Climate Risk Management最新文献

{"title":"Stakeholder engagement strategies to build resilience to compound hazards: Engaging community-based organizations in research","authors":"Sarah Clark ,&nbsp;Zack Guido ,&nbsp;Laura T. Cabrera-Rivera ,&nbsp;Pablo Méndez-Lázaro ,&nbsp;Ben McMahan ,&nbsp;Federico Cintrón Moscoso ,&nbsp;Wanda I. Crespo-Acevedo ,&nbsp;Marcel Castro-Sitiriche","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100693","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100693","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate extremes can generate impacts in one sector that cascade or amplify the impacts in others. Developing strategies that build resilience to these compound hazards requires collaboration among diverse stakeholders to understand hazard dynamics and the synergies and tradeoffs in adaptation activities. In many regions, community-based organizations (CBOs) lead in local climate adaptation, and their engagement in research can help inform research agendas and capacity-strengthening activities that support locally led adaptation. In this paper, we describe a co-produced, collaborative research project that convened CBOs working in climate adaptation, public health, and energy resilience in Puerto Rico. The goals were to identify knowledge gaps and opportunities for immediate action. Based on interviews, a participatory workshop, and a survey, we report on the CBO activities, their networks and their views on the relationships between climate, public health, and energy. We also describe their perspectives on priorities to address compound hazards. Drawing on these results, we discuss five strategies that can help research projects collaborate, co-produce, and engage with CBOs. They include understanding the network to inform engagement, paying attention to differential impacts and justice, employing flexible planning to accommodate multiple goals and perspectives, focusing on information sharing to advance collaboration, exploring narratives of change to understand adaptation and maladaptation, and confronting the question of “what next.” This study informs how research can more effectively engage CBOs in climate adaptation studies, which, in turn, can contribute to building plans and systems that are better equipped to build resilience to compound extreme events.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100693"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143421041","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Local to regional-scale mechanisms behind successful climate services for agriculture in Latin America","authors":"Diana Giraldo ,&nbsp;David Ríos ,&nbsp;Carlos Navarro-Racines ,&nbsp;Kemly Camacho ,&nbsp;Armando Martínez-Valle ,&nbsp;Steven D. Prager ,&nbsp;Diego Obando ,&nbsp;Carlos Zelaya ,&nbsp;Deissy Martínez-Baron ,&nbsp;Ángel G. Muñoz ,&nbsp;Julian Ramirez-Villegas","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100721","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100721","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The provision of climate services (CS) has grown at an unprecedented rate over the last decade in response to climate-related risks in several sectors of the global economy; this is especially true in agriculture. Several studies document lessons learnt from (un)successful climate services, and attempt to distil these into key principles, recommendations, or requirements. However, limited systematic analysis and data on the characteristics of the CS that are conducive to success exist to date, including for agriculture. Here, we analyse the Local Technical Agroclimatic Committees (referred to here by its Spanish acronym MTAs) as a CS approach that effectively delivers information to farmers sustainably and at local scale. We propose a framework comprising sixteen metrics that help measure the effectiveness, sustainability, and scalability as key dimensions of CS success. We apply this framework to 26 MTAs across four Latin American countries, namely, Guatemala, Honduras, Nicaragua, and Colombia. The analyses revealed that the MTAs played a significant role in CS transformation pathways, producing a total of 158 outcomes (changes in behaviour of people or institutions), and involving at least 279 institutions at various levels and with diverse roles. Analyses of the sixteen metrics revealed a wide range of performance across the 26 MTAs, with nearly half of the MTAs considered to have or nearly-achieved effectiveness, sustainability, and scalability. MTAs success stems not only from an increase in numbers of farmers and locations reached but also from the evolving roles and responsibilities of a diverse ecosystem of actors that accompany enhanced capacities and tangible benefits on the ground. Based on these results, we propose key CS elements, namely, collaboration; participation; adaptability and flexibility; financial (crowd) resourcing; robust governance and strong leadership; awareness of and improvements in data availability, quality, and assurance; capacity development; user-centred communication; adequate incentives; and enabling policy environment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100721"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144313137","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Climate information services enhance farmers’ resilience to climate change: Impacts on agricultural productivity","authors":"Seneshaw Tamru ,&nbsp;James Hansen ,&nbsp;Stephen Zebiak ,&nbsp;Abonesh Tesfaye ,&nbsp;Bart Minten ,&nbsp;Teferi Demissie ,&nbsp;Maren Radeny ,&nbsp;Kindie Tesfaye ,&nbsp;Dawit Solomon","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100724","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100724","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Ethiopia is a climate “hotspot” where the variable and changing climate periodically threatens agricultural production, food security, and human well-being. Using two-rounds of Feed the Future program survey data that cover 3,799 farming households in five major regions in Ethiopia, and employing panel data estimation methods, we analyze the potential impact of weather and climate services (WCS) on agricultural productivity and farmers’ resilience in Ethiopia. We found that access to WCS increases the productivity of maize and wheat crops by 27 % and 17 %, respectively. These estimates are comparable to or higher than conventional yield-increasing production technologies such as fertilizer and improved seeds. Despite such a strong productivity effect, access to WCS is limited to only 18 % of the surveyed farmers. This study adds to the existing body of evidence on the significant positive impact of WCS, and affirms the importance of weather and climate information service products to enhance farmers’ resilience to climate risk. Further analyses are needed to estimate the value to Ethiopia’s smallholder farmers, especially those who are most vulnerable to climate-related hazards, of increasing investment in improving seasonal climate forecasts, mainstreaming weather and climate services in the agricultural extension system, including through National Framework for Climate Services (NFCS), and supporting farmer decision-making with climate-informed digital advisory tools and training.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100724"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144471164","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Climate-smart aquaculture practice: Changes in economic viability and efficiency of mud crab fattening in coastal Bangladesh","authors":"Md. Hayder Khan Sujan ,&nbsp;Md Abdur Rouf Sarkar ,&nbsp;Monira Sultana ,&nbsp;Md. Ali Akber ,&nbsp;Andrew M. McKenzie ,&nbsp;Mohammad Mizanul Haque Kazal ,&nbsp;Imrul Islam ,&nbsp;Ammar Abdul Aziz","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100726","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100726","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Crab fattening has been flourishing along the coastal regions of South Asian countries, including Bangladesh, offering significant livelihood opportunities for local dwellers, yet its economic viability remains underexplored. This study evaluates the economic viability (profitability and risk), determinants of crab production, technical efficiency, and factors contributing to inefficiency among crab fatteners in coastal Bangladesh, utilizing panel data from 2018 and 2023, for the first time. Fixed-effects regression was employed to identify the drivers of crab production, while a true random-effects Cobb-Douglas panel stochastic frontier model was used to estimate technical efficiency. The profitability of crab fattening declined from USD 3,978 per hectare in 2018 to USD 3,351 per hectare in 2023. Despite this decline, both crab production and prices increased over time, mitigating the risk of losses and ultimately enhancing economic viability. Factors positively influencing production included age, education, income, access to credit, proximity to output markets, crab price, crablet stocking, feed, and water exchange, whereas disease prevalence had a negative impact. The mean technical efficiency of crab fatteners improved from 0.69 in 2018 to 0.74 in 2023. Education, income, crab price, and market proximity positively influenced technical efficiency, while distance to extension offices and disease prevalence negatively impacted it. Enhanced extension support, improved access to credit, fair market pricing, and the development of hatcheries for quality crablet could bolster the success of this climate-smart aquaculture practice, aiding Bangladesh in achieving Sustainable Development Goal 2.3 of doubling the agricultural productivity and income of small-scale farmers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100726"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144611618","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Multi-determinant climate change risk assessment for heritage: A review of current approaches and future needs","authors":"Helen Thomas ,&nbsp;Valentina Marincioni ,&nbsp;Scott Allan Orr","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100727","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100727","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Anthropogenic climate change is radically changing the way we relate to and interact with our shared histories. Culturally important sites have already been damaged and lost due to our changing climate and this will only continue. Considering the extent of climate change impacts, it is vital that assessing the risks of climate change looks beyond the changing prevalence of climatic hazards, such as sea level rise, to consider the predisposition of the historic environment to be impacted by the hazard, the location of heritage sites and their relative exposure, adaptive responses and their associated risks, and the cultural significance of the places themselves. This review provides an overview of current climate change risk assessments for heritage, with specific attention paid to how the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) risk framework, and its risk determinants (exposure, hazard, vulnerability, and response) have been conceptualised. It systematically reviews scholarly literature published between 2017 and 2022 to determine: the uptake of the four risk determinants; how these terms are represented; and the methods for combining these elements into a dynamic risk framework which can be scaled to assess multiple sites. Significant advances have been made in identifying and preparing for the future impacts of climate change, but there is still an imbalance towards single-site risk assessments — particularly for the historic built environment. Furthermore, the review identifies and provides summaries of multi-determinant risk assessments that engage with the complexities of heritage futures beyond just changing climatic hazards to better understand the impacts of climate change on the historic environment in its totality.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100727"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144702528","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Floating and stilted structures as strategies in coastal climate adaptation: Local monsoon adaptation practices and implications for flood risk management","authors":"Stefan Huebner","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100719","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100719","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The physical “advance” onto aquatic surfaces through the use of floating structures is a new climate adaptation strategy for coastal regions. Sea level rise concerns have prompted international organizations like the IPCC and the UN to explore this <em>advance strategy</em>. The effectiveness of these floating structures, including floating buildings, as an adaptation strategy depends on social acceptance. This study applies a comparative analysis of case studies, identified through a systematic review of qualitative historical and present data, to investigate local forms of adaptation knowledge. Using data regarding parts of Asia, Africa, and South America, conceptually connected by the global monsoon system’s local impacts, it analyzes how advances onto or above aquatic surfaces using vernacular designs have affected inhabitants’ adaptation to the aquatic environment. It argues that vernacular houseboats, floating structures, and stilted (pile-elevated above the surface) structures have historically been a common, though not always environmentally sustainable, adaptation practice. The case studies of vernacular design knowledge support the serious consideration of the advance strategy in transformative coastal climate adaptation. Based on the findings, the article further argues that while vernacular stilted structures offer advantages for living on aquatic surfaces, their technologically advanced counterparts are impractical compared to technologically advanced floating structures. Research on this topic addresses a gap in the literature, as it connects vernacular and advanced implementations of the advance strategy to the booming interdisciplinary field of coastal climate adaptation, vernacular adaptation knowledge, and new guidelines for sustainable, socially accepted urban development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100719"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144702580","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"The value of structured expert judgment to help assess climate adaptation","authors":"Alexandre K. Magnan ,&nbsp;Jia Li ,&nbsp;Adèle Tanguy ,&nbsp;Stéphane Hallegatte ,&nbsp;Christophe Buffet","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100692","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100692","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>While climate change continues to accelerate and associated risks are expected to become more intense and complex than previously anticipated, climate adaptation policies and projects remain short-sighted and single hazard-focused, limited in scale, limited in addressing the root causes of exposure and vulnerability, and poorly monitored. Understanding whether societies are on track to adapt or on a pathway towards higher risks is essential but raises many methodological challenges. Assessment methods based on quantitative indicators have been prominent up to now, but they show limitations especially relating to the difficulty of identifying statistical data that capture the complex nature of adaptation and are relevant across contexts. This Perspective paper discusses the case of structured expert judgment methods to assess adaptation status based on a wider range of information (quantitative and qualitative, published and non-published, etc.), therefore offering complementary, alternative methods to assess progress.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100692"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143421042","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"A comprehensive review of disruptive technologies in disaster risk management of smart cities","authors":"Chao Han ,&nbsp;Shan Zang","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100703","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100703","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The integration of disruptive technologies<!--> <!-->into smart cities may contribute to a more robust disaster response system.. This paper offers a comprehensive overview of disruptive technologies that are currently being used or suggested for future advancements in urban disaster management. These technologies include the Internet of Things (IoT), image processing, artificial intelligence (AI), big data, and smartphone applications. The main objective of this article is to investigate potential models for smart city development that would allow us to make better use of disruptive innovations and enhance disaster recovery efforts. The main points that are covered include (a) how new technologies can be used to improve upon current disaster management techniques and (b) what are the limitations or obstacles to using disruptive methods in this field. This research presents a new integrated framework that uses artificial intelligence (AI) driven big data analytics for disaster forecasting, early warning systems, and recovery after a disaster, as compared to previous studies that have focused on single uses of disruptive technology. In order to make smart cities more resilient to disasters, this study offers a comprehensive approach that combines processing data from several sources, predictive modelling, and efficient allocation of resources. To address these concerns, we offer an innovative approach for creating a disaster management strategy that make use of disruptive technologies and which depends on integrated methods founded in big data analysis and artificial intelligence.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100703"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143800107","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"All downhill from here? Climate change and house prices in the Swiss Alps","authors":"Floris Jan Blok,&nbsp;Franz Fuerst","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100728","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100728","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the relationship between climate (change) and house price development in the Swiss Alps, testing the hypothesis that house-buyers in ski resorts switch from lower-lying, less snow-secure resorts to high-altitude areas with reliable snow cover. The analysis employs a sample of 303 Swiss municipalities across 38 different ski areas from 2001 to 2019. Regressions of municipal-level house price changes on altitude, temperature, and snow cover changes reveal that house prices in ski resorts have depreciated by 3.6–6.0 % per degree Celsius mean winter temperature over the 18-year period. Temperature emerged as a better predictor of house price change than altitude. For municipalities outside ski areas, this relationship between climatic variables and price appreciation does not hold. Perhaps surprisingly, no significant direct link between changes in snow cover and house prices is found. The results suggest that secondary and lower-lying ski areas have experienced relative losses in real estate asset values, possibly transmitted by changing local economic conditions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100728"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144663470","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Risk Governance of Climate-Related Hazards in Longyearbyen, Svalbard: A Review of Risk Governance Approaches and Knowledge Gaps","authors":"Stig Johannessen ,&nbsp;Holt Hancock ,&nbsp;Siiri Wickström ,&nbsp;Eirik Albrechtsen","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100585","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2024.100585","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Climate-related risks pose challenges to communities globally as changing climatic conditions alter the patterns of natural hazards which threaten human lives and infrastructure. In Longyearbyen, Norway, in the High Arctic Svalbard archipelago, climatic changes presently occur at rates well in excess of global means, with corresponding changes to climate-related risks requiring new and improved risk governance strategies. Here, we present the results from a literature review investigating how recent advances in climate-related risk governance can help inform risk governance strategy development in Longyearbyen. The literature identified in our work indicates recent research into the governance of climate-related risks has focused to a large extent on flooding or landslides. Successful risk governance in the reviewed literature often included data collection of both environmental and social information and emphasized local, context-specific knowledge via bi-directional risk communication throughout the risk governance process. We identified knowledge gaps in the literature review. First, there is a missing societal safety perspective on climate changes and natural hazards: much of the identified literature views the climatic changes and natural hazards either through a physical process-based perspective rooted in the natural sciences, or focuses on physical mitigation measures, without considering the interaction of nature, technology, and society. Second, there is a lack of research on data collection and analysis strategies that combine the acquisition of local knowledge via a discourse-based approach with data and knowledge generated from sensors or physical models via a technical approach. Third, more research is required on uncertainty assessment and handling in the risk governance process. Fourth, there is missing consideration of short-term disaster handling approaches – especially in relation to relatively more frequent consideration of long-term climate adaptation strategies. Finally, as none of the reviewed works specifically addressed risk governance in an Arctic setting, we discuss how the results from this literature review and the proposed risk governance framework can help transfer knowledge to Longyearbyen’s context. Our results help clarify current knowledge related to the governance of climate-related risks and provide a foundation for future work in Arctic locations.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 100585"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000020/pdfft?md5=7455a94b9027d0511bda9fe12c783e97&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000020-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139434399","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}