Journal of Development Economics最新文献

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Growing apart: Declining within- and across-locality insurance in rural China
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103366
{"title":"Growing apart: Declining within- and across-locality insurance in rural China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103366","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103366","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We consider risk sharing in rural China during its rapid economic transformation from the late 1980s through the late 2000s. We document an erosion of consumption insurance against both household-level idiosyncratic and village-level aggregate income shocks, and show that this decline is related to observable economic changes: the shift out of agriculture, the decline of publicly owned Township-and-Village Enterprises, and increased migrant work. Further evidence suggests that as these changes took place at the village level, higher levels of government failed to offset these effects through the tax-and-transfer system, leaving households more exposed to both idiosyncratic and village-aggregate risk.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142240647","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Aid allocation with optimal monitoring: Theory and policy
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103364
{"title":"Aid allocation with optimal monitoring: Theory and policy","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103364","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103364","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We explore the implications of allowing a poverty-averse donor to monitor aid use within the familiar context of the needs vs. aid effectiveness tradeoff. The paper focuses on the optimal aid allocation between two countries when the donor simultaneously decides about aid shares and country-specific monitoring effort aimed at increasing the amount reaching the poor. Endogenizing aid effectiveness is shown to raise the poor’s income in the worse-governed country, yet not necessarily in the better-governed one, whereas the effect on country aid shares is essentially ambiguous. Those results still hold when the basic model is extended in various directions. Conventional aid allocation rules should be re-examined in their light.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142240648","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Do entrepreneurial skills unlock opportunities for online freelancing? Experimental evidence from El Salvador 创业技能能为网上自由职业者带来机会吗?来自萨尔瓦多的实验证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-09-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103363
{"title":"Do entrepreneurial skills unlock opportunities for online freelancing? Experimental evidence from El Salvador","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103363","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103363","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper reports on a randomized experiment in El Salvador that aimed to improve online labor market outcomes by teaching the entrepreneurial skills required to engage with online marketplaces. Despite low completion rates, we find that assignment to the training significantly increases online freelancing outcomes, such as the probability of having an online freelancing profile, the number of proposals sent, receiving at least one job offer, and securing at least one online freelancing contract. We also observe improved socioemotional skills. However, we find no significant effects of the program on the number of job offers, contracts, or any broader labor market outcomes. Further analysis suggests that poor initial job ratings may have hindered sustained success in online freelancing. Overall, despite some initial success, the program failed to have a lasting impact on the livelihoods of the participants.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-09-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387824001123/pdfft?md5=7b911fd3bd6e5a77cde5a1af216c88c5&pid=1-s2.0-S0304387824001123-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142228898","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Better together? Group incentives and the demand for prevention 更好地合作?团体激励和预防需求
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-09-03 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103365
{"title":"Better together? Group incentives and the demand for prevention","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103365","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103365","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>In a field experiment with 400 groups of informal entrepreneurs in El Salvador, we compare the impact of group incentives (linked to compliance of all members) to equivalent individual ones to encourage cardiovascular check-ups. We test two incentive designs: small rewards and lotteries. Group incentives are as effective as individual ones at increasing demand for prevention, but, unlike individual incentives, they fail to target those with potentially higher health risks. The equal effectiveness of group incentives is linked to more communication, coordination between members and, to some extent, peer pressure. These social dynamics contribute to reduce uncertainty about other group members’ decisions and enhance the perceived net benefit of prevention. Although the preventive check-ups do not induce short-term lifestyle changes, they substantially increase the detection of new risk factors, making all incentives highly cost-effective interventions in this population.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-09-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387824001147/pdfft?md5=938dcdd5eaedd778cdde7c5e5b4dbeae&pid=1-s2.0-S0304387824001147-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142158490","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Migration from developing countries: Selection, income elasticity, and Simpson’s paradox 来自发展中国家的移民:选择、收入弹性和辛普森悖论
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-08-30 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103359
{"title":"Migration from developing countries: Selection, income elasticity, and Simpson’s paradox","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103359","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103359","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The economic causes and effects of migration from developing countries depend on patterns of self-selection that are difficult to observe. We estimate the degree of migrant self-selection—on both observed and unobserved determinants of income—for 99 developing countries using nationally representative survey data on 653,613 people. In low-income countries, people actively preparing to emigrate have 14 percent higher incomes explained by observed traits such as schooling, and 12 percent higher incomes explained by unobserved traits. The simulated income elasticity of emigration is positive in the aggregate (+0.23) despite being negative in subpopulations, an instance of Simpson’s paradox.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142097397","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Bribery, plant size and size dependent distortions 贿赂、工厂规模和与规模相关的扭曲
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-08-28 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103361
{"title":"Bribery, plant size and size dependent distortions","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103361","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103361","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>I document that small plants spend a higher fraction of their output on bribery than big plants, and that non-bribe-paying plants face higher distortions compared to bribe-paying plants in Türkiye. I develop a one-sector growth model in which size-dependent distortions, bribery opportunities, and different plant sizes coexist. In the model, plants are able to avoid distortions through bribery. The model parameters are calibrated with distortions and bribery opportunities in order to account for the plant size distribution as well as bribery expenditures by different plant sizes in the Turkish data. Counterfactual exercises show that size-dependent distortions become less distortionary in the presence of bribery opportunities. An increase in the size dependency of distortions has smaller aggregate effects since plants are able to circumvent distortions by paying larger bribes. Quantitatively, when bribery opportunities are present in the economy, mean plant size and output are 7.8 and 2.0 percent higher, respectively.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142129003","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Land expropriation, household behaviors, and health outcomes: Evidence from China 土地征用、家庭行为和健康结果:来自中国的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-08-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103358
{"title":"Land expropriation, household behaviors, and health outcomes: Evidence from China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103358","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103358","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Using a nationally representative dataset from China, we exploit an event study approach to trace out the consequences of land expropriation on household economic behaviors and health outcomes. The expropriated rural households receive an average compensation per capita of over 6 thousand <em>yuan</em> (60 percent of pre-event income) immediately after expropriation and thus have a higher income level. Among the people in these households, the likelihood of working in the agricultural sector decreases while that of working in the non-agricultural sector increases. Meanwhile, medical consumption per capita increases substantially by 0.4 thousand <em>yuan</em> and the saving rate rises by 14 percentage points. People in these households experience a significant improvement in subjective health status, in terms of self-reported health and depression, while their health-related behaviors do not change significantly. Overall, land expropriation influences the economic and health conditions of the affected rural households by providing additional liquidity.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142097398","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Global Mobile Inventors 全球移动发明家
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-08-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103357
{"title":"Global Mobile Inventors","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103357","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103357","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The number of Global Mobile Inventors (GMIs), inventors moving across borders during their career, has increased more than tenfold over the past two decades, and the corridors of mobility have shifted towards a growing presence of emerging markets. We document that GMIs that have patented in a given technology before moving are 70% more likely to be among the pioneering inventors in that technology once they arrive at destination, which we interpret as evidence of knowledge diffusion across borders. Returnees, which are typically inventors from emerging markets that go back after having spent some time in the US and other advanced economies, are twice as likely to file pioneering patents once returned than migrants when arriving abroad. Finally, we find that the more central the GMIs in the network of inventors during the early stages of the technology life-cycle at destination, the faster the technology-specific knowledge is absorbed by local inventors.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142136985","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Forced migration and local economic development: Evidence from postwar Hungary 强迫移民与地方经济发展:战后匈牙利的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103355
{"title":"Forced migration and local economic development: Evidence from postwar Hungary","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103355","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103355","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We investigate the effects of forced migration on sending economies using the post-WW2 expulsion of German minorities from Hungary as a natural experiment. We combine historical and contemporary data sources to show that the forced migrations led to lasting reductions in economic activity. Plausible mechanisms driving this result appear to be sectoral change (shift towards agriculture) and skills differences between Germans and the settlers that replaced them. Our analysis reveals that forced migration can cause lasting regional inequalities in sending economies.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0304387824001044/pdfft?md5=e7d17100c79c3788e45e0a2b3ec26260&pid=1-s2.0-S0304387824001044-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142049951","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The enduring trauma: How officials' childhood famine experiences affect year-end spending surge 持久的创伤:官员的童年饥荒经历如何影响年终支出激增
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2024-08-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103356
{"title":"The enduring trauma: How officials' childhood famine experiences affect year-end spending surge","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103356","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2024.103356","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study investigates the impact of government officials’ childhood famine experiences on year-end spending surges (YESS), a phenomenon where organizations rush to spend unspent funds at fiscal year-end. We propose that early-life famine trauma fosters fiscal conservatism, leading to underutilized budgets, but the “use it or lose it” rule forces spending by the fiscal deadline. Analyzing data from Chinese cities (2008–2018), we find that officials who experienced famine in childhood significantly increased YESS, reducing fiscal efficiency and hindering local economic development. The effect is most pronounced among those who experienced famine in early childhood and is amplified in financially autonomous cities governed by officials with extensive local networks. Additionally, the observed correlation between mild depression and famine trauma suggests psychological mechanisms underlying the persistent effects of early trauma on fiscal behavior.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2024-08-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142087041","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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