Communications Earth & Environment最新文献

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Linking leaf hyperspectral reflectance to gene expression. 叶片高光谱反射率与基因表达的关联。
IF 8.9 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-08-23 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02696-1
Yanni Chen, Logan Monks, Vanessa E Rubio, Alexander J Cox, Nathan G Swenson
{"title":"Linking leaf hyperspectral reflectance to gene expression.","authors":"Yanni Chen, Logan Monks, Vanessa E Rubio, Alexander J Cox, Nathan G Swenson","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02696-1","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-025-02696-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Forest diversity and dynamics are governed by the interactions between organismal function and the abiotic and biotic environment. Functional traits have been widely employed in forest ecology to estimate key functional tradeoffs related to tree performance in a given environment. Hyperspectral reflectance data are utilized in ecology to predict functional trait values at the individual tree or pixel scale on broad spatial extents, but the diversity of functions captured by these traits is limited. Here, we demonstrate a novel integration of reflectance and to gene expression data for processes of interest to ecologists. We show linkages between the expression of ecologically important genes and reflectance data and the potential to transform the depth at which ecologists can rapidly estimate functional diversity.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"694"},"PeriodicalIF":8.9,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12374840/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144945742","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Private investments in climate change adaptation are increasing in Europe, although sectoral differences remain. 欧洲在气候变化适应方面的私人投资正在增加,尽管行业差异依然存在。
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-17 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02454-3
Ignasi Cortés Arbués, Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis, Servaas Storm, Olga Ivanova, Tatiana Filatova
{"title":"Private investments in climate change adaptation are increasing in Europe, although sectoral differences remain.","authors":"Ignasi Cortés Arbués, Theodoros Chatzivasileiadis, Servaas Storm, Olga Ivanova, Tatiana Filatova","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02454-3","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02454-3","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Climate-induced hazards are becoming more frequent and severe, causing escalating economic losses worldwide. Consequently, climate change adaptation is increasingly necessary to protect people, nature and the economy. However, little is known about who is adapting and how much they spend on adaptation measures, especially in the private sector. This article focuses on firms-the backbone of economic development, yet understudied in climate adaptation research. Here we present insights from a unique panel dataset detailing businesses' adaptation investments across 28 European countries (2018-2022), 5 hazard types, and 19 economic sectors. Our descriptive analysis reveals low but increasing adaptation investments across Europe (0.15-0.92% of national gross domestic product, annually increasing by 30.6-37.4%). Moreover, we highlight considerable differences in adaptation intensity across sectors, including low adaptation intensity in manufacturing and retail trade. Additionally, our econometric analysis indicates that public adaptation spending crowds in private investments in adaptation, highlighting opportunities to facilitate autonomous adaptation.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"470"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12173939/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144332593","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Homo erectus adapted to steppe-desert climate extremes one million years ago. 一百万年前,直立人适应了极端的草原-沙漠气候。
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-16 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01919-1
Julio Mercader, Pamela Akuku, Nicole Boivin, Alfredo Camacho, Tristan Carter, Siobhán Clarke, Arturo Cueva Temprana, Julien Favreau, Jennifer Galloway, Raquel Hernando, Haiping Huang, Stephen Hubbard, Jed O Kaplan, Steve Larter, Stephen Magohe, Abdallah Mohamed, Aloyce Mwambwiga, Ayoola Oladele, Michael Petraglia, Patrick Roberts, Palmira Saladié, Abel Shikoni, Renzo Silva, María Soto, Dominica Stricklin, Degsew Z Mekonnen, Wenran Zhao, Paul Durkin
{"title":"<i>Homo erectus</i> adapted to steppe-desert climate extremes one million years ago.","authors":"Julio Mercader, Pamela Akuku, Nicole Boivin, Alfredo Camacho, Tristan Carter, Siobhán Clarke, Arturo Cueva Temprana, Julien Favreau, Jennifer Galloway, Raquel Hernando, Haiping Huang, Stephen Hubbard, Jed O Kaplan, Steve Larter, Stephen Magohe, Abdallah Mohamed, Aloyce Mwambwiga, Ayoola Oladele, Michael Petraglia, Patrick Roberts, Palmira Saladié, Abel Shikoni, Renzo Silva, María Soto, Dominica Stricklin, Degsew Z Mekonnen, Wenran Zhao, Paul Durkin","doi":"10.1038/s43247-024-01919-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-024-01919-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Questions about when early members of the genus <i>Homo</i> adapted to extreme environments like deserts and rainforests have traditionally focused on <i>Homo sapiens</i>. Here, we present multidisciplinary evidence from Engaji Nanyori in Tanzania's Oldupai Gorge, revealing that <i>Homo erectus</i> thrived in hyperarid landscapes one million years ago. Using biogeochemical analyses, precise chronometric dating, palaeoclimate simulations, biome modeling, fire history reconstructions, palaeobotanical studies, faunal assemblages, and archeological evidence, we reconstruct an environment dominated by semidesert shrubland. Despite these challenges, <i>Homo erectus</i> repeatedly occupied fluvial landscapes, leveraging water sources and ecological focal points to mitigate risk. These findings suggest archaic humans possessed an ecological flexibility previously attributed only to later hominins. This adaptability likely facilitated the expansion of <i>Homo erectus</i> into the arid regions of Africa and Eurasia, redefining their role as ecological generalists thriving in some of the most challenging landscapes of the Middle Pleistocene.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"1"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11738993/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143001472","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Strong polar vortex favoured intense Northern European storminess in February 2022. 2022年2月,强大的极地涡旋有利于强烈的北欧风暴。
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-27 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02175-7
Ryan S Williams, Amanda C Maycock, Vincent Charnay, Jeff Knight, Inna Polichtchouk
{"title":"Strong polar vortex favoured intense Northern European storminess in February 2022.","authors":"Ryan S Williams, Amanda C Maycock, Vincent Charnay, Jeff Knight, Inna Polichtchouk","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02175-7","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02175-7","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>February 2022 was an unusually stormy month over Northern Europe, including three extratropical cyclones impacting the United Kingdom and Ireland within a single week. The month also experienced an exceptionally strong stratospheric polar vortex; however, the role of this in preconditioning the risk of extratropical cyclone hazards has not been explored. Here we use constrained subseasonal forecasts to isolate the effect of the strong stratospheric polar vortex on the North Atlantic storm track in February 2022. We estimate the strong polar vortex led to a 1.5-3-fold increase in the likelihood of a cyclone with comparable intensity to the most intense storm that impacted the United Kingdom. We also show an increased likelihood of 3 or more storms reaching the United Kingdom in a single week by ~80% compared to if the polar vortex had been of average intensity. Using a storm severity index, we estimate a 3-4-fold increase in wind gust hazards over Scandinavia and Scotland and increases in monthly precipitation over Scotland, northern England and Ireland, and Scandinavia. The results show that the strengthened stratospheric polar vortex enhanced the risk of extreme North Atlantic extratropical cyclones, serial cyclone clustering, and their associated impacts over northern Europe in February 2022.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"226"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11949832/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143751285","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dolomite luminescence thermochronometry reconstructs the low-temperature exhumation history of carbonate rocks in the central Apennines, Italy. 白云石发光热时法重建了意大利亚平宁山脉中部碳酸盐岩的低温发掘历史。
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-02 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02216-1
Junjie Zhang, Giorgio Arriga, Federico Rossetti, Valentina Argante, Dennis Kraemer, Mariana Sontag-González, Domenico Cosentino, Paola Cipollari, Sumiko Tsukamoto
{"title":"Dolomite luminescence thermochronometry reconstructs the low-temperature exhumation history of carbonate rocks in the central Apennines, Italy.","authors":"Junjie Zhang, Giorgio Arriga, Federico Rossetti, Valentina Argante, Dennis Kraemer, Mariana Sontag-González, Domenico Cosentino, Paola Cipollari, Sumiko Tsukamoto","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02216-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02216-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The lack of available thermochronological methods has so far hampered reconstructions of the cooling and exhumation histories in carbonate rock regions. Here we develop a new trapped charge thermochronometry tool based on the thermoluminescence signal of dolomite. It has a closure temperature range of 45-75 °C and is applicable to carbonate domains with cooling rates of 2-200 °C per million years. This new thermochronometric technique is tested in the central Apennines, where seismogenic, carbonate-hosted normal faulting controls regional neotectonics. Thermoluminescence dating is applied along the northeastern shoulder of the Late Pliocene-Quaternary L'Aquila Intermontane Basin, at the footwall of the extensional Monte Marine Fault. Dolomite samples from the bedrock have a mean thermoluminescence age of 4.60 ± 0.35 millions of years, whereas dolomite clasts within the fault damage zone have a mean thermoluminescence age of 2.53 ± 0.13 millions of years. These new thermoluminescence ages, corroborated by the existing stratigraphic constraints, (i) provide the first direct, low-temperature exhumation ages of the carbonate bedrocks in the central Apennines; (ii) constrain the activity of the basin boundary faults along the northeastern shoulder of the L'Aquila Intermontane Basin. Our study demonstrates the potential of dolomite luminescence thermochronometry in reconstructing the low-temperature cooling/exhumation history of carbonate bedrocks.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"252"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11964923/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143794847","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Seasonal regimes of warm Circumpolar Deep Water intrusion toward Antarctic ice shelves. 暖环极深水侵入南极冰架的季节变化。
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-01 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02091-w
Joshua Lanham, Matthew Mazloff, Alberto C Naveira Garabato, Martin Siegert, Ali Mashayek
{"title":"Seasonal regimes of warm Circumpolar Deep Water intrusion toward Antarctic ice shelves.","authors":"Joshua Lanham, Matthew Mazloff, Alberto C Naveira Garabato, Martin Siegert, Ali Mashayek","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02091-w","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02091-w","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Basal melting of Antarctic ice shelves is primarily driven by heat delivery from warm Circumpolar Deep Water. Here we classify near-shelf water masses in an eddy-resolving numerical model of the Southern Ocean to develop a unified view of warm water intrusion onto the Antarctic continental shelf. We identify four regimes on seasonal timescales. In regime 1 (East Antarctica), heat intrusions are driven by easterly winds via Ekman dynamics. In regime 2 (West Antarctica), intrusion is primarily determined by the strength of a shelf-break undercurrent. In regime 3, the warm water cycle on the shelf is in antiphase with dense shelf water production (Adélie Coast). Finally, in regime 4 (Weddell and Ross seas), shelf-ward warm water inflow occurs along the western edge of canyons during periods of dense shelf water outflow. Our results advocate for a reformulation of the traditional annual-mean regime classification of the Antarctic continental shelf.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"168"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11872733/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143556084","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Poor air quality raises mortality in honey bees, a concern for all pollinators. 恶劣的空气质量提高了蜜蜂的死亡率,这是所有传粉媒介都关心的问题。
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02082-x
Nico Coallier, Liliana Perez, Maxime Fraser Franco, Yenny Cuellar, Julien Vadnais
{"title":"Poor air quality raises mortality in honey bees, a concern for all pollinators.","authors":"Nico Coallier, Liliana Perez, Maxime Fraser Franco, Yenny Cuellar, Julien Vadnais","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02082-x","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02082-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Human well-being relies on the presence and role of pollinators, as they contribute to the vitality of ecosystems, support the reproduction of wild plants, increase crop yields, and strengthen overall food security. While wild bee populations are dwindling due to climate and environmental change, there has been a notable 45% rise globally in the number of managed honey bee (<i>Apis mellifera</i>) colonies over the past five decades. Given their economic significance and their relative ease of tracking, honey bees have the potential to serve as bioindicators of global pollinator health. Consequently, honey bees have emerged as a keystone species requiring protection and conservation efforts. Here, we investigate the intricate relationship between air quality, environmental factors, and honey bee mortality across Canada and the United States. Using statistical and machine learning modeling, our findings underscore the honey bee's role as a bioindicator. We found that air quality is an important predictor of honey bee mortality. The risk of honey bee mortality increased with poor air quality (ozone and Air Quality Health Index) but was substantially reduced in regions with greater vegetation availability (Normalized Difference Vegetation Index). Therefore, our study offers a beacon of hope: improving management practices by increasing greenery can significantly mitigate the impact of deteriorating air quality on honey bees, providing a vital solution to safeguard our essential pollinators.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"126"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11845317/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143482411","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rising nitrogen deposition leads to only a minor increase in CO2 uptake in Earth system models. 在地球系统模型中,氮沉降的增加只会导致二氧化碳吸收量的轻微增加。
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-19 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-024-01943-1
Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Vivek K Arora, Chris D Jones, Victor Brovkin, Tomohiro Hajima, Michio Kawamiya, Spencer K Liddicoat, Alexander J Winkler, Sönke Zaehle
{"title":"Rising nitrogen deposition leads to only a minor increase in CO<sub>2</sub> uptake in Earth system models.","authors":"Sian Kou-Giesbrecht, Vivek K Arora, Chris D Jones, Victor Brovkin, Tomohiro Hajima, Michio Kawamiya, Spencer K Liddicoat, Alexander J Winkler, Sönke Zaehle","doi":"10.1038/s43247-024-01943-1","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-024-01943-1","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Current frameworks for evaluating biogeochemical climate change feedbacks in Earth System Models lack an explicit consideration of nitrogen cycling in the land and ocean spheres despite its vital role in limiting primary productivity. As coupled carbon-nitrogen cycling becomes the norm, a better understanding of the role of nitrogen cycling is needed. Here we develop a new framework for quantifying carbon-nitrogen feedbacks in Earth System Models and show that rising nitrogen deposition acts as a negative feedback over both land and ocean, enhancing carbon dioxide (CO<sub>2</sub>) fertilisation in a model ensemble. However, increased CO<sub>2</sub> uptake due to rising nitrogen deposition is small relative to the large reduction in CO<sub>2</sub> uptake when coupled carbon-nitrogen cycling is implemented in Earth System Models. Altogether, rising nitrogen deposition leads to only a minor increase in CO<sub>2</sub> uptake but also enhances nitrous oxide (N<sub>2</sub>O) emissions over land and ocean, contributing only marginally to mitigating climate change.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"216"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11922751/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143691176","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
An interpretable machine learning model for seasonal precipitation forecasting. 季节降水预报的可解释机器学习模型。
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-03-21 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02207-2
Enzo Pinheiro, Taha B M J Ouarda
{"title":"An interpretable machine learning model for seasonal precipitation forecasting.","authors":"Enzo Pinheiro, Taha B M J Ouarda","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02207-2","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02207-2","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Seasonal climate forecasting is important for societal welfare, as it supports decision-makers in taking proactive steps to mitigate risks from adverse climate conditions or to take advantage of favorable ones. Here, we introduce TelNet, a sequence-to-sequence machine learning model for short-to-medium lead seasonal precipitation forecasting. The model takes past seasonal precipitation values and climate indices to predict an empirical precipitation distribution for every grid point of the target region for the next six overlapping seasons. TelNet has a simple encoder-decoder-head architecture, allowing the model to be trained with a limited amount of data, as is often the case in climate forecasting. Its deterministic and probabilistic performance is thoroughly evaluated and compared with state-of-the-art dynamical and deep learning models in a prominent region for seasonal forecasting studies due to its high climate predictability. The training, validation, and test sets are resampled multiple times to estimate the uncertainty associated with a small dataset. The results show that TelNet ranks among the most accurate and calibrated models across multiple initialization months and lead times, especially during the rainy season when the predictable signal is strongest. Moreover, the model allows instance- and lead-wise forecast interpretation through its variable selection weights.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"222"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11928313/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143691156","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Rising atmospheric moisture escalates the future impact of atmospheric rivers in the Antarctic climate system. 不断上升的大气湿度加剧了未来大气河流对南极气候系统的影响。
IF 8.1 1区 地球科学
Communications Earth & Environment Pub Date : 2025-01-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-14 DOI: 10.1038/s43247-025-02333-x
Michelle L Maclennan, Andrew C Winters, Christine A Shields, Rudradutt Thaker, Léonard Barthelemy, Francis Codron, Jonathan D Wille
{"title":"Rising atmospheric moisture escalates the future impact of atmospheric rivers in the Antarctic climate system.","authors":"Michelle L Maclennan, Andrew C Winters, Christine A Shields, Rudradutt Thaker, Léonard Barthelemy, Francis Codron, Jonathan D Wille","doi":"10.1038/s43247-025-02333-x","DOIUrl":"10.1038/s43247-025-02333-x","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite their relative rarity, atmospheric rivers are key contributors to the surface mass balance of Antarctica. However, the future role of atmospheric rivers in modulating Antarctic sea-level contributions is a major area of uncertainty. Here, we leverage high-resolution climate simulations to show that Antarctic atmospheric rivers are highly sensitive to future increases in atmospheric moisture, leading to a doubling of atmospheric river frequencies and 2.5 × increase in precipitation from 2066-2100 under present-day thresholds for atmospheric river detection. However, future precipitation impacts are critically dependent on the detection threshold: accounting for moisture increases in the threshold produces smaller, regional changes in atmospheric river frequency, primarily resulting from an eastward shift in the polar jet maximum wind speeds. Our results underscore the importance of using large ensembles to quantify Antarctic atmospheric river responses to variability in projected moisture, which may not be captured when using only a few ensemble members.</p>","PeriodicalId":10530,"journal":{"name":"Communications Earth & Environment","volume":"6 1","pages":"369"},"PeriodicalIF":8.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC12078180/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144093014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"地球科学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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