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From fields to factories: Special economic zones, foreign direct investment, and labour markets in Vietnam 从田野到工厂：越南的经济特区、外国直接投资和劳动力市场
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-05 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103467
Tevin Tafese , Jann Lay , Van Tran
{"title":"From fields to factories: Special economic zones, foreign direct investment, and labour markets in Vietnam","authors":"Tevin Tafese ,&nbsp;Jann Lay ,&nbsp;Van Tran","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103467","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103467","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Vietnam's deep integration into GVCs has been driven by the establishment of special economic zones (SEZs). This paper examines the local labour market impacts of this SEZ programme. We trace the built-up area of SEZs over time to construct a novel continuous measure of SEZ exposure using historical satellite imagery. In a difference-in-differences design with continuous treatment, we examine the impact of SEZ exposure on local labour market outcomes at the district-level for the period 2009–2019. We find that the expansion of SEZs has led to a rapid shift in employment from own-account and family work in agriculture to manufacturing in foreign firms. We also show that SEZ exposure leads to higher wages and more formal employment contracts. Earnings improvements are not confined to workers in foreign manufacturing firms, but spill over to workers in household businesses and domestic firms. The effects on women account for most of these impacts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103467"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-02-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143386534","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Probing the limits of mobile phone metadata for poverty prediction and impact evaluation 探究手机元数据在贫困预测和影响评估中的局限性
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103462
Oscar Barriga-Cabanillas , Joshua E. Blumenstock , Travis J. Lybbert , Daniel S. Putman
{"title":"Probing the limits of mobile phone metadata for poverty prediction and impact evaluation","authors":"Oscar Barriga-Cabanillas ,&nbsp;Joshua E. Blumenstock ,&nbsp;Travis J. Lybbert ,&nbsp;Daniel S. Putman","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103462","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103462","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A series of recent papers demonstrate that mobile phone metadata can, together with machine learning, estimate the wealth of individual subscribers and accurately target cash transfer programs. In the context of an emergency cash transfer program in Haiti, we combine surveys and mobile phone call detail records (CDR) to test whether such methods can be used to estimate the program’s impact on household expenditures. We find that CDR-based predictions of total and food expenditures are much less accurate than predictions of wealth—particularly when estimated on a relatively homogeneous sample of rural communities eligible for the program. While impact estimates based on conventional survey data are positive and statistically significant, estimates based on CDR predictions are not statistically significant. In a postmortem discussion, we assess reasons for this failure and discuss the implications for using big data in poverty measurement and impact evaluation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103462"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-02-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143421875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Parental responses to child disability: Gender differences and relative earnings 父母对儿童残疾的反应：性别差异和相对收入
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103460
T. Terry Cheung , Kamhon Kan , Tzu-Ting Yang
{"title":"Parental responses to child disability: Gender differences and relative earnings","authors":"T. Terry Cheung ,&nbsp;Kamhon Kan ,&nbsp;Tzu-Ting Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103460","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103460","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates how child disability affect parental labor supply using a difference-in-differences design and Taiwanese population-wide administrative data. The results show that child disability reduces mothers’ employment rate and annual earnings by 9% and 12%, respectively, and these impacts persist for at least ten years. In contrast, fathers’ labor supply remains largely unchanged. We also find that even when mothers were the primary earner, fathers’ labor market outcomes suffer less setbacks than mothers’. This suggests that beyond relative earnings, non-market factors such as differences in caregiving abilities and gender norms may contribute to these disparities. Additionally, our findings indicate that child disability increases mothers’ likelihood of seeking psychiatric care shortly after childbirth and decreases the family’s probability of having subsequent children.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103460"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-02-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143509788","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Estimating the direct and indirect effects of improved seed adoption on yields: Evidence from DNA-fingerprinting, crop cuts, and self-reporting in Ethiopia 估计改良种子采用对产量的直接和间接影响：来自埃塞俄比亚dna指纹、作物减产和自我报告的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103466
Nina Jovanovic , Jacob Ricker-Gilbert
{"title":"Estimating the direct and indirect effects of improved seed adoption on yields: Evidence from DNA-fingerprinting, crop cuts, and self-reporting in Ethiopia","authors":"Nina Jovanovic ,&nbsp;Jacob Ricker-Gilbert","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103466","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103466","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Farmers' adoption of improved crop varieties could increase yields in low-income countries. However, the presence of measurement error in household surveys poses a challenge to estimating true returns. Using the 2018/19 Ethiopia Socio-economic Survey, we analyze the impacts of how three sources of measurement error: misperceptions of seed varieties, land area, and quantities harvested affect maize yields and input use. These data include DNA-fingerprinting of seed, GPS plot size information, and crop cuts that we compare to farmers’ self-reported estimates of these measures. Results indicate that the measurement error in self-reported seed variety adoption, especially from farmers who did not know they were using improved maize varieties, attenuates their estimated yield gains by 25 percentage points on average. The enhanced genetics of improved seed varieties accounts for a 41-percentage point yield increase over non-improved varieties, and increased input use accounts for a 30-percentage point gain for improved varieties on average.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103466"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143369655","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Universal secondary education, schooling and women ’s empowerment: Evidence from Uganda 普及中等教育、学校教育和妇女赋权：来自乌干达的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-02-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103464
Douglas Kazibwe , Jinhu Li
{"title":"Universal secondary education, schooling and women ’s empowerment: Evidence from Uganda","authors":"Douglas Kazibwe ,&nbsp;Jinhu Li","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103464","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103464","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We evaluate the long-term effects of Uganda’s 2007 Universal Secondary Education (USE) policy, which expanded secondary education access through tuition-fee elimination and increased school capacity. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we exploit variations in birth cohorts and regional exposure to identify the policy’s causal impacts on women’s educational attainment and empowerment. Our results show significant gains in education and empowerment for women in areas with greater program intensity. We also find improvements in women’s labour market outcomes, and in marriage and fertility including delayed age at first sex, birth, cohabitation, and spouse schooling differences. These findings highlight the potential for governments in sub-Saharan Africa to leverage secondary education investments in generating sustained improvement in women’s empowerment.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103464"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143348786","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of female political leadership on gender attitudes: Evidence from Taiwan’s local councils 女性政治领导对性别态度的影响：来自台湾地方议会的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103451
Yen-Chien Chen , Elliott Fan , Yu-Hsin Ho , Matthew Yi-Hsiu Lee , Jin-Tan Liu
{"title":"The impact of female political leadership on gender attitudes: Evidence from Taiwan’s local councils","authors":"Yen-Chien Chen ,&nbsp;Elliott Fan ,&nbsp;Yu-Hsin Ho ,&nbsp;Matthew Yi-Hsiu Lee ,&nbsp;Jin-Tan Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103451","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103451","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite the shared Confucian culture and economic development trajectories, women in Taiwan currently enjoy a much greater socio-economic status than their counterparts in South Korea and Japan. This study investigates a potential factor contributing to this striking difference: the reserved seats for women in Taiwan’s local councils. The quota assignment rule creates a ‘zigzag’ proportional function of female councilors, providing a unique estimation opportunity. We find that exposure to female political leadership decreases the likelihood of mothers with two daughters opting for a third child, whereas no such an effect is observed among mothers with two children of other sex compositions, indicating attenuation in son preference. Additionally, we find that the gender quota encourages married women to take on a more active role in household decisions, and motivates female students to pursue a college major in law and political science, fields conducive to political involvement. These gender-specific effects lend support to the hypothesis that female political leaders serve as role models, enticing more egalitarian gender attitudes among women.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103451"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143157244","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Voting age, information experiments, and political engagement: Evidence from a general election 投票年龄、信息实验和政治参与：来自大选的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103458
Philip Keefer , Razvan Vlaicu
{"title":"Voting age, information experiments, and political engagement: Evidence from a general election","authors":"Philip Keefer ,&nbsp;Razvan Vlaicu","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103458","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103458","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper addresses voter incentives for political engagement in developing countries, using self-collected experimental and quasi-experimental survey data. Does voting eligibility create intrinsic incentives to become engaged and informed, or do voters remain rationally ignorant and apathetic? What motivations underlie political interest? Are voters knowledgeable about policy issues debated during election campaigns? To address these questions, we fielded a survey of high school seniors across thirty Mexican campuses a few weeks prior to a major general election. Age-based regression discontinuity indicates that the just-eligible measure higher on political motivation and actions than the just-ineligible. One survey experiment shows that information about the potential magnitude of the youth vote increases eligible respondents’ political interest in ways consistent with social incentives. In the second experiment, information about current policy challenges affects eligible respondents’ policy priorities less than the ineligible, reflecting eligibles’ pre-existing knowledge about salient policy issues.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103458"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143156176","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Underemployment of college graduates: is doing anything better than doing nothing? 大学毕业生就业不足：做点什么比什么都不做好吗？
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103459
Michel Armel Ndayikeza
{"title":"Underemployment of college graduates: is doing anything better than doing nothing?","authors":"Michel Armel Ndayikeza","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103459","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103459","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Across low-income countries, limited prospects for high-skill employment and poverty push numerous college graduates into jobs which do not require a college degree. These types of experiences may be advantageous or detracting for the new graduates. To examine this issue, we conducted a field experiment in Burundi which elicited preferences of employers with respect to low-skill job experience of recent college graduates. We estimate the impact of signaling various types of low-skill experiences, such as working as a phone credit sales agent, a waiter, a security guard and other positions that do not necessitate a college degree, on the hiring interest of employers in a high-skill job. Results indicate that mentioning a low-skill experience on a resume increases by approximately 10% the hiring interest of employers. Furthermore, employers prefer job seekers with low-skill experience rather than individuals with no experience at all, irrespective of the quality of the job seeker.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103459"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143157207","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The uneven reach of the state: A novel approach to mapping local state presence 国家的不均匀范围：一种映射地方国家存在的新方法
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103453
Gustav Agneman , Christoffer Cappelen , Kasper Brandt , David Sjöberg
{"title":"The uneven reach of the state: A novel approach to mapping local state presence","authors":"Gustav Agneman ,&nbsp;Christoffer Cappelen ,&nbsp;Kasper Brandt ,&nbsp;David Sjöberg","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103453","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103453","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The ability of states to exercise authority often varies considerably within their borders, yet we lack reliable empirical measures of the uneven reach of states. In this paper, we develop a methodology to predict state presence at granular spatial resolutions and demonstrate the approach using data from Sub-Saharan Africa. We link a range of indicators of state presence, e.g., infrastructural data, with geolocated survey data of residents’ experiences with subnational governance. Then, we employ a machine learning algorithm that learns how the input variables relate to experienced state presence and extrapolates the predictions to all of Sub-Saharan Africa. We validate the predicted measure through a range of tests and document how local state presence influences development outcomes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103453"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143377384","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The power of dialogue: Forced displacement and social integration amid an Islamist insurgency in Mozambique 对话的力量：莫桑比克伊斯兰叛乱中的被迫流离失所和社会融合
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-01-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103457
Henrique Pita Barros
{"title":"The power of dialogue: Forced displacement and social integration amid an Islamist insurgency in Mozambique","authors":"Henrique Pita Barros","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103457","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103457","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With global forced displacement at an unprecedented level, there is an increasing demand for low-cost interventions that can reduce tension between displaced persons and host communities. This study undertakes a novel field experiment designed to improve the social integration of internally displaced persons (IDPs) into host communities under conditions of scarce resources and low state capacity. The experiment was conducted in Cabo Delgado, Mozambique’s northernmost province, where an Islamist insurgency has resulted in over one million IDPs. Hosts and IDPs participated in joint community meetings in which they discussed topics related to their collective life. Analysis of survey data, list experiments and lab-in-the-field games shows the community meetings produced sustained positive effects on the relationship between hosts and IDPs. As a novel insight, this study finds that even brief but structured intergroup interactions can have a beneficial and enduring impact on social cohesion that persists for at least 2–3 months.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"174 ","pages":"Article 103457"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-01-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143157208","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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