induce anomalous warming that exacerbates coastal marine heatwaves, reduces ability of the coastal oceans to absorb anthropogenic carbon dioxide and destabilizes methane hydrate stored below the sea floor of shelf regions. Western boundary currents flow along the western edge of subtropical oceans, transporting heat polewards, and are integral in the climate system. Using high-resolution models, this work shows that western boundary currents will shift shorewards as a result of increased stratification driven by climate change.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"301-307"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02258-5.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143507137","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Incorporating aridity in soil carbon stewardship frameworks","authors":"M. Francesca Cotrufo, Jocelyn M. Lavallee","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02270-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02270-9","url":null,"abstract":"Stewardship of soil carbon sits at the nexus of efforts to mitigate climate change, improve soil health and increase climate resiliency of agricultural production. Unlocking the full potential of soils to support a sustainable future requires embracing the unique and contrasting realities of soil carbon dynamics in arid versus humid systems.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"240-242"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143485716","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Daijiang Li, Michael Belitz, Lindsay Campbell, Robert Guralnick
{"title":"Extreme weather events have strong but different impacts on plant and insect phenology","authors":"Daijiang Li, Michael Belitz, Lindsay Campbell, Robert Guralnick","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02248-7","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02248-7","url":null,"abstract":"The ability to explain and predict phenology across space, time and taxa has largely relied on annual average and seasonal climatic variables, ignoring the potential role of extreme weather events (EWEs) in regulating phenology. Yet, EWEs, which are predicted to increase in their severity and frequency with climate change, are also probably strong proximal phenology cues. Here we leveraged expansive community science resources to determine how EWEs affect plant flowering and insect flight beginning, termination and duration for 581 angiosperm species and 172 Lepidoptera across the contiguous United States. Our results provide evidence that plant and insect phenology is highly responsive to EWEs after accounting for seasonal and annual average climatic variables. The impact of EWEs on phenology varies depending on climatic context, and plant and insect responsiveness, while often similar, can be in the opposite directions. This suggests that EWEs may be key drivers of multitrophic phenological mismatches. Using community data of 581 angiosperm and 172 Lepidoptera species, the authors consider the impacts of extreme weather events (EWE) on the timing of life events (phenology). They show high responsiveness of phenology to EWEs and highlight the potential for EWEs to drive phenological mismatches.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"321-328"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143462206","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Urbanization’s impact on soil carbon","authors":"Jess Davies","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02264-7","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02264-7","url":null,"abstract":"As urban extent continues to grow, the impact this major land-use change has on soils and their carbon stocks is an increasingly important question. A recent global study suggests that the effects are not straightforward.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"246-247"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143451672","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}