Journal of Development Economics最新文献_第4页

Where has all the dynamism gone? Productivity growth in China’s manufacturing sector, 1998–2013 所有的活力都到哪里去了？1998-2013年中国制造业生产率增长

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2026.103720

Loren Brandt , Johannes Van Biesebroeck , Luhang Wang , Yifan Zhang

{"title":"Where has all the dynamism gone? Productivity growth in China’s manufacturing sector, 1998–2013","authors":"Loren Brandt , Johannes Van Biesebroeck , Luhang Wang , Yifan Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2026.103720","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2026.103720","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>China’s manufacturing sector has been a key source of the economy’s dynamism. Analysis after 2007 however is hampered by problems in the key data source for empirical analysis, the National Bureau of Statistics’ (NBS) annual survey of industrial firms. Issues include missing information on value added and intermediate inputs, and concerns of over-reporting. The annual survey of firms conducted by China’s State Taxation Administration (STA) provides a reliable, alternative source of firm-level data for the years 2007 to 2013. Since the sample is not representative and the precise sampling scheme is not known, the data cannot be used directly to draw inferences on China’s manufacturing sector. By comparing the joint distribution of key variables for which both surveys provide reasonably reliable information, we recover the sampling scheme of the STA survey and use it to simulate samples for 2007 to 2013 that are comparable to the NBS sample in earlier years. Our estimates reveal a marked slowdown in revenue-based total factor productivity growth that cuts across all industries, ownership types, and regions. The loss of dynamism in the private sector, and the reduced contribution of firm entry to aggregate productivity growth are especially prominent.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"181 ","pages":"Article 103720"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146039649","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

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Connected national capital: Corporations in colonial and independent Egypt 连通的国家资本：殖民地和独立的埃及的公司

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103697

Cihan Artunç , Mohamed Saleh

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Firms under fire! How insecurity affects formal firms’ existence 公司受到攻击！不安全感如何影响正规企业的存在

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103714

Matteo Neri-Lainé

{"title":"Firms under fire! How insecurity affects formal firms’ existence","authors":"Matteo Neri-Lainé","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103714","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103714","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper studies the effect of insecurity on formal firms’ existence. We develop a flexible theoretical framework in which insecurity, a latent production cost, affects firms’ market entry, exit, and formality decisions. In our empirical analysis, we combine an original dataset on Afghan firms with georeferenced data on military events that we use to proxy insecurity. In the state-building context of post-2003 Afghanistan, military events reflect not only violence but also state capacity expansion. For formal firms, this latter channel dominates. As a result, increased exposure to military events conveys on average a reduction in effective insecurity and positively impacts formal firm existence. Nonetheless, this effect is highly heterogeneous depending on actors, location, timing and firms’ characteristics. The Afghan conflict has the specificity of deeply involving foreign countries. Mobilizing this particular source of exogenous variation, we identify the causal effect of an insecurity reduction on formal firms’ existence. We show that an increase of 1% in the exposure to instrumented military events raises the formal activity probability by 3.8%.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 103714"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977313","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Frosty climate, icy relationships: Cold and intimate partner violence in Peru 寒冷的气候，冰冷的关系：秘鲁的寒冷和亲密伴侣暴力

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103710

Katie Bollman , Judhajit Chakraborty , Leah K. Lakdawala , Eduardo Nakasone

{"title":"Frosty climate, icy relationships: Cold and intimate partner violence in Peru","authors":"Katie Bollman , Judhajit Chakraborty , Leah K. Lakdawala , Eduardo Nakasone","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103710","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103710","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Violence against women – in particular, Intimate Partner Violence (IPV) – is a health concern for women across the world. We study the effect of cold exposure on IPV among Peruvian women. Using a dataset that matches women to weather exposure, we find that cold shocks increase IPV: 10 degree hours below -9 °C increases the probability of experiencing domestic violence by 0.5 percentage points. These effects are larger for more extreme temperature thresholds. We provide evidence that cold influences IPV through two main channels. First, extreme cold reduces income. Second, extreme cold limits time spent outside of the household, potentially increasing exposure of women to violent partners. To our knowledge, we are the first to measure relative significance of these two channels by using variation in cold timing to distinguish shocks that affect IPV through changes in income from those that act through time spent indoors. We find that the effect of cold on IPV is mostly driven by low temperatures that occur during the agricultural growing season, when income is most affected; 10 degree hours below -9 °C during the growing season increases the probability of experiencing IPV by 1.6 percentage points. In contrast, we find that cold exposure outside of the growing season has no statistically significant effect on IPV.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 103710"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977311","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Resisting social conformity pressure: Impact of a gender norms intervention for adolescents in Somalia 抵制社会从众压力：性别规范干预对索马里青少年的影响

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-26 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103713

Rajdev Brar , Niklas Buehren , Sreelakshmi Papineni , Munshi Sulaiman

{"title":"Resisting social conformity pressure: Impact of a gender norms intervention for adolescents in Somalia","authors":"Rajdev Brar , Niklas Buehren , Sreelakshmi Papineni , Munshi Sulaiman","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103713","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103713","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Using a randomized controlled trial, this paper evaluates the impact of a gender norms intervention for young adolescents in Somalia. The program leads to greater support for gender equality in the privately reported attitudes of girls and boys; with further positive effects on mental health, aspirations, and boys’ engagement in housework. A novel lab-in-the-field experiment is used to observe social group dynamics among adolescent peers to examine the program’s impact on receptivity to social conformity. We adopt Asch-inspired conformity measures to demonstrate a treatment effect on conformity in gender beliefs (when stated publicly) versus conformity in a more general class of publicly stated beliefs as a placebo test. We find that private changes in gender beliefs lead to differences in an adolescent’s willingness to conform to group beliefs. Treated adolescents are less likely to succumb to peer pressure to conform when stating their gender attitudes in public, leading to greater public expression of egalitarian ideals. The effects on conformity are observed only for the gender norms domain. Our findings suggest that social norms interventions can be effective in positively shaping gender attitudes, helping to empower adolescents to withstand normative pressures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 103713"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145926379","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0

Aging in Haze 雾霾中的老化

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103717

Runhao Zhao , Ye Yuan , Chong Liu , Junjian Yi

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The global software production network 全球软件生产网络

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103708

Carlo Birkholz , David Gomtsyan

引用次数: 0

Feeling the same heat? Urban–rural inequalities in adapting to extreme temperatures via electricity consumption 感受同样的热度？通过电力消耗来适应极端温度的城乡不平等

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103692

Caiquan Bai , Jing Cao , Ming Huang , Chen Xi , Peng Zhang

{"title":"Feeling the same heat? Urban–rural inequalities in adapting to extreme temperatures via electricity consumption","authors":"Caiquan Bai , Jing Cao , Ming Huang , Chen Xi , Peng Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103692","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103692","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper leverages novel high-frequency electricity consumption data to examine whether urban and rural residents in China are adapting unevenly to short-run extreme heat shocks and long-run climate warming. We demonstrate that both urban and rural groups increase their electricity consumption during transient day-to-day extreme heat events, with the former showing significantly stronger responses, thus revealing a notable adaptation inequality. We document the existence of the urban heat island, but its role in explaining the observed urban–rural adaptation disparity is negligible. Instead, the more fundamental urban–rural real income gap, closely tied to adaptive capacity, almost entirely accounts for the observed difference. In the long run, we find that climate warming over the past 5–20 years significantly promotes adaptation strategy in urban and rural groups, but no evident disparity is observed between these groups. Rural residents have experienced higher income growth over the past decade, which enabled them to afford durable adaptive equipment that is on par with that of their urban counterparts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 103692"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145685757","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

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Public procurement and firms: Evidence from Kenya 公共采购和企业：来自肯尼亚的证据

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103688

Justice Tei Mensah , Peter Chacha Wankuru , Benard K. Kirui

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Kinship ties in politics and response to extreme weather shocks 政治上的亲属关系和对极端天气冲击的反应

IF 4.6 1区经济学

Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103716

Charles Irvin S. Siriban

{"title":"Kinship ties in politics and response to extreme weather shocks","authors":"Charles Irvin S. Siriban","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103716","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103716","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>It is well-established that ties between politicians influence the distribution of public resources, particularly in policy domains where officials enjoy substantial discretion. Other policy areas, such as disaster response, have more limited scope for discretionary targeting. To what extent does political alliance influence the allocation of resources in these settings? Focusing on the case of the Philippines, I examine if kinship ties between two major local politicians – provincial governor and congressperson – influence the response to typhoon shocks. Using a close-election regression discontinuity design, I find that kin-connected governors respond better than other governors to strong typhoon shocks. I argue that the effect can be explained by both supply and demand channels. I find suggestive evidence that governors leverage their connections to congresspersons to request more assistance from the national government. Furthermore, voters reward kin-connected governors for their response to strong typhoons. These results provide a lower-bound estimate on the effects of political alliances on the allocation of fiscal resources.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"180 ","pages":"Article 103716"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145977310","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

引用次数: 0