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Roles and activities of local stakeholders facing Alpine permafrost warming: A comparative exploratory analysis of three contexts and networks of actors 面对阿尔卑斯永久冻土变暖,当地利益相关者的作用和活动:对三种情况和参与者网络的探索性比较分析
IF 4.4 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100591
Rafaël Weissbrodt , Sandrine Caroly , Jessica Marques Pisoeiro , Ludovic Ravanel , Xavier Bodin
{"title":"Roles and activities of local stakeholders facing Alpine permafrost warming: A comparative exploratory analysis of three contexts and networks of actors","authors":"Rafaël Weissbrodt ,&nbsp;Sandrine Caroly ,&nbsp;Jessica Marques Pisoeiro ,&nbsp;Ludovic Ravanel ,&nbsp;Xavier Bodin","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100591","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100591","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Mountain permafrost warming resulting from climate change increases gravitational hazards. This interdisciplinary study compares the networks of actors involved in managing such hazards in three regions of the European Alps. Interviews were conducted with 40 people (members of local authorities, mountain professionals, and private citizens) at the foot of Mont Blanc (Chamonix, France), in the Vanoise massif (France), and in the canton of Valais (Switzerland). Data were analysed qualitatively and quantitatively using interaction matrices and network diagrams. Communal authorities played a central role but partnered with many other public and private actors. In Valais, collaboration to protect infrastructure and inhabited areas was centred around communal and cantonal authorities. In Chamonix, the network of actors gave a significant role to mountain professionals. In Vanoise, the network was less dense and less well-defined, although actors had high expectations regarding awareness-raising and prevention. Sources of tension existed in all three networks, particularly between authorities and mountain professionals. To strengthen community resilience, authorities should develop more mechanisms for citizen participation in risk management.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"44 ","pages":"Article 100591"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000081/pdfft?md5=a6c57c7752415e5775e4875c556c1a11&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000081-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139949408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Patterns of hurricane induced displacement in The Bahamas: Building equitable resilience in small island developing states 巴哈马因飓风而流离失所的模式:建设小岛屿发展中国家的公平复原力
IF 4.8 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100634
Stacy-ann Robinson
{"title":"Patterns of hurricane induced displacement in The Bahamas: Building equitable resilience in small island developing states","authors":"Stacy-ann Robinson","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100634","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100634","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The extent and severity of disaster displacement in small island developing states (SIDS) often go unreported or underreported in global assessments due to the total number of affected people falling below established thresholds. Additionally, post-disaster assessments prepared by various international relief agencies often present conflicting evidence, and largely do not offer substantial insights into national and subnational spatial and temporal patterns of displacement, particularly with respect to the disproportionate risk that certain localities, communities and populations face over time. This article is a case study of hurricane induced displacement in a Caribbean SIDS – The Bahamas. It triangulates data from a publicly-available global disaster database, weather and post-disaster reports from national government departments and agencies, and newspaper articles. Its qualitative-dominant synthesis represents the best available evidence of hurricane risk across the archipelago between 2004 and 2019, organized according to hazard (winds, storm surge, flooding), exposure (people, livelihoods, assets etc. adversely affected), and vulnerability (the propensity or predisposition for adverse impacts). It finds that 11 hurricanes across three periods caused displacement in one or more of the 17 major islands. In identifying the emerging spatial and temporal patterns, it proposes two alternative core-periphery models for The Bahamas. These models not only provide a more accurate account of the islands’ exposure and sensitivity to hurricanes, but also highlight the geographical factors that should be considered as the basis for future plans, actions, strategies or policies that seek to build equitable resilience to these and other climate-amplified hydrometeorological events in SIDS.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"45 ","pages":"Article 100634"},"PeriodicalIF":4.8,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000512/pdfft?md5=59d01340561b1fc4f1b164d419091b46&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000512-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141577545","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multi-criteria decision approach for climate adaptation of cultural resources along the Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States: Application of AHP method 美国东南部大西洋沿岸文化资源气候适应性的多标准决策方法:AHP 方法的应用
IF 4.4 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100587
Abu SMG Kibria , Erin Seekamp , Xiao Xiao , Soupy Dalyander , Mitchell Eaton
{"title":"Multi-criteria decision approach for climate adaptation of cultural resources along the Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States: Application of AHP method","authors":"Abu SMG Kibria ,&nbsp;Erin Seekamp ,&nbsp;Xiao Xiao ,&nbsp;Soupy Dalyander ,&nbsp;Mitchell Eaton","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100587","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2024.100587","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Prioritizing climate adaptation actions is often made difficult by stakeholders and decision-makers having multiple objectives, some of which may be competing. Transparent, transferable, and objective methods are needed to assess and weight different objectives for complex decisions with multiple interests. In this study, the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) was used to examine priorities in managing cultural resources in the face of climate change at Cape Lookout National Seashore on the Atlantic coast of the southeastern United States. In this process, we conducted facilitated discussion sessions with the selected stakeholder representatives to elicit a comprehensive list of management objectives. Objectives were then merged into three categories: 1) Maximize retention of historic character and condition (HCC); 2) Foster heritage awareness (HA); and 3) Maximize financial benefits (FB). We facilitated two AHP exercise sessions, both individually and in groups, to seek consensus on the relative importance of the objectives. The AHP process created a space for stakeholders (government agencies and local citizens) to consider and present arguments that we used to contextualize their trade-offs between the objectives. The stakeholders' top priority was to maximize the HCC. This objective was prioritized more than HA and FB in the individual trade-off choices, while HA was given nearly equal priority to FB. The consensus priority vectors of two management objectives (HCC and HA) differ significantly from FB, but the difference between HCC and HA is slight and not statistically different. FB and HA had larger changes in consensus priority vectors among the three objectives relative to individual priority vectors. For HCC, the difference between individual and consensus priority vectors was the smallest and nearly equal. Moreover, very high levels of consistency were found in consensus priority trade-off discussions and AHP application. Our research highlights the advantage of using a two-step AHP process in climate adaptation planning of vulnerable resources to enhance robustness in decision making. Coupling this approach with future efforts to develop management priorities would help estimate indices to determine the order in which adaptation treatments are applied to vulnerable cultural resources.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 100587"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000044/pdfft?md5=9d30bbe3eda3578b6fd3fa5bb8b151d7&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000044-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139714421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Disparities between climate change facts and farmer’s awareness and perception in an arid region: A case study of the middle and lower reaches of the Heihe River Basin in northwest China 干旱地区气候变化事实与农民认识和感知之间的差异:中国西北黑河流域中下游案例研究
IF 4.4 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100588
Benli Liu , Wanyue Peng , Yunhua Zhang
{"title":"Disparities between climate change facts and farmer’s awareness and perception in an arid region: A case study of the middle and lower reaches of the Heihe River Basin in northwest China","authors":"Benli Liu ,&nbsp;Wanyue Peng ,&nbsp;Yunhua Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100588","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100588","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Arid areas are sensitive and vulnerable to climate change and may face more climate risks in the future under the background of global warming. The adaptability of society to future climate change impacts relies heavily on the awareness and perception of local populations. This study focuses on the middle and lower reaches of the Heihe River, which is the second-largest inland river in China, and examine the temperature and precipitation changes from 1981 to 2020, employing the Sen + Mann-Kendall trend analysis method. The local farmers and herdsmen were interviewed, and their variations in awareness and perception regarding climate change were assessed. The results show that local residents are highly sensitive to climate warming but not to precipitation increases, indicating that the communities faces substantial constraints imposed by limited water resources. Residents of the downstream desert area feel a wetter climate than those of the mountain and oasis areas in the middle reach, suggesting a greater water scarcity pressure in the latter. The increased allocation of ecological water to the downstream portion of the Heihe river, as implemented by the “97″ water distribution plan in 2000, may be a contributing factor to this phenomenon. The disparities in the fact and residents’ awareness and perception of climate change are different among the mountainous, oasis, and desert regions, which are influenced by regional differences in climate change, agricultural production conditions, and water policies. The government should consider these factors when formulating water policies to ensure successful and balanced development.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 100588"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000056/pdfft?md5=391720232dbf7d3bf146c0e565ac51b6&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000056-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139919778","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Co-designing a just resilience balance scorecard with experts in islands and coastal cities 与岛屿和沿海城市的专家共同设计一个公平的弹性平衡计分卡
IF 4.4 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100577
Priscila Carvalho, Catalina Spataru
{"title":"Co-designing a just resilience balance scorecard with experts in islands and coastal cities","authors":"Priscila Carvalho,&nbsp;Catalina Spataru","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2023.100577","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2023.100577","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The growing focus on enhancing resilience in international humanitarian communities and vulnerable regions underscores the need for advancing theoretical and empirical tools. This research introduces a balance scorecard co-developed with users to monitor justice in disaster risk reduction and resilience (DR3) with a specific emphasis on floods, droughts and heatwaves. The goal is facilitating the integration of risk reduction, climate adaptation, and sustainability into development planning across various locations. The participatory design of the balance scorecard engages 71 stakeholders in vulnerable emerging market economies in the Global South. We take a nexus approach towards critically linked resources (water, energy, land, food, materials), global agendas (Climate Change Adaptation, Sustainable Development Goals and Sendai Framework), vulnerability factors (hazard, exposure and capabilities) and environmental justice dimensions (distribution, participation, capabilities and recognition). Stakeholders confirm the findings from literature that disaster risk governance tends to be more responsive than preventive. The research contributes by introducing temporal dimensions into the balance scorecard, covering anticipation, assessment, prevention, preparedness, response and recovery. This enhances the granularity of pre-emergency phases in risk management, enabling a dynamic analysis of justice considerations given the unique challenges faced by different communities at each stage of the risk management cycle.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"43 ","pages":"Article 100577"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096323001031/pdfft?md5=86b8c9d941782290c1d44e8c451692d6&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096323001031-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138532757","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of outdoor heat adaptation on indoor thermal conditions – Combining microscale urban climate and building performance simulation 室外热适应对室内热条件的影响--结合微尺度城市气候和建筑性能模拟
IF 4.4 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100615
Christoph Schünemann , Tim Felix Kriesten , Uta Moderow , Astrid Ziemann
{"title":"Impact of outdoor heat adaptation on indoor thermal conditions – Combining microscale urban climate and building performance simulation","authors":"Christoph Schünemann ,&nbsp;Tim Felix Kriesten ,&nbsp;Uta Moderow ,&nbsp;Astrid Ziemann","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100615","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2024.100615","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To what extent can outdoor heat adaptation measures in urban districts help to reduce high indoor temperatures in buildings and thus enhance indoor thermal conditions? To answer this question microscale meteorological simulation (MMS) and building performance simulation (BPS) are combined in a model chain approach. Two existing residential German districts with different urban designs are modelled in the MMS tool ENVI-met. For both districts, a representative residential building (one from the Wilhelminian period and one large panel construction type) is modelled using the BPS tool IDA-ICE. Different scenarios of heat adaptation measures are applied to analyse how changes in urban and building design (e.g. white (cool) roofs (high albedo), white traffic areas (high albedo), intensive green roofs, urban trees, facade insulation or facade greening) affect outdoor and indoor temperatures. The MMS results highlight that the district from the Wilhelminian period is less heat resilient and that the efficacy of heat adaptation measures on heat reduction in open space depends on the urban design and the daytime. Regarding the efficacy of heat adaptation measures on indoor thermal conditions, our findings indicate that the larger share of the indoor cooling effect is not caused by the outdoor air temperature reduction by the outdoor heat adaptation measures but by the change of the building physics in the BPS model (e.g. changing the surface reflectance of the white roofs). White roofs and intensive green roofs show the largest cooling effect by reducing the operative room temperature by more than 1 Kelvin. Our findings also demonstrate that facade insulation can act as both, climate adaptation and mitigation measures.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"44 ","pages":"Article 100615"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000329/pdfft?md5=1cc41bd0813e2c7bbb3232470132b1d7&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000329-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140950056","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Adoption of climate-smart agricultural practices (CSAPs) in Ethiopia 埃塞俄比亚采用气候智能型农业做法 (CSAPs)
IF 4.4 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100628
Assefa Abegaz , Wuletawu Abera , Stephanie Jaquet , Lulseged Tamene
{"title":"Adoption of climate-smart agricultural practices (CSAPs) in Ethiopia","authors":"Assefa Abegaz ,&nbsp;Wuletawu Abera ,&nbsp;Stephanie Jaquet ,&nbsp;Lulseged Tamene","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100628","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100628","url":null,"abstract":"&lt;div&gt;&lt;p&gt;To ensure climate-resilient food and other production systems, countries must adapt to and mitigate the effects of climate-change. Adopting climate-smart agricultural practices (CSAPs) will significantly contribute to such adaptation and mitigation. In global, regional, and African contexts, Ethiopia represents a useful case study from which much can be learned. Therefore, the fourfold objectives of this Ethiopia-focused review were to i) synthesize adoption studies of more than seven CSAPs; ii) examine their adoption status, including gender considerations, socioeconomic benefits, and constraints to CSAP adoption; iii) identify gaps in the current CSAPs adoption literature, and iv) highlight future CSAP research and policy directions. Following a systematic literature review procedure, 100 articles published between 2001 and 2021 on adoption of CSAPs in Ethiopia were reviewed. Although all the publications were about the highlands of Ethiopia, over 80% came from the regions of Amhara, Oromiya, and South Nations and Nationalities. The most-adopted practice was soil and water conservation (SWC), with a mean adoption rate of 61.5%, followed by integrated soil fertility management, and agroforestry with mean adoption rates of 56.5% and 48.8%, respectively. Gender analysis was integrated in the studies at varying levels, including in all improved livestock management initiatives; just over half the SWC initiatives; and over 75% of the remaining five practices. Quantified socioeconomic benefits were reported in only 46 papers. Greater farm income; increased land productivity; higher yields; increased food availability; and reduced household poverty were among the reported benefits of adopters compared to their counterparts. Among the aggregated constraints, socioeconomic factors and knowledge/awareness were ranked the two highest, followed by labor shortage and limited market access. The study highlighted research gaps, especially a lack of national-scale studies and studies focusing on drought-prone regions. Additionally, 37% and 46% of the studies respectively, didn’t consider i) gender, and ii) analysis of socioeconomic benefits of CSAP adoption. This Ethiopian review reveals a need to fill research gaps in methodologies and practices, and at all levels in all regions, particularly in drought-prone regions. It identifies those CSAPs which could contribute more to addressing climate change, and emphasizes the need for greater gender inclusion. Policy-related actions should i) boost CSAP-related &lt;em&gt;knowledge&lt;/em&gt;; ii) support optimizing their &lt;em&gt;socioeconomic benefits&lt;/em&gt;; iii) address &lt;em&gt;labor shortages&lt;/em&gt;; iv) improve access to &lt;em&gt;irrigation&lt;/em&gt;, &lt;em&gt;markets&lt;/em&gt;; &lt;em&gt;credit&lt;/em&gt;, and &lt;em&gt;farmers’ social organizations&lt;/em&gt;; and v) strengthen &lt;em&gt;land tenure&lt;/em&gt;. In future, deploying remote-sensing technology, artificial intelligence and modelling approaches, and implementing Agricultural Weather Index-Based Insurance may also suppo","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"45 ","pages":"Article 100628"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000457/pdfft?md5=a8c03a1d02e506054f202c427a541d49&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000457-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141414140","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Living in the ‘Blue Zone’ of a sea-level rise inundation map: Community perceptions of coastal flooding in King Salmon, California 生活在海平面上升淹没地图的 "蓝区":加利福尼亚州国王鲑鱼社区对沿海洪水的看法
IF 4.4 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100596
Laurie Richmond , Kristina Kunkel
{"title":"Living in the ‘Blue Zone’ of a sea-level rise inundation map: Community perceptions of coastal flooding in King Salmon, California","authors":"Laurie Richmond ,&nbsp;Kristina Kunkel","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100596","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100596","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>As sea-level rise (SLR) inundation maps proliferate, it is important to study their politics – both how they are created and how they act upon and shape various lives and places. This paper uses the example of King Salmon, CA – a rural, low-income residential area projected to be one of the most at risk to SLR on the US West Coast – to examine how a community responds to external projections showing SLR risk to their homes and businesses. Through interviews with 17 King Salmon community members and observation of a county-hosted ‘communities at risk’ workshop, we examined the community’s social context, their past experiences with flooding, and their reaction to SLR projection maps including what next steps they would like to see taken. Residents expressed a strong connection to the place, noting that it is one of the few affordable places to live on the coast in California. We found that residents already live with regular flooding during larger tides of the year and have taken steps to adapt. We observed a strong generational component in responses to projection maps with many older respondents believing or hoping that the worst effects from SLR would not come until after they passed away. Residents expressed a lack of faith in government to address flooding concerns both at present and into the future, noting that general maintenance issues have gone unaddressed for decades. Many residents interviewed and observed seemed open or at least resigned to the possibility of relocation at a future undetermined time. This work reveals the power dynamics inherent in climate projections like SLR maps, which, due to their technical nature and mobility, can leave communities out of conversations related to potential futures. Findings also have implications related to climate and SLR work – highlighting the importance of understanding community context; contributing to equity considerations about how wealth and other demographic factors shape how communities interact with SLR planning; and spotlighting the need for sustained learning, engagement, and co-production with communities in the ‘blue zones’ of SLR inundation maps.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"44 ","pages":"Article 100596"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000135/pdfft?md5=e3a26e218d9dcb80fe448b431d32602f&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000135-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140150651","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Adaptations of potato production to future climate change by optimizing planting date, irrigation and fertilizer in the Agro-Pastoral Ecotone of China 在中国农牧生态区通过优化种植日期、灌溉和施肥使马铃薯生产适应未来气候变化
IF 4.4 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100604
Jianzhao Tang , Huizi Bai , Shenghai Zhang , Dengpan Xiao , Zheng Tianzhu , De Li Liu , Bin Wang , Puyu Feng
{"title":"Adaptations of potato production to future climate change by optimizing planting date, irrigation and fertilizer in the Agro-Pastoral Ecotone of China","authors":"Jianzhao Tang ,&nbsp;Huizi Bai ,&nbsp;Shenghai Zhang ,&nbsp;Dengpan Xiao ,&nbsp;Zheng Tianzhu ,&nbsp;De Li Liu ,&nbsp;Bin Wang ,&nbsp;Puyu Feng","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100604","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.crm.2024.100604","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Future climate change, especially rising temperature and varying precipitation will have significant impacts on potato production. Revealing the optimum planting date, irrigation schedule and fertilizer amount under future climate scenarios is critical for promoting sustainable potato production in the Agro-Pastoral Ecotone (APE). In this study, two representative stations of Wuchuan (WC) and Zhangbei (ZB) in APE were selected, firstly, we used well validated APSIM-Potato model to optimize the planting date of potato in future climate scenarios. Then the impacts of different combination of N fertilizer and irrigation on potato yield, N loss, water use efficiency (WUE), nitrogen use efficiency (NUE) and economic income were analyzed under optimal planting date. The future climate projection was provided by 13 Global Climate Models (GCMs) from the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project phase 6 (CMIP6) under two emission scenarios of future societal development pathway (SSP) 245 and SSP585. Compared with baseline period (1981–2010), the planting windows during 2040 s (2031–2060) and 2080 s (2071–2100) were wider, and the optimal planting dates (OPDs) for rainfed potato should be arranged later under SSP245, but it should be earlier under SSP585. However, the OPDs for irrigated potato should advance under SSP245 and SSP585. Then, we analyzed the coupling effects of irrigation and nitrogen fertilizer on potato production under OPDs in future climate scenarios. Irrigation was carried out based on the soil water deficit within 1 m depth (IR, ranged from 10 mm (IR<sub>10</sub>) to 100 mm (IR<sub>1</sub>) with the interval of 10 mm) and fertilizer was set with 8 treatments (N, ranged from 0 kg ha<sup>−1</sup> (N<sub>0</sub>) to 210 kg ha<sup>−1</sup> (N<sub>7</sub>) with the interval of 30 kg ha<sup>−1</sup>). To achieve highest yield, maximum amount of N (N<sub>7</sub>, 210 kg ha<sup>−1</sup>) coupled with IR<sub>10</sub> (irrigation applied if soil water deficit beyond 10 mm) should be applied for both WC and ZB station. However, these combinations would accumulatively decrease groundwater table (GDT) by 70.8–76.5 m (39.1–44.8 m) and 78.7–80.2 m (38.6–47.4 m) during 2040 s and 2080 s, and induce annual N loss by 21.6–27.3 kg ha<sup>−1</sup> (24.7–25.3 kg ha<sup>−1</sup>) and 17.7–21.9 kg ha<sup>−1</sup> (18.3–21.2 kg ha<sup>−1</sup>) at WC (ZB), respectively. Net income of potato under different combinations of irrigation and N fertilizer ranged from −10700 to 25,500 Yuan ha<sup>−1</sup> and from −4100 to 26,600 Yuan ha<sup>−1</sup> at Wuchuan and Zhangbei. To maximize the income of farmers, N<sub>4</sub> (120 kg ha<sup>−1</sup>) coupled with IR<sub>9</sub> (irrigation applied if soil water deficit beyond 20 mm) should be applied at the two study sites. Our results would be helpful in developing adaptable strategies for potato production to cope with future climate change in the APE.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"44 ","pages":"Article 100604"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000214/pdfft?md5=0509035e03ddadf55736dfcf9106a480&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000214-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140188129","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effect of climate risk adaptation on food security among farming households: The case of Nigeria 气候风险适应对农户粮食安全的影响:尼日利亚的案例
IF 4.4 2区 环境科学与生态学
Climate Risk Management Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100600
Mustapha Yakubu Madaki , Miroslava Bavorova , Edvin Zhllima , Drini Imami
{"title":"Effect of climate risk adaptation on food security among farming households: The case of Nigeria","authors":"Mustapha Yakubu Madaki ,&nbsp;Miroslava Bavorova ,&nbsp;Edvin Zhllima ,&nbsp;Drini Imami","doi":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100600","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.crm.2024.100600","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Climate risk is a major threat to the sustainable food production of many farmers who depend on rainfed agricultural systems. In response to this threat, climate-smart agricultural innovations, such as drought-tolerant and early mature crop varieties, have been developed and promoted. It is well-known that adopting innovations and improved technologies positively impact adopters' well-being. Therefore, this study sought to determine the factors influencing the adoption of climate risk adaptation strategies and subsequently estimate how food security is affected by the adoption using questionnaire survey data from 1,080 farming households across six agro-ecological zones. The data were analysed using different matching techniques and Endogenous Switching Regression (ESR). The model results reveal that access to extension, crop-related and weather information, access to credit and climate change awareness of farmers increase the adoption likelihood of the climate risk adaptation strategies. Adoption of climate risk adaptation strategies positively impacts the food security of farming households as it increases their dietary diversity score and reduces the food security coping strategy index. Enhancing the accessibility of the drought-tolerant and early mature varieties, promoting crop-related and weather information through extension services, and empowering farmers through credit accessibility would strengthen the adoption of climate risk adaptation strategies to increase food security.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54226,"journal":{"name":"Climate Risk Management","volume":"44 ","pages":"Article 100600"},"PeriodicalIF":4.4,"publicationDate":"2024-01-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2212096324000172/pdfft?md5=1c3ae1e837935212128f415336280fb2&pid=1-s2.0-S2212096324000172-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140200189","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"环境科学与生态学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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