Nature Climate Change最新文献_第10页

Inequalities in resilience and preparedness 韧性和准备方面的不平等

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02531-7

Danyang Cheng

引用次数: 0

Heatwave attribution in seconds 秒内热浪归因

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02532-6

Bronwyn Wake

引用次数: 0

Rising lake and reservoir emissions 湖泊和水库排放增加

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02529-1

Shuai Yang

引用次数: 0

Foraging constrained by heat and dark 觅食受到高温和黑暗的限制

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02530-8

Tegan Armarego-Marriott

引用次数: 0

Rivers accelerate and slow as temperatures rise 河流随着气温的升高而加速或减慢

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02508-6

Jordan Fields

引用次数: 0

Impacts of global warming on subnational poverty and inequality 全球变暖对地方贫困和不平等的影响

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02516-6

Hai-Anh H. Dang, Stephane Hallegatte, Minh Cong Nguyen, Trong-Anh Trinh

{"title":"Impacts of global warming on subnational poverty and inequality","authors":"Hai-Anh H. Dang, Stephane Hallegatte, Minh Cong Nguyen, Trong-Anh Trinh","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02516-6","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02516-6","url":null,"abstract":"Higher temperatures are expected to impact globally on poverty and inequality, yet little cross-country analysis exists to quantify the effects. Here we analyse a panel dataset of subnational poverty in 130 countries covering the past decade and find that a 1 °C increase in temperature causes headcount poverty increases of 0.63–1.18 percentage points, using the daily poverty lines of US$2.15 (corresponding to 8.3% and 15.6% increases), and increases in the Gini inequality index of 1.3–1.9%. These poverty estimates equal a projected increase of global poor by 62.3–98.7 million people by 2030 compared with a scenario without climate change. Poorer countries—particularly those in Sub-Saharan Africa—are more vulnerable, as are countries with higher agriculture shares in the economy. Estimates at the subnational level are larger than those using the country-level data, indicating that aggregated analysis may underestimate climate change risks. In addition to affecting general economic indicators, climate change could worsen poverty and inequality across and within countries. With a global subnational dataset, researchers confirm that temperature rise leads to increases in headcount poverty and the Gini index, with poorer countries being particularly vulnerable.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 2","pages":"207-213"},"PeriodicalIF":27.1,"publicationDate":"2025-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02516-6.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145801594","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Modelling the impacts of policy sequencing on energy decarbonization 模拟政策排序对能源脱碳的影响

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02497-6

Huilin Luo, Wei Peng, Allen Fawcett, Jessica F. Green, Gokul Iyer, Jonas Meckling, Jonas Nahm, David G. Victor

{"title":"Modelling the impacts of policy sequencing on energy decarbonization","authors":"Huilin Luo, Wei Peng, Allen Fawcett, Jessica F. Green, Gokul Iyer, Jonas Meckling, Jonas Nahm, David G. Victor","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02497-6","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02497-6","url":null,"abstract":"Many political jurisdictions have embraced climate policy strategies that emphasize large subsidies to deploy green technologies (‘carrots’) with the anticipation that more punitive policies (‘sticks’) may follow. However, little is known about how such policy sequencing affects future policies, emission reductions and costs. Using a multisector model for the USA, we examine carrot-first policies which mimic the increasingly popular interest in industrial policy and offer a way to model these real-world policy choices in energy-system models. We find that a carrot-first policy strategy still requires later use of similar-sized sticks when compared with a policy strategy that begins with sticks and achieves the same levels of long-term decarbonization. Policy carrots alone do not dramatically reduce future emissions. Only with policy sticks are there unambiguous signals to substantially shrink the size of incumbent fossil fuel industries. Green subsidies (carrots) are now becoming a more politically acceptable climate policy option compared with corrective regulations (sticks). However, researcher show that carrots without quick and appropriate sticks will not be sufficient to reach the deep decarbonization goal in the long run.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 1","pages":"43-51"},"PeriodicalIF":27.1,"publicationDate":"2025-12-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145801596","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Green industrial policy is not enough for net-zero decarbonization 绿色产业政策不足以实现净零脱碳

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02514-8

Mark Purdon

引用次数: 0

The political psychology of climate denial 否认气候变化的政治心理

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-16 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02523-7

Alon Tal, Shlomit Paz

引用次数: 0

Peak glacier extinction in the mid-twenty-first century 冰川在21世纪中期消失

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02513-9

Lander Van Tricht, Harry Zekollari, Matthias Huss, David R. Rounce, Lilian Schuster, Rodrigo Aguayo, Patrick Schmitt, Fabien Maussion, Brandon Tober, Daniel Farinotti

引用次数: 0