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Targeted tropical forest restoration can offset deforestation-induced water flux losses 有针对性的热带森林恢复可以抵消毁林引起的水通量损失
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-15 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02709-7
Shuai Ma, Sha Zhou, David Ellison, Arie Staal, Taylor Smith, Callum Smith, Adriaan J. Teuling
{"title":"Targeted tropical forest restoration can offset deforestation-induced water flux losses","authors":"Shuai Ma, Sha Zhou, David Ellison, Arie Staal, Taylor Smith, Callum Smith, Adriaan J. Teuling","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02709-7","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02709-7","url":null,"abstract":"Tropical forest restoration is increasingly promoted as a nature-based solution for climate change mitigation, yet its capacity to reverse the hydrological impacts of deforestation remains unclear. Here we show forest gain increases evapotranspiration and precipitation more than forest loss reduces them. This hydrological asymmetry, driven by the rapid growth of young forests and enhanced moisture recycling, indicates that compensating for hydrological effects of deforestation requires restoring 43–63% and 53–83% of lost forest area in South America and Africa, respectively. In contrast, climatic conditions in Southeast Asia limit the potential of reforestation, underscoring the importance of forest conservation. Current climate models fail to capture these asymmetric responses, largely owing to poor representation of vegetation dynamics and age-dependent traits. Our findings call for reframing forest-based climate solutions through the lens of hydrological resilience, emphasizing the importance of spatially targeted, mechanism-informed restoration strategies to maximize ecosystem service co-benefits. The authors demonstrate asymmetrical impacts of forest gain and loss on evapotranspiration and precipitation: gain increases the processes more than loss reduces them. They highlight a need to better consider hydrological asymmetry in climate models and in planning of forest-based climate solutions.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1075-1083"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148459481","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A shrinking buffer 收缩缓冲器
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-14 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02699-6
Fengge Su, Tandong Yao
{"title":"A shrinking buffer","authors":"Fengge Su, Tandong Yao","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02699-6","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02699-6","url":null,"abstract":"The timescale on which river runoff reacts to glacier melt changes differs strongly between individual basins. Here we discuss how an article published in 2018 linked the buffering role of glaciers to future seasonal runoff losses, and how later work has extended this insight towards drought, water resources and the consequences for downstream societies.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 8","pages":"883-884"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148432251","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Building local adaptive capacity for health 建立地方卫生适应能力
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-14 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02695-w
Mary C. Sheehan
{"title":"Building local adaptive capacity for health","authors":"Mary C. Sheehan","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02695-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02695-w","url":null,"abstract":"Enhancing local adaptive capacity to reduce extreme weather-related health harms is essential in a warming world; understanding and sharing strategies that work helps to scale-up impact. Now a study focusing on China highlights the role of institutions, infrastructure and cities.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 8","pages":"885-886"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148432252","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ecology is not at risk of a methodological balance crisis 生态学没有方法论平衡危机的危险
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-13 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02706-w
Shannon L. J. Bayliss, Sophia C. Turner
{"title":"Ecology is not at risk of a methodological balance crisis","authors":"Shannon L. J. Bayliss, Sophia C. Turner","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02706-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02706-w","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1000-1001"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148432253","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Co-benefit premiums can enhance nature-based climate solutions 共同利益溢价可以加强基于自然的气候解决方案
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-08 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02690-1
Jacob Hochard, James T. Erbaugh, Teevrat Garg, Nino Abashidze, Stefanie Simpson, Samuel Nonemaker, Lindsey Smart, Wai Yan Siu, Stuart Hamilton, Yuta J. Masuda
{"title":"Co-benefit premiums can enhance nature-based climate solutions","authors":"Jacob Hochard, James T. Erbaugh, Teevrat Garg, Nino Abashidze, Stefanie Simpson, Samuel Nonemaker, Lindsey Smart, Wai Yan Siu, Stuart Hamilton, Yuta J. Masuda","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02690-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02690-1","url":null,"abstract":"Carbon markets reward the climate mitigation benefits of nature-based solutions but rarely value their broader societal impacts. Creating markets for verified co-benefits, such as coastal protection and biodiversity, could redirect investment towards projects that deliver larger gains for both people and climate.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 8","pages":"869-871"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148667554","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Co-benefit premiums can enhance nature-based climate solutions 共同利益溢价可以加强基于自然的气候解决方案
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-08 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02690-1
Jacob Hochard, James T. Erbaugh, Teevrat Garg, Nino Abashidze, Stefanie Simpson, Samuel Nonemaker, Lindsey Smart, Wai Yan Siu, Stuart Hamilton, Yuta J. Masuda
{"title":"Co-benefit premiums can enhance nature-based climate solutions","authors":"Jacob Hochard, James T. Erbaugh, Teevrat Garg, Nino Abashidze, Stefanie Simpson, Samuel Nonemaker, Lindsey Smart, Wai Yan Siu, Stuart Hamilton, Yuta J. Masuda","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02690-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02690-1","url":null,"abstract":"Carbon markets reward the climate mitigation benefits of nature-based solutions but rarely value their broader societal impacts. Creating markets for verified co-benefits, such as coastal protection and biodiversity, could redirect investment towards projects that deliver larger gains for both people and climate.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 8","pages":"869-871"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148667567","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Roots respond to phosphorus limitation 根系对磷限制有反应
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02701-1
Alyssa Findlay
{"title":"Roots respond to phosphorus limitation","authors":"Alyssa Findlay","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02701-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02701-1","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 7","pages":"754-754"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148389291","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Shifts in experiencing downpours 经历暴雨的变化
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02702-0
Jasper Franke
{"title":"Shifts in experiencing downpours","authors":"Jasper Franke","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02702-0","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02702-0","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 7","pages":"754-754"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148389296","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Future-proofing interpretations of the Paris Agreement’s limit of well below 2 °C 对《巴黎协定》中远低于2°C的限制作出面向未来的解释
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02685-y
Robin D. Lamboll, Joeri Rogelj
{"title":"Future-proofing interpretations of the Paris Agreement’s limit of well below 2 °C","authors":"Robin D. Lamboll, Joeri Rogelj","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02685-y","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02685-y","url":null,"abstract":"The Paris Agreement’s ‘well below 2 °C’ target is often interpreted as holding warming below 2 °C with a probability in the 66–90% range. We argue that such interpretations are not future-proof as decreasing uncertainties with time will allow temperatures to approach 2 °C later in the century. We show how referring to median warming can resolve this issue and illustrate how past probabilistic target interpretations would translate to a median 1.65–1.8 °C warming limit range. Here the authors show that a common interpretation of the Paris Agreement’s ‘well below 2° C’ target is changing with time, which could lead to higher overall warming. They propose that using median temperatures instead of probability ranges is more robust.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 8","pages":"907-910"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-026-02685-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148409203","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Seals in changing seas dive longer 海豹在变化的海洋中潜水的时间更长
IF 26.9 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02703-z
Tegan Armarego-Marriott
{"title":"Seals in changing seas dive longer","authors":"Tegan Armarego-Marriott","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02703-z","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02703-z","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 7","pages":"754-754"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148389304","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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