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Population Studies-A Journal of Demography最新文献

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Evaluating the impact on the sex ratio at birth of a Chinese pilot programme prohibiting prenatal sex selection. 评估中国禁止产前性别选择试点项目对出生性别比的影响。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2523750
Yudan Cheng, Jichao Li
{"title":"Evaluating the impact on the sex ratio at birth of a Chinese pilot programme prohibiting prenatal sex selection.","authors":"Yudan Cheng, Jichao Li","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2523750","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2523750","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study examines the impact of China's regional pilot programmes, which aimed to reduce the sex ratio at birth (SRB) by prohibiting prenatal sex selection. These programmes, implemented in six provinces between 1996 and 2001, served as a precursor to the nationwide policy introduced in 2003. Using a staggered difference-in-differences approach and microdata from the 2010 Population Census, we estimate the causal effects of these pilot programmes on the SRB. The results indicate a significant decline in SRB for second and higher-order births but no meaningful change for first births, suggesting a relatively modest overall impact. The policy was more effective among populations with better economic conditions and higher maternal education and among non-agricultural hukou holders and migrants. This heterogeneity underscores the importance of socio-economic factors, gender-egalitarian attitudes, and strength of policy enforcement in determining the policy's success. These findings provide valuable insights into the potential effects of the 2003 nationwide policy.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"179-198"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144692013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Return migration of Dutch pensioners abroad: Intentions and behaviour in a three-year follow-up study. 荷兰退休人员在国外的回迁：一项为期三年的跟踪研究的意图和行为。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2510971
Juul Spaan, Kène Henkens, Matthijs Kalmijn
{"title":"Return migration of Dutch pensioners abroad: Intentions and behaviour in a three-year follow-up study.","authors":"Juul Spaan, Kène Henkens, Matthijs Kalmijn","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2510971","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2510971","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Insecurities and risks related to ageing in a foreign country could fuel return migration among international retirement migrants. The few studies examining retirement migrants' return have been small in scale and focused mainly on return intentions rather than return behaviour. In this paper, we examine the prevalence and predictors of return migration among retirement migrants and the discrepancy between return intentions and return behaviour. We collected survey data on a representative sample of 5,065 Dutch retirement migrants in 40 destinations and combined them with administrative data on return migration. Three years after data collection, almost 9 per cent had returned to the Netherlands, whereas less than 5 per cent had intended to return during this period. Our findings show how age-related changes and transnational ties to the country of origin increase the likelihood of return. Our results also suggest that retirement migrants may underestimate the long-term implications and social embeddedness of the return migration decision.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"139-157"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144555361","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Child trafficking from south-west to south-east China: An investigation of Fujian Province as a final destination. 中国西南向东南贩卖儿童：以福建省为最终目的地的调查。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2542604
Annan Jin, Gang Li, Shuyan Xue, Yushan Huang, Yuting Li, Qifan Nie
{"title":"Child trafficking from south-west to south-east China: An investigation of Fujian Province as a final destination.","authors":"Annan Jin, Gang Li, Shuyan Xue, Yushan Huang, Yuting Li, Qifan Nie","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2542604","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2542604","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Fujian Province has been confirmed by several studies as one of China's hotspot destinations for child trafficking, making it a typical region for understanding the characteristics, routes, and causes of child trafficking. This study explores these issues in Fujian Province using publicly available data from a public-interest missing persons website. The results indicate that trafficked children in Fujian were predominantly infant aged. Trafficked children clearly flowed from south-west to south-east China, with Guizhou Province a major source of trafficking and Fujian Province as the primary destination, particularly between 1980 and 2000. Quanzhou and Putian have consistently been key node cities in Fujian's child-trafficking network. Furthermore, we find that the purchase of trafficked children is viewed by individuals as a means to resolve reproductive issues, maintain family lineage, and address other related concerns. This demand lowers the threshold for criminality and reduces the strength of crime regulation at the community and societal levels through interpersonal networks.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"159-177"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145066129","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ancestral marriage cultures and first partnership choices of the children of immigrants. 祖先婚姻文化与移民子女的第一伴侣选择。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-06-18 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2510986
Kenneth Aa Wiik, Janna Bergsvik, Jennifer A Holland, Michael J Thomas
{"title":"Ancestral marriage cultures and first partnership choices of the children of immigrants.","authors":"Kenneth Aa Wiik, Janna Bergsvik, Jennifer A Holland, Michael J Thomas","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2510986","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2510986","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Using Norwegian register data and data from the World Marriage Database, we investigate how marriage behaviour in countries of origin is associated with the first partnership choices of the children of immigrants (i.e. the second generation and childhood migrants). We consider the timing and type of first partnership, distinguishing between marriage and cohabitation and between endogamous, exogamous, and majority-background partner choices. Results from discrete-time multilevel models confirm that less traditional partnership behaviour in origin countries, characterized by a later singulate mean age at marriage and a higher share unmarried at ages 25-29, is associated with less traditional behaviour in Norway, such as cohabitation and choosing a majority-background partner. We also examine heterogeneity by sex and migrant generation as well as the importance of the local partner market. Together, our results underscore the significance of origin-country norms and behaviours in shaping the partnership formation of young adults with migrant backgrounds.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"83-104"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144318391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The fertility desires-intentions gap in the United States. 美国生育意愿与生育意愿的差距。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2501315
Luca Badolato
{"title":"The fertility desires-intentions gap in the United States.","authors":"Luca Badolato","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2501315","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2501315","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Indicators of fertility goals are crucial demographic tools, but the availability of different constructs and misleading language in empirical research are a source of confusion, with fertility desires and intentions often used interchangeably. Fertility desires reflect an intrinsic wish to have children, whereas fertility intentions reflect an actual plan. I operationalize the fertility desires-intentions gap by considering that individuals might: (1) <i>desire and intend</i>; (2) <i>desire but not intend</i>; (3) <i>not desire but intend</i>; or (4) <i>not desire or intend</i> to have (more) children. Using nationally representative data for the United States and drawing from a life-course and gender perspective, I estimate aggregate-level, age-specific, and parity-specific indicators for both men and women and use regression models to identify predictors of the fertility desires-intentions gap. These analyses clarify the confusion generated by different measures, provide insights in light of the recent fertility decline, and reveal the consequences of considering (or not) sterility status in measures of fertility goals.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"43-61"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144095446","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Explaining immigrant-native differences in health at birth: The role of immigrant selectivity in Spain. 解释移民与本地人出生时健康状况的差异：西班牙移民选择性的作用。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2481953
Alessandro Ferrara, Marco Cozzani
{"title":"Explaining immigrant-native differences in health at birth: The role of immigrant selectivity in Spain.","authors":"Alessandro Ferrara, Marco Cozzani","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2481953","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2481953","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Evidence shows that immigrants are often in better health than the native born-the so-called 'immigrant health paradox'-and this advantage may extend to their children's health. A commonly cited but rarely tested explanation is the 'selectivity hypothesis', positing that immigrants are healthier due to selection at origin based on health or socio-economic status (SES). Using 2007-19 Spanish birth registries, we investigate immigrant-native gaps in health at birth and whether they are explained by immigrants' educational selectivity. We find that babies born to immigrants are less likely to be low birthweight (LBW) but are disadvantaged in terms of macrosomia and gestational age. Selectivity is associated with reduced LBW even after accounting for parental SES, explaining the lower risk among children of Northern African and Latin American immigrants but not across other parental country-of-birth groups. Selectivity is not associated with other birth outcomes. We confirm the selectivity hypothesis but question its universality across groups and health outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"105-122"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143755209","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Belonging to the neighbourhood, residential mobility, and the transition to parenthood. 邻里关系，居住流动性，以及向为人父母的过渡。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2478929
Brian Buh, Eva Beaujouan, Ann Berrington
{"title":"Belonging to the neighbourhood, residential mobility, and the transition to parenthood.","authors":"Brian Buh, Eva Beaujouan, Ann Berrington","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2478929","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2478929","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The sense of belonging to the current neighbourhood may play a role in the transition to parenthood by indicating a feeling of being 'at home' and having access to social resources. However, previous research has indicated that individuals often move house in anticipation of parenthood, likely altering their connection to the neighbourhood in the process. With data from the UK Household Longitudinal Study (2009-23) and using logit regression, we examine the likelihood of a first birth. The results reveal that individuals with a higher sense of belonging to their neighbourhood are more likely to have a first child: especially recent movers compared with long-term residents. Furthermore, while long-distance movers generally show a lower probability of becoming parents, those with a high sense of belonging are as likely as short-distance movers to become parents. These findings suggest that socio-spatial factors play a role in the transition to parenthood.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"63-81"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143765435","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Working longer despite poorer health? Inequalities in healthy and unhealthy working life expectancies in South Korea. 健康状况不佳但工作时间更长？韩国健康和不健康工作寿命方面的不平等。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-02-23 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2026.2625712
Anastasia Lam, Katherine Keenan, Hill Kulu, Mikko Myrskylä
{"title":"Working longer despite poorer health? Inequalities in healthy and unhealthy working life expectancies in South Korea.","authors":"Anastasia Lam, Katherine Keenan, Hill Kulu, Mikko Myrskylä","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2026.2625712","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2026.2625712","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Healthy working life expectancy estimates often exclude individuals working beyond retirement age, especially in countries with large informal economies. In South Korea, where old-age employment is highly prevalent, we need to identify who works past retirement, for how long, and in what state of health. Using the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging (2006-22) and discrete-time multistate models, we estimate healthy and unhealthy working life expectancy at age 50 by gender, education, and urban/rural residence. On average, men work seven years past retirement age, and 28 per cent of their life expectancy at age 50 is spent working with at least one chronic health condition. These values increase to 10 years and 33 per cent for men in rural areas. Estimates for women are lower than those observed for men, and educational differences are minimal. Our findings highlight how gender and urban/rural residence may contribute to old-age health and employment by shaping opportunities and behaviours throughout the life course.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-02-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"147272462","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
What is the case fatality rate of smallpox? 天花的病死率是多少？
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-02-16 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2026.2620692
Eric B Schneider, Romola Jane Davenport
{"title":"What is the case fatality rate of smallpox?","authors":"Eric B Schneider, Romola Jane Davenport","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2026.2620692","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2026.2620692","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This paper uses population smallpox mortality rates in eighteenth-century Sweden and the death toll from the 1707-09 smallpox epidemic in Iceland to estimate plausible ranges for the case fatality rate (CFR) of smallpox (Variola major). We find that smallpox CFRs could be extremely high (43-55 per cent) when smallpox attacked a population where both children and adults were susceptible, as in Iceland. However, where smallpox was endemic and therefore a disease of childhood, as in Sweden, the estimated CFR is only 8-10 per cent: far lower than the consensus CFR of 20-30 per cent. We argue that social factors explain these differences. Where both adults and children were susceptible, smallpox epidemics fundamentally disrupted basic household tasks and nursing of the sick, dramatically increasing the CFR. Thus, when historians and epidemiologists give CFRs for smallpox, they should consider the population and context rather than relying on an implausible intrinsic CFR of 20-30 per cent.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-15"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-02-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146203372","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Dynamics of internal migration rates in Japan: Declining trends disaggregated by age, period, and cohort. 日本内部移民率的动态：按年龄、时期和队列分类的下降趋势。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2026-01-29 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2026.2615332
Masaki Kotsubo, Tomoki Nakaya
{"title":"Dynamics of internal migration rates in Japan: Declining trends disaggregated by age, period, and cohort.","authors":"Masaki Kotsubo, Tomoki Nakaya","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2026.2615332","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2026.2615332","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In recent decades, a long-term internal migration decline has been observed in many countries, including Japan. To explore the dynamics of internal migration in Japan, we apply the age-period-cohort-interaction model to five-year inter-prefectural migration rate data from six nationally representative surveys conducted between 1991 and 2016. The results show regular age-specific migration patterns, fluctuating period effects, and inter- and intra-cohort differences. Age effects reflect general migration patterns and largely explain the decline, while period effects show no consistent trend. Relatively recent generations tend to exhibit statistically significant high or low migration rates, visible as inter-cohort differences. While some of these inter-cohort differences converge with age, cohorts that experienced socio-economic shocks in their early 20s display consistently low migration rates. This pattern indicates that such shocks impose long-term structural constraints to migration as a pathway to accessing improved employment, suggesting the need for targeted policy interventions to counter declining internal migration.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-22"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2026-01-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"146086897","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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