Seyeon Park , Hyunmyung Kim , Jindong Kang , Jun Lee , Yongjun Kim , Chang-Hyeon Joh , Jinhee Kim
{"title":"Identifying potential market of advanced ride-hailing services with taxi-to-taxi transfer using a latent class choice model","authors":"Seyeon Park , Hyunmyung Kim , Jindong Kang , Jun Lee , Yongjun Kim , Chang-Hyeon Joh , Jinhee Kim","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104543","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104543","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines people’s preferences for advanced ride-hailing-based taxi platform services aimed at addressing late-night taxi shortages. These new services are defined as a combination of taxi-to-taxi transfers, ride-pooling, pre-booking, and car type. A stated-choice experiment is designed to assess people’s willingness to use various hypothetical services. The respondents are limited to those using taxis at night in Gangnam, Seoul, with a sample size of 1000 individuals. A latent class choice model is estimated using stated choice data to identify the potential market for new ride-hailing services. The analysis reveals that the market can be categorized into three subgroups, with significant heterogeneity in preferences for new services among these subgroups. The potential market for new services is associated with individuals’ socio-demographics, such as gender, main activity time, and frequency of taxi usage. Among the two groups likely to choose alternative taxis, one group is sensitive to fares and shows relatively low resistance to short transfer waiting times and advance reservations, suggesting that an appropriate fare discount could increase their likelihood of using the new services. The other group prioritizes guaranteed dispatch over fare discounts and exhibits relatively high resistance to time-related factors, indicating that a strategy focused on providing high-quality services with enhanced time flexibility could be effective. Notably, the two groups show distinct differences in their preferences for ride-pooling. To the best of our knowledge, this study is the first to identify the latent market for new taxi services, including taxi-to-taxi transfers. The results provide insights into the factors affecting taxi service decisions, including taxi-to-taxi transfers and ride-pooling.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104543"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144166589","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Hans-Heinrich Schumann , He Haitao , Asya Natapov , Mohammed Quddus
{"title":"The influence of spatial configuration on e-scooter traffic flows","authors":"Hans-Heinrich Schumann , He Haitao , Asya Natapov , Mohammed Quddus","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104529","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104529","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The theory of natural movement posits that the configuration of space is the primary determinant of movement patterns. Existing research in this domain, however, often relies on manual counting, fails to capture temporal variations in movement, and lacks evidence of transferability across locations. This study addresses these limitations by leveraging passively generated GPS data produced by the globally growing mode of e-scooters.</div><div>We model e-scooter traffic flows using GPS data of ∼80,000 trips over three months in 2021 in three areas: Salford (United Kingdom), Rochdale (United Kingdom), and Mannheim/Ludwigshafen (Germany). Spatio-temporally cross-validated spatial lag models demonstrate the high predictive power of spatial configuration-based parameters, while additional attractor parameters contribute minimally to model performance.</div><div>Our findings provide actionable insights for infrastructure planning and policy interventions, particularly for the effective planning, operation, and management of e-scooter schemes. Moreover, the results highlight that spatial configuration-based modelling methodology can be augmented with a temporal dimension, with broad potential application in transport planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104529"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144166588","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jianying Wang , Mei-Po Kwan , Dong Liu , Yang Liu , Yuxia Wang
{"title":"15-minute city beyond the urban core: Lessons from the urban-suburban disparity in PCR accessibility within the X-minute framework","authors":"Jianying Wang , Mei-Po Kwan , Dong Liu , Yang Liu , Yuxia Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104546","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104546","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The 15-minute city concept has garnered increasing attention as a transformative urban planning paradigm to enhance accessibility, sustainability, and livability. However, critical gaps remain in its practical application. Current studies predominantly emphasize urban cores and active transportation modes while neglecting the nuanced challenges of suburban areas and the pivotal role of public transit (PT). This study critically examines the 15-minute city framework through the lens of accessibility disparities, using Polymerase Chain Reaction (PCR) testing facilities across 10 Chinese megacities as a case study. Our findings highlight that suburban residents face significantly greater accessibility challenges, including longer travel times and reduced access during nighttime, compared to their urban counterparts. The results underscore the limitations of a narrow focus on active modes in the urban core within the 15-minute city framework, revealing that PT schedules and facility operating hours distinctly affect accessibility outcomes in suburban neighborhoods. Solely focusing on 15-minute accessibility will underestimate their impacts. We advocate for an expanded framework that integrates a 15-minute city model for urban cores with a 15-30-45-minute approach for suburban areas, leveraging PT to address diverse transportation needs. Our findings advance theoretical and methodological approaches to the 15-minute city, offering actionable insights for policymakers to develop more inclusive, adaptable, and equitable urban planning strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104546"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144147409","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Perceived accessibility and transport equity: Does satisfaction imply perceived sufficiency of opportunities?","authors":"Felix Johan Pot","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104497","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104497","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper demonstrates that individual satisfaction with accessibility and perceived sufficiency of opportunities represent distinct dimensions of perceived accessibility in the normative evaluation of spatial accessibility inequalities. Satisfaction assessments are outcome-based and inform evaluations of the distributive justice of accessibility by capturing differences in current experiences of reaching desired activities. Perceptions of having sufficient options are opportunity-based assessments and relate to procedural justice by reflecting judgments on the fairness of mechanisms shaping accessibility distributions. In a survey conducted in the Netherlands, most individuals report both high satisfaction and perceived sufficiency. However, notable discrepancies emerge, particularly in rural areas, where many express satisfaction with accessibility but also concerns about the sufficiency of opportunities. For policy practice, it is important to acknowledge that goals related to individual benefits from accessibility and perceived sufficiency of opportunities are not inherently linked and potentially conflicting within broader social and environmental policy agendas. Recognizing the mechanisms explaining differences between satisfaction with accessibility and perceived sufficiency can help policymakers clarify justice priorities and balance opportunity-based and outcome-based strategies in accessibility planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104497"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144147410","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Yulu He , Wenliang Ma , Keke Fan , Hongchang Li , Kun Wang
{"title":"The impacts of exchange rate fluctuations on the international air transport","authors":"Yulu He , Wenliang Ma , Keke Fan , Hongchang Li , Kun Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104523","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104523","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The fluctuations of foreign exchange rate can affect the international air transport markets through both demand and supply sides. On one hand, exchange rate variations can affect the passengers’ overseas purchasing power so as to influence international travel decisions (i.e., demand side). On the other hand, as airlines normally pay foreign currency (e.g., the U.S. dollar) for capital/operation costs, the foreign exchanges rate variations also affect airlines’ supply side. This empirical study utilizes monthly data on international routes operated by Chinese airlines (January 2017 – September 2019) to analyze demand and supply dynamics of foreign exchange variations through structural econometric modeling. The impacts on the air passenger traffic from both demand and supply side can be thus disentangled and quantified. To address the potential endogeneity caused by the unobservable confounding factors that jointly affect the exchange rates and international air travel market, this paper innovatively selects the international air routes linking mainland China to five regions that peg their exchange rates to USD, such that the exchange rate fluctuations can be regarded as exogenous on these routes. The empirical findings indicate that on the demand side the moderate bidirectional exchange rate fluctuations significantly influence international passengers’ air travel demand, while on the supply side severe fluctuations significantly impact airfare. Additionally, the demand in China’s aviation market is generally inelastic to airfare and exchange rate fluctuations. By separating the demand-side effects into direct and indirect mechanisms, the findings show that moderate exchange rate fluctuations primarily impact air travel demand through a direct mechanism, (i.e., the demand side) while severe fluctuations mainly influence demand through an indirect mechanism (i.e., the supply side). The findings offer useful references for airline managerial and policy implications.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104523"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144139280","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Oleksandr Rossolov , José Holguín-Veras , Muhammad Ahsanul Habib
{"title":"Profiling shopping mobility in pre- and post-purchase phases: Latent class analysis of apparel trial and return trips","authors":"Oleksandr Rossolov , José Holguín-Veras , Muhammad Ahsanul Habib","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104524","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104524","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the unobserved heterogeneity in shopping mobility by examining consumers’ apparel trial and return behaviors across the pre- and post-purchase phases. In the context of the rapid growth of e-commerce and rising return rates, understanding how trial and return behaviors interact within individual shopping journeys becomes critical. While prior research has explored online shopping’s impact on travel, limited attention has been paid to the diversity of these behaviors and their mobility implications. To address this gap, two latent class choice models are estimated using revealed preference data from 507 U.S. shoppers. Latent class membership is explained through attitudinal profiles derived from factor analysis (Bartlett scores), capturing environmental concerns, consumption habits, and convenience preferences. Three distinct segments are identified for both trial and return behaviors, each characterized by unique trip frequencies, trial and return method preferences, and socio-demographic traits. The interplay between pre- and post-purchase mobility is further examined through a segment probability matrix. Results show that most shoppers specialize in either trial or return behaviors, with limited overlap. For instance, “Active Trial Enthusiasts” comprise 51.2% of the sample, marked by frequent store visits and hybrid trial preferences. In contrast, 23.6% belong to the “Frequent & Opportunistic Returners,” who regularly return goods using both self-managed and carrier-based methods. These findings reveal diverse and complementary mobility patterns shaped by apparel shopping habits. The study provides valuable insights for transport planners and e-retailers seeking to address the environmental and operational impacts of evolving consumer behavior.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104524"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144139396","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jian Liang , Ya Zhao , Hai Wang , Linchuan Yang , Jintao Ke
{"title":"Understanding order cancellation behavior in on-demand delivery services","authors":"Jian Liang , Ya Zhao , Hai Wang , Linchuan Yang , Jintao Ke","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104515","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104515","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The rise of digital platforms has transformed urban mobility by offering a wide range of on-demand transportation and delivery services, such as ride-hailing, grocery delivery, and food delivery. Consumers using these services typically experience two key waiting stages: waiting online for matching and waiting physically for driver pick-up. A common consequence of waiting is order cancellation, which not only disrupts platform operations but also generates inefficient vehicle movements and puts strain on urban road networks. This paper examines the dynamics of order cancellations in the two stages and their interactions by using a two-stage survival analysis combined with a Heckman correction model. Based on a dataset of delivered and cancelled orders from an on-demand food delivery platform in Asia, we reveal several key findings. First, we identify an asymmetric effect of accumulated waiting time on cancellations before and after the expected waiting time, which provides evidence to the existence of reference-dependence preferences in on-demand services. Second, while higher delivery fees reduce cancellations in the matching stage, they increase the risk of orders being cancelled shortly after they are matched to drivers. Third, the risk of cancellation is significantly reduced when the order is delivered by a familiar driver. Lastly, we reveal how the risk of order cancellation varies with waiting time in both the matching and pick-up stages. These findings provide valuable insights for optimizing pricing and matching strategies to mitigate order cancellations, enhance the efficiency of on-demand services, and reduce inefficient trips caused by cancellations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104515"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144147408","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Towards completely caring 15-minute neighbourhoods","authors":"Anastasia Soukhov , Léa Ravensbergen , Lucía Mejía Dorantes , Antonio Páez","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104503","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104503","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The “15-Minute City” concept has been embraced by global leaders to promote human-scale neighbourhoods with transport and land-use designs that support short trips to daily necessities. This paper bridges the 15-Minute City to “Mobility of Care”, a framework that foregrounds travel to care destinations, travel done predominately by women. This focus contrasts the more commonly studied travel to employment and leisure destinations. While the 15-Minute City concept is flexible enough to consider all destination types, gendered examinations are relatively lacking in the literature, and little research to date has focused explicitly on care destinations. This gap is addressed in this paper by identifying which areas in the city of Hamilton, Canada are ‘caring 15-minute neighbourhoods’. To do so, a database of care destinations was compiled to estimate the number (using the cumulative opportunity accessibility measure) and diversity of mix (using an entropy measure) of care destinations within a 15-minute walk from residential parcels. Using data-driven machine learning techniques (Self-Organizing Maps and Decision Trees), neighbourhoods were classified into ‘caring 15-minute neighbourhood’ typologies that are examined across residential socio-economic profiles. Our results suggest that the majority of caring 15-minute neighbourhoods are in the urban core, where more lower-income households currently reside. In contrast, areas that lack caring 15-minute neighbourhoods are in higher-income peripheral areas. Areas that make good candidates for urban policy intervention are identified and the implications of enhancing 15-minute walkable caring access are discussed in relation to equtiy and gender mainstreaming in transportation planning and limitations of this work.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104503"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144134131","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Can transit apps boost ridership? An empirical study in San Antonio, Texas","authors":"Jiahe Bian , Wei Li , Chanam Lee","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104526","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104526","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the past decade, an increasing number of smartphone transit apps have become available for transit riders to pay fares, plan trips, and check real-time vehicle information. Despite the growing popularity of transit apps, their impact on transit ridership is still not well understood. This study investigates the impact of the VIA goMobile app on bus ridership using longitudinal panel data on route-level monthly ridership in San Antonio, Texas. This quasi-experimental study employed random-effect (RE) regression models to evaluate the influence of the transit app on ridership from 2015 to 2019 while controlling for various ridership influencers, such as transit fare, route characteristics, weather, socioeconomic conditions, and gas prices. This study deployed 59 RE models to examine the relationship between the app deployment and ridership changes over time for both frequent and infrequent bus routes. The findings revealed that the app exerted a significant positive impact on ridership for infrequent bus routes but not for frequent ones. The app’s positive effect on ridership for infrequent bus routes grew more pronounced after its launch. Since the VIA goMobile app became available, infrequent routes experienced an average increase of 1,634 trips per route per month, translating to $99,840 in monthly revenue. The study contributed to the understanding of transit apps and provided insights into how transit apps can be strategically deployed to enhance different types of bus services. These findings offered valuable insights for transit industry leaders to evaluate the cost and benefits of transit apps and make informed decisions about effective ridership-boosting strategies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104526"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144124588","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Impact of Spatio-Temporal evolution of freeway networks on Socio-Economic Dynamics: A case study from Fujian, China","authors":"Zhiyong Liu, Buke Lv, Zhaoxuan Liu, Wenshuai Li, Xingbang Fu, Enjian Yao","doi":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104521","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.tra.2025.104521","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Freeway infrastructures play a pivotal role in driving socio-economic development. However, without a comprehensive understanding of the relationship between freeway network evolution and socio-economic dynamics, it would be difficult to further shape the economic landscape through adjustments in the freeway network layout. To address this challenge, the present study proposes an analytical framework that integrates network, spatial, and temporal elements to quantify the economic stimulatory effects of freeway network evolution. Multiscale geographically and temporally weighted regression (MGTWR) is employed to scrutinize these intricate relationships. This analytical framework is applied to an empirical case study based on the freeway geographic data, point of interest (POI) data, and socio-economic statistics spanning from 2018 to 2021 in Fujian, China. The spatio-temporal impacts of freeway evolution on socio-economic indicators, county-level POI clustering, and roadside POI clustering are investigated. Results demonstrate that considering network elements helps enhance the effectiveness of the analytical framework, and each network element exhibits distinct yet stable effects on socio-economic dynamics. Spatial heterogeneity is identified in the impact of freeway density on socio-economic growths, industrial relocations, and changes in roadside land use patterns. This study provides crucial insights for transportation infrastructure planning and assessment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":49421,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part A-Policy and Practice","volume":"198 ","pages":"Article 104521"},"PeriodicalIF":6.3,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144123889","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}