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Trust and development in conflict-affected countries: Introduction to a special feature 受冲突影响国家的信任与发展：专题介绍
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103552
Philip Verwimp , Silke Goubin , Patricia Justino , Tilman Brück
{"title":"Trust and development in conflict-affected countries: Introduction to a special feature","authors":"Philip Verwimp , Silke Goubin , Patricia Justino , Tilman Brück","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103552","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103552","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103552"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144178266","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
High temperature, power rationing, and firm performance 耐高温，限电，性能稳固
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103541
Xinya Hao , Yongying Huang , Lin Zhang
{"title":"High temperature, power rationing, and firm performance","authors":"Xinya Hao ,&nbsp;Yongying Huang ,&nbsp;Lin Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103541","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103541","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper develops a theoretical framework and provides causal evidence explaining the rationality of government-imposed power rationing strategies during high-temperature periods in electricity systems lacking market mechanisms and price signals. By combining comprehensive panel data on Chinese firms with high-resolution meteorological data, we document robust evidence that high temperatures significantly reduce both electricity usage and operational performance among firms. We then construct supply shocks based on precipitation anomalies weighted by the inter-provincial hydropower dependence to identify power rationing. These analyses demonstrate the persistent prevalence of firm-level power rationing across China in recent years. Furthermore, we show that while redirecting electricity from industrial to residential sectors during heat-induced shortages reduces firm performance, this represents a welfare-maximizing outcome from a social planner's perspective. Our findings reveal how climate change intensifies inter-sectoral electricity competition, with market inefficiencies playing a critical role in explaining China's rationing patterns.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103541"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144107083","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Corruption and extremism 腐败和极端主义
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103526
Attila Gáspár , Tommaso Giommoni , Massimo Morelli , Antonio Nicolò
{"title":"Corruption and extremism","authors":"Attila Gáspár ,&nbsp;Tommaso Giommoni ,&nbsp;Massimo Morelli ,&nbsp;Antonio Nicolò","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103526","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103526","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper shows that corruption generates extremism, but mainly on the opposition side. While corruption hurts all citizens, only voters on the minority side may desire to switch to a more extreme representative when they perceive a more corrupt political system. In our model, campaigning on a corruption scandal against the incumbent gives a higher winning probability for the opposition politician but simultaneously reduces expected future rents from office. As extremist politicians normally are less likely to win against a moderate opponent, they have a stronger incentive to take a stand against corruption. Given that the side of the political minority has a lower chance of having their representative elected to office, they face a smaller opportunity cost of voting for extremists. Our main result is that minorities are more likely to react to corruption with more extremism. We provide causal evidence for this novel asymmetric prediction from Indonesia and Brazil.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103526"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144239852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fertility outcomes and parental well-being in later life: Evidence from India 生育结果和父母晚年的幸福：来自印度的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103535
Bilal Ahmad Bhat , Esha Chatterjee , Sounak Thakur
{"title":"Fertility outcomes and parental well-being in later life: Evidence from India","authors":"Bilal Ahmad Bhat ,&nbsp;Esha Chatterjee ,&nbsp;Sounak Thakur","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103535","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103535","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We study the effect of fertility outcomes on parental well-being in post-reproductive ages. The context is India, where the gender of the firstborn is plausibly random, and parents with firstborn daughters end up having more daughters. For both women and men, we find that having a firstborn daughter leads to lower subjective life satisfaction and an increase in labor supply in their post-reproductive years. We present suggestive evidence that these results are plausibly driven by greater financial stress associated with marrying off daughters, and, for women, by the long-term effects of abortion and lower autonomy in households with firstborn daughters.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"177 ","pages":"Article 103535"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144262791","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The impact of violence on the dynamics of migration: Evidence from the Mexican Revolution 暴力对移民动态的影响：来自墨西哥革命的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103515
David Escamilla-Guerrero , Edward Kosack , Zachary Ward
{"title":"The impact of violence on the dynamics of migration: Evidence from the Mexican Revolution","authors":"David Escamilla-Guerrero ,&nbsp;Edward Kosack ,&nbsp;Zachary Ward","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103515","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103515","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Forced displacement from conflict has risen sharply in recent decades, yet little is known about how violence impacts migration dynamics in the short run or over a longer horizon. Using novel high-frequency data during the Mexican Revolution (1910-1917), one of history’s deadliest conflicts, we find that localized violence caused a sharp but temporary 60 percent spike in migration to the US, lasting only seven months before reverting to pre-conflict levels. We do not find evidence of increased migration after the Revolution, suggesting that refugee networks did not spur significant chain migration, even during an era of relatively open borders.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103515"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144107077","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Mitigating the health impact of a famine: Evidence from the 1985 Ethiopian emergency food aid 减轻饥荒对健康的影响：来自1985年埃塞俄比亚紧急粮食援助的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103531
Salvatore Di Falco , Kyungbo Han
{"title":"Mitigating the health impact of a famine: Evidence from the 1985 Ethiopian emergency food aid","authors":"Salvatore Di Falco ,&nbsp;Kyungbo Han","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103531","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103531","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the long-term mitigating impact of emergency food aid on health status using the food aid response to the Ethiopian famine in 1984 as a case study. Employing novel geospatial data on the location of relief camps where emergency food was distributed, we estimate the effect of proximity to a camp on height in adulthood. We compare different birth timings (born before or during versus after the relief operation) and different villages of birth (born close to versus far from a camp), exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in accessibility to emergency aid. Access to relief operation in early childhood leads to higher stature in adulthood. Aid beneficiaries also display higher later-life labor productivity in the agricultural sector, which suggests that the long-term health consequence of emergency aid may have translated into gains in agricultural productivity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103531"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143935194","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The long-term effect of television on children's human capital development in China 电视对中国儿童人力资本发展的长期影响
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103538
Fangjing Zha, Di Zhou
{"title":"The long-term effect of television on children's human capital development in China","authors":"Fangjing Zha,&nbsp;Di Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103538","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103538","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the long-term impacts of childhood exposure to educational television on human capital formation. We focus on CCTV-14, China's first nationally broadcast channel specifically designed for children. Exploiting variation in the timing of cable and satellite television rollout across communities, we document that access to CCTV-14 led to significant and persistent improvements in non-cognitive skills. These gains are particularly pronounced among left-behind children, suggesting that the channel played a compensatory role in addressing early developmental disadvantages. In contrast, we find no evidence of sustained effects on cognitive outcomes. The observed asymmetry underscores the importance of program content in shaping skill development. Finally, children exposed to CCTV-14 are more likely to achieve a higher socioeconomic status, better health, and enhanced digital literacy than those who did not.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103538"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144070854","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Housing costs and real income differences across Chinese cities 中国城市间的住房成本和实际收入差异
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103527
Ziyang Chen , Pierre-Philippe Combes , Sylvie Démurger , Xiuyan Liu
{"title":"Housing costs and real income differences across Chinese cities","authors":"Ziyang Chen ,&nbsp;Pierre-Philippe Combes ,&nbsp;Sylvie Démurger ,&nbsp;Xiuyan Liu","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103527","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103527","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We document variations in real income for high-skilled, low-skilled, and rural migrant households across Chinese cities. Using comprehensive data on land parcel transactions along with individual data for land development and household expenditure, we construct a city-specific housing cost index and assess how it varies across locations. All three components of housing costs – unit land prices, land share in construction, and housing share in expenditure – decrease from city centres to the periphery, increase with city population, and decrease with city land area, as predicted by theory. Overall, housing costs in China are high and vary widely between locations. While income gains outweigh housing costs when moving from smaller to larger cities, in the largest cities, housing costs begin to dominate, particularly for low-skilled and rural migrant households. This suggests a bell-shaped relationship between real income and city population in China, aligning with theoretical predictions.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103527"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143935179","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
How good are livestock statistics in Africa? Can nudging and direct counting improve the quality of livestock asset data? 非洲的牲畜统计数据有多好？轻推和直接计数能提高牲畜资产数据的质量吗？
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-05-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103532
Kibrom A. Abay , Hailemariam Ayalew , Zelalem Terfa , Joseph Karguia , Clemens Breisinger
{"title":"How good are livestock statistics in Africa? Can nudging and direct counting improve the quality of livestock asset data?","authors":"Kibrom A. Abay ,&nbsp;Hailemariam Ayalew ,&nbsp;Zelalem Terfa ,&nbsp;Joseph Karguia ,&nbsp;Clemens Breisinger","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103532","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103532","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Livestock statistics in most low- and middle-income countries rely on self-reported, survey-based measures. However, respondents may have various challenges to accurately report livestock ownership. This study introduces a novel set of survey and measurement experiments to improve livestock statistics in Africa. We introduce two innovations to conventional livestock data collection methods. First, we address some of the sources of potential underreporting in livestock assets by introducing an explicit nudge to a random subset of survey respondents. Second, we arrange for direct counting of livestock assets by enumerators and local livestock experts. We demonstrate that self-reported data on livestock ownership suffer from significant and systematic underreporting. While our nudge affects only the reporting behaviour of households with larger stocks of livestock, direct counting increases total livestock ownership by 39 percent and the reported number of cattle by 43 percent. These impacts are evident at both the extensive and intensive margins of livestock asset ownership, as well as considering the number and value of livestock assets owned. Such mismeasurement in self-reported livestock data can lead to underestimation of the contribution of the livestock sector to national economies. Furthermore, direct counting generates important spillover effects to livestock species not explicitly counted in the survey. We finally show that underreporting in self-reported livestock data is systematic and hence consequential for statistical inferences. Our findings underscore that survey designs that can address specific sources of bias in self-reported livestock data can meaningfully improve livestock asset measurement in Africa.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103532"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-05-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143906171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Enforcement spillovers under different networks: The case of quotas for persons with disabilities in Brazil 不同网络下的执法溢出效应：以巴西残疾人配额为例
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103516
Samuel Berlinski , Jessica Gagete-Miranda
{"title":"Enforcement spillovers under different networks: The case of quotas for persons with disabilities in Brazil","authors":"Samuel Berlinski ,&nbsp;Jessica Gagete-Miranda","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103516","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103516","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines labor law enforcement spillovers in Brazil, focusing on disability quota enforcement for formal firms. New inspection procedures increased compliance through heightened inspections and fines, boosting disability hiring. The largest increase is observed among individuals with mobility impairments, followed by those with visual and cognitive impairments. Most new hires came from outside the formal labor market, while some were poached from other firms. Additionally, job tenure for persons with disabilities in large firms improved. We investigate spillover effects across various firm networks: neighborhood, ownership, and human resources specialists. Results show that spillovers can have up to 3.4 times the impact on disability employment compared to direct fines. These findings highlight the potential for targeted enforcement strategies to amplify policy effectiveness beyond directly affected firms, even in developing economies characterized by low compliance with employment laws.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103516"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143903632","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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