Nature Climate Change最新文献_第8页

Less than net zero needed to stabilize climate 低于稳定气候所需的净零

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02708-8

Andrew H. MacDougall

引用次数: 0

Global vessel carbon dioxide emission from navigable rivers 全球船舶从通航河流排放的二氧化碳

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-23 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02718-6

Dawei Lu, Di Zhang, Shuwu Wang, Haotian Wang, Zhiyi Min, Xiangyu Li, Yuehan Wu, Yuming Huang, Tengfei Wang, Shaoda Liu, Xinghui Xia, Xinping Yan, Guibin Jiang

{"title":"Global vessel carbon dioxide emission from navigable rivers","authors":"Dawei Lu, Di Zhang, Shuwu Wang, Haotian Wang, Zhiyi Min, Xiangyu Li, Yuehan Wu, Yuming Huang, Tengfei Wang, Shaoda Liu, Xinghui Xia, Xinping Yan, Guibin Jiang","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02718-6","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02718-6","url":null,"abstract":"Inland water vessels are a substantial but poorly quantified source of transport-sector CO2 emissions. Using approximately 20 billion automatic identification system records and a trajectory completion algorithm, we provide a global high-resolution assessment of inland vessel CO2 emissions. These vessels emitted 164.0 ± 1.58 TgCO2 in 2022, equivalent to 24.7% of global waterborne vessel emissions, despite operating on only 0.4% of the global navigable marine and inland water surface area. Emissions are concentrated within a few hotspot river corridors and exhibit baseline-dependent amplification (2019–2022) together with seasonal variability. These patterns reflect the combined effects of transport demand and hydroclimatic constraints on navigability. Because inland water vessel emissions occur within river corridors where riverine CO2 evasion is also active, they represent an important anthropogenic carbon source and may influence river–atmosphere CO2 exchange. These results provide a basis for improving inland transport emission inventories and informing targeted mitigation strategies under climate change. The magnitude and distribution of CO2 emissions from river transport are poorly constrained. This study finds that global CO2 emissions from inland vessels were about one-quarter of total vessel emissions, and that emissions were concentrated in the Northern Hemisphere, related to economic activity.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1102-1109"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148587254","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Ecological novelty induced by climate change 气候变化引起的生态新颖性

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-22 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02697-8

Claire Wright, Laura L. Govers, Eric S. Higgs, Matthew R. Kerr, Catarina P. Teixeira, Tina Heger

{"title":"Ecological novelty induced by climate change","authors":"Claire Wright, Laura L. Govers, Eric S. Higgs, Matthew R. Kerr, Catarina P. Teixeira, Tina Heger","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02697-8","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02697-8","url":null,"abstract":"Climate change is altering the conditions experienced by organisms and ecosystems at a pace unprecedented on geological timescales. The resulting shifts in terrestrial and marine systems fall under the umbrella of ecological novelty, which describes the effects of rapid change at multiple scales. This Review explores the mechanisms behind climate change-induced ecological novelty and its manifestation across global biomes. We contextualize novelty within a deep time perspective of past climate shifts and ecological reorganization. We find ample evidence for the severe disruption of ecological communities from the direct and indirect effects of climate change, and novelty emerging through climate change adaptation and mitigation measures. Potential interventions fall along a gradient of managing against, tolerating or managing for ecological novelty. The authors review ecological novelty—ecological situations with no precedent—arising from climate change. They discuss ecological novelty due to direct and indirect effects of climate change, and due to adaptation and mitigation measures, and explore management options that are against, for or tolerant of ecological novelty.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1020-1031"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148872210","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Temporal horizons in US climate change news 美国气候变化新闻的时间视界

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02716-8

Antal Wozniak

引用次数: 0

Temporal horizons in US climate change news 美国气候变化新闻的时间视界

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02716-8

Antal Wozniak

引用次数: 0

Reform preferences of key actors in the UNFCCC process 改革《联合国气候变化框架公约》进程中关键行为体的偏好

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-21 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02723-9

Faradj Koliev, Naghmeh Nasiritousi, Alexandra Buylova, Björn-Ola Linnér

{"title":"Reform preferences of key actors in the UNFCCC process","authors":"Faradj Koliev, Naghmeh Nasiritousi, Alexandra Buylova, Björn-Ola Linnér","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02723-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02723-9","url":null,"abstract":"Calls to reform the United Nations Conferences of the Parties (COPs) climate negotiations have intensified, yet systematic empirical evidence on the reform preferences of key participants remains limited. Here, using a conjoint survey experiment involving state and non-state elite respondents comparing pairs of hypothetical reform proposals, we find broad support for reforms that enhance transparency and provide a stronger implementation focus to drive climate action. We see that non-state actors are more supportive of reforms that limit fossil fuel company participation and expand opportunities for observer engagement. Furthermore, most other institutional reform proposals do not draw substantial support. These results identify two possible reform pathways: to strengthen transparency and accountability, or to reorient COPs towards strengthening the implementation of existing commitments. More contested reforms, including changes to the consensus rule, the COP presidency and stakeholder representation, are less likely to succeed. COP meetings have faced criticism and calls for reform, yet evidence on reform choices remains limited. Here a survey of COP participants reveals broad support for enhancing transparency and implementation, while proposals to change consensus rules or the COP presidency are less favoured.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 8","pages":"915-921"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-026-02723-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148587381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Balancing marine species conservation with cost-effective renewable energy development 平衡海洋物种保护与具有成本效益的可再生能源发展

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-17 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02696-9

Laura C. Ganley, Jessica V. Redfern, Orla O’Brien, Daniel E. Pendleton, Megan Ryder, Ian Spooner, Carly Campbell, Aaron N. Rice

{"title":"Balancing marine species conservation with cost-effective renewable energy development","authors":"Laura C. Ganley, Jessica V. Redfern, Orla O’Brien, Daniel E. Pendleton, Megan Ryder, Ian Spooner, Carly Campbell, Aaron N. Rice","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02696-9","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02696-9","url":null,"abstract":"Climate change is necessitating renewable energy development while contributing to shifting wildlife phenology and distribution. Renewable energy may require anthropogenic activity and wildlife to co-occur. Here we develop a framework to identify trade-offs between financial costs to developers and conservation, considering the critically endangered North Atlantic right whale (Eubalaena glacialis) and offshore wind energy development. By coupling an offshore wind energy construction simulation with a density surface model to quantify the number of right whales exposed to pile-driving noise under ten mitigation scenarios, we highlight mitigation measures, notably seasonal restrictions and noise attenuating devices, that can yield conservation value with minimal financial burden. As societies continue to refine and determine suitable financial and ecological trade-offs for development, frameworks like ours can be useful for exploring conservation challenges to ensure co-benefits for climate and biodiversity. The authors consider the potential conflict between renewable energy development (offshore wind) and wildlife (North Atlantic right whales, Eubalaena glacialis). They demonstrate a framework to identify trade-offs under different scenarios, maximizing conservation with minimal financial burden.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 8","pages":"931-940"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-026-02696-9.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148459594","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Intercity connectivity enhances urban mobility resilience to extreme rainfall 城际互联互通增强了城市交通对极端降雨的抵御能力

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-17 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02713-x

Haiyan Liu, Xuemei Bai

{"title":"Intercity connectivity enhances urban mobility resilience to extreme rainfall","authors":"Haiyan Liu, Xuemei Bai","doi":"10.1038/s41558-026-02713-x","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-026-02713-x","url":null,"abstract":"It is important to strengthen urban resilience amid the growing extreme weather events under climate change, yet the role of intercity connectivity in shaping such resilience remains understudied. Here using mobility data from 1.1 billion devices across 366 Chinese cities, we show that stronger connectivity enhances intracity mobility resilience, a core indicator of urban functionality, during extreme rainfall. Cities with higher network centrality and stronger ties to wealthier cities exhibit higher resilience, characterized by shorter recovery times, faster rebound and lower total performance loss (TPL). Counterfactual simulations indicate that less developed or constrained networks could increase predicted TPL by 527.1% and 54.7%, respectively. Projections to 2050 suggest that socioeconomic development combined with strategic railway development would reduce median city-level TPL by 72.5–76.1%, avoiding indirect economic losses of 12.8–14.2 billion yuan. Notably, smaller cities benefit more from improved connectivity and prioritizing network enhancement in poorer cities renders the largest gains. Growing extreme weather poses escalating threats to urban functionality. This study shows that higher network centrality and stronger ties to wealthier cities enhance intracity mobility resilience during extreme rainfall, with larger benefits for smaller and poorer cities from targeted investment.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 9","pages":"1037-1044"},"PeriodicalIF":26.9,"publicationDate":"2026-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-026-02713-x.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148459593","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Win–wins for wind and whales 风和鲸鱼双赢

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-17 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02705-x

Anna C. Nisi

引用次数: 0

Tropical forest restoration can offset water flux losses from deforestation but not everywhere 热带森林恢复可以抵消森林砍伐造成的水通量损失，但并非所有地方都是如此

IF 26.9 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2026-07-17 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-026-02710-0

引用次数: 0