Sam Bazzi, Patricia Cortes, Hillel Rapoport, Dean Yang
{"title":"Editorial to special issue on migration and development","authors":"Sam Bazzi, Patricia Cortes, Hillel Rapoport, Dean Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103602","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103602","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103602"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145048585","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Politicians doing business: Evidence from Mozambique","authors":"Sam Jones , Felix Schilling , Finn Tarp","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103584","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103584","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study shows how political elites and their families derive private business benefits from public office through ownership of firms. Looking over more than four decades in Mozambique, we combine a new database of politically exposed persons (PEPs) with the universe of formally-registered firms and their beneficial owners. Based on generalized event study methods, we differentiate between static and dynamic effects of political office on metrics of private business capital. We find that becoming a PEP leads to a 24% increase in the likelihood of firm ownership and a 350% gain in information capital. These effects accumulate over time and persist after leaving office. We further show that (albeit smaller) gains occur among family members, indicating consolidation of private sector influence within political dynasties. Our insights demonstrate the value of public firm registries for political economy research in low-income settings.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103584"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144766887","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Fiona M. Coleman , Akhter U. Ahmed , Shalini Roy , John Hoddinott
{"title":"Understanding social safety nets and intra-household food allocation: Experimental evidence from Bangladesh","authors":"Fiona M. Coleman , Akhter U. Ahmed , Shalini Roy , John Hoddinott","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103585","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103585","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Evidence shows that social protection can improve diets, but little is known about how impacts vary within households, the extent to which the modality of the transfer affects how it is distributed across all household members, whether adding training on the importance of nutrition and diets alters the way transfer resources are allocated within the household, relative to a transfer alone, and if differences in allocations are shaped by differences in livelihood opportunities. We use individual food intake data from two randomized control trials fielded in rural Bangladesh to address these questions. Our results overwhelmingly demonstrate that food gains are distributed equally, regardless of the type of transfers households received (cash, food, or combination), inclusion of nutrition training, regional context, or specific dietary outcome measured. These patterns of findings hold when we consider several extensions: (1) analyzing more aggregated demographic groups; (2) considering alternative measures of diet; (3) analyzing shares rather than levels; (4) considering impacts relative to deprivation at baseline; (5) analyzing impacts on non-food outcomes that can be assigned demographically; (6) re-estimating impacts using alternate samples and alternate estimation models. Where the few significant differences are found, they are often small in magnitude and in favor of children.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103585"},"PeriodicalIF":4.6,"publicationDate":"2025-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144780171","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"A two-wave death story: fentanyl overdoses in the US, bullets in Mexico","authors":"Iván López Cruz , Gustavo Torrens","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103542","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103542","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We establish a link between the fentanyl crisis in the US starting in 2013 and a second wave of drug-related violence in Mexico. We argue that the demand for fentanyl from the US pushed emerging Pacific-based Mexican drug trafficking organizations to reoptimize their trafficking routes, leading to new clashes and violence, often in locations barely affected by the first wave of violence caused by the 2007 Mexican War on Drugs. Exploiting the differential impact that the Mexican War on Drugs and the demand of fentanyl had on different municipalities, we estimate that fentanyl caused about 20 additional homicides per 100,000 inhabitants.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103542"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144632491","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Anna Josephson , Jeffrey D. Michler , Talip Kilic , Siobhan Murray
{"title":"The mismeasure of weather: Using earth observation data for estimation of socioeconomic outcomes","authors":"Anna Josephson , Jeffrey D. Michler , Talip Kilic , Siobhan Murray","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103553","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103553","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The availability of weather data from remotely sensed earth observation (EO) products has reduced the cost to economists of including weather variables in econometric models. Weather variables are common instrumental variables used to predict socioeconomic outcomes and serve as an input into modeling crop productivity in rainfed agriculture. The use of EO data in econometric applications has only recently been met with a critical assessment of the suitability and quality of this data in economics. We document variability in estimates of agricultural productivity in six countries in Sub-Saharan Africa using nine different EO data products. By varying the source of the EO data we demonstrate the magnitude and significance of measurement error. We find that estimates are not robust to the choice of EO data and outcomes are not simply affine transformations of one another. This begs caution on the part of researchers using these data and suggests that robustness checks should include testing alternative sources of EO data.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103553"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144687542","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Do minimum wage hikes lead to employment destruction? Evidence from a regression discontinuity design in Argentina","authors":"Nicolás Abbate , Bruno Jiménez","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103558","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103558","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In this study, we examine the impact of eight minimum wage increases in Argentina during the early 21st century by analyzing administrative records of registered employment. Utilizing a regression discontinuity design, we compare job separation rates between a group affected by the minimum wage hikes and a control group slightly out of their legal scope. Our findings indicate that, overall, these minimum wage hikes had no significant impact on separation rates. However, the 2008 increase triggered a 4.8 percentage point (19%) decrease in separations, casting doubt on the disemployment effects of minimum wages. Overall, these findings suggest that during economic upswings, minimum wage increases may have little to no adverse impact on job destruction.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103558"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144588114","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Carly Trachtman , Yudistira Hendra Permana , Gumilang Aryo Sahadewo
{"title":"How much do our neighbors really know? The limits of community-based targeting","authors":"Carly Trachtman , Yudistira Hendra Permana , Gumilang Aryo Sahadewo","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103555","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103555","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Social assistance programs in developing countries often rely on local community members to identify potential beneficiaries. As community members may observe neighbors’ welfare, their reports may capture transitory shocks better than the proxies typically observable by a centralized policy implementer. To test this, we conduct a lab-style experiment in Central Java, in which participants rank other community members’ welfare, using benchmarks that vary in sensitivity to transitory shocks, and target small cash transfers. We find little evidence that community-held welfare information better reflects transitory shocks and find that targeting decisions mostly depend on perceived differences in overall wealth.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103555"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144623683","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The effect of teacher training and community literacy programming on teacher and student outcomes","authors":"Feliciano Chimbutane , Naureen Karachiwalla , Catalina Herrera-Almanza , Jessica Leight , Carlos Lauchande","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103578","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103578","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Motivated by extremely low levels of basic reading skills in sub-Saharan Africa, we experimentally evaluate two interventions designed to enhance students’ early-grade literacy performance in rural Mozambique: a relatively light-touch, scalable teacher training in early-grade literacy including the provision of pedagogical materials, and teacher training and materials in conjunction with community-level reading camps. Using data from 1,596 third graders in 160 rural public primary schools, we find no evidence that either intervention improved teachers’ pedagogical knowledge or practices or student or teacher attendance following two years of implementation. There are some weak positive effects on student reading as measured by a literacy assessment, primarily observed in a shift away from scores of zero, and these effects are consistent across arms. Our findings are aligned with the growing consensus that more intensive school- and/or community-based interventions are required to meaningfully improve learning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103578"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-05","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144605592","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Flood shocks, heterogeneous risk exposure, and housing market dynamics in China","authors":"Yu Zhao , Yichen Yang , Ning Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103581","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103581","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyzes the economic consequences of flood shocks on housing markets in China. By combining detailed housing transaction records with granular geospatial-environmental information, we document robust evidence of heterogeneous impacts of flooding within local housing markets. Specifically, transaction prices and volumes decline in low-lying areas, while prices increase but volumes remain stable in high-elevation areas. These asymmetric responses are largely attributable to the risk-averse location choices of buyers and the shifts in the geographic composition of sellers’ listings. Furthermore, we find evidence of spillovers, with unmet local demand flowing into adjacent safer markets. A conservative welfare estimation indicates that flood-induced welfare losses from housing markets are considerable—18 times greater than the direct economic damages—and are borne almost entirely by buyers. Our findings also highlight the crucial role of government intervention in mitigating post-disaster market inefficiencies and facilitating a more balanced spatial distribution of welfare.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103581"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144605590","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Prashant Bharadwaj , Daniel Graeber , Stephanie Khoury , Christian P.R. Schmid
{"title":"Asylum seekers and host country mental health: Evidence from Germany and Switzerland","authors":"Prashant Bharadwaj , Daniel Graeber , Stephanie Khoury , Christian P.R. Schmid","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103579","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103579","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Due to recent conflicts and humanitarian issues, millions of people have sought asylum in countries in Europe. The influx of asylum seekers has sparked debates about the impacts of such migratory flows on resident populations. We study how the recent migration of these forcibly displaced people into Europe affects the mental health of the receiving country residents in Switzerland and Germany. We exploit quasi-random variation in asylum seeker placement by matching settlement data with administrative health insurance data on mental health related treatments and survey data capturing self-reported mental health. Despite numerous possible mechanisms, in both countries, we find no economically meaningful effects of asylum seeker flows on residents’ mental health.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"178 ","pages":"Article 103579"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144679419","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}