Nature Climate Change最新文献_第8页

Surface ocean losing resilience to thermal stress 海洋表面对热应力失去弹性

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-13 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02263-8

引用次数: 0

Twelve months at 1.5 °C signals earlier than expected breach of Paris Agreement threshold 12个月保持在1.5摄氏度的水平，比预期的违反《巴黎协定》阈值的时间要早

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-10 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02247-8

Alex J. Cannon

引用次数: 0

A year above 1.5 °C signals that Earth is most probably within the 20-year period that will reach the Paris Agreement limit 一年高于1.5°C意味着地球极有可能在20年内达到《巴黎协定》的限制

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-10 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02246-9

Emanuele Bevacqua, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner, Jakob Zscheischler

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Uniformity of climate anxiety scales 气候焦虑量表的一致性

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02261-w

Danyang Cheng

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Thermal impacts on aquatic fertility 热对水生繁殖力的影响

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02260-x

Tegan Armarego-Marriott

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Plants countering downpours 抵御暴雨的植物

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02262-9

Jasper Franke

引用次数: 0

Ineffective carbon offset 无效的碳抵消

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02259-4

Lingxiao Yan

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Observed multi-decadal increase in the surface ocean’s thermal inertia 观测到海洋表面热惯性的多年代际增加

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-06 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02245-w

Chaehyeong Lee, Hajoon Song, Yeonju Choi, Ajin Cho, John Marshall

{"title":"Observed multi-decadal increase in the surface ocean’s thermal inertia","authors":"Chaehyeong Lee, Hajoon Song, Yeonju Choi, Ajin Cho, John Marshall","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02245-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02245-w","url":null,"abstract":"The ocean’s surface layer has a crucial role in Earth’s climate, absorbing excess atmospheric heat, thereby regulating global temperatures. Here, using global daily sea surface temperature (SST) data, we document a notable increase in the persistence of SST anomalies across the global ocean since 1982. This trend is also evident in frequency space, showing a decreased variance in SSTs on timescales shorter than a month, but a slight increase on longer timescales. A simple stochastic model attributes this prolonged memory to three key factors––a deepening of the surface mixed layer, a weakening of oceanic forcing and reduced damping rates. The first two factors decrease the variance on shorter timescales, while the third increases it on longer timescales. Our findings have great relevance to the observed increase in the duration of marine heatwaves and the associated heightened thermal threats to marine organisms. Our study also suggests that the ocean’s ability to sequester heat is weakening. Analysis of 42 years of daily sea surface temperature data shows increasing persistence of anomalies. These changes, which are attributed to deepening of the mixed layer, reduced oceanic forcing and reduced damping associated with stronger stratification, have implications for marine heatwave duration.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"308-314"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143191927","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Mapping global financial risks under climate change 绘制气候变化下的全球金融风险图

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-05 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02244-x

Antoine Mandel, Stefano Battiston, Irene Monasterolo

{"title":"Mapping global financial risks under climate change","authors":"Antoine Mandel, Stefano Battiston, Irene Monasterolo","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02244-x","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-025-02244-x","url":null,"abstract":"There is growing concern about the potential impacts of climate change on financial stability but little quantitative evidence available on the potential magnitude of financial risks induced by climate extremes. Here we provide a forward-looking assessment of the impacts of floods, storms, and wildfires on a universe of securities representative of global market capitalization, using the structural climate credit-risk model CLIMACRED-PHYS. We show that there can be a substantial amplification of direct economic losses arising from firms’ financial leverage. We highlight the importance of cross-border climate financial risks, notably the transfer of impacts from production facilities in emerging economies to firms in developed economies. Finally, we quantify the potential increase of financial risks induced by climate change. Overall, our results emphasize the relevance of asset-level climate risk assessment for financial regulation and the importance of integrating financial impacts in the assessment of adaptation policies. Climate change will impact financial stability, but the quantitative evidence on the magnitude of such risks is still rare. With a forward-looking structural credit-risk model, researchers map how physical risks can be amplified through financial leverage and generate cross-border climate risks.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 3","pages":"329-334"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143124468","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Representing gender inequality in scenarios improves understanding of climate challenges 在情景中体现性别不平等有助于理解气候挑战

IF 29.6 1区地球科学

Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-024-02242-5

Marina Andrijevic, Caroline Zimm, Jonathan D. Moyer, Raya Muttarak, Shonali Pachauri

{"title":"Representing gender inequality in scenarios improves understanding of climate challenges","authors":"Marina Andrijevic, Caroline Zimm, Jonathan D. Moyer, Raya Muttarak, Shonali Pachauri","doi":"10.1038/s41558-024-02242-5","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s41558-024-02242-5","url":null,"abstract":"Achieving gender equality can increase societies’ capacities to deal with climate change. Here we highlight empirical connections between gender equality and climate change adaptation and mitigation to propose a structured and detailed inclusion of gender-related aspects in the Shared Socioeconomic Pathway framework. The introduction of hypothetical pathways of gender (in)equality in the scenario space can help analyse interactions with other socioeconomic drivers and subsequent implications for adaptation and mitigation options. The extent of challenges to climate change adaptation and mitigation may substantially change depending on the rate at which societies progress towards equal access to resources and opportunities for self-realization for all genders. We propose steps that the scenario community could take to enrich the next generation of socioeconomic pathways. This Perspective highlights links between gender inequality and climate change adaptation and mitigation, and proposes a roadmap for incorporating gender issues into the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways. These scenarios could help understand challenges under diverse trajectories of gender equality.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"15 2","pages":"138-146"},"PeriodicalIF":29.6,"publicationDate":"2025-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143083168","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0