{"title":"Voter-buying, politician selection, and public good provision in Brazil","authors":"Ridwan Mohammad Karim","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103507","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103507","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>I study the consequences of voter-buying, defined as the act of inducing outsiders to fraudulently transfer their voter registration across jurisdictions in exchange for private benefits. Specifically, I explore the effects of Brazil’s 2007 voter re-registration reform which was intended to curb voter-buying. Exploiting a discontinuity in the targeting of municipalities assigned to the reform, I examine the response of mayoral elections, public expenditures and socioeconomic outcomes to the imposition of exogenous barriers to voter-buying. The reform led to an increase in political competition, and positive politician selection. Educated and qualified candidates who are less likely to belong to clientelist parties are more likely to enter and win mayoral elections. These political changes induce a rise in healthcare and school expenditures — programmatic public goods salient to poor voters. These increased expenditures result in better health outcomes, including reduced infant mortality, and better schooling inputs, including more schools, teachers, and student enrollment. Exploration of underlying mechanisms confirms that positive politician selection and changes to the electorate composition are the key drivers of the results. I also show that unintended disenfranchisement and incumbent reputation effects are not driving the results.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103507"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143877052","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jeffrey R. Bloem , Amy Damon , David C. Francis , Harrison Mitchell
{"title":"Herder-related violence, labor allocation, and the gendered response of agricultural households","authors":"Jeffrey R. Bloem , Amy Damon , David C. Francis , Harrison Mitchell","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103512","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103512","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Violent conflict between nomadic herders and settled agricultural communities in Nigeria occurs as both groups clash over the use of land and natural resources, in part, due to a changing climate. We generate theory and evidence to study the labor responses of individuals within agricultural households to herder-related violence and consider a “shadow of violence” mechanism, whereby previous exposure to a violent event alters labor responses to a recent event. Using panel data from 2010 through 2019, we highlight how exposure to violence can lead to differing responses in the planting or harvest seasons and among men or women. In the planting season, among both men and women living in households with no previous exposure to herder-related violence, we find that exposure (i.e., singular exposure) leads to a reduction in household enterprise work, but among households with previous exposure experience, exposure (i.e., repeated exposure) leads to an increase in household enterprise work. Meanwhile, repeated exposure to herder-related violence reduces agricultural work among men only. This leads total hours worked to decline in response to singular exposure and to increase in response to repeated exposure especially among women. In the harvest season, we find that singular exposure increases agricultural work among both men and women, but repeated exposure reduces agricultural work among men only.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103512"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143882988","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"From heat to high-tech: How innovation responds to climate change","authors":"Xianling Long , Zhiqiang Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103525","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103525","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how firms respond to climate change through technological innovation. We emphasize that firms facing climate change are not always those innovating. Instead, innovation occurs either to mitigate a firm’s own climate-related damages (internal demand) or to supply climate-related technologies to other firms (external demand). To reflect this, we measure patent-specific exposure to climate change rather than traditional firm-level exposure to local temperatures. Our findings show that in China, climate adaptation patents increased by 8.62%, and climate mitigation patents grew by 10.68% in response to climate change. We document that new technologies respond positively to climate change due to rising public awareness, shifting demand, and regulatory pressures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103525"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143870000","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alexander D. Rothenberg , Yao Wang , Amalavoyal Chari
{"title":"When regional policies fail: An evaluation of Indonesia’s Integrated Economic Development Zones","authors":"Alexander D. Rothenberg , Yao Wang , Amalavoyal Chari","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103503","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103503","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study Indonesia’s Integrated Economic Development Zone (KAPET) program. Although firms in KAPET districts paid lower capital taxes, the program’s incentives neither stimulated entry nor increased output, and KAPET districts experienced similar development outcomes relative to non-treated districts. To investigate whether regional policies could be more optimally redesigned, we develop a quantitative spatial model where place-based capital tax cuts affect multiple sectors and impact a transfer system to finance local public goods. We find that capital incentives in KAPET areas would have been more welfare and growth enhancing if they had been accompanied by additional place-based improvements.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103503"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143879322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Guangbo Huang , Chong Liu , Tianyang Xi , Huayu Xu , Wei You
{"title":"The agricultural and economic impacts of massive water diversion","authors":"Guangbo Huang , Chong Liu , Tianyang Xi , Huayu Xu , Wei You","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103517","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103517","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the agricultural and economic impacts of China’s South–North Water Diversion Project, a massive initiative that channels water from the resource-rich south to the drier north. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we find that the project increases total grain output by 8.2% and raises agricultural productivity by 4.7% in water-receiving counties. It also mitigates the adverse effects of drought shocks, leading to modest increases in local incomes. Improved water availability induces adaptive responses, including greater land allocation to water-intensive crops and a higher incidence of multi-cropping. Additionally, we find no evidence of significant losses in water-supplying areas. Our back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests an internal rate of return of 6.4%, underscoring the project’s economic viability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103517"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143864238","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Olivia Bertelli, Thomas Calvo, Emmanuelle Lavallée, Marion Mercier, Sandrine Mesplé-Somps
{"title":"What one thinks, what one says and what one does: Male justifications and practices of gender-based violence in Mali","authors":"Olivia Bertelli, Thomas Calvo, Emmanuelle Lavallée, Marion Mercier, Sandrine Mesplé-Somps","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103479","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103479","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Gender-based violence (GBV) is widespread across the world. While the majority of the literature focuses on women as the victims of GBV, this paper studies men’s justifications for and perpetration of GBV in Mali, one of the countries with the highest GBV prevalence rates in the world. We elicit the prevalence of eight GBV-related opinions and behaviors among men in Bamako, the capital city, by administering a set of list experiments that we compare to a set of direct questions to estimate response biases. We find large support for GBV: nearly one respondent in two supports female genital mutilation or intimate partner violence. Besides, one in four has already physically hit an adult woman. Our results also show that several questions suffer from significant response biases when asked directly. Support for female genital mutilation is overreported, with actual approval being lower than openly stated. Conversely, justification of intimate partner violence is underreported, likely due to social pressure against it. While response bias varies little with respondent characteristics, prevalence rates are systematically lower among men with a secondary level of education. Our results are in line with response bias being shaped by the legal framework addressing GBV as well as prevailing social norms, highlighting the need for caution when using data collected through direct questioning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103479"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143906172","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Francisco A. Gallego , Oswaldo Molina , Christopher A. Neilson
{"title":"Lights, camera, school: Information provision though television during COVID-19 times","authors":"Francisco A. Gallego , Oswaldo Molina , Christopher A. Neilson","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103504","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103504","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the effects of phone calls designed to encourage viewership of the short telenovela <em>Decidiendo para un Futuro Mejor</em> (Deciding for a Better Future, hereafter <em>DFM</em>) on national television during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 in Peru. <em>DFM</em> uses video content to highlight the benefits of education while providing concrete information on wages and financial aid opportunities for higher education. We evaluate the impact of these calls on dropout rates in 2021 through a randomized controlled trial involving over 80,000 families with high school students. Our findings indicate that the phone calls led to a significant reduction in school dropout rates, with intention-to-treat (ITT) effects of approximately <span><math><mrow><mo>−</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>6</mn></mrow></math></span> percentage points—a meaningful impact given the 10.2% average dropout rate in the control group. The effects are stronger for students from schools with higher baseline dropout and poverty rates, with no significant differences based on parental education levels. Our results also suggest that the observed effects are primarily driven by encouragement to watch <em>DFM</em> rather than by the direct impact of the phone calls themselves. These findings underscore the potential of cost-effective interventions to mitigate the adverse effects of major economic shocks on educational trajectories.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103504"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144138130","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Making the most of coresident data: Credible evidence on intergenerational mobility with sibling correlation","authors":"Md. Nazmul Ahsan , M. Shahe Emran , Hanchen Jiang , Forhad Shilpi","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103508","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103508","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many available data sets are not used for estimating intergenerational mobility owing to concerns about sample truncation bias in coresident data. Using data from Bangladesh, Chile, Ghana, India, Indonesia, and Mexico, we report the first evidence that the bias in estimated sibling correlation, a broad measure of relative mobility, is small in coresident samples (4.30%), much smaller than that in intergenerational regression coefficient (10.25%). The low bias reflects offsetting effects of sample truncation on the numerator and denominator of the sibling correlation formula. Sibling correlation estimates from coresident samples preserve the correct cross-country ranking 90%–95% times. Our findings have far-reaching implications for researchers working on intergenerational mobility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103508"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143851431","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Relocation from China (with Chinese characteristics)","authors":"Jason Garred , Song Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103510","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103510","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rising global political tensions and increasing use of trade policies are popularly seen as potential threats to globalization. Will these factors lead to the ‘decoupling’ of affected economies, or reshape relations between trade partners in more complex ways? We consider this question by studying the recent evolution of the economic relationship between China and the US, in the context of a sharp fall in direct China-US trade. Using firm-level and product-level data, we show that Chinese manufacturing investment and Chinese-produced parts have increasingly flowed to third-country ‘winners’ who have simultaneously increased their US market share. This suggests that Chinese economic actors have continued to participate in reorganized China-US supply chains. We present evidence that our findings capture expanding indirect relationships linking China and the US rather than broader economic trends within the ‘winners’ themselves.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103510"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143842833","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Incentives and endorsement for technology adoption: Evidence from mobile banking in Ghana","authors":"Emma Riley , Abu S. Shonchoy , Robert Darko Osei","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103511","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103511","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How can we encourage the adoption of digital financial services? We use an RCT with 115 microfinance groups in Ghana to understand the respective roles of individual incentives to adopt a technology and endorsement of the technology by a peer. We study mobile banking services, a technology which allows deposits and withdrawals between a mobile phone and bank account, dramatically lowering the transaction costs of saving in the bank account. We find that while individual incentives increase adoption of mobile banking services by 60% (6 percentage points) over 6 months, adding endorsement by a peer doubles the impact of the incentives alone. Peer endorsement significantly enhances confidence in dealing with fraud and increases peer support in using mobile banking. Those encouraged to adopt mobile banking by a peer save 30% ($4) more in the linked bank account 6 months later. Our study highlights the power of peers in encouraging technology adoption and facilitating formal financial inclusion.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103511"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143850824","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}