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The agricultural and economic impacts of massive water diversion 大规模调水对农业和经济的影响
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-18 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103517
Guangbo Huang , Chong Liu , Tianyang Xi , Huayu Xu , Wei You
{"title":"The agricultural and economic impacts of massive water diversion","authors":"Guangbo Huang ,&nbsp;Chong Liu ,&nbsp;Tianyang Xi ,&nbsp;Huayu Xu ,&nbsp;Wei You","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103517","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103517","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine the agricultural and economic impacts of China’s South–North Water Diversion Project, a massive initiative that channels water from the resource-rich south to the drier north. Using a difference-in-differences approach, we find that the project increases total grain output by 8.2% and raises agricultural productivity by 4.7% in water-receiving counties. It also mitigates the adverse effects of drought shocks, leading to modest increases in local incomes. Improved water availability induces adaptive responses, including greater land allocation to water-intensive crops and a higher incidence of multi-cropping. Additionally, we find no evidence of significant losses in water-supplying areas. Our back-of-the-envelope calculation suggests an internal rate of return of 6.4%, underscoring the project’s economic viability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103517"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143864238","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
What one thinks, what one says and what one does: Male justifications and practices of gender-based violence in Mali 所想、所言、所行：马里男性对性别暴力的辩护与实践
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103479
Olivia Bertelli, Thomas Calvo, Emmanuelle Lavallée, Marion Mercier, Sandrine Mesplé-Somps
{"title":"What one thinks, what one says and what one does: Male justifications and practices of gender-based violence in Mali","authors":"Olivia Bertelli,&nbsp;Thomas Calvo,&nbsp;Emmanuelle Lavallée,&nbsp;Marion Mercier,&nbsp;Sandrine Mesplé-Somps","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103479","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103479","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Gender-based violence (GBV) is widespread across the world. While the majority of the literature focuses on women as the victims of GBV, this paper studies men’s justifications for and perpetration of GBV in Mali, one of the countries with the highest GBV prevalence rates in the world. We elicit the prevalence of eight GBV-related opinions and behaviors among men in Bamako, the capital city, by administering a set of list experiments that we compare to a set of direct questions to estimate response biases. We find large support for GBV: nearly one respondent in two supports female genital mutilation or intimate partner violence. Besides, one in four has already physically hit an adult woman. Our results also show that several questions suffer from significant response biases when asked directly. Support for female genital mutilation is overreported, with actual approval being lower than openly stated. Conversely, justification of intimate partner violence is underreported, likely due to social pressure against it. While response bias varies little with respondent characteristics, prevalence rates are systematically lower among men with a secondary level of education. Our results are in line with response bias being shaped by the legal framework addressing GBV as well as prevailing social norms, highlighting the need for caution when using data collected through direct questioning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103479"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143906172","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Lights, camera, school: Information provision though television during COVID-19 times 灯光、摄像头、学校：2019冠状病毒病疫情期间通过电视提供信息
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103504
Francisco A. Gallego , Oswaldo Molina , Christopher A. Neilson
{"title":"Lights, camera, school: Information provision though television during COVID-19 times","authors":"Francisco A. Gallego ,&nbsp;Oswaldo Molina ,&nbsp;Christopher A. Neilson","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103504","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103504","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper examines the effects of phone calls designed to encourage viewership of the short telenovela <em>Decidiendo para un Futuro Mejor</em> (Deciding for a Better Future, hereafter <em>DFM</em>) on national television during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 in Peru. <em>DFM</em> uses video content to highlight the benefits of education while providing concrete information on wages and financial aid opportunities for higher education. We evaluate the impact of these calls on dropout rates in 2021 through a randomized controlled trial involving over 80,000 families with high school students. Our findings indicate that the phone calls led to a significant reduction in school dropout rates, with intention-to-treat (ITT) effects of approximately <span><math><mrow><mo>−</mo><mn>0</mn><mo>.</mo><mn>6</mn></mrow></math></span> percentage points—a meaningful impact given the 10.2% average dropout rate in the control group. The effects are stronger for students from schools with higher baseline dropout and poverty rates, with no significant differences based on parental education levels. Our results also suggest that the observed effects are primarily driven by encouragement to watch <em>DFM</em> rather than by the direct impact of the phone calls themselves. These findings underscore the potential of cost-effective interventions to mitigate the adverse effects of major economic shocks on educational trajectories.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103504"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144138130","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Making the most of coresident data: Credible evidence on intergenerational mobility with sibling correlation 充分利用总统数据：关于兄弟姐妹相关性的代际流动性的可靠证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103508
Md. Nazmul Ahsan , M. Shahe Emran , Hanchen Jiang , Forhad Shilpi
{"title":"Making the most of coresident data: Credible evidence on intergenerational mobility with sibling correlation","authors":"Md. Nazmul Ahsan ,&nbsp;M. Shahe Emran ,&nbsp;Hanchen Jiang ,&nbsp;Forhad Shilpi","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103508","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103508","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Many available data sets are not used for estimating intergenerational mobility owing to concerns about sample truncation bias in coresident data. Using data from Bangladesh, Chile, Ghana, India, Indonesia, and Mexico, we report the first evidence that the bias in estimated sibling correlation, a broad measure of relative mobility, is small in coresident samples (4.30%), much smaller than that in intergenerational regression coefficient (10.25%). The low bias reflects offsetting effects of sample truncation on the numerator and denominator of the sibling correlation formula. Sibling correlation estimates from coresident samples preserve the correct cross-country ranking 90%–95% times. Our findings have far-reaching implications for researchers working on intergenerational mobility.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103508"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143851431","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Relocation from China (with Chinese characteristics) 从中国搬迁（有中国特色）
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103510
Jason Garred , Song Yuan
{"title":"Relocation from China (with Chinese characteristics)","authors":"Jason Garred ,&nbsp;Song Yuan","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103510","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103510","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Rising global political tensions and increasing use of trade policies are popularly seen as potential threats to globalization. Will these factors lead to the ‘decoupling’ of affected economies, or reshape relations between trade partners in more complex ways? We consider this question by studying the recent evolution of the economic relationship between China and the US, in the context of a sharp fall in direct China-US trade. Using firm-level and product-level data, we show that Chinese manufacturing investment and Chinese-produced parts have increasingly flowed to third-country ‘winners’ who have simultaneously increased their US market share. This suggests that Chinese economic actors have continued to participate in reorganized China-US supply chains. We present evidence that our findings capture expanding indirect relationships linking China and the US rather than broader economic trends within the ‘winners’ themselves.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103510"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143842833","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Incentives and endorsement for technology adoption: Evidence from mobile banking in Ghana 技术采用的激励和认可：来自加纳移动银行的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103511
Emma Riley , Abu S. Shonchoy , Robert Darko Osei
{"title":"Incentives and endorsement for technology adoption: Evidence from mobile banking in Ghana","authors":"Emma Riley ,&nbsp;Abu S. Shonchoy ,&nbsp;Robert Darko Osei","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103511","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103511","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>How can we encourage the adoption of digital financial services? We use an RCT with 115 microfinance groups in Ghana to understand the respective roles of individual incentives to adopt a technology and endorsement of the technology by a peer. We study mobile banking services, a technology which allows deposits and withdrawals between a mobile phone and bank account, dramatically lowering the transaction costs of saving in the bank account. We find that while individual incentives increase adoption of mobile banking services by 60% (6 percentage points) over 6 months, adding endorsement by a peer doubles the impact of the incentives alone. Peer endorsement significantly enhances confidence in dealing with fraud and increases peer support in using mobile banking. Those encouraged to adopt mobile banking by a peer save 30% ($4) more in the linked bank account 6 months later. Our study highlights the power of peers in encouraging technology adoption and facilitating formal financial inclusion.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103511"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143850824","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Migration and the epidemiological approach: Time and self-selection into foreign ancestries matter 迁移和流行病学方法：时间和对外来祖先的自我选择很重要
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103505
Simone Bertoli, Melchior Clerc, Jordan Loper, Èric Roca Fernández
{"title":"Migration and the epidemiological approach: Time and self-selection into foreign ancestries matter","authors":"Simone Bertoli,&nbsp;Melchior Clerc,&nbsp;Jordan Loper,&nbsp;Èric Roca Fernández","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103505","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103505","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The epidemiological approach in comparative development uses data on individuals of immigrant origin to study cultural persistence, the determinants of cultural norms, and the effects of genetic traits. A common assumption of this methodology is its susceptibility to attenuation bias. We challenge it by demonstrating how the increasing reliance on foreign ancestries to identify respondents’ origins can introduce confounding biases. Specifically, self-selection in reporting foreign ancestry and unobserved variation in ancestral migration timing may lead to inflated estimates. We formalize these mechanisms through a theoretical framework and illustrate their empirical significance by reassessing key findings from influential studies by Fernández and Fogli (2006) and Giuliano and Nunn (2021).</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103505"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143839290","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Labor market rigidity at home and multinational corporations’ flexible production reallocation abroad 国内劳动力市场的僵化与跨国公司在国外的灵活生产再配置
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103502
JaeBin Ahn , Jaerim Choi , Sunghoon Chung
{"title":"Labor market rigidity at home and multinational corporations’ flexible production reallocation abroad","authors":"JaeBin Ahn ,&nbsp;Jaerim Choi ,&nbsp;Sunghoon Chung","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103502","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103502","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>An unprecedented regime change following the 2017 presidential impeachment led to a dramatic shift to more rigid labor market policies in the Republic of Korea, represented by consecutive double-digit hikes in the minimum wage in the next two years. Using a firm-level data set with detailed information about foreign affiliates over the period of 2013<span><math><mo>∼</mo></math></span>19, this paper assesses the employment consequences of stricter labor market regulations. The empirical evidence uncovers an underexplored mechanism through which domestic labor market rigidity can reduce domestic employment as multinational firms with flexible internal networks reallocate production tasks across borders.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103502"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143800467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Quality signaling and demand for renewable energy technology: Evidence from a randomized field experiment 可再生能源技术的质量信号和需求：来自随机现场实验的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103514
Aidan Coville , Joshua Graff Zivin , Arndt Reichert , Ann-Kristin Reitmann
{"title":"Quality signaling and demand for renewable energy technology: Evidence from a randomized field experiment","authors":"Aidan Coville ,&nbsp;Joshua Graff Zivin ,&nbsp;Arndt Reichert ,&nbsp;Ann-Kristin Reitmann","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103514","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103514","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Solar technologies have been associated with private and social returns, but their technological potential often remains unachieved because of persistently low demand for high-quality products. In a randomized field experiment in Senegal, we assess the potential of three types of quality signaling to increase demand for high-quality solar lamps. We find no effect on demand when consumers are offered a money-back guarantee but increased demand with a third-party certification or warranty, consistent with the notion that consumers are uncertain about product durability rather than their utility. However, despite the higher willingness to pay, the prices they would pay are still well below market prices for the average household, suggesting that reducing information asymmetries alone is insufficient to encourage wider adoption. Surprisingly, we also find that the effective quality signals in our setting stimulate demand for low-quality products by creating product-class effects among those least familiar with the product.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103514"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143824283","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating the labor supply implications of a cash transfer program: Evidence from China 评估现金转移计划对劳动力供应的影响：来自中国的证据
IF 5.1 1区 经济学
Journal of Development Economics Pub Date : 2025-04-07 DOI: 10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103513
Jie-Sheng Tan-Soo , Mingda Cheng , Shuai Chen
{"title":"Evaluating the labor supply implications of a cash transfer program: Evidence from China","authors":"Jie-Sheng Tan-Soo ,&nbsp;Mingda Cheng ,&nbsp;Shuai Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103513","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jdeveco.2025.103513","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study evaluates the labor supply implications of China's <em>Dibao</em> program, one of the largest means-tested cash transfer initiatives globally. Leveraging its unique payment structure, which ensures a smooth income transition at the eligibility threshold, we employ a fuzzy regression discontinuity design to identify causal effects on employment outcomes. Despite the program's design to minimize disincentives, we find that <em>Dibao</em> beneficiaries are 46.2 % less likely to be employed after enrollment, with effects primarily driven by vulnerable groups, including the elderly and individuals with low educational attainment. Further analysis reveals significant labor supply reductions among low-income-contributing household members, while higher-income members remain unaffected. Our findings contribute to the discourse on cash transfers by highlighting how program design can balance social protection with labor market efficiency, offering insights for policymakers seeking to mitigate work disincentives while ensuring support for vulnerable populations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":48418,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Development Economics","volume":"176 ","pages":"Article 103513"},"PeriodicalIF":5.1,"publicationDate":"2025-04-07","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143864285","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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