Climate Risk Management最新文献

{"title":"Disaster vulnerability hotspots in the Portland metro-region: Converging indices for equitable resilience","authors":"Idowu Ajibade ,&nbsp;Matthew Walter ,&nbsp;Jason Sauer ,&nbsp;Aswatha Raghunathasami ,&nbsp;James M. Done ,&nbsp;Paul Loikith ,&nbsp;Chris Lower ,&nbsp;Heejun Chang ,&nbsp;Arun Pallathadka ,&nbsp;Mae E. Sowards ,&nbsp;Ming Ge","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100714","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100714","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As climate-related extreme events intensify across the globe, governments, practitioners, and communities have focused on reducing vulnerability and building resilience. However, debates persist about the validity, differences, and similarities between social vulnerability and resilience indices. This study combines the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) (26 indicators) and the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC) (52 indicators) to assess the Portland Metro region using ACS (2016–2020) and 2020 Census data. Through hotspot analysis, Pearson’s correlation, and linear regression, we identify key drivers as well as areas of convergence and divergence between the two indices. Results show a strong overlap between SoVI and BRIC, with distinct drivers across counties and census tracts. High SoVI/low BRIC hotspots were found in Clackamas and Multnomah counties. In Clackamas, vulnerability was due to limited hospital access, weak infrastructure and institutions, mobile homes, and inadequate community resources. In Multnomah, poverty, low educational attainment, and single-parent households were the primary drivers of vulnerability. While Clackamas had stronger environmental resilience, Multnomah showed higher resilience than Washington County due to better transportation, institutions, and community capital. Having a high proportion of migrant populations, institutionalized residents, and mobile homes reduced resilience in Washington County. These findings support the combined use of SoVI-BRIC indices for targeted resilience planning and equitable resource allocation for infrastructure development, environmental protection, social programs, and emergency preparedness across multiple scales.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100714"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143918011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Gender-group membership intersectionality and determinants of indigenous climate adaptation of smallholder farmers for climate risk management in northern Ghana","authors":"Lawrence Guodaar","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100737","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100737","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examined the intersection of gender and group membership as well as the factors influencing indigenous adaptation strategies of male and female smallholder farmers to moderate climate risks for sustainable food security in dryland communities. It used survey data from 299 farming households with 12 focus group discussions across six rural communities in northern Ghana. Household data were analyzed using descriptive statistics and a binary logistic regression model. The results reveal that smallholder farmers’ indigenous solutions, such as soil and water management strategies, are gender-differentiated. The most significant indigenous adaptation strategies employed by smallholder farmers include the use of organic manure, rainwater harvesting, and spiritual consultations. From an intersectional perspective, group membership is gendered and facilitates the reduction of climate adaptation costs. Several factors differently shape the indigenous adaptation strategies of male and female smallholder farmers. Generally, age, education, and wealth status influence gender responses to climate change. Specifically male farmers’ indigenous strategies are significantly affected by farm size, whereas female farmers’ practices are mainly shaped by farm experience, farm ownership, and membership in local associations. These findings indicate that social, economic, demographic, and farm-related characteristics are essential for building climate resilience. The findings offer insightful guidance for policymakers and practitioners to develop adaptation plans that are gender-responsive, strengthen farming groups, and enhance adaptive capacity, ultimately promoting resilient and sustainable food systems in dryland indigenous communities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100737"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144926514","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The role of climate and urbanization in compound meteorological event exposure in China’s megacities","authors":"Liling Chu ,&nbsp;Chao Xu ,&nbsp;Yanwen Wang ,&nbsp;Chaoqing Huang ,&nbsp;Zhaoliang Zeng ,&nbsp;Yilin Li ,&nbsp;Yiqi Zhou ,&nbsp;Qian Wu ,&nbsp;Pingan Jiang ,&nbsp;Xusheng Gong ,&nbsp;Yujia Hong ,&nbsp;Chao He","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100722","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100722","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Compound precipitation and wind speed extremes (CPWE) pose significant threats to the sustainable development of urban areas. This study investigated the spatial evolution characteristics, potential population exposure risk, and multidimensional inequality of CPWE within nine urban agglomerations in China, each containing at least one city with a GDP exceeding one trillion yuan, utilizing spatiotemporal statistics and attribution analysis. The results indicated that the intensity of CPWE in these urban agglomerations decreased from southeast to northwest, and the population exposed to mild, moderate, severe, and extreme levels accounted for 58 %, 28.3 %, 11.4 %, and 2.3 % of the total, respectively. Changes in exposure risk were driven by climate effect (58.29 % ± 12.77 %), followed by population (32.15 % ± 6.20 %) and interaction effect (9.55 % ± 5.14 %). Pearl River Delta (PRD) and Yangtze River Delta (YRD), identified as particularly vulnerable, experienced an increase in CPWE intensity exceeding 0.015 /10a. An increase of approximately 0.62 × 10⁴ people per decade was observed for exposure risk, with over 20 % of the population facing severe or extreme levels, mainly due to the climate effect. CPWE exposure risk was significantly unequal across various dimensions (spatial autocorrelation: Moran’s <em>I</em> = 0.3798, <em>P</em> = 0.001; Gini coefficient: 0.08–0.5). Areas characterized by high-risk and balanced development (e.g., PRD, YRD) exhibited lower inequality, whereas regions featuring low-risk and concentrated development (e.g., GPZ) demonstrated higher inequality. The climate effect was the predominant influence in the low-risk areas as well as most high-risk areas. These findings support the targeted implementation of appropriate climate adaptation policies to promote regional sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100722"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144307777","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Citizen concerns about climate change impact and perception of planned retreat in Swedish waterfront municipalities","authors":"David Bendz,&nbsp;Gunnel Göransson ,&nbsp;Lisa Van Well","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100750","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100750","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines citizen concern of extreme events and their views of planned retreat as a climate adaptation strategy to reduce the risk of flooding in five Swedish waterfront municipalities. Data were collected using a survey questionnaire (n = 1000). Sociodemographic and place-based characteristics were included in a basic framework of analysis. The data were statistically processed using the chi-squared test of independence and T-test for comparison of means. Place-based characteristics revealed themselves as important variables that are associated with awareness and concern of climate change. The respondents in all municipalities shared a concern for flooding and water scarcity. The concerns of storms, forest fires and erosion were clearly linked to place-based characteristics such as land use and geography. Variables such as age, gender, education, and income did not reveal themselves as significant for the rating of which types of serious events that were of concern to the respondents. The opinion of planned retreat as an adaptation strategy also reflected place-based characteristics, and there were significant differences between the municipalities. Preferences for adaptation through protection, relocation or no action were associated with the hypothetical flooding frequency, gender, age and education. Women and young respondents were more likely to consider the possibilities of a retreat strategy for creating attractive natural and recreation areas than other demographic groups. The main obstacles for planned retreat were shown to be financial, followed by technical and political issues. The findings highlight the need for policy- and decision-makers to recognize local/regional geography and settlement patterns in tailoring adaptation and preparedness strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100750"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145220405","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Increased risk for damages from the dry-rot fungus Serpula lacrymans on buildings in a changing climate","authors":"Mikael Martinsson ,&nbsp;Itai Danielski","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100695","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100695","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Weather-based damages in housing insurance correspond to 23 % of all insurance claims in Sweden and include damages from fungi. Some fungi could cause health risks to the tenants, while others can cause rapid structural failure for the building itself, like the dry-rot fungus <em>Serpula lacrymans</em>.</div><div>The study aims to analyse a possible connection between the increased rate of insurance claims related to <em>S. lacrymans</em> fungi and climate change. This study uses historical data of 2446 damaged properties from insurance companies and current and future climate data. In addition, eight geographical areas within Sweden with 567 damaged properties were analysed in relation to changes in outdoor temperature over a decade. Finally, a full onsite inspection of 20 infected properties by <em>S. lacrymans</em> fungi was conducted to evaluate common conditions for fungi infections.</div><div>The results of this study showed that the <em>S. lacrymans</em> fungus is expected to spread to the northern parts of Sweden even in areas where it could not exist before, while the rate of infected buildings in the southern part of Sweden might decline but not drop to zero. Wooden buildings older constructed before 1980 with chimneys and self-ventilation are at higher risk of infection. Economic implications are significant, with high repair costs rendering some buildings economically unviable, particularly in rural areas. Insurance reimbursement is typically limited to market value loss, indicating location, design, and maintenance status as crucial factors. The results may raise a concern for insurance companies and property owners, especially related to locations in the sparse parts of North of Sweden.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100695"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143437524","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The role of local knowledge in enhancing climate change risk assessments in rural Northern Ireland","authors":"Alan T. Kennedy-Asser ,&nbsp;Oliver D. Andrews ,&nbsp;Jill Montgomery ,&nbsp;Katie L. Jenkins ,&nbsp;Ben A.H. Smith ,&nbsp;Elizabeth Lewis ,&nbsp;Stephen J. Birkinshaw ,&nbsp;Helen He ,&nbsp;Richard F. Pywell ,&nbsp;Matt J. Brown ,&nbsp;John W. Redhead ,&nbsp;Rachel Warren ,&nbsp;Craig Robson ,&nbsp;Adam J.P. Smith ,&nbsp;Robert J. Nicholls ,&nbsp;Donal Mullan ,&nbsp;Ryan McGuire","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100702","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100702","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate risk modelling provides valuable quantitative data on potential risks at different spatiotemporal scales, but it is essential that these models are evaluated appropriately. In some cases, it may be useful to merge quantitative datasets with qualitative data and local knowledge, to better inform and evaluate climate risk assessments. This interdisciplinary study maps climatic risks relating to health and agriculture that are facing rural Northern Ireland. A large range of quantitative national climate risk modelling results from the OpenCLIM project are scrutinised using local qualitative insights identified during workshops and interviews with farmers and rural care providers. In some cases, the qualitative local knowledge supported the quantitative modelling results, such as (1) highlighting that heat risk can be an issue for health in rural areas as well as urban centres, and (2) precipitation is changing, with increased variability posing challenges to agriculture. In other cases, the local knowledge challenged the national quantitative results. For example, models suggested that (1) potential heat stress impacts will be low, and (2) grass growing conditions will be more favourable, with higher yields as a result of future climatic conditions. In both cases, local knowledge challenged these conclusions, with discomfort and workplace heat stress reported by care staff and recent experience of variable weather having significant impacts on grass growth on farms across the country. Hence, merging even a small amount of qualitative local knowledge with quantitative national modelling projects results in a more holistic understanding of the local climate risk.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100702"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143739433","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Migration due to floodplain buyouts mimics general post-disaster migration patterns","authors":"Nora Louise Schwaller ,&nbsp;Todd K. BenDor ,&nbsp;Alex Greer ,&nbsp;Philip R. Berke","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100715","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100715","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Property buyout programs, widely utilized by the US government to mitigate flood vulnerability, pose uncertain social and economic impacts. Prior studies have analyzed the outcomes of buyout participants alone or in comparison with non-movers. We propose a refined approach to better isolate the impacts of participation in buyout program by comparing participants to non-participants that also relocated in the wake of the storm event. Our study compares 267 buyout program participants and 948 non-buyout movers in Harris County, Texas, after Hurricane Harvey. We find that buyout participants tended to move to similar areas as non-buyout movers. This finding suggests that the HMGP program is as successful as the private market at providing options for relocation post-disaster while achieving additional mitigation benefits for the city at large. Our findings suggest a role for increasing benefits of the buyout programs as a means of decreasing program attrition.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100715"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143928665","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Climate information use in transportation planning: a survey of Metropolitan Planning Organizations","authors":"Kelli M. Archie ,&nbsp;James C. Arnott ,&nbsp;Julie A. Vano ,&nbsp;Daniella Hirschfeld ,&nbsp;Rebecca Rasch ,&nbsp;Emilio Mateo","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100742","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100742","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change and its potential to impact transportation systems poses urgent challenges for sustainability and societal well-being, emphasizing a need to plan to reduce transportation infrastructure’s vulnerability to impacts such as sea level rise, extreme weather events, and increased erosion. Previous research has focused on document analysis and case studies and has highlighted the importance of including transportation professional needs in regard to understanding how transportation professionals use climate science. Through direct inclusion of transportation professional perspectives, this paper aims to fill the gaps in understanding about the use of climate information in transportation planning. To obtain data about local and regional level transportation infrastructure planning and the importance of increased funding on the demand for climate information, we conducted an online survey of regional transportation practitioners (n = 105) from United States Metropolitan Planning Organizations (MPOs). The survey examined what types of climate-related information these regional planners are using in the context of transportation infrastructure planning, how it is used, and what types of decision support practitioners think would be most useful. We also explore how the implementation of the Bipartisan Infrastructure Law / Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act (BIL/IIJA), alongside other factors, may impact the demand for and use of climate information. We find that information providers need to improve decision support tools so they are (a) easy to use and interpret, (b) include explicit methods for modeling tradeoffs among options, and (c) allow the user to easily identify the impacts of alternative scenarios and decisions. Our data suggest that one of the most obvious ways to increase the use of climate information is to provide continuing education opportunities that empower transportation professionals to understand and use climate information and tools toward resilience goals. Based on responses, we also see opportunities for improved networking to connect transportation professionals with prior climate services experience to those who have less experience.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"50 ","pages":"Article 100742"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144933129","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A comprehensive review of urban agriculture in a changing climate: Technological innovations and policy frameworks","authors":"Penglong Gao ,&nbsp;Shuochen Xiao ,&nbsp;Fara Diva Mustapa","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100732","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100732","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Urban and peri-urban agriculture, also referred to as UPA, focuses on tackling the dual challenges of improving food security while addressing poverty reduction, the negative impacts of rapid urbanization, and climate change resilience at the community level. While meeting these objectives, the productivity and sustainability of UPA is threatened by ever-changing and unpredictable environmental conditions. This holistic review includes synthesizing research on UPA, specifically within the context of its advantages, challenges, and climate change mitigation and adaptation efforts. UPA sustainability and resilience in the face of climate change is enhanced by technological innovations such as precision agriculture, vertical farming, AI systems, and hydroponics. The review investigates policies supporting UPA relevant to zoning, incentive design, water provision, and waste management. Results demonstrate UPA’s ability to advance social interactions, improve urban microclimates, mitigate the urban heat island phenomenon, and provide essential ecosystem services though limited by scarce land resources and soil contamination, along with water management challenges and regulatory frameworks. Realization of UPA’s potential in fostering sustainable and resilient urban food systems emphasizes the importance of emerging technologies and integrated policies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100732"},"PeriodicalIF":5.0,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144779789","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Roots of resilience: Revealing social networks for enhancing social resilience in Indigenous Indonesian and Philippine ricescapes","authors":"Laurence L. Delina ,&nbsp;Sanny D. Afable ,&nbsp;Ivee Fuerzas ,&nbsp;Kim-Pong Tam ,&nbsp;Wiwik Dharmiasih ,&nbsp;Albert Salamanca","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100711","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100711","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A complex interplay of social, economic, political, and agricultural factors influences the resilience of Indigenous rice farming communities. This study specifically focuses on the social dimension, examining the crucial role that affective relationships play in fostering social networks that enhance the resilience of Indigenous farmers within the ricescapes of Indonesia and the Philippines. Employing thematic analysis of expert interviews and focus group discussions, complemented by Latent Class Analysis of survey data, we identify the social networks upon which farmers depend. This mixed methods approach enables us to uncover distinct subgroups within these networks that provide support for managing various challenges, assisting with farm tasks, offering financial assistance, and sharing agricultural knowledge. By delineating these subgroups, we advocate for the development of targeted policies that address the unique needs of each group. Recognising and understanding the significance of affective relationships in the formation of social networks is essential for strengthening the resilience of Indigenous farmers, empowering them to navigate contemporary challenges while preserving their cultural heritage.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100711"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143899526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}