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Unlocking young women’s potential? The impact of a low-cost career guidance program 释放年轻女性的潜力？低成本职业指导项目的影响
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103662
Ankush Asri , Viola Asri , Anke Hoeffler
{"title":"Unlocking young women’s potential? The impact of a low-cost career guidance program","authors":"Ankush Asri ,&nbsp;Viola Asri ,&nbsp;Anke Hoeffler","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103662","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103662","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Societal expectations and gender norms constrain young people’s career planning, particularly for girls, limiting the role of personal interests in skill-building decisions. This study evaluates a low-cost, 10-hour career exploration intervention through a pre-registered, school-level, clustered randomized controlled trial with over 6,000 primarily female students in urban India. The program improved future planning and increased the importance students placed on personal interests in career choices. However, there is no evidence of medium-term impacts on educational or skill-building investments. These findings suggest that while scalable interventions can shift aspirations and planning, structural barriers constrain longer-term behavioral change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103662"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145362564","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Using free remotely sensed data to assess war-induced damage to agricultural cultivation: Evidence from Ukraine 利用免费遥感数据评估战争对农业种植造成的损害：来自乌克兰的证据
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103661
Klaus Deininger , Daniel Ayalew Ali , Nataliia Kussul , Andrii Shelestov , Leonid Shumilo , Guido Lemoine
{"title":"Using free remotely sensed data to assess war-induced damage to agricultural cultivation: Evidence from Ukraine","authors":"Klaus Deininger ,&nbsp;Daniel Ayalew Ali ,&nbsp;Nataliia Kussul ,&nbsp;Andrii Shelestov ,&nbsp;Leonid Shumilo ,&nbsp;Guido Lemoine","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103661","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103661","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We use remotely sensed data to measure conflict-induced field damage in Ukraine 2022-24 for about 10,000 village councils (VCs). Compared to media-based indicators (ACLED), these suggest higher conflict incidence in less densely populated VCs, consistent with official data. Use of annual crop maps for 2019-24 to estimate a difference in differences (DID) model at VC level suggests conflict significantly and persistently reduced cropped area in directly affected and neighboring VCs. Predicted conflict effects are three times larger and differently distributed for image as compared to media-based indicators, suggesting remotely sensed conflict measures may usefully complement media-based ones, especially in rural areas.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103661"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145363006","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Holy cows and spilled milk: The impact of religious missions on firm-level productivity 神圣的奶牛和洒出的牛奶：宗教使命对公司层面生产力的影响
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103651
Jeanet Sinding Bentzen , Nina Boberg-Fazlic , Paul Sharp , Christian Volmar Skovsgaard , Christian Vedel
{"title":"Holy cows and spilled milk: The impact of religious missions on firm-level productivity","authors":"Jeanet Sinding Bentzen ,&nbsp;Nina Boberg-Fazlic ,&nbsp;Paul Sharp ,&nbsp;Christian Volmar Skovsgaard ,&nbsp;Christian Vedel","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103651","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103651","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Did religious missions influence firm-level productivity? This study examines the impact of the Inner Mission (IM) movement on productivity in early twentieth-century Denmark, a predominantly Protestant and homogeneous society undergoing rapid industrialization. Using data on 964 creameries and employing an instrumental variables approach, we provide evidence that IM intensity reduced productivity in butter production, measured by the Milk-to-Butter ratio. The main mechanisms were Sunday closures, which disrupted economies of scale, and the fragmentation of creameries due to doctrinal disagreements among farmers. These disruptions prevented creameries from operating efficiently and reduced their profitability. Our results show how religiosity shaped patterns of modernization and industrial development absent the usual colonial or missionary confounders. This historical case speaks to debates in development economics about how informal institutions and moral regulation can constrain firm behavior and productivity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103651"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145363007","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bittersweet: Grandparenting and elderly mental health in the two-child policy era 苦乐参半：二孩时代的祖父母与老年人心理健康
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103670
Dapeng Chen , Shin-Yi Chou , Bingjin Xue
{"title":"Bittersweet: Grandparenting and elderly mental health in the two-child policy era","authors":"Dapeng Chen ,&nbsp;Shin-Yi Chou ,&nbsp;Bingjin Xue","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103670","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103670","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We exploit China's universal two-child policy and variations in adult children's birth cohort to examine the causal impact of the family-planning policy on grandparenting and elderly mental well-being. Using a difference-in-differences design, we find that the policy significantly increased the number of grandchildren and intensified grandparental involvement—raising informal caregiving, weekly hours spent, co-residence, and contact with adult children. These changes were accompanied by a 6.8 % increase in CESD-10 depression scores and 8.9 %–14.3 % increase in underlying symptoms such as restless sleep, irritability, difficulty concentrating, and hopelessness. We find no significant changes in income, consumption, or healthcare use, suggesting that the mental health effects are most plausibly driven by increased caregiving demands. The impacts are most pronounced among urban and paternal grandparents, especially paternal grandmothers. Despite these declines, we find no evidence of elevated risk of severe clinical depression.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103670"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145333324","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Judicial institution and innovation: Evidence from China's intellectual property courts reform 司法制度与创新：来自中国知识产权法院改革的证据
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103630
Liyang Wan , Qian Wan , Zichao Yang , Ying Zhao
{"title":"Judicial institution and innovation: Evidence from China's intellectual property courts reform","authors":"Liyang Wan ,&nbsp;Qian Wan ,&nbsp;Zichao Yang ,&nbsp;Ying Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103630","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103630","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the impact of intellectual property judicial institutions on innovation, focusing on the intellectual property courts (IPCs) reform in China. We find that IPCs reform leads to a significant 22.6 % increase in the number of invention patents at the city level, equating to an average rise of 215 annually. Notably, we rule out the possibility of inter-region and intra-conglomerate transfer of patents, indicating that the effect of the IPCs reform on innovation is not a zero-sum game among regions. Furthermore, we find that the IPCs reform alters the patent structure by shifting the focus from utility and design patents to invention patents; however, it does not appear to significantly improve invention patent quality. Mechanism analyses suggest that the IPCs reform increases social satisfaction with judicial protection of intellectual property, shorter case duration and higher plaintiff winning rates in intellectual property cases.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103630"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145119157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anti-corruption shocks, political incentives, and regional economic development in a developmental state 发展中国家的反腐冲击、政治激励与区域经济发展
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103606
Zhenyu Shen , Ruichao Si , Gang Xu
{"title":"Anti-corruption shocks, political incentives, and regional economic development in a developmental state","authors":"Zhenyu Shen ,&nbsp;Ruichao Si ,&nbsp;Gang Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103606","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103606","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the impact of anti-corruption campaigns on regional economic development in a developmental state with weak market-supporting institutions. By leveraging staggered investigations of city leaders’ political patrons amid the recent corruption crackdown in China, we find that cities led by officials connected to investigated high-ranking officials experience a notable decline in economic performance. This decline is most plausibly attributed to diminished corruption-induced efforts by local officials in various government-led economic activities, including land sales, government procurement, and public infrastructure investment. However, we find that local governments place greater emphasis on environmental protection, and several welfare indicators, including air quality, improve significantly following the shock. We rule out alternative explanations such as unfavorable market responses or decreased support from higher-level governments. Further analysis reveals that local leaders achieving superior economic performance after their patrons’ downfall would face worse career prospects. Our findings highlight that China’s anti-corruption campaign has helped transform the development model of local governments from a corruption-driven, growth-oriented one to one centered on high-quality development with a stronger focus on welfare.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103606"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145107217","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effects of emigration on labor markets in migrant origin areas: Evidence from internal migration in Indonesia 移民对移民原籍地区劳动力市场的影响：来自印度尼西亚内部移民的证据
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103623
David H. Buller, Marieke Kleemans
{"title":"Effects of emigration on labor markets in migrant origin areas: Evidence from internal migration in Indonesia","authors":"David H. Buller,&nbsp;Marieke Kleemans","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103623","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103623","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the effects of internal migration in Indonesia on labor market outcomes of non-migrants in origin areas. To address endogeneity of the decision to migrate, we instrument emigration rates with shift-share labor demand shocks in destination areas interacted with historical migration patterns. Using detailed longitudinal data from over 36,000 individuals, whom we observe over a 27-year period, we find that a one percentage point increase in the emigration rate leads to a 3.42% increase in hourly income for those who stay in origin areas. Given the high degree of informality in Indonesia, we then look separately at effects for formal- and informal-sector workers. In line with a dual-sector labor market model, we find that employment effects are concentrated in the formal sector and income effects are most pronounced in the informal sector. Even though emigrants tend to be higher-educated, lower-educated non-migrants benefit the most as they switch to formal sector work and benefit from higher earnings in the informal sector.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103623"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145362571","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Electoral politics over automation in a dual economy 在双重经济中，选举政治胜过自动化
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103693
Jaideep Roy , Bibhas Saha
{"title":"Electoral politics over automation in a dual economy","authors":"Jaideep Roy ,&nbsp;Bibhas Saha","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103693","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103693","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>When automation in a developing economy displaces low-skilled workers in the advanced sector, backward sector wages may fall due to in-migration of the ‘newly’ unemployed. Fear of job and income loss may then induce office-seeking political parties to announce regulatory policies on automation for electoral success. We show that absent sectoral spillover, democratic adoption of automation is relatively higher and protects only high-skilled jobs in the advanced sector. However, the possibility of spillover limits this adoption. More specifically, if the backward sector is large, automation faces full resistance. In contrast, if the advanced sector is large, automation is moderate, making only the low-skilled jobs vulnerable. But these vulnerable workers, unlike their counterparts in the backward sector, may prefer automation because their advanced-sector wages fall below the severance pay plus backward-sector opportunities. When neither sector is large, the size of automation becomes uncertain, pushing similar economies into different growth paths.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103693"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145623672","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Protecting the vulnerable: How migrant regularization reduces crime and empowers women 保护弱势群体：移民正规化如何减少犯罪并赋予妇女权力
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-10-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103667
Ana María Ibáñez ⓡ , Sandra V. Rozo ⓡ , Dany Bahar ⓡ , María José Urbina
{"title":"Protecting the vulnerable: How migrant regularization reduces crime and empowers women","authors":"Ana María Ibáñez ⓡ ,&nbsp;Sandra V. Rozo ⓡ ,&nbsp;Dany Bahar ⓡ ,&nbsp;María José Urbina","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103667","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103667","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the impacts of a regularization program that granted temporary economic rights to over 281,000 undocumented Venezuelan forced migrants in Colombia. The program resulted in a general reduction in crimes committed by forced migrants, while also increasing the number of domestic abuse and sex crimes female migrants reported. These findings suggest that empowerment and greater trust in local authorities are key mechanisms driving the behavioral changes for females, while proper enforcement facilitated by adequate documentation and the positive income effects of the program reduced the general propensity for migrants to commit crimes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103667"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145473632","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Social isolation induced negative emotions affect economic behavior: A natural experiment study 社会孤立引起的负面情绪对经济行为的影响：自然实验研究
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2026-02-01 Epub Date: 2025-11-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103677
Shan Jin , Tiancheng Liu , Zepeng Sun , Xiaomeng Zhang
{"title":"Social isolation induced negative emotions affect economic behavior: A natural experiment study","authors":"Shan Jin ,&nbsp;Tiancheng Liu ,&nbsp;Zepeng Sun ,&nbsp;Xiaomeng Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103677","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103677","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Social isolation policies, often implemented during major public health or social crises, can exert profound effects on both mental health and economic behavior. This study exploits an abrupt campus-wide restriction on in-person interactions as a natural experiment to examine the consequences of prolonged isolation among young adults. Using both within-subject and between-subject analyses, we find that extended separation from normal social life significantly heightens negative emotions, which in turn partially mediate a decline in cooperative behavior and a rise in antisocial tendencies. Specifically, cooperation decreased by 25.2% and antisocial punishment rose by 86.2% after eight weeks of enforced isolation. These findings highlight the necessity of accounting for the psychological consequences of isolation policies when evaluating their broader societal impacts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103677"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2026-02-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145473633","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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