{"title":"Decision-Making in M&A Under Market Mispricing: The Role of Deep Learning Models","authors":"Yuxuan Tang","doi":"10.1002/mde.4533","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4533","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, mergers and acquisitions (M&A) play a pivotal role in shaping the corporate ecosystem. However, the presence of market mispricing, driven by various factors such as information asymmetry, behavioral biases, and external shocks, has been a persistent challenge for investors and corporations alike. Understanding the intricate relationship between stock market mispricing and the M&A landscape is crucial for making informed investment decisions and fostering a resilient financial environment. This research explores how stock market mispricing impacts M&A within a fragmented market setting, utilizing deep learning methods to uncover complex patterns and relationships. By analyzing market inefficiencies, the study aims to provide a deeper understanding of how mispricing influences M&A strategies and outcomes. Employing a quantitative descriptive research design, the study gathered valid data through distributed questionnaires, yielding responses from 130 investors and traders, 115 market participants, and 99 regulators and policymakers. The analysis was conducted using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences (SPSS). Firstly, it establishes the effectiveness of deep learning algorithms in detecting and quantifying stock market mispricing, providing a reliable measure of its extent. The study then explores the differential performance outcomes of companies engaging in M&A during periods of prevalent mispricing compared to those during efficient pricing. The study's novel contribution lies in the introduction of the role of sentiment analysis in deep learning models to incorporate market participants' sentiments, enhancing the accuracy of mispricing detection and its impact on M&A activity. Finally, this research contributes valuable insights into the integration of deep learning techniques in understanding and leveraging stock market mispricing for strategic decision-making in the context of M&A.</p>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 6","pages":"3352-3374"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-04-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/mde.4533","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144767458","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Backward Growth Accounting: An Economic Tool for Strategic Planning of Business Growth","authors":"Ali Zeytoon-Nejad","doi":"10.1002/mde.4519","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4519","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Business growth is a goal of great importance for its both private and social benefits. Many firms view business growth as an imperative for their survival, stability, and long-term success. Business growth can be socially beneficial, too, as it enables businesses to expand into new territories where they can stimulate economic growth and development, creates more jobs, increase living standards, and better serve their communities by giving back more through Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) initiatives. Business growth must be planned reasonably and optimally so that it can effectively achieve its critical ambitions in business practice. The current common practices for planning the supply side of business growth are usually ad-hoc and lack well-established mathematical and economic foundations. The present paper argues that business growth planning can be pursued more structurally, reliably, and meaningfully within the framework of Growth Accounting (GA), which was first introduced by Economics Nobel Laureate Robert Solow to study economic growth. It is shown that, although GA was initially put forth as a procedure to explain “economic growth” <i>ex-post</i>, it can similarly be used to plan “business growth” <i>ex-ante</i> when a general backward approach is taken in its procedure—called Backward Growth Accounting (BGA) in this paper. Taking this well-established economic–mathematical approach to planning business growth will enhance the current practices conceptually and structurally, as it is built on the basis of economic logic and mathematical tools. BGA can help businesses identify and plan for key drivers of output growth and assess shortcomings in the growth process, such as poor productivity, inadequate labor utilization, or insufficient capital investment. The paper outlines an eight-step procedure for planning business growth using BGA and includes appendices with real-world examples.C5, D2, L1, M11, M21, O4.</p>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 6","pages":"3296-3317"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/mde.4519","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144767978","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Industrial Clusters and Vocational Education: Evidence From China","authors":"Shudong Yang","doi":"10.1002/mde.4531","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4531","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Despite the widely acknowledged importance of vocational education in fostering social mobility and economic development, research on the impact of industrial clusters on vocational education remains sparse. This study aims to address this gap by examining the influence of industrial clusters on vocational education and the moderating role of the external environment. By collecting 965,123 firm samples, and by applying the fixed effect model and instrumental variable method, we find that industrial clusters positively influence vocational education. This study offers valuable insights for policymakers and educational practitioners, highlighting the importance of aligning vocational education with the dynamics of industrial clusters to enhance regional innovation and economic competitiveness.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 6","pages":"3283-3295"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-03-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144768068","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Family Companionship: How Does Superstition Improve Mental Health?","authors":"Yuhao Dai, Qican Wu","doi":"10.1002/mde.4530","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4530","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>A large amount of literature has proved that zodiac year superstition has a significant impact on business behaviors such as risk-taking, investment return, and insurance purchase, but the literature on the relationship between zodiac year and psychological state is still limited. This paper draws on epidemiological strategies to construct its research strategy, using data from China to explore the relationship between zodiac years and individual psychological states. Our findings suggest that their mental state improves when a person's family members enter the zodiac. Our empirical regression reveals the mediating mechanism, with collectivism and family cohesion, which belong to the same traditional Chinese culture as the zodiac year, playing an important role. When family members enter the zodiac year, individuals in the zodiac year will reduce their risk preference due to the vigilance of “misfortune” caused by zodiac year superstition. Under the action of collectivism and family cohesion, risks will also be passed through the generations, resulting in the convergence of risk preferences within the family. On the other hand, due to the essential requirements of collectivism and family cohesion, individuals in the zodiac year will reduce their risk preference. Out of concern for the “unlucky” individuals in zodiacal years, other members will choose to go out less and spend more time together and in each other's company. Interactions between family members make them feel less alone, and their mental state improves. These results suggest that cultural beliefs influence individual mental health through collectivism and family cohesion.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 6","pages":"3269-3282"},"PeriodicalIF":2.7,"publicationDate":"2025-03-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144768123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Pinpoint the Golden Point: A Moderated Inverted-U Relationship Between Digital Transformation and Business Model Innovation","authors":"Jie Shang, Tao Guo, Xiaozhou Ding","doi":"10.1002/mde.4529","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4529","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Despite the growing consensus on the positive value of digital transformation (DT) to business model innovation, there remains a lack of a comprehensive understanding about whether this positive influence can be sustainable. Drawing on the corporate behavioral theory and prospect theory, we examine a combination of dual impact mechanisms of DT on business model innovation, emphasizing the moderating role of aspiration performance gaps (APGs). Using a sample of A-share listed firms in China from 2013 to 2022, we show the dark sides of DT and disclose that DT has an inverted U-shaped relationship with business model innovation. Notably, negative APGs exert a stronger moderating effect than positive APGs, accelerating the attainment of peak business model innovation at a lower degree of DT. We also highlight that the inverted U-shaped relationship shows a lower turning point and a larger opening in the Eastern region compared with that in the whole region; large firms tend to experience the shift from the “bright sides” to the “dark sides” earlier than SMEs. This study clarifies the intrinsic mechanisms between DT and business model innovation, offering practical guidance to avoid the pain points of DT and achieve business model innovation.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 5","pages":"3250-3265"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144214210","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"How Does Climate Policy Uncertainty Affect Banks Loan Loss Provisions?—Evidence From China","authors":"Yonghui Lian, Jie Li, Feng He","doi":"10.1002/mde.4511","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4511","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study examines the impact of climate policy uncertainty (CPU) on banks' loan loss provisions. Using a sample of 63 listed commercial banks in China from 2007 to 2022, we find that CPU significantly increases banks' loan loss provisions. Banks with higher financial risk and greater climate risk exposure tend to increase their loan loss provisions in response to CPU. This effect is less pronounced for banks with a higher degree of digital transformation, banks with better ESG performance, banks with green commitment, and banks disclosing more substantial climate information. Our findings provide empirical evidence for the importance of reducing CPU by government and regulators from banks' risk management perspective.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 5","pages":"3039-3066"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144213882","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Personalized Pricing of an e-Tailer in the Presence of Identity Management","authors":"Peng Xu, Yibing Wang, Qin Zhang","doi":"10.1002/mde.4520","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4520","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Advanced information technology allows e-tailers to impose personalized pricing based on consumer information. However, consumers generally have an aversion to price discrimination and someone even strategically bypasses the tailored price by identity management. This paper constructs a supply chain with one e-tailer and one manufacturer, in which the e-tailer decides whether to impose personalized pricing or uniform pricing. We will study the pricing strategy of the e-tailer and examine the impacts of personalized pricing on the manufacturer, supply chain, consumers, and social welfare. Our analysis reveals that (i) the e-tailer imposes personalized pricing if there is a low proportion of new consumers and imposes uniform pricing otherwise; (ii) the manufacturer has an incentive to subsidize the e-tailer to implement personalized pricing when the proportion of new consumers is medium; (iii) personalized pricing may benefit new consumers and old consumers who bypass the tailored price via identity management, while it always hurts old consumers who purchase with the tailored price. Additionally, we discuss two different cases: endogenous quality and centralized system, finding that (iv) the manufacturer strategically decreases the (product) quality level when the e-tailer imposes personalized pricing; and (v) channel decentralization diminishes the e-tailer's incentive to impose personalized pricing.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 5","pages":"3226-3243"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144213839","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Effects of Uniform Capacity Constraints on Quantity–Quality Competition","authors":"Pu-yan Nie","doi":"10.1002/mde.4522","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4522","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This article highlights quality and quantity competition with capacity constraints under different theoretical scenarios. We capture the effects on equilibrium by first-mover strategies and capacity constraints under Cournot and Stackelberg competitions, respectively. Our major findings are as follows. First, under a Stackelberg case, market share differences decrease with increased total resources. Second, the first-mover firm always produces higher quality products and earns more profits under duopoly conditions. Third, consumer surplus under the Cournot case is less than those under the Stackelberg case. Fourth, social welfare increases with increased total resources in both cases, though it is more significant under a Cournot competition than under a Stackelberg competition.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 5","pages":"3189-3199"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144213911","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Trapped by AI Recommendation: How Identity Concerns Reduce Variety-Seeking Behavior","authors":"Zelin Tong, Huilin Liu, Jingdan Feng, Wei Wang, Huizhi Wu, Jilv Xu","doi":"10.1002/mde.4524","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4524","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This research explores the impact of AI recommendations on consumers' variety-seeking behavior. Through three studies, we examine how AI recommendations in different contexts, such as music and shopping apps, influence consumers' variety-seeking behavior. The results consistently show that AI recommendation significantly reduces variety-seeking behavior among consumers with strong identification due to heightened concerns about AI misclassification. In contrast, consumers with weak identification remain unaffected. These findings reveal a potential dark side of AI recommendation, where consumers' desire to maintain a consistent identity leads them to engage less in diverse explorations, thereby intensifying the creation of information cocoons. Our research contributes to the literature by highlighting the psychological mechanisms underlying consumer responses to AI recommendations and underscores the need for a balanced approach in AI personalization strategies.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 5","pages":"3200-3211"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144213912","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Revisiting the Fiscal Policy–Income Inequality Nexus in Sub-Saharan Africa: Does Institutional Quality Matter?","authors":"Olufemi G. Onatunji","doi":"10.1002/mde.4517","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.4517","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The growing imperative to attain equitable income distribution has compelled international organizations and the academic community to make a collaborative commitment towards alleviating the escalating income inequality experienced worldwide. While there has been a notable development of interest among scholars regarding the nexus between fiscal policy and income inequality, the empirical scrutiny on the contributing role of fiscal policy and institutional quality remains scant in the literature. The present study complements the existing literature by investigating the tripartite nexus between fiscal policy, institutional quality, and income inequality in SSA, which has received no empirical attention in the literature. This study utilizes an advanced econometric technique, the cross-sectional autoregressive distributed lag (CS-ARDL) approach, which addresses cross-sectional dependency and heterogeneity issues for the panel dataset during 1990–2015. The empirical results demonstrate that economic growth, population growth, and government tax exacerbate income inequality, whereas education, government expenditure, and institutional quality metrics mitigate income inequality in SSA countries in the short and long run. The findings also indicate that the performance of institutional quality settings in SSA is significant for fostering efficient fiscal policy, thus improving equitable income distribution. These findings offer substantial, valuable insights and policy implications for policymakers in SSA, which may inform the design and formulation of sustainable development strategies to achieve equitable income distribution.</p>","PeriodicalId":18186,"journal":{"name":"Managerial and Decision Economics","volume":"46 5","pages":"3172-3188"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1002/mde.4517","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144213914","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}