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Input substitution in electricity generation and industrial production: Evidence from India 发电和工业生产中的投入替代：来自印度的证据
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103614
Raavi Aggarwal
{"title":"Input substitution in electricity generation and industrial production: Evidence from India","authors":"Raavi Aggarwal","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103614","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103614","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Carbon taxation is suggested as an efficient instrument for the clean energy transition. However, high resulting prices for coal and electricity could adversely impact industrial performance and employment by raising production costs. Integration of renewable energy in the electricity grid could stabilise electricity prices. We estimate the elasticity of substitution between labour and electricity among the formal and informal manufacturing sector in India. The results show labour and electricity are strong complements in manufacturing, with elasticities significantly below one, which suggests a carbon tax that raises electricity prices may reduce employment in firms. On the contrary, we find high substitutability between thermal (coal) and renewable energy-based electricity generation, with the elasticity of substitution estimated at 2.0–3.3. Our results suggest that electricity derived from renewable energy sources and supplied to industry at affordable prices could mitigate the adverse effects of a carbon tax in Indian industry.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103614"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145221211","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
High-speed railroads and local agricultural development 高速铁路和地方农业发展
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-25 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103647
Xiaoguang Chen , Binlei Gong , Zhilong Qin , Xiaoli Wang
{"title":"High-speed railroads and local agricultural development","authors":"Xiaoguang Chen ,&nbsp;Binlei Gong ,&nbsp;Zhilong Qin ,&nbsp;Xiaoli Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103647","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103647","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We estimate the impacts of China's extensive high-speed railroads (HSR) expansions using both county-level and household-level agricultural data. Our estimates indicate that HSR expansions: (<em>i</em>) facilitated the outflow of labor from agriculture and reduced cropland in connected rural areas, particularly in underdeveloped regions; (<em>ii</em>) increased agricultural total factor productivity (TFP), effectively offsetting the negative impacts on agricultural output from reduced inputs; (<em>iii</em>) significantly boosted local GDP and government revenue, providing financial support for agriculture and critical investments in agricultural infrastructure and rural roads; (<em>iv</em>) facilitated farmers' access to technical training and encouraged the entry of new agribusiness firms; and (<em>v</em>) increased farmers' revenues and profits, strengthening their economic incentives for production and collectively improving agricultural TFP.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103647"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-25","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145158869","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Gender differences in judicial decisions under incomplete information: Evidence from child support cases 信息不完全情况下司法判决中的性别差异：来自子女抚养案件的证据
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103622
Roberto Asmat , Lajos Kossuth
{"title":"Gender differences in judicial decisions under incomplete information: Evidence from child support cases","authors":"Roberto Asmat ,&nbsp;Lajos Kossuth","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103622","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103622","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study gender differences in child support rulings by judges in cases where defendants (fathers) may work in either the formal or informal sector. Our identification strategy exploits the random assignment of cases to courts presided over by individual judges. We find that female judges award child support amounts that are 0.18 standard deviations lower than those awarded by male judges. When focusing on defendants working in the informal sector (who constitute over 70% of the cases), the gap appears to stem from female judges’ greater skepticism toward what they perceive as inflated claims by plaintiffs, influencing their beliefs about defendants’ earnings. We further explore four potential mechanisms behind the gap that also include formal cases: bias against female plaintiffs, workplace masculinization, interactions with other judge characteristics, and differences in legal objectives. We do not find conclusive statistical support for these mechanisms.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103622"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145158870","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Left over or opting out? Squeeze, mismatch and surplus in Chinese marriage markets 留下还是选择退出？中国婚姻市场的挤压、错配和过剩
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103629
Pauline Rossi , Yun Xiao
{"title":"Left over or opting out? Squeeze, mismatch and surplus in Chinese marriage markets","authors":"Pauline Rossi ,&nbsp;Yun Xiao","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103629","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103629","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Marriage is declining in China. Among singles, the probability of marrying in 2019 was half that of marrying in 1999. We estimate a Choo and Siow (2006b) model using census data to quantify the relative roles of changes in population structure and changes in marital surplus, i.e., the value of marriage. We find that the increase in the supply of educated people explains half of the decline, partly due to a mismatch between highly-educated women and less-educated men. The deterioration of female-to-male ratio, known as marriage squeeze, explains an additional 13% for men. The decrease in surplus accounts for the remainder.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103629"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145221212","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The HIPC initiative and China’s emergence as a lender: post hoc or propter hoc? 重债穷国倡议和中国作为贷款国的出现：是后设还是适当的后设？
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103632
Tito Cordella , Maia Cufre , Andrea F. Presbitero
{"title":"The HIPC initiative and China’s emergence as a lender: post hoc or propter hoc?","authors":"Tito Cordella ,&nbsp;Maia Cufre ,&nbsp;Andrea F. Presbitero","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103632","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103632","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Twenty years after the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) debt relief initiative, debt levels in low-income countries are rising again, renewing sustainability concerns. The prevailing view suggests that China and other emerging lenders exploited the HIPC initiative to expand lending. Using a synthetic control method to generate a counterfactual, we find that, contrary to this narrative, China and other emerging lenders reduced net lending after debt relief; only multilateral creditors increased it. Furthermore, we find no evidence to support the claim that debt relief encourages lending to political allies. Overall, debt relief seems to have had a limited influence on subsequent lending patterns.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103632"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145158867","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Weather shocks, recall error and health 天气冲击，召回错误和健康
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103644
Annika Herr, Soschia Karimi, Julian Wichert
{"title":"Weather shocks, recall error and health","authors":"Annika Herr,&nbsp;Soschia Karimi,&nbsp;Julian Wichert","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103644","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103644","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>A growing body of literature indicates that heat stress and precipitation deficiencies can pose a critical threat to human health, particularly in less developed countries with low coping capacities and high exposure. The aims of this study are twofold. First, we shed light on the recall of drought events in rural Thailand by linking longitudinal survey data with objective meteorological data. Here, an anomaly in the survey design serves as a natural experiment. We find that a shorter time interval between surveys has a large positive effect on households correctly reporting a drought event. Second, we examine the health effects of droughts comparing two drought measures. In our panel over seven waves, we find a strong effect on diseases, which is slightly stronger for the objective measure than when using the reported drought measure.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103644"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145119158","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Judicial institution and innovation: Evidence from China's intellectual property courts reform 司法制度与创新：来自中国知识产权法院改革的证据
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103630
Liyang Wan , Qian Wan , Zichao Yang , Ying Zhao
{"title":"Judicial institution and innovation: Evidence from China's intellectual property courts reform","authors":"Liyang Wan ,&nbsp;Qian Wan ,&nbsp;Zichao Yang ,&nbsp;Ying Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103630","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103630","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the impact of intellectual property judicial institutions on innovation, focusing on the intellectual property courts (IPCs) reform in China. We find that IPCs reform leads to a significant 22.6 % increase in the number of invention patents at the city level, equating to an average rise of 215 annually. Notably, we rule out the possibility of inter-region and intra-conglomerate transfer of patents, indicating that the effect of the IPCs reform on innovation is not a zero-sum game among regions. Furthermore, we find that the IPCs reform alters the patent structure by shifting the focus from utility and design patents to invention patents; however, it does not appear to significantly improve invention patent quality. Mechanism analyses suggest that the IPCs reform increases social satisfaction with judicial protection of intellectual property, shorter case duration and higher plaintiff winning rates in intellectual property cases.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103630"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145119157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unreliable firms: Evidence from Rwanda 不可靠的公司：来自卢旺达的证据
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103611
Vishan Gandhi Nigam , Brandon Joel Tan
{"title":"Unreliable firms: Evidence from Rwanda","authors":"Vishan Gandhi Nigam ,&nbsp;Brandon Joel Tan","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103611","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103611","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper measures <em>reliability</em> – whether firms execute transactions on-schedule – for the universe of Rwandan formal firms using transaction timing data and describes the characteristics of reliable firms. Reliable firms have larger interfirm sales, export more, supply exporters and multinationals, and transact with other reliable firms. Reliable firms are less sensitive to supply chain disruptions. Supplying an MNC increases seller reliability even when servicing non-MNC buyers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103611"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145107221","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Who benefits from public services? Novel evidence and implications for inequality measurement 谁从公共服务中受益？不平等测量的新证据和启示
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103627
Amory Gethin
{"title":"Who benefits from public services? Novel evidence and implications for inequality measurement","authors":"Amory Gethin","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103627","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103627","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Traditional inequality statistics focus on disposable income, ignoring households’ consumption of public services. This article provides novel evidence on the distributional incidence of public goods, combining budget data with rich microdata in the context of post-apartheid South Africa. Redistribution through public services is large and has considerably grown. The poorest 50% consume 60% of public education, 50% of healthcare, 40% of police and local government services, and only 7% of transport infrastructure. In-kind transfers received by the poorest 50% are three times larger than cash transfers and can account for half of real income growth among this group since 1993. These results have major implications for recent debates on inequality measures consistent with macroeconomic growth: existing methods underestimate the rise of redistribution by 60%.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103627"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145107220","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Pollution reduction effects of new transregional power transmission systems: Evidence from ultra-high-voltage projects of China 新型跨区域输电系统的污染减排效果：来自中国超高压工程的证据
IF 4.6 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103641
Shenggang Ren , Li Zhao , Peng Zhang , Caiquan Bai
{"title":"Pollution reduction effects of new transregional power transmission systems: Evidence from ultra-high-voltage projects of China","authors":"Shenggang Ren ,&nbsp;Li Zhao ,&nbsp;Peng Zhang ,&nbsp;Caiquan Bai","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103641","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103641","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many countries face challenges due to the geographical mismatch of energy supply and demand. Traditional high-voltage transmission systems have limited capacity to meet the rising need for transregional electricity transfer. China's recently developed ultra-high-voltage (UHV) transmission system presents a promising solution. This study quantifies the pollution reduction effects of UHV transmission using firm-level data on emissions and energy consumption. Employing a staggered difference-in-differences (DID) design that accounts for regional heterogeneity, we find that the operation of UHV lines reduces firms' total SO<sub>2</sub> emissions by 16.8 % on average and emission intensity by 17.1 %. Mechanism analysis indicates that the UHV system provides low-cost and stable electricity, facilitating electrification in power importing areas. It also boosts hydropower generation in power exporting areas, displacing thermal power in power importing areas. Welfare analysis shows that incorporating environmental benefits reduces the investment payback period of UHV projects from 28 years to 5 years at a 2.5 % discount rate. These findings contribute to a comprehensive evaluation of transregional electricity infrastructure, particularly in developing economies where grid modernization is a key energy policy goal.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"179 ","pages":"Article 103641"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145119161","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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