Zehui Li , Haoye Liao , Sen Ma , Junjie Qiu , Sen Xue
{"title":"Inter-group contact and national identity: Evidence from Hong Kong and Macau students in the mainland of China","authors":"Zehui Li , Haoye Liao , Sen Ma , Junjie Qiu , Sen Xue","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103625","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103625","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We leverage exogenous mixed-dormitory room assignments between Hong Kong/Macau (HM) students and mainland Chinese students at a Chinese university to investigate intergroup contact's effects on national identity. We find that mixed-room experience significantly enhances the national identity with China for both HM and mainland students. The heterogeneous analysis suggests that for HM students, the national identity rises more when paired with culturally proximate mainland peers (Cantonese speakers), and for mainland students, their national identity is bolstered when living with relatively low economic status HM peers. Additionally, mixed-room experience increases the mainland Chinese media usage and the preference for working in the mainland of China after graduation for HM students.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103625"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145050013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Anti-corruption shocks, political incentives, and regional economic development in a developmental state","authors":"Zhenyu Shen , Ruichao Si , Gang Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103606","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103606","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of anti-corruption campaigns on regional economic development in a developmental state with weak market-supporting institutions. By leveraging staggered investigations of city leaders’ political patrons amid the recent corruption crackdown in China, we find that cities led by officials connected to investigated high-ranking officials experience a notable decline in economic performance. This decline is most plausibly attributed to diminished corruption-induced efforts by local officials in various government-led economic activities, including land sales, government procurement, and public infrastructure investment. However, we find that local governments place greater emphasis on environmental protection, and several welfare indicators, including air quality, improve significantly following the shock. We rule out alternative explanations such as unfavorable market responses or decreased support from higher-level governments. Further analysis reveals that local leaders achieving superior economic performance after their patrons’ downfall would face worse career prospects. Our findings highlight that China’s anti-corruption campaign has helped transform the development model of local governments from a corruption-driven, growth-oriented one to one centered on high-quality development with a stronger focus on welfare.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103606"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145107217","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Allocative implications of government investment in private sector","authors":"Lili Lian , Jingyi Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103616","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103616","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In China, state owners make minority equity investments in private firms. We study the allocative implications of such government investments using a two-sector DSGE model with financial friction and idiosyncratic productivities. In our model, private owners are more productive than state owners but face tighter financial constraints. Equity investment by a state owner alleviates the private owner’s financial constraint but dampens its own productivity, consistent with Chinese firm-level data. Under this setup, only private owners with sufficiently high productivity accept such investment, while only state owners with sufficiently low productivity make such investment. As a result, expansion of such government investment improves capital allocation within each sector and across sectors. Our analysis shows that financial liberalizations, including liberalizing interest-rate controls and reducing the loan-to-value gap between sectors, stimulate private owners’ demand for such government investment but discourage state owners from making it, thus generating an ambiguous effect on aggregate productivity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103616"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145050016","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Pedaling to wellness: The impact of dockless bike-sharing services on physical and mental health in China","authors":"Xun Li , Congling Xia","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103619","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103619","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper investigates the impact of dockless bike-sharing services (DBS), a key element of the sharing economy in China, on residents’ physical and mental well-being, as well as their social behaviors. Leveraging the phased introduction of DBS in Chinese cities between 2015 and 2020 and multiple data sets, we employ a staggered DID design with continuous treatment to evaluate the causal effects. We find that the introduction of DBS leads to a significant reduction in body mass index (BMI) and depression scores. These effects vary across individuals’ employment status, household physical capital and the geographic slope of cities. Additionally, we find that the entry of DBS increases the frequency and duration of exercise per week, while decreasing residents’ internet usage and online social interactions, indicating more active and offline social engagements. Our findings survive a battery of robustness checks. This study expands the discussion on the sharing economy beyond its economic and commercial impacts to highlight its social and health benefits, offering a fresh perspective on how the sharing economy contributes to sustainable urban development and the promotion of a healthy society.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103619"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145020826","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Christopher Hoy, Yeon Soo Kim, Minh Cong Nguyen, Mariano Sosa, Sailesh Tiwari
{"title":"Attitudes towards reducing fossil fuel subsidies: Evidence across 12 middle-income countries","authors":"Christopher Hoy, Yeon Soo Kim, Minh Cong Nguyen, Mariano Sosa, Sailesh Tiwari","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103612","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103612","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines which factors influence support for reducing fossil fuel subsidies and what types of information shift people’s views through surveying 37,000 respondents across 12 middle-income countries that provided over US$750 billion in explicit and implicit subsidies for fossil fuels in 2022. Respondents were randomly allocated to receive information about the relative cost of fossil fuel subsidies, how they are regressive, or worsen climate change and air pollution. They were then asked about their support for reforms with and without accompanying policies. These treatments, particularly about environmental damage, increased support for reforms in countries that primarily subsidize gasoline and among respondents who perceive themselves to be middle class. Around 30 percent of respondents supported reducing fossil fuel subsidies in isolation, but this share increased to over 95 percent if accompanying policies were implemented. These findings help inform governments about how to build public support for phasing out fossil fuel subsidies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103612"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144922270","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Confined to stay: Migration restrictions, natural disasters, and poverty","authors":"Andrea Cinque , Esther Gehrke , Lennart Reiners","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103605","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103605","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How do restrictions to international migration affect communities’ ability to cope with natural disasters? We exploit the implementation of an emigration ban for millions of Indonesians wanting to migrate to Saudi Arabia as a natural experiment. Our identification strategy relies on pre-determined migration networks and on the exogenous timing of the ban and of natural disasters. Using a panel of the universe of Indonesian villages and a triple difference approach, we demonstrate that poverty increases in the wake of natural disasters are higher in communities with strong ex-ante migration ties to Saudi Arabia after the ban was implemented. This highlights the importance of international migration as a climate change adaptation strategy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103605"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144931695","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Mining policy reform and civil conflict: Evidence from Myanmar","authors":"Nan Sandi","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103608","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103608","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper inverts the standard resource-conflict paradigm by examining how resource contraction, rather than expansion, affects civil violence. Exploiting a 2016 moratorium in Myanmar that halted new mining licenses, I implement a difference-in-differences strategy using a novel spatially disaggregated database linking mining activity with geo-coded conflict events from 2011–2020. The contraction led to a 69% reduction in conflict incidents — particularly violent and fatal events — in previously licensed townships. The effects were stronger in ethnic homelands, poorer areas, and remote regions. Strikingly, the analysis uncovers positive spatial spillovers: conflict also declined in neighboring non-mining areas, suggesting that reduced resource extraction diffuses peace rather than displacing violence. Evidence supports three mechanisms: (1) lower mineral rents constrained armed group financing; (2) labor reallocation to productive sectors increased the opportunity cost of violence; and (3) reduced elite rents mitigated local inequality, dampening grievance-based mobilization.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103608"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145050014","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Unshrouding product-specific attributes through financial education","authors":"Olga Balakina , Vimal Balasubramaniam , Aditi Dimri , Renuka Sane","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103604","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103604","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Financial product-specific knowledge is increasingly necessary for households to make informed choices, especially as firms often shroud important features. In a field experiment with a sub-optimal, shrouded insurance product in India, we test two product-specific education interventions: one based on rules of thumb and the other combining rules of thumb with explicit product evaluation. We find that rules-of-thumb education significantly improves financial decisions, while explicit product evaluation appears to counteract these positive effects. To assess the economic significance of our findings, we redefine successful financial education as achieving a Pareto-efficient outcome—ensuring that gains for newly educated consumers do not come at the expense of uninformed consumers. Our estimated effects, along with the modest positive treatment effects documented elsewhere, may result in too few informed consumers, potentially rendering such interventions ineffective.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103604"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144903070","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The agricultural productivity gap: Informality matters","authors":"Rajveer Jat , Bharat Ramaswami","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103617","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103617","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The measured agricultural productivity gap (APG) in developing countries typically compares agriculture with the entire non-farm economy, implicitly treating the latter as homogeneous. In developing countries, most non-farm employment is informal, concentrated in small, unregistered enterprises with low productivity. This paper compares the productivity of agriculture to the informal and formal non-farm sectors in India. Using Indian sectoral data from the India KLEMS database linked with nationally representative labor surveys, we decompose the non-farm economy into formal and informal segments and adjust productivity measures for differences in hours worked, human capital, and labor's share of value-added. We find that the APG is almost entirely driven by the small formal non-farm sector. The gap with the informal sector is negligible. Between 63 and 75 % of non-farm workers are in informal employment dominated industries that are not more productive than agriculture. These results reframe the APG as a formal–informal divide.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103617"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144917073","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Transfers, information and management advice: Direct effects and complementarities in Malawi","authors":"Kate Ambler , Alan de Brauw , Susan Godlonton","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103601","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103601","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine a program designed to alleviate credit, information, and farm management constraints among smallholder cash crop farmers through transfers and a cross-randomized program offering intensive agricultural extension. We document strong complementarities between the two sets of interventions. Investment driven by increased labor expenditures, production, and consumption are highest for farmers that received both transfers and intensive extension, a pattern that persists two and three years later. In the short run, transfers alone led to the reallocation of input expenditures into increased labor for cash crop cultivation, which led to increased production of project focal crops but not total crop production. While farmers in the transfers only group continue to spend more on labor in subsequent seasons, this does not lead to changes in production or consumption, suggesting that the support of the intensive extension was important for the generation of the largest welfare gains from the transfers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103601"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-08-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144913052","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}