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Population Studies-A Journal of Demography最新文献

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How many children do couples have when they break up? Educational stratification in parity at separation. 夫妻离婚后有几个孩子？在分离中平等的教育分层。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-21 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2462288
Zuzana Zilincikova, Gordey Yastrebov, Thomas Leopold
{"title":"How many children do couples have when they break up? Educational stratification in parity at separation.","authors":"Zuzana Zilincikova, Gordey Yastrebov, Thomas Leopold","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2462288","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2462288","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study investigated educational differences in parity distribution at separation. Using the Harmonized Histories and GGS-II data sets, we examined unions ending in separation in 1995-2004 and in 2011-20 across 12 countries in Europe and North America, comparing them with a matched group of intact unions. Our analysis revealed a negative educational gradient in parity at separation. The mean number of children at separation decreased with higher levels of parental education in 10 out of 12 countries in the earlier observation window and four out of six countries in the later observation window. This educational gradient was more pronounced in unions ending in separation than intact unions and also in the earlier observation window. Overall, our findings show that couples with low and medium education contribute disproportionately to the population of children experiencing parental separation, corroborating concerns raised by previous studies on the social stratification of separation.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-12"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143674684","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multistate analysis and decomposition of disability-free life expectancy trends at mid-to-older ages in Italy, 2004-19. 2004-19年意大利中老年人无残疾预期寿命趋势的多州分析和分解。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-19 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2475435
Margherita Moretti, Tim Riffe, Angelo Lorenti
{"title":"Multistate analysis and decomposition of disability-free life expectancy trends at mid-to-older ages in Italy, 2004-19.","authors":"Margherita Moretti, Tim Riffe, Angelo Lorenti","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2475435","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2475435","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Italy has witnessed increases in life expectancy and population ageing, raising concerns about their impact on population health. Disability status greatly affects the participation of mid-to-older-aged adults in various aspects of life. We examine the long-term trend in disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) in Italy, over three different periods between 2004 and 2019, and explore disability dynamics (onset and recovery) and changes in disability-specific mortality. We use IT-SILC longitudinal data to estimate transition probabilities and DFLE between ages 50 and 79 and decompose DFLE changes in terms of these transitions. Overall, DFLE has improved over recent decades but not always as favourably as life expectancy. The trends indicate compression of disability between ages 50 and 79 in the most recent years. Changes in disability transitions have had the greatest influence, whereas disability-specific mortality has had much less impact on DFLE changes. The greatest contributions have come from increases in the probability of recovery from disability.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-16"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143658824","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Disparities by sex, race/ethnicity, and education in trends in the disability burden in the United States, 1996-2018. 1996-2018年美国残疾负担趋势的性别、种族/民族和教育差异
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-14 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2462283
Shubhankar Sharma, Jo Mhairi Hale, Alessandro Feraldi
{"title":"Disparities by sex, race/ethnicity, and education in trends in the disability burden in the United States, 1996-2018.","authors":"Shubhankar Sharma, Jo Mhairi Hale, Alessandro Feraldi","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2462283","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2462283","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Research remains inconclusive on whether increased longevity is resulting in disability compression. Using the Health and Retirement Study and multistate models, this study is the first to examine trends (between 1996-2006 and 2008-18) across multiple key aspects of disability burden: namely, lifetime risk and age at onset of disability; recovery and mortality of the disabled; and disability-free life expectancy (DFLE) at age 50 in the United States' older population. Furthermore, we differentiate these trends by key socio-demographic factors: sex, race/ethnicity, and educational attainment. The analysis shows that over four-fifths of the total life expectancy increase at age 50 was in DFLE. This was accompanied by a one-year postponement in disability onset and insignificant recovery from disability. However, lifetime risk of disability remained unchanged between periods. Disability trends improved more for women than men. Latinx and the lowest-educated adults experienced no improvement in disability onset. The lowest-educated Whites exhibited substantial health deterioration.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-23"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143626480","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Fertility dynamics through historical pandemics and COVID-19 in Switzerland, 1871-2022. 历史大流行和COVID-19在瑞士的生育率动态，1871-2022。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-11 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2462291
Katarina L Matthes, Mathilde Le Vu, Kaspar Staub
{"title":"Fertility dynamics through historical pandemics and COVID-19 in Switzerland, 1871-2022.","authors":"Katarina L Matthes, Mathilde Le Vu, Kaspar Staub","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2462291","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2462291","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We follow general fertility rates (GFRs) in Switzerland up to 2022, with a focus on their dynamics during and after pandemics. Historical influenza pandemics (1889-90, 1918-20, 1957) have consistently led to temporary declines in births between six and nine months after the pandemic peak. High rates of miscarriage may explain these findings. After the 1889-90 and 1918-20 pandemics, short-term baby booms occurred. For the recent Covid-19 pandemic, the dynamics appear more complex. The GFR had already been declining since 2018, before the pandemic hit Switzerland. During and shortly after the first two waves in 2020, there was an increase in conceptions, leading to a higher GFR in 2021: shutdown measures may have brought planned pregnancies forwards. Subsequently, the GFR declined from February 2022; one possible explanation is that pregnancies were intentionally postponed until after vaccination. Following these population-level observations, more in-depth studies are needed to understand better why fertility is affected by pandemics.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-16"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143597552","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Reassessing general explanations for long-run change in internal migration: Insights from Norway. 重新评估国内移民长期变化的一般解释：来自挪威的见解。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-03 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2461789
Ian Shuttleworth, Stefan Leknes, Michael J Thomas
{"title":"Reassessing general explanations for long-run change in internal migration: Insights from Norway.","authors":"Ian Shuttleworth, Stefan Leknes, Michael J Thomas","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2461789","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2461789","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Internal migration fell in high-income countries such as Australia, the UK, and the United States during the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries. High-level explanations for these declines have referred to developmental stage (Zelinsky's super-advanced society), changed values and preferences (secular rootedness), and long-run socio-demographic change (second demographic transition). We assess the relevance of these overlapping interpretations in the Norwegian context via a combination of direct empirical tests (using full-population register data for 1981-2015 and Oaxaca-Blinder analysis) and indirect assessments based on the inherent features of the Norwegian case study. The net effect of changes in population composition and behaviours has been to increase migration: the upward effects of a more educated population and changed household structures have outweighed the downward effects of population ageing. Our results raise questions about how far these macro explanations of migration decline are generally applicable. We offer some suggestions for future conceptual and empirical investigation.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-24"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143543796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
When do mothers bury a child? Heterogeneity in the maternal age at offspring loss. 母亲何时埋葬孩子？母亲丧子年龄的异质性。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2345075
Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Ugofilippo Basellini, Emilio Zagheni
{"title":"When do mothers bury a child? Heterogeneity in the maternal age at offspring loss.","authors":"Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Ugofilippo Basellini, Emilio Zagheni","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2345075","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2345075","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The experience of losing a child is increasingly uncommon worldwide but is no less devastating for parents who experience it. An overlooked aspect of this phenomenon is its timing: at which age do bereft parents lose a child and how are these ages at loss distributed? We use demographic methods to explore the mean and variability of maternal age at child loss in 18 countries for the 1850-2000 birth cohorts. We find that the distribution of age of child loss is bimodal, with one component representing young offspring deaths and another representing adult offspring deaths. Offspring loss is transitioning from being a relatively common life event, mostly experienced by young mothers, to a rare one spread throughout the maternal life course. Moreover, there is no evidence of convergence in the variability of age at offspring loss. These results advance the formal demography of kinship and underline the need to support bereaved parents across the life course.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"45-57"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141856797","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Microfoundations of the weakening educational gradient in fertility. 生育率教育梯度减弱的微观基础。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2319031
Daniel Ciganda, Angelo Lorenti, Lars Dommermuth
{"title":"Microfoundations of the weakening educational gradient in fertility.","authors":"Daniel Ciganda, Angelo Lorenti, Lars Dommermuth","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2319031","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2319031","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The disappearance of the social gradient in fertility represents a paradigm shift that has called into question the validity of theories that predicted a decline in fertility with increased access to education and resources. Emerging theories have tried to explain this trend by highlighting a potential change in the fertility preferences of more educated couples. In this paper we add additional elements to this explanation. Using a computational modelling approach, we show that it is still possible to simulate the weakening social gradient in fertility, in the context of steady declines in family size preferences. Our results show that one of the key drivers of the change in the education-fertility relationship can be found in the transition to an increasingly regulated fertility regime. As the share of unplanned births decreases over time, the negative association between education and fertility weakens and the mechanisms that positively connect educational attainment with desired fertility become dominant.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"103-122"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140859123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anomalous distributions of birthdates across days of the month: An analysis using Spanish statistical records. 不同月份出生日期的异常分布：利用西班牙统计记录进行分析。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2393622
Josep Lledó, Jose M Pavía, Carles Simó-Noguera
{"title":"Anomalous distributions of birthdates across days of the month: An analysis using Spanish statistical records.","authors":"Josep Lledó, Jose M Pavía, Carles Simó-Noguera","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2393622","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2393622","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study investigates birthdate patterns in a context of well-established civil registers and intensive migration inflows. Leveraging extensive Spanish microdata on residential variation flows and the Spanish Municipality Register, this research reveals new facets of the distributions of immigrants' birthdates across days of the month that differ significantly from those of non-migrants. The registered days of the month for birthdates are categorized into six distinct types based on the assumption that the anomalous distributions of birthdates will display rounding or simplifying patterns (digit preferences). The investigation reveals important anomalies in the distribution of birthdates that are much more pronounced for immigrants. A notable concentration of recorded birthdates is confirmed within all the designated types, contrasted by an under-recording of births on the remaining days of the month. These anomalies depend primarily on migrants' country of origin and age group. The paper ends by proposing some recommendations for mitigating the anomalies.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"167-185"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142477781","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Change in the perceived reproductive age window and delayed fertility in Europe. 欧洲育龄窗口期的变化与延迟生育。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2023.2298678
Ester Lazzari, Marie-Caroline Compans, Eva Beaujouan
{"title":"Change in the perceived reproductive age window and delayed fertility in Europe.","authors":"Ester Lazzari, Marie-Caroline Compans, Eva Beaujouan","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2023.2298678","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2023.2298678","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>While extensive literature documents the massive fertility delay of recent decades, knowledge about whether and how attitudes towards the timing of births have changed in Europe remains limited. Using data from two rounds of the European Social Survey, we investigate these changes and their association with macro-level fertility indicators in 21 countries. Between 2006-07 and 2018-19, societal consensus regarding the existence of optimal childbearing ages remained strong and became more in favour of later parenthood. Decomposition analyses show that these shifts were driven only partially by changes in population composition, supporting the idea that a general attitudinal change in favour of later childbearing is underway. We also find a trend towards gender convergence in upper age limits driven by the increasing social recognition of an age deadline for men's childbearing. Although shifts in perceived reproductive age windows occurred during periods of birth postponement, they corresponded only loosely to country-level changes in fertility.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"81-101"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7616508/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139997865","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Child fostering and maternal migration in sub-Saharan Africa. 撒哈拉以南非洲的儿童抚养和孕产妇移徙。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2435312
Cassandra Cotton
{"title":"Child fostering and maternal migration in sub-Saharan Africa.","authors":"Cassandra Cotton","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2435312","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2435312","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Rising feminization of migration has resulted in substantial flows of women migrating in Africa, increasing the importance of migration in women's lives. Although child fostering is an enduring feature of family life throughout Africa, few studies have examined the role that maternal migration may play in these arrangements. I use Demographic and Health Survey data from 24 African countries to explore associations between maternal migration experience and fostering out of children aged 0-17, focusing on maternal migrant status, migrant stream, motivation, and timing of migration relative to births of children, to explore potential disruption introduced by migration. Results suggest that maternal migration disrupts mother-child co-residence, with greater fostering among children of migrant mothers, particularly rural-urban migrants. Children born before migration display the highest probability of fostering, consistently across migrant streams. These results suggest a need for greater attention to the impacts of maternal migration for children's living arrangements, particularly as migration flows become increasingly feminized.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"59-80"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142956772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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