Nature Climate Change最新文献_第8页

A systems perspective for climate adaptation in deltas 三角洲气候适应的系统视角

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02368-0

Sepehr Eslami, Gualbert Oude Essink, Amelie Paszkowski, Katharina Seeger, Philip S. J. Minderhoud, Kees Sloff, Robert J. Nicholls

引用次数: 0

Continent-wide mapping shows increasing sensitivity of East Antarctica to meltwater ponding 整个大陆的测绘显示，东南极洲对融水淤积的敏感性日益增加

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02363-5

Peter A. Tuckett, Andrew J. Sole, Stephen J. Livingstone, Julie M. Jones, James M. Lea, Ella Gilbert

{"title":"Continent-wide mapping shows increasing sensitivity of East Antarctica to meltwater ponding","authors":"Peter A. Tuckett, Andrew J. Sole, Stephen J. Livingstone, Julie M. Jones, James M. Lea, Ella Gilbert","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02363-5","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02363-5","url":null,"abstract":"Surface meltwater is predicted to become increasingly important for Antarctic mass loss as atmospheric temperatures rise, due to its potential to influence ice dynamic, hydrofracture and radiative processes. However, our understanding of Antarctic surface meltwater is limited, with previous studies restricted in spatial or temporal scope. Here, using cloud computing, we produce an Antarctic-wide, monthly dataset of surface meltwater for 2006 to 2021. Surface meltwater covered 3,732 km2 across Antarctica on average during each melt season, with 30% on grounded ice. High interannual variability in meltwater area across the Antarctic Peninsula and in East Antarctica correlates with large-scale modes of climate variability. In west Antarctica, meltwater area is comparatively low and this correlation is absent. An increase in the magnitude and variability of surface meltwater area without a coincident increase in modelled snowmelt in East Antarctica indicates that the ice-sheet surface might be becoming more favourable to meltwater ponding. This study provides a continent-wide assessment of surface meltwater area in Antarctica between 2006 and 2021, highlighting recent increases in magnitude and variability in East Antarctica, with indications that the ice-sheet surface is becoming increasingly prone to further meltwater ponding.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 7","pages":"775-783"},"PeriodicalIF":27.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02363-5.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144565932","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

East Antarctica slides into the spotlight as surface melt hotspot 东南极洲作为地表融化热点成为人们关注的焦点

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02371-5

Alexandra L. Boghosian

引用次数: 0

Rapid increases in satellite-observed ice sheet surface meltwater production 卫星观测到的冰盖表面融水产量迅速增加

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-04 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02364-4

Lei Zheng, Xinyi Shang, Michiel R. van den Broeke, Brice Noël, Xichen Li, Xavier Fettweis, Qi Liang, Kang Wang, Jiping Liu, Xiao Cheng

{"title":"Rapid increases in satellite-observed ice sheet surface meltwater production","authors":"Lei Zheng, Xinyi Shang, Michiel R. van den Broeke, Brice Noël, Xichen Li, Xavier Fettweis, Qi Liang, Kang Wang, Jiping Liu, Xiao Cheng","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02364-4","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02364-4","url":null,"abstract":"Surface meltwater production influences the contribution of ice sheets to global sea-level change. Ice-sheet-wide meltwater production has thus far primarily been quantified by regional climate models. Here we present a 31-year (1992–2023) time series of daily satellite-observed surface melt flux for the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets. The annual meltwater volume in Greenland has significantly increased, with intensified melt in the northern basins dominated by a negative North Atlantic Oscillation and elevated melt flux in western basins driven by the decline in Arctic sea-ice. In East Antarctica, high melt rates since 2000 are attributed to warm air incursions from the Southern Ocean due to anomalous atmospheric circulations associated with a negative Southern Annular Mode and the recovery of the Antarctic ozone hole. This region, previously less prone to surface melt, has become a melt hotspot, potentially leading to meltwater ponding and future ice shelf destabilization. Surface melt is an important component of ice sheet dynamics, but for many remote regions the melt rates are mainly known from models. Here the authors present satellite observations of melt rates for Greenland and Antarctica, showing that East Antarctica has become a melting hotspot.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 7","pages":"769-774"},"PeriodicalIF":27.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144566084","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Promoting targeted heat early warning systems for at-risk populations 促进针对高危人群的针对性高温预警系统

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02374-2

Fergus K. O’Connor, Mehak Oberai, Zhiwei Xu, Sebastian Binnewies, Shannon Rutherford, Robert D. Meade, Steven Baker, Ella Jackman, Connor Forbes, Aaron J. E. Bach

引用次数: 0

Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world 极端天气事件归因预测全球气候政策支持

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-07-01 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4

Viktoria Cologna, Simona Meiler, Chahan M. Kropf, Samuel Lüthi, Niels G. Mede, David N. Bresch, Oscar Lecuona, Sebastian Berger, John Besley, Cameron Brick, Marina Joubert, Edward W. Maibach, Sabina Mihelj, Naomi Oreskes, Mike S. Schäfer, Sander van der Linden, TISP Consortium

{"title":"Extreme weather event attribution predicts climate policy support across the world","authors":"Viktoria Cologna, Simona Meiler, Chahan M. Kropf, Samuel Lüthi, Niels G. Mede, David N. Bresch, Oscar Lecuona, Sebastian Berger, John Besley, Cameron Brick, Marina Joubert, Edward W. Maibach, Sabina Mihelj, Naomi Oreskes, Mike S. Schäfer, Sander van der Linden, TISP Consortium","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02372-4","url":null,"abstract":"Extreme weather events are becoming more frequent and intense due to climate change. Yet, little is known about the relationship between exposure to extreme events, subjective attribution of these events to climate change, and climate policy support, especially in the Global South. Combining large-scale natural and social science data from 68 countries (N = 71,922), we develop a measure of exposed population to extreme weather events and investigate whether exposure to extreme weather and subjective attribution of extreme weather to climate change predict climate policy support. We find that most people support climate policies and link extreme weather events to climate change. Subjective attribution of extreme weather was positively associated with policy support for five widely discussed climate policies. However, exposure to most types of extreme weather event did not predict policy support. Overall, these results suggest that subjective attribution could facilitate climate policy support. Literature produced inconsistent findings regarding the links between extreme weather events and climate policy support across regions, populations and events. This global study offers a holistic assessment of these relationships and highlights the role of subjective attribution.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 7","pages":"725-735"},"PeriodicalIF":27.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02372-4.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144520502","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Changing wildfire complexity highlights the need for institutional adaptation 不断变化的野火复杂性凸显了制度适应的必要性

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-26 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02367-1

Branda Nowell, Kate Jones, Shannon McGovern

{"title":"Changing wildfire complexity highlights the need for institutional adaptation","authors":"Branda Nowell, Kate Jones, Shannon McGovern","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02367-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02367-1","url":null,"abstract":"As wildfires grow increasingly complex, institutional adaptation—adjusting institutions to respond effectively to environmental changes—is crucial for enhancing wildfire management capabilities. However, institutional adaptation is a challenge as the connection between environmental changes and human institutions remains poorly understood. Here, by analysing trends in five incident characteristics linked to institutional complexity at national and regional levels from 1999 to 2020 in the USA, we show national trends of increasing institutional complexity of wildfire indicators associated with wildfire governance, logistics, management, resource scarcity and network coordination. Substantial regional variation was observed, with some cases exhibiting trends in opposite directions. For example, while average jurisdictional complexity showed an increase in the west, it decreased in the east. These results offer insight into the linkage between environmental change and demands for institutional adaptation and provide an empirical basis for considering potential trade-offs of different institutional adaptations in light of competing pressures. Growing wildfire threats require governing institutions to adapt their responses for effective management, yet institutional adaptation remains unexplored. This study reveals increasingly complex task environments for institutions managing wildfire incidents in the USA over the period 1999–2020.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 7","pages":"736-743"},"PeriodicalIF":27.1,"publicationDate":"2025-06-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144488386","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Protect young secondary forests for optimum carbon removal 保护幼小的次生林，以达到最佳的碳清除效果

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-24 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02355-5

Nathaniel Robinson, C. Ronnie Drever, David A. Gibbs, Kristine Lister, Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert, Viola Heinrich, Philippe Ciais, Celso H. L. Silva-Junior, Zhihua Liu, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Sassan Saatchi, Yidi Xu, Susan C. Cook-Patton

{"title":"Protect young secondary forests for optimum carbon removal","authors":"Nathaniel Robinson, C. Ronnie Drever, David A. Gibbs, Kristine Lister, Adriane Esquivel-Muelbert, Viola Heinrich, Philippe Ciais, Celso H. L. Silva-Junior, Zhihua Liu, Thomas A. M. Pugh, Sassan Saatchi, Yidi Xu, Susan C. Cook-Patton","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02355-5","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02355-5","url":null,"abstract":"Avoiding severe global warming requires large-scale removals of atmospheric carbon dioxide. Forest regeneration offers cost-effective carbon removals, but annual rates vary substantially by location and forest age. Here we generate grid-level (~1-km2) growth curves for aboveground live carbon in naturally regrowing forests by combining 109,708 field estimates with 66 environmental covariates. Across the globe and the first 100 years of growth, maximum carbon removal rates varied 200-fold, with the greatest rates estimated in ~20- to 40-year-old forests. Despite a focus on new forests for natural climate solutions, protecting existing young secondary forests can provide up to 8-fold more carbon removal per hectare than new regrowth. These maps could help to target the optimal ages and locations where a key carbon removal strategy could be applied, and improve estimates of how secondary forests contribute to global carbon cycling. The authors generate ~1-km2 growth curves for aboveground live carbon in regrowing forests, globally. They show that maximum carbon removal rates can vary by 200-fold spatially and with age, with the greatest rates estimated at about 30 ± 12 years, highlighting the role of secondary forests in carbon cycling.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 7","pages":"793-800"},"PeriodicalIF":27.1,"publicationDate":"2025-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.nature.comhttps://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-025-02355-5.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144370813","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Author Correction: Recommendations for producing knowledge syntheses to inform climate change assessments 作者更正：为气候变化评估提供知识综合的建议

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-23 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02378-y

James D. Ford, Robbert Biesbroek, Lea Berrang Ford, Felix Creutzig, Neal Haddaway, Sherilee Harper, Jan C. Minx, Mark New, Anne J. Sietsma, Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo, Max Callaghan

引用次数: 0

Social strategies to engage video gamers in climate action 让电子游戏玩家参与气候行动的社交策略

IF 27.1 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-06-20 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02369-z

Jennifer Carman, Marija Verner, Marina Psaros

引用次数: 0