Nature Climate Change最新文献

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Responsibility attribution in Africa 非洲的责任归属
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02340-y
Danyang Cheng
{"title":"Responsibility attribution in Africa","authors":"Danyang Cheng","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02340-y","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02340-y","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Understanding citizens’ views on who is responsible for climate action helps clarify their expectations around climate commitments and responses. However, little is known about how responsibility is perceived across low- and middle-income countries, particularly in Africa. Without clear attribution of responsibility, growing climate vulnerability and risk cannot be effectively or equitably addressed.</p><p>Nicholas Simpson from the University of Cape Town and colleagues from South Africa, the USA and the UK analysed public opinion data from 39 African countries. They find that citizens who are aware of climate change primarily assign responsibility for addressing climate change to their own governments, followed by ordinary African citizens, and then to a mix of industry and historic emitters. But these notions of responsibility are not uniform, and variation is associated with sociodemographic factors and state capacity. Higher education levels, reduced poverty and access to new media sources are associated with increased attribution of responsibility to historical emitters. This study highlights that many Africans are willing to act on the climate crisis and expect their governments to do the same.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"35 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143930789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Expanding cracks 扩大裂缝
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02338-6
Jasper Franke
{"title":"Expanding cracks","authors":"Jasper Franke","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02338-6","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02338-6","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In their study, Andrew Hoffman from Columbia University in the USA and colleagues from the GHOST project team used satellite data in combination with image segmentation methods and crevasse modelling to quantify changes in surface crevasses in the Amundsen Sea embayment between 2015 and 2022. They find that crevasses have grown on Pine Island and Thwaites glaciers and now extend further inland than at the beginning of this time period. This expansion of crevasses is mainly linked to an accelerated loss of ice at the grounding zone, which leads to higher surface stress. These crevasses are mostly restricted to the surface firn layer and, therefore, do not yet lead to a loss of stability of the glaciers. They are, however, a signal of the accelerated mass loss that is observed from these glaciers.</p><p><b>Original reference:</b> <i>Cryosphere</i> <b>19</b>, 1353–1372 (2025)</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"35 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143930884","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Powerful people 有权有势的人
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02347-5
{"title":"Powerful people","authors":"","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02347-5","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02347-5","url":null,"abstract":"Many voices are needed in the climate change discussion to reach across society. Pope Francis is one example who offered his voice and support, in the conversation that needs to continue.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"44 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143930792","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Carbon in river floodplains 河漫滩中的碳
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02341-x
Bronwyn Wake
{"title":"Carbon in river floodplains","authors":"Bronwyn Wake","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02341-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02341-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Rivers play an important role in the transport and alteration of sediment and organic carbon. Yet, the role of floodplains in terrestrial carbon storage is poorly quantified as rivers vary in their erosion rates, transport and deposition of sediment, influenced by meanders, width and depth, among others.</p><p>To better understand what controls the timescales for carbon and sediment storage in river floodplains, Emily Geyman of the California Institute of Technology and co-authors used simulations, along with geomorphic mapping and dating techniques, applied to three Alaskan field sites with diverse characteristics. They show that the storage timescales can be predicted from the channel migration rate, channel width and the floodplain width.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"33 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143930791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The rich bear their fair share of climate costs 富裕国家承担了气候成本的公平份额
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02329-7
Christopher Callahan
{"title":"The rich bear their fair share of climate costs","authors":"Christopher Callahan","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02329-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02329-7","url":null,"abstract":"It has long been recognized that the highest-emitting regions should bear disproportionate responsibility for climate action. Now, a study shows how the highest-income individuals have specifically contributed to climate impacts worldwide.","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"270 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143915371","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide 高收入群体对全球极端气候的影响不成比例
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-07 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02325-x
Sarah Schöngart, Zebedee Nicholls, Roman Hoffmann, Setu Pelz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
{"title":"High-income groups disproportionately contribute to climate extremes worldwide","authors":"Sarah Schöngart, Zebedee Nicholls, Roman Hoffmann, Setu Pelz, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02325-x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02325-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Climate injustice persists as those least responsible often bear the greatest impacts, both between and within countries. Here we show how GHG emissions from consumption and investments attributable to the wealthiest population groups have disproportionately influenced present-day climate change. We link emissions inequality over the period 1990–2020 to regional climate extremes using an emulator-based framework. We find that two-thirds (one-fifth) of warming is attributable to the wealthiest 10% (1%), meaning that individual contributions are 6.5 (20) times the average per capita contribution. For extreme events, the top 10% (1%) contributed 7 (26) times the average to increases in monthly 1-in-100-year heat extremes globally and 6 (17) times more to Amazon droughts. Emissions from the wealthiest 10% in the United States and China led to a two- to threefold increase in heat extremes across vulnerable regions. Quantifying the link between wealth disparities and climate impacts can assist in the discourse on climate equity and justice.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"14 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143915380","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Author Correction: Heterogeneous pressure on croplands from land-based strategies to meet the 1.5 °C target 作者更正:为达到1.5°C目标而采取的陆基战略给农田带来的异质性压力
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02353-7
Peichao Gao, Yifan Gao, Yang Ou, Haewon McJeon, Gokul Iyer, Sijing Ye, Xiaofan Yang, Changqing Song
{"title":"Author Correction: Heterogeneous pressure on croplands from land-based strategies to meet the 1.5 °C target","authors":"Peichao Gao, Yifan Gao, Yang Ou, Haewon McJeon, Gokul Iyer, Sijing Ye, Xiaofan Yang, Changqing Song","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02353-7","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02353-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Correction to: <i>Nature Climate Change</i> https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02294-1, published online 24 March 2025.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"39 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143915381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Individualized cost–benefit analysis does not fit for demand-side mitigation 个性化的成本效益分析不适合需求侧缓解
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02330-0
Sebastian Berger, Felix Creutzig
{"title":"Individualized cost–benefit analysis does not fit for demand-side mitigation","authors":"Sebastian Berger, Felix Creutzig","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02330-0","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02330-0","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The desirability of demand-side options depends on their mitigation potential and well-being implications. Work from the IPCC suggests that demand-side mitigation is estimated to reduce emissions by 40–70% in end-use sectors while being consistent with similar or increased levels of human well-being<sup>1</sup>. Based on a cost–benefit case study from Beijing, China, Tan-Soo et al.<sup>2</sup> show that eight out of 12 policies allegedly incur individual welfare losses and seven result in social welfare loss. Using the approach of Tan-Soo et al., we show that the results hinge on assumptions worthy of debate. We show that an approach that is more sophisticated psychologically—accounting for endogenous preferences, for example—flips the central findings, leading to overall positive effects of demand-side mitigation on welfare.</p><p>Tan-Soo et al.’s finding that two-thirds of all demand-side climate mitigation options result in social welfare loss contrasts with previous findings that more than two-thirds of demand-side mitigation options improve eudaimonic well-being<sup>1</sup>. This difference raises critical questions on the methodology and conceptual understanding of costs, preferences and well-being. Here we open the discussion on the appropriate methodology. We applaud Tan-Soo et al.’s attempt to quantify the (social) welfare of demand-side options, but find their assumptions in contrast with our own understanding of how demand-side options need to be evaluated<sup>1,3,4,5</sup>.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"17 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143898095","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reply to: Individualized cost–benefit analysis does not fit for demand-side mitigation 回复:个性化成本效益分析不适合需求侧缓解
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-05-02 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02331-z
Jie-Sheng Tan-Soo, Ping Qin, Yifei Quan, Jun Li
{"title":"Reply to: Individualized cost–benefit analysis does not fit for demand-side mitigation","authors":"Jie-Sheng Tan-Soo, Ping Qin, Yifei Quan, Jun Li","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02331-z","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02331-z","url":null,"abstract":"<p><span>replying to</span> S. Berger &amp; F. Creutzig <i>Nature Climate Change</i> https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02330-0 (2025)</p><p>We are deeply grateful to Berger and Creutzig<sup>1</sup> for their thorough review of our study and for providing insightful critiques. Upon careful consideration of their comments, we identify two primary criticisms, which we address individually below.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"9 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-05-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143898096","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ambiguity of early warning signals for climate tipping points 气候临界点早期预警信号的模糊性
IF 30.7 1区 地球科学
Nature Climate Change Pub Date : 2025-04-29 DOI: 10.1038/s41558-025-02328-8
Max Rietkerk, Vanessa Skiba, Els Weinans, Raphaël Hébert, Thomas Laepple
{"title":"Ambiguity of early warning signals for climate tipping points","authors":"Max Rietkerk, Vanessa Skiba, Els Weinans, Raphaël Hébert, Thomas Laepple","doi":"10.1038/s41558-025-02328-8","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-025-02328-8","url":null,"abstract":"<p>There is concern that climate change might lead to abrupt and irreversible changes in parts of the Earth system at so-called tipping points. Theoretical considerations suggest that statistical measures can be used to detect early warning signals (EWSs) for reduced resilience, which could be interpreted as an increased proximity to climate tipping points. Here we discuss limitations of commonly used EWSs and their detection and discuss how alternative explanations can lead to resilience loss in the absence of tipping points. We argue for better testing of the existence of tipping points, beyond the application of EWSs, and propose a method to better quantify the probability of approaching tipping points using EWSs.</p>","PeriodicalId":18974,"journal":{"name":"Nature Climate Change","volume":"16 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":30.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143884864","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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