Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-07-17Epub Date: 2026-04-27DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70168
Serge Silatsa Nanda, Moch Faisal Karim
{"title":"Fractured Promises: Developing Countries and the Global Contestation of the $100 Billion Climate Finance Pledge","authors":"Serge Silatsa Nanda, Moch Faisal Karim","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70168","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70168","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>In 2009, developed countries pledged to transfer $100 billion ($100BCG) yearly from 2020 to developing countries to support their adaptation and climate change mitigation. The failure to deliver on this promise has created enduring debate, especially within social media. This paper investigates how discourses about the $100BCG are framed on X (formerly Twitter) and vary depending on actors in developed versus developing countries. We analysed 1799 tweets related to $100BCG posted between 2021 and 2023 using NVivo's sentiment analysis and topic classification. Findings reveal that discourses around the $100BCG are primarily framed as diplomacy, sustainability and economics narratives. These narratives take mostly negative sentiment, particularly when presented as diplomacy and sustainability, expressing scepticism about fairness, accountability and trust in developed countries about climate finance. Although economic narratives sometimes express cautious optimism as they may be leveraged to boost development and investment, they remain secondary to the larger trends of discontent. These narratives are adopted in the diplomatic rhetoric of elites from developing countries who have echoed such critiques at the international level. This paper helps to illustrate how contestation can play out in a public way and have implications for debates around narratives, trust and fairness in global climate governance.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 3","pages":"523-534"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148534355","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-07-17Epub Date: 2026-06-23DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70191
Zhe Ma
{"title":"Evolving Beyond the Brussels Effect: EU Digital Diplomacy and the Broadening of External Digital Strategy","authors":"Zhe Ma","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70191","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70191","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The European Union (EU) has long exercised global influence through the Brussels Effect, whereby EU rules become de facto international standards because firms align with them to maintain access to the Union's large single market. In the digital domain, the General Data Protection Regulation (GDPR) remains the clearest example of this regulatory dynamic. However, the Brussels Effect alone no longer fully captures the EU's contemporary external digital strategy. Since 2022, the emergence of EU Digital Diplomacy has signalled a broader external agenda that links digital governance not only to regulatory projection but also to cooperation, resilience, strategic partnerships and geopolitical concerns. This paper examines two developments in this evolution: first, the growing role of structured cooperation and partnerships alongside market-driven regulatory influence; and second, the increasing centrality of geopolitical and economic-security considerations in the EU's external digital agenda. The paper argues that Digital Diplomacy should be understood as an emerging strategic reorientation in which unilateral regulation is increasingly supplemented by partnerships, infrastructure initiatives, capacity-building and security-oriented cooperation. In this sense, the EU's external digital strategy is best understood as a broader and more adaptive response to a more contested global digital environment.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 3","pages":"475-486"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148522723","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-06-09Epub Date: 2026-02-24DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70123
Mitchell Gallagher
{"title":"Switching Sides: Diplomatic Recognition, Trade Realignment, and Democratic Resilience in the Taiwan–China Divide","authors":"Mitchell Gallagher","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70123","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70123","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This paper investigates how switching diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to China reshapes trade relations and democratic governance in small developing states. Using a mixed-methods approach, the study draws on panel data and case studies of eight countries that severed ties with Taiwan in favor of Beijing. The Recognition Realignment Framework (RRF) posits that recognition shifts correlate with structural changes in trade flows and exerts asymmetric pressure on domestic institutions. Quantitative analysis confirms that trade with China increases sharply post-switch, as trade with Taiwan declines. However, the degree of democratic erosion or institutional continuity varies. Countries with stronger democratic institutions tend to undergo more gradual and contested transitions, whereas those with weaker systems experience accelerated realignment and greater political volatility.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 2","pages":"246-258"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148208898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-06-09Epub Date: 2026-04-08DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70163
Carmen Díaz-Mora, Erena García-López, Belén Gonzalez-Díaz
{"title":"FDI in Services: How Data Provisions Are Shaping the New Global Economy","authors":"Carmen Díaz-Mora, Erena García-López, Belén Gonzalez-Díaz","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70163","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70163","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Coinciding with a process of slowbalization in goods, cross-border flows of services have experienced a sharp increase, with FDI through commercial presence emerging as the dominant mode of international services supply. At the same time, a growing number of trade agreements have incorporated binding data-related provisions aimed at regulating cross-border data flows and data protection. This paper investigates the impact of such provisions on bilateral foreign affiliates in services, with a focus on data-intensive services, using a structural gravity model. Our results reveal that the presence of data provisions in trade agreements does not uniformly promote foreign affiliates in services. Trade agreements with deeper commitments on data-related provisions are associated with a greater number of foreign affiliates in the services sector, particularly when there is regulatory divergence on data governance between partner countries. Conversely, in the case of information services—a highly data-intensive sector—these provisions appear to enhance remote service delivery, thereby reducing the incentives for FDI, especially when countries have divergent data regulatory models. These results highlight how countries' data regulatory contexts and sectoral characteristics condition the effects of data-related provisions in trade agreements on FDI.</p>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 2","pages":"210-229"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1758-5899.70163","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148209045","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-06-09Epub Date: 2026-02-23DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70139
Sara Bazoobandi
{"title":"Power Transition and Pragmatic Adaptation: Iran's Strategic Approach to China, Russia and the GCC","authors":"Sara Bazoobandi","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70139","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70139","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This study examines how Iranian strategic thinkers conceptualise the country's ‘Look East’ policy (i.e., relations with China and Russia) and the GCC states. Using thematic qualitative content analysis of approximately 70 documents from Iranian state official, advisory and academic institutions (2015–2025), it reveals that Iran's eastward orientation is shaped by economic imperatives stemming from Western sanctions, dual security considerations encompassing power projection and defensive deterrence and aspirational positioning within an anticipated multipolar order. The analysis demonstrates that Iranian strategic narrative exhibits sophisticated cost–benefit calculations, acknowledging both opportunities and limitations of these partnerships. Recent events, particularly the 2023–2025 conflicts, have exposed critical vulnerabilities in Iran's strategic framework, raising questions about whether these partnerships can provide the strategic resilience Tehran anticipated.</p>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 2","pages":"200-209"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1758-5899.70139","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148209107","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-06-09Epub Date: 2026-03-10DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70147
Sèna Kimm Gnangnon
{"title":"Effect of S&D Flexibilities in WTO Rules on the Least Developed Countries' Participation in Global Value Chains","authors":"Sèna Kimm Gnangnon","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70147","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70147","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>A few studies have examined the trade effects of special and differential treatment (S&D) flexibilities contained in the World Trade Organization (WTO) rules. This article contributes to the extant literature by examining the effect of S&D flexibilities in favor of the least developed countries (LDCs) on LDCs' participation in global value chains (GVCs). The analysis uses the entropy balancing approach—an impact analysis technique—and establishes that LDC-related S&D flexibilities are associated with a greater backward GVC participation by LDC Article XII Members (these are LDCs that undertook extensive trade liberalization commitments when joining the WTO) but, at best, exert no significant effect on the backward GVC participation by LDC founding Members (LDCs that were Members of the predecessor of the WTO and joined the WTO through simple procedures). In the meantime, these flexibilities tend to promote the forward GVC participation by LDC founding Members, but at best, exert no significant effect on the forward GVC participation by LDC Article XII Members. Overall, the analysis has shown that LDC-related S&D flexibilities do influence LDCs' participation in GVCs, with a differentiated effect on LDCs depending on whether or not they undertook stronger trade liberalization commitments when joining the WTO.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 2","pages":"291-301"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148208825","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-06-09Epub Date: 2026-02-10DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70132
Charles-Henri DiMaria
{"title":"Assessing Ill-Being and Economic Stress: Negative Inputs and Civil Society in Europe","authors":"Charles-Henri DiMaria","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70132","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70132","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>Unemployment, job insecurity, and inflation are major economic factors that contribute to stress and anxiety among the population, often reflected in reported levels of ill-being. This study examined how these adverse economic conditions impact ill-being across European countries from 2005 to 2019. The aim was to identify nations that manage to minimize ill-being despite facing significant negative economic events. To do this, we applied a benchmarking method called data envelopment analysis (DEA). While DEA is commonly used to study well-being, it is not typically suited to analyze ill-being. For this reason, we are the first to apply a variant of this method, known as anti-efficiency or pessimistic DEA, in the context of well-being research. Our findings show that Nordic countries are particularly effective in mitigating the impact of economic challenges on ill-being. Furthermore, we observe that countries with efficient public administration systems tend to better manage ill-being.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 2","pages":"338-352"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148209053","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-06-09Epub Date: 2026-05-22DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70179
Valentina Gentile, Fiammetta Sacconi
{"title":"Justice Across Generations: Rethinking Reciprocity Under Conditions of Uncertainty","authors":"Valentina Gentile, Fiammetta Sacconi","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70179","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70179","url":null,"abstract":"<p>This introduction investigates the role of justice as reciprocity in intergenerational settings. It argues that the growing prominence of intergenerational framing in contemporary policy agendas is best understood in light of distinct questions emerging within the normative debate on intergenerational justice. Thus, a proper understanding of this subject requires a fine-grained analysis of three key dimensions, namely: analytical units (age groups vs. birth cohorts), temporal perspectives (lifetime vs. contemporaneous life stages), and scope (overlapping vs. nonoverlapping generations). The article then critically examines reciprocity as a foundational principle in liberal egalitarian thought, with particular reference to Rawlsian scholarship, highlighting both its enduring appeal and its limitations in intergenerational settings. The very idea of reciprocity is therefore disaggregated into comparative and noncomparative conceptions: Each account responds differently to the challenges posed by both overlapping and nonoverlapping generations. By situating the contributions to this Special Section within this framework, the article shows that the relationship between reciprocity and intergenerational justice is more complex and contested than commonly assumed.</p>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 2","pages":"365-373"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/1758-5899.70179","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148209101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-06-09Epub Date: 2026-02-23DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70150
Rebecca Ray, Kevin P. Gallagher, Zheng Zhai, Marina Zucker-Marques, Yan Liang
{"title":"Chinese Development Finance and Debt Crises in the Global South","authors":"Rebecca Ray, Kevin P. Gallagher, Zheng Zhai, Marina Zucker-Marques, Yan Liang","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70150","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70150","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>The multilateral system is falling short in mobilizing the level and composition of capital flows necessary for countries in the Global South to raise living standards and avoid the catastrophic costs of climate change. Rather than channeling a stepwise increase in resources, net capital flows to emerging market and developing countries have turned negative. This predicament would have been much worse if not for the emergence of Chinese overseas finance, yet it too has turned net negative in recent years. The resumption of payments on a significant amount of external debt that China had suspended during the COVID-19 pandemic, together with the lack of overall borrowing space in the Global South, has exacerbated the current predicament. This paper puts Chinese development finance in the context of recent net negative transfers and considers future prospects for how and why China may revive overseas development finance to the Global South, including a round of bilateral refinancing and new loans, foreign direct investment, and trade. Such an approach would not only help countries in the Global South restart growth trajectories but also bring significant benefits to China.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 2","pages":"411-422"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148209106","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Global PolicyPub Date : 2026-06-09Epub Date: 2026-02-25DOI: 10.1111/1758-5899.70138
Tianhan Gui, Bo Jia
{"title":"Temporary Voices in Permanent Halls: Institutionalized Decoupling in United Nations Consultant Employment","authors":"Tianhan Gui, Bo Jia","doi":"10.1111/1758-5899.70138","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1111/1758-5899.70138","url":null,"abstract":"<div>\u0000 \u0000 <p>This study examines the institutionalization of consultant reliance within the United Nations, revealing how consultants—originally intended for short-term, specialized roles—have come to occupy core organizational functions. Rather than a temporary solution, consultant employment has become embedded in daily operations, producing a system resistant to reform. Introducing the concept of “institutionalized decoupling,” the study analyzes how contradictions between the UN's public commitments and operational realities are reproduced and sustained across three interconnected levels. Drawing on interviews with 41 UN personnel, we trace how this decoupling is actively produced and sustained across three levels: macro-institutional funding volatility that enforces a logic of managerialism; meso-organizational fragmentation that enables regulatory arbitrage; and micro-individual managerial discretion that leverages the UN's symbolic power to extract workforce commitment. By elucidating these mechanisms, the study contributes to organization studies in global governance and debates on IO performance, demonstrating how this systemic reliance on contingent labor undermines the organizational independence and epistemic authority of the international civil service.</p>\u0000 </div>","PeriodicalId":51510,"journal":{"name":"Global Policy","volume":"17 2","pages":"353-364"},"PeriodicalIF":1.8,"publicationDate":"2026-06-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"148209067","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}