Climate Risk Management最新文献_第4页

The impact of climate change on household dietary diversity in Afghanistan 气候变化对阿富汗家庭饮食多样性的影响

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100687

Jamshid Yolchi, Huaiyu Wang

{"title":"The impact of climate change on household dietary diversity in Afghanistan","authors":"Jamshid Yolchi, Huaiyu Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100687","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100687","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate change adaptation policies and research have traditionally focused on dietary quantity, neglecting dietary quality, particularly in developing countries like Afghanistan. This study aims to identify how climate change affects household dietary diversity and whether the impacts are consistent across different food groups. To examine the impact of climate change on dietary diversity in Afghanistan, a climate change proxy variable (temperature) was created at the district level by calculating the difference from its long-term mean. Meanwhile, the Household Dietary Diversity Score (HDDS) was obtained from three rounds of household survey data conducted between 2011 and 2017, which included information from 60,099 households. Negative binomial regression analysis reveals a positive association between climate change and HDDS. That is, higher temperatures would lead to the higher availability of diverse diets in Afghanistan. Interestingly, climate change appears to affect food groups heterogeneously. While staple food consumption frequency remains unaffected, non-staple food consumption increases with higher temperatures. The results remain consistent after incorporating precipitation and two lagged versions of temperature and precipitation into the model. Therefore, the climate adaptation policies of the government of Afghanistan should consider different policy implications for staple and non-staple foods. These findings have policy implications for achieving food security and climate change-related Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) such as SDG 2 (zero hunger) and SDG 13 (climate action).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100687"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143168406","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Disaster vulnerability hotspots in the Portland metro-region: Converging indices for equitable resilience 波特兰都市圈的灾害脆弱性热点：公平复原力的趋同指数

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100714

Idowu Ajibade , Matthew Walter , Jason Sauer , Aswatha Raghunathasami , James M. Done , Paul Loikith , Chris Lower , Heejun Chang , Arun Pallathadka , Mae E. Sowards , Ming Ge

{"title":"Disaster vulnerability hotspots in the Portland metro-region: Converging indices for equitable resilience","authors":"Idowu Ajibade , Matthew Walter , Jason Sauer , Aswatha Raghunathasami , James M. Done , Paul Loikith , Chris Lower , Heejun Chang , Arun Pallathadka , Mae E. Sowards , Ming Ge","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100714","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100714","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As climate-related extreme events intensify across the globe, governments, practitioners, and communities have focused on reducing vulnerability and building resilience. However, debates persist about the validity, differences, and similarities between social vulnerability and resilience indices. This study combines the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) (26 indicators) and the Baseline Resilience Indicators for Communities (BRIC) (52 indicators) to assess the Portland Metro region using ACS (2016–2020) and 2020 Census data. Through hotspot analysis, Pearson’s correlation, and linear regression, we identify key drivers as well as areas of convergence and divergence between the two indices. Results show a strong overlap between SoVI and BRIC, with distinct drivers across counties and census tracts. High SoVI/low BRIC hotspots were found in Clackamas and Multnomah counties. In Clackamas, vulnerability was due to limited hospital access, weak infrastructure and institutions, mobile homes, and inadequate community resources. In Multnomah, poverty, low educational attainment, and single-parent households were the primary drivers of vulnerability. While Clackamas had stronger environmental resilience, Multnomah showed higher resilience than Washington County due to better transportation, institutions, and community capital. Having a high proportion of migrant populations, institutionalized residents, and mobile homes reduced resilience in Washington County. These findings support the combined use of SoVI-BRIC indices for targeted resilience planning and equitable resource allocation for infrastructure development, environmental protection, social programs, and emergency preparedness across multiple scales.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100714"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143918011","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The role of climate and urbanization in compound meteorological event exposure in China’s megacities 气候和城市化在中国特大城市复合气象事件暴露中的作用

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100722

Liling Chu , Chao Xu , Yanwen Wang , Chaoqing Huang , Zhaoliang Zeng , Yilin Li , Yiqi Zhou , Qian Wu , Pingan Jiang , Xusheng Gong , Yujia Hong , Chao He

{"title":"The role of climate and urbanization in compound meteorological event exposure in China’s megacities","authors":"Liling Chu , Chao Xu , Yanwen Wang , Chaoqing Huang , Zhaoliang Zeng , Yilin Li , Yiqi Zhou , Qian Wu , Pingan Jiang , Xusheng Gong , Yujia Hong , Chao He","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100722","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100722","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Compound precipitation and wind speed extremes (CPWE) pose significant threats to the sustainable development of urban areas. This study investigated the spatial evolution characteristics, potential population exposure risk, and multidimensional inequality of CPWE within nine urban agglomerations in China, each containing at least one city with a GDP exceeding one trillion yuan, utilizing spatiotemporal statistics and attribution analysis. The results indicated that the intensity of CPWE in these urban agglomerations decreased from southeast to northwest, and the population exposed to mild, moderate, severe, and extreme levels accounted for 58 %, 28.3 %, 11.4 %, and 2.3 % of the total, respectively. Changes in exposure risk were driven by climate effect (58.29 % ± 12.77 %), followed by population (32.15 % ± 6.20 %) and interaction effect (9.55 % ± 5.14 %). Pearl River Delta (PRD) and Yangtze River Delta (YRD), identified as particularly vulnerable, experienced an increase in CPWE intensity exceeding 0.015 /10a. An increase of approximately 0.62 × 10<sup>4</sup> people per decade was observed for exposure risk, with over 20 % of the population facing severe or extreme levels, mainly due to the climate effect. CPWE exposure risk was significantly unequal across various dimensions (spatial autocorrelation: Moran’s <em>I</em> = 0.3798, <em>P</em> = 0.001; Gini coefficient: 0.08–0.5). Areas characterized by high-risk and balanced development (e.g., PRD, YRD) exhibited lower inequality, whereas regions featuring low-risk and concentrated development (e.g., GPZ) demonstrated higher inequality. The climate effect was the predominant influence in the low-risk areas as well as most high-risk areas. These findings support the targeted implementation of appropriate climate adaptation policies to promote regional sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"49 ","pages":"Article 100722"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144307777","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Increased risk for damages from the dry-rot fungus Serpula lacrymans on buildings in a changing climate 在气候变化的情况下，干腐菌对建筑物造成损害的风险增加

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100695

Mikael Martinsson , Itai Danielski

{"title":"Increased risk for damages from the dry-rot fungus Serpula lacrymans on buildings in a changing climate","authors":"Mikael Martinsson , Itai Danielski","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100695","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100695","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Weather-based damages in housing insurance correspond to 23 % of all insurance claims in Sweden and include damages from fungi. Some fungi could cause health risks to the tenants, while others can cause rapid structural failure for the building itself, like the dry-rot fungus <em>Serpula lacrymans</em>.</div><div>The study aims to analyse a possible connection between the increased rate of insurance claims related to <em>S. lacrymans</em> fungi and climate change. This study uses historical data of 2446 damaged properties from insurance companies and current and future climate data. In addition, eight geographical areas within Sweden with 567 damaged properties were analysed in relation to changes in outdoor temperature over a decade. Finally, a full onsite inspection of 20 infected properties by <em>S. lacrymans</em> fungi was conducted to evaluate common conditions for fungi infections.</div><div>The results of this study showed that the <em>S. lacrymans</em> fungus is expected to spread to the northern parts of Sweden even in areas where it could not exist before, while the rate of infected buildings in the southern part of Sweden might decline but not drop to zero. Wooden buildings older constructed before 1980 with chimneys and self-ventilation are at higher risk of infection. Economic implications are significant, with high repair costs rendering some buildings economically unviable, particularly in rural areas. Insurance reimbursement is typically limited to market value loss, indicating location, design, and maintenance status as crucial factors. The results may raise a concern for insurance companies and property owners, especially related to locations in the sparse parts of North of Sweden.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100695"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143437524","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

The role of local knowledge in enhancing climate change risk assessments in rural Northern Ireland 地方知识在加强北爱尔兰农村气候变化风险评估中的作用

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100702

Alan T. Kennedy-Asser , Oliver D. Andrews , Jill Montgomery , Katie L. Jenkins , Ben A.H. Smith , Elizabeth Lewis , Stephen J. Birkinshaw , Helen He , Richard F. Pywell , Matt J. Brown , John W. Redhead , Rachel Warren , Craig Robson , Adam J.P. Smith , Robert J. Nicholls , Donal Mullan , Ryan McGuire

{"title":"The role of local knowledge in enhancing climate change risk assessments in rural Northern Ireland","authors":"Alan T. Kennedy-Asser , Oliver D. Andrews , Jill Montgomery , Katie L. Jenkins , Ben A.H. Smith , Elizabeth Lewis , Stephen J. Birkinshaw , Helen He , Richard F. Pywell , Matt J. Brown , John W. Redhead , Rachel Warren , Craig Robson , Adam J.P. Smith , Robert J. Nicholls , Donal Mullan , Ryan McGuire","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100702","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100702","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Climate risk modelling provides valuable quantitative data on potential risks at different spatiotemporal scales, but it is essential that these models are evaluated appropriately. In some cases, it may be useful to merge quantitative datasets with qualitative data and local knowledge, to better inform and evaluate climate risk assessments. This interdisciplinary study maps climatic risks relating to health and agriculture that are facing rural Northern Ireland. A large range of quantitative national climate risk modelling results from the OpenCLIM project are scrutinised using local qualitative insights identified during workshops and interviews with farmers and rural care providers. In some cases, the qualitative local knowledge supported the quantitative modelling results, such as (1) highlighting that heat risk can be an issue for health in rural areas as well as urban centres, and (2) precipitation is changing, with increased variability posing challenges to agriculture. In other cases, the local knowledge challenged the national quantitative results. For example, models suggested that (1) potential heat stress impacts will be low, and (2) grass growing conditions will be more favourable, with higher yields as a result of future climatic conditions. In both cases, local knowledge challenged these conclusions, with discomfort and workplace heat stress reported by care staff and recent experience of variable weather having significant impacts on grass growth on farms across the country. Hence, merging even a small amount of qualitative local knowledge with quantitative national modelling projects results in a more holistic understanding of the local climate risk.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100702"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143739433","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Migration due to floodplain buyouts mimics general post-disaster migration patterns 由于收购泛滥平原而导致的迁移与一般的灾后迁移模式相似

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100715

Nora Louise Schwaller , Todd K. BenDor , Alex Greer , Philip R. Berke

引用次数: 0

Roots of resilience: Revealing social networks for enhancing social resilience in Indigenous Indonesian and Philippine ricescapes 弹性的根源：揭示社会网络，以提高印尼和菲律宾土著水稻的社会弹性

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100711

Laurence L. Delina , Sanny D. Afable , Ivee Fuerzas , Kim-Pong Tam , Wiwik Dharmiasih , Albert Salamanca

{"title":"Roots of resilience: Revealing social networks for enhancing social resilience in Indigenous Indonesian and Philippine ricescapes","authors":"Laurence L. Delina , Sanny D. Afable , Ivee Fuerzas , Kim-Pong Tam , Wiwik Dharmiasih , Albert Salamanca","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100711","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100711","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A complex interplay of social, economic, political, and agricultural factors influences the resilience of Indigenous rice farming communities. This study specifically focuses on the social dimension, examining the crucial role that affective relationships play in fostering social networks that enhance the resilience of Indigenous farmers within the ricescapes of Indonesia and the Philippines. Employing thematic analysis of expert interviews and focus group discussions, complemented by Latent Class Analysis of survey data, we identify the social networks upon which farmers depend. This mixed methods approach enables us to uncover distinct subgroups within these networks that provide support for managing various challenges, assisting with farm tasks, offering financial assistance, and sharing agricultural knowledge. By delineating these subgroups, we advocate for the development of targeted policies that address the unique needs of each group. Recognising and understanding the significance of affective relationships in the formation of social networks is essential for strengthening the resilience of Indigenous farmers, empowering them to navigate contemporary challenges while preserving their cultural heritage.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"48 ","pages":"Article 100711"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143899526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Impact of current and historical climate shocks on crop diversification in Zambia: Insights from household- and district-level observations 当前和历史气候冲击对赞比亚作物多样化的影响：来自家庭和地区层面观察的见解

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100683

Junren Wang , Megan Konar , Patrese Nicole Anderson , Protensia Hadunka , Brian Mulenga

{"title":"Impact of current and historical climate shocks on crop diversification in Zambia: Insights from household- and district-level observations","authors":"Junren Wang , Megan Konar , Patrese Nicole Anderson , Protensia Hadunka , Brian Mulenga","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100683","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100683","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Crop diversification is a farming practice for risk management prevalent in smallholder agriculture, offering adaptive benefits against challenges like climate change, price fluctuations, and crop disease. Despite its importance, there is a lack of comprehensive understanding of the relationship of crop diversification and current and historical climate shock. Our study seeks to bridge this gap through statistical analysis of household- and district-level data in Zambia. Specifically, we use the Pooled Fractional Probit (PFP) estimator to develop regression models for crop diversification, analyzing 6625 households for 3 years and 74 districts for 9 years, using Rural Agriculture Living Survey (RALS) and Crop Forecast Survey (CFS) datasets, respectively. Simpson’s Diversity Index (SDI) of crops serves as the dependent variable and is consistently higher at the district level than at the household level, suggesting that aggregation at larger scales may mask localized monoculture vulnerabilities. Our findings reveal that both current and historical climate shocks significantly influence crop diversification decisions at both the household and district levels in Zambia. Heat stress and rainfall deficits during the planting season promote crop diversification, but their effects vary due to the diverse agroecological conditions and crop characteristics in different areas. Historical climate shocks prompt farmers to diversify as a long-term resilience strategy. This study emphasizes the complex, scale-dependent drivers of crop diversification in response to climate shocks, providing valuable insights for policy development in climate-resilient agricultural strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100683"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143168420","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

What it means to be resilient to heatwaves for vulnerable households in mass tourist destinations? 对于大众旅游目的地的脆弱家庭来说，抵御热浪意味着什么？

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100688

Hyerim Yoon, Anna Ribas

{"title":"What it means to be resilient to heatwaves for vulnerable households in mass tourist destinations?","authors":"Hyerim Yoon, Anna Ribas","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100688","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100688","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite clear evidence of increasing heatwaves in the Mediterranean region, coastal cities in Spain are often reluctant to recognize these events as significant risks, largely due to the economic benefits a warm climate brings to their tourism industry. This reluctance exists despite the fact that many residents in these cities, particularly those working in tourism, face economic hardship due to the precarious nature of the sector. Our research focuses on Lloret de Mar, Catalonia, to examine the impacts of heatwaves in vulnerable households. We analyze the vulnerability and resilience of these households to extreme heat events and heatwaves by studying lived experiences identifying their coping strategies and the barriers they face. To gather data, we conducted 28 interviews and participatory mapping exercises with users of a food distribution center run by Caritas. Participants frequently reported experiences of extreme discomfort at home, describing symptoms such as exhaustion, suffocation, and excessive sweating, exacerbated by high humidity levels. The study found that participants have limited coping mechanisms, relying mainly on natural ventilation and fans. Some are constrained to staying at home due to economic challenges, with no opportunity to use vacation as a respite. The participatory mapping further revealed that these households are regularly exposed to heat during their daily activities. In the absence of effective municipal or collective adaptation strategies, vulnerable households remain entrapped in increasingly unlivable conditions. Our findings underscore the urgent need for localized adaptation plans that address the specific needs of the community, especially given the current municipal policies that are heavily focused on sustaining the tourism industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100688"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143168422","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Assessing vulnerability and climate risk to agriculture for developing resilient farming strategies in the Ganges Delta 评估农业的脆弱性和气候风险，以制定恒河三角洲的抗灾农业战略

IF 4.8 2区环境科学与生态学

Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2025.100690

Uttam Kumar Mandal , Fazlul Karim , Yingying Yu , Amit Ghosh , Taslima Zahan , Sonali Mallick , Mohammad Kamruzzaman , Priya Lal Chandra Paul , Mohammed Mainuddin

{"title":"Assessing vulnerability and climate risk to agriculture for developing resilient farming strategies in the Ganges Delta","authors":"Uttam Kumar Mandal , Fazlul Karim , Yingying Yu , Amit Ghosh , Taslima Zahan , Sonali Mallick , Mohammad Kamruzzaman , Priya Lal Chandra Paul , Mohammed Mainuddin","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100690","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2025.100690","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The Ganges Delta supports a unique coastal ecosystem that is highly susceptible to global climate change. This paper presents results from a study on climate change impacts on coastal agriculture in the deltaic regions of Bangladesh and India. The study examined how risk emerges from the interaction of hazard, exposure and vulnerability. Climate hazards for the 89 administrative units (upazila in Bangladesh and block in India) were assessed using future climate data from the IPCC’s 6th assessment report. Hazard levels were assessed by integrating the impacts of four temperature extremes and five rainfall extremes critical to crop growth. Through an extensive literature review, 18 biophysical and socio-economic variables were identified as critical and policy-relevant, including three related to exposure and 15 to vulnerability. All indicators were normalized to a dimensionless scale ranging from 0 to 1 for use in vulnerability and risk assessments. Three upazilas in Bangladesh were classified as being under very high climate hazard. The exposure score was found to be relatively higher along Indian coast compared to Bangladesh coast. Among the 89 administrative units analyzed, five upazilas in Bangladesh and two blocks in India were identified under very high vulnerability index, covering 18.6% the area and 8.13% of the total population. When combining vulnerability and climate hazard, three upazilas in Bangladesh and one block in India were identified under very high risk to agriculture. These findings provide a practical framework for developing sustainable agricultural strategies and addressing climate risks in the Ganges Delta and other similar coastal ecosystems worldwide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"47 ","pages":"Article 100690"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2025-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143166701","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0