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Voter-buying, politician selection, and public good provision in Brazil 巴西的贿选、政客选择与公共产品供给
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103507
Ridwan Mohammad Karim
{"title":"Voter-buying, politician selection, and public good provision in Brazil","authors":"Ridwan Mohammad Karim","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103507","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103507","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>I study the consequences of voter-buying, defined as the act of inducing outsiders to fraudulently transfer their voter registration across jurisdictions in exchange for private benefits. Specifically, I explore the effects of Brazil’s 2007 voter re-registration reform which was intended to curb voter-buying. Exploiting a discontinuity in the targeting of municipalities assigned to the reform, I examine the response of mayoral elections, public expenditures and socioeconomic outcomes to the imposition of exogenous barriers to voter-buying. The reform led to an increase in political competition, and positive politician selection. Educated and qualified candidates who are less likely to belong to clientelist parties are more likely to enter and win mayoral elections. These political changes induce a rise in healthcare and school expenditures — programmatic public goods salient to poor voters. These increased expenditures result in better health outcomes, including reduced infant mortality, and better schooling inputs, including more schools, teachers, and student enrollment. Exploration of underlying mechanisms confirms that positive politician selection and changes to the electorate composition are the key drivers of the results. I also show that unintended disenfranchisement and incumbent reputation effects are not driving the results.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103507"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143877052","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
From heat to high-tech: How innovation responds to climate change 从热能到高科技：创新如何应对气候变化
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103525
Xianling Long , Zhiqiang Wang
{"title":"From heat to high-tech: How innovation responds to climate change","authors":"Xianling Long ,&nbsp;Zhiqiang Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103525","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103525","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines how firms respond to climate change through technological innovation. We emphasize that firms facing climate change are not always those innovating. Instead, innovation occurs either to mitigate a firm’s own climate-related damages (internal demand) or to supply climate-related technologies to other firms (external demand). To reflect this, we measure patent-specific exposure to climate change rather than traditional firm-level exposure to local temperatures. Our findings show that in China, climate adaptation patents increased by 8.62%, and climate mitigation patents grew by 10.68% in response to climate change. We document that new technologies respond positively to climate change due to rising public awareness, shifting demand, and regulatory pressures.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103525"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143870000","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
When regional policies fail: An evaluation of Indonesia’s Integrated Economic Development Zones 当区域政策失败时：对印尼综合经济开发区的评价
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103503
Alexander D. Rothenberg , Yao Wang , Amalavoyal Chari
{"title":"When regional policies fail: An evaluation of Indonesia’s Integrated Economic Development Zones","authors":"Alexander D. Rothenberg ,&nbsp;Yao Wang ,&nbsp;Amalavoyal Chari","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103503","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103503","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study Indonesia’s Integrated Economic Development Zone (KAPET) program. Although firms in KAPET districts paid lower capital taxes, the program’s incentives neither stimulated entry nor increased output, and KAPET districts experienced similar development outcomes relative to non-treated districts. To investigate whether regional policies could be more optimally redesigned, we develop a quantitative spatial model where place-based capital tax cuts affect multiple sectors and impact a transfer system to finance local public goods. We find that capital incentives in KAPET areas would have been more welfare and growth enhancing if they had been accompanied by additional place-based improvements.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103503"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143879322","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The agricultural and economic impacts of massive water diversion 大规模调水对农业和经济的影响
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103517
Guangbo Huang , Chong Liu , Tianyang Xi , Huayu Xu , Wei You
{"title":"The agricultural and economic impacts of massive water diversion","authors":"Guangbo Huang ,&nbsp;Chong Liu ,&nbsp;Tianyang Xi ,&nbsp;Huayu Xu ,&nbsp;Wei You","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103517","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103517","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the agricultural and economic impacts of China’s South–North Water Diversion Project, a massive initiative that channels water from the resource-rich south to the drier north. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we find that the project increases total grain output by 8.2% and raises agricultural productivity by 4.7% in water-receiving counties. It also mitigates the adverse effects of drought shocks, leading to modest increases in local incomes. Improved water availability induces adaptive responses, including greater land allocation to water-intensive crops and a higher incidence of multi-cropping. Additionally, we find no evidence of significant losses in water-supplying areas. Our back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests an internal rate of return of 6.4%, underscoring the project’s economic viability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103517"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143864238","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Making the most of coresident data: Credible evidence on intergenerational mobility with sibling correlation 充分利用总统数据：关于兄弟姐妹相关性的代际流动性的可靠证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103508
Md. Nazmul Ahsan , M. Shahe Emran , Hanchen Jiang , Forhad Shilpi
{"title":"Making the most of coresident data: Credible evidence on intergenerational mobility with sibling correlation","authors":"Md. Nazmul Ahsan ,&nbsp;M. Shahe Emran ,&nbsp;Hanchen Jiang ,&nbsp;Forhad Shilpi","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103508","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103508","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many available data sets are not used for estimating intergenerational mobility owing to concerns about sample truncation bias in coresident data. Using data from Bangladesh, Chile, Ghana, India, Indonesia, and Mexico, we report the first evidence that the bias in estimated sibling correlation, a broad measure of relative mobility, is small in coresident samples (4.30%), much smaller than that in intergenerational regression coefficient (10.25%). The low bias reflects offsetting effects of sample truncation on the numerator and denominator of the sibling correlation formula. Sibling correlation estimates from coresident samples preserve the correct cross-country ranking 90%–95% times. Our findings have far-reaching implications for researchers working on intergenerational mobility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103508"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143851431","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Relocation from China (with Chinese characteristics) 从中国搬迁（有中国特色）
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103510
Jason Garred , Song Yuan
{"title":"Relocation from China (with Chinese characteristics)","authors":"Jason Garred ,&nbsp;Song Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103510","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103510","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rising global political tensions and increasing use of trade policies are popularly seen as potential threats to globalization. Will these factors lead to the ‘decoupling’ of affected economies, or reshape relations between trade partners in more complex ways? We consider this question by studying the recent evolution of the economic relationship between China and the US, in the context of a sharp fall in direct China-US trade. Using firm-level and product-level data, we show that Chinese manufacturing investment and Chinese-produced parts have increasingly flowed to third-country ‘winners’ who have simultaneously increased their US market share. This suggests that Chinese economic actors have continued to participate in reorganized China-US supply chains. We present evidence that our findings capture expanding indirect relationships linking China and the US rather than broader economic trends within the ‘winners’ themselves.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103510"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143842833","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Incentives and endorsement for technology adoption: Evidence from mobile banking in Ghana 技术采用的激励和认可：来自加纳移动银行的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103511
Emma Riley , Abu S. Shonchoy , Robert Darko Osei
{"title":"Incentives and endorsement for technology adoption: Evidence from mobile banking in Ghana","authors":"Emma Riley ,&nbsp;Abu S. Shonchoy ,&nbsp;Robert Darko Osei","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103511","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103511","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How can we encourage the adoption of digital financial services? We use an RCT with 115 microfinance groups in Ghana to understand the respective roles of individual incentives to adopt a technology and endorsement of the technology by a peer. We study mobile banking services, a technology which allows deposits and withdrawals between a mobile phone and bank account, dramatically lowering the transaction costs of saving in the bank account. We find that while individual incentives increase adoption of mobile banking services by 60% (6 percentage points) over 6 months, adding endorsement by a peer doubles the impact of the incentives alone. Peer endorsement significantly enhances confidence in dealing with fraud and increases peer support in using mobile banking. Those encouraged to adopt mobile banking by a peer save 30% ($4) more in the linked bank account 6 months later. Our study highlights the power of peers in encouraging technology adoption and facilitating formal financial inclusion.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103511"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143850824","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Migration and the epidemiological approach: Time and self-selection into foreign ancestries matter 迁移和流行病学方法：时间和对外来祖先的自我选择很重要
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103505
Simone Bertoli, Melchior Clerc, Jordan Loper, Èric Roca Fernández
{"title":"Migration and the epidemiological approach: Time and self-selection into foreign ancestries matter","authors":"Simone Bertoli,&nbsp;Melchior Clerc,&nbsp;Jordan Loper,&nbsp;Èric Roca Fernández","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103505","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103505","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The epidemiological approach in comparative development uses data on individuals of immigrant origin to study cultural persistence, the determinants of cultural norms, and the effects of genetic traits. A common assumption of this methodology is its susceptibility to attenuation bias. We challenge it by demonstrating how the increasing reliance on foreign ancestries to identify respondents’ origins can introduce confounding biases. Specifically, self-selection in reporting foreign ancestry and unobserved variation in ancestral migration timing may lead to inflated estimates. We formalize these mechanisms through a theoretical framework and illustrate their empirical significance by reassessing key findings from influential studies by Fernández and Fogli (2006) and Giuliano and Nunn (2021).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103505"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143839290","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Labor market rigidity at home and multinational corporations’ flexible production reallocation abroad 国内劳动力市场的僵化与跨国公司在国外的灵活生产再配置
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103502
JaeBin Ahn , Jaerim Choi , Sunghoon Chung
{"title":"Labor market rigidity at home and multinational corporations’ flexible production reallocation abroad","authors":"JaeBin Ahn ,&nbsp;Jaerim Choi ,&nbsp;Sunghoon Chung","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103502","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103502","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>An unprecedented regime change following the 2017 presidential impeachment led to a dramatic shift to more rigid labor market policies in the Republic of Korea, represented by consecutive double-digit hikes in the minimum wage in the next two years. Using a firm-level data set with detailed information about foreign affiliates over the period of 2013<span><math><mo>∼</mo></math></span>19, this paper assesses the employment consequences of stricter labor market regulations. The empirical evidence uncovers an underexplored mechanism through which domestic labor market rigidity can reduce domestic employment as multinational firms with flexible internal networks reallocate production tasks across borders.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103502"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143800467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quality signaling and demand for renewable energy technology: Evidence from a randomized field experiment 可再生能源技术的质量信号和需求：来自随机现场实验的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103514
Aidan Coville , Joshua Graff Zivin , Arndt Reichert , Ann-Kristin Reitmann
{"title":"Quality signaling and demand for renewable energy technology: Evidence from a randomized field experiment","authors":"Aidan Coville ,&nbsp;Joshua Graff Zivin ,&nbsp;Arndt Reichert ,&nbsp;Ann-Kristin Reitmann","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103514","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103514","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Solar technologies have been associated with private and social returns, but their technological potential often remains unachieved because of persistently low demand for high-quality products. In a randomized field experiment in Senegal, we assess the potential of three types of quality signaling to increase demand for high-quality solar lamps. We find no effect on demand when consumers are offered a money-back guarantee but increased demand with a third-party certification or warranty, consistent with the notion that consumers are uncertain about product durability rather than their utility. However, despite the higher willingness to pay, the prices they would pay are still well below market prices for the average household, suggesting that reducing information asymmetries alone is insufficient to encourage wider adoption. Surprisingly, we also find that the effective quality signals in our setting stimulate demand for low-quality products by creating product-class effects among those least familiar with the product.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103514"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143824283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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