Population Studies-A Journal of Demography最新文献

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Seasonal variation in infant mortality in India. 印度婴儿死亡率的季节性变化。
IF 2.4 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2022.2112746
Aashish Gupta
{"title":"Seasonal variation in infant mortality in India.","authors":"Aashish Gupta","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2112746","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2022.2112746","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Investigating seasonal variation in health helps us understand interactions between population, environment, and disease. Using information on birth month and year, survival status within the first year of life, and age at death (if applicable) of more than 330,000 children observed in four rounds of India's Demographic and Health Surveys, I estimate period mortality rates between birth and age one (<sub>1</sub>m<sub>0</sub>) by calendar month. Relative to spring months, infant mortality is higher in the summer, monsoon, and winter months. If spring mortality conditions had been prevalent throughout the year, mortality below age one would have been lower by 11.4 deaths per 1,000 in the early 1990s and 3.7 deaths per 1,000 in the mid-2010s. Seasonal variation in infant mortality has declined overall but remains higher among disadvantaged children. The results highlight the multiple environmental health threats that Indian infants face and the short time of year when these threats are less salient.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"76 3","pages":"535-552"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10426145","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Demographic models of the reproductive process: Past, interlude, and future. 生殖过程的人口模型:过去、插曲和未来。
IF 2.4 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2021.1959943
Daniel Ciganda, Nicolas Todd
{"title":"Demographic models of the reproductive process: Past, interlude, and future.","authors":"Daniel Ciganda,&nbsp;Nicolas Todd","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2021.1959943","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2021.1959943","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>After 30 years of active development, mechanistic models of the reproductive process nearly stopped attracting scholarly interest in the early 1980s. In the following decades, fertility research continued to thrive, relying on solid descriptive work and detailed analysis of micro-level data. The absence of systematic modelling efforts, however, has also made the field more fragmented, with empirical research, theory building, and forecasting advancing along largely disconnected channels. In this paper we outline some of the drivers of this process, from the popularization of user-friendly statistical software to the limitations of early family building models. We then describe a series of developments in computational modelling and statistical computing that can contribute to the emergence of a new generation of mechanistic models. Finally, we introduce a concrete example of this new kind of model, and show how they can be used to formulate and test theories coherently and make informed projections.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"76 3","pages":"495-513"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10786921","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
The interplay of race/ethnicity and education in fertility patterns. 种族/族裔和教育在生育模式中的相互作用。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2022-11-01 Epub Date: 2022-10-18 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2022.2130965
Emma Zang, Chloe Sariego, Anirudh Krishnan
{"title":"The interplay of race/ethnicity and education in fertility patterns.","authors":"Emma Zang, Chloe Sariego, Anirudh Krishnan","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2130965","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2130965","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study examines the interplay between race/ethnicity and educational attainment in shaping completed fertility in the United States for women born 1961-80. Using data from the National Survey of Family Growth, 2006-17, we apply multilevel, multiprocess hazard models to account for unobserved heterogeneity and to estimate (1) cohort total fertility rates, (2) parity progression ratios, and (3) parity-specific fertility timing, for non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic Black, and Hispanic women by educational attainment. We find that compared with their white counterparts, fertility was higher among Black and Hispanic women with less than high school education. However, among college-educated women, fertility levels were lowest among Black women and highest among Hispanic women. The difference in fertility between college-educated Black and white women is driven mainly by the smaller proportion of Black mothers having second births. We find little evidence that the observed racial/ethnic disparities in fertility levels by educational attainment are driven by differences in fertility timing.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"76 3","pages":"363-385"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9613612/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10420425","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
So happy together … Examining the association between relationship happiness, socio-economic status, and family transitions in the UK. 在英国,研究关系幸福、社会经济地位和家庭转型之间的关系。
IF 2.4 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2022-11-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2021.1984549
Brienna Perelli-Harris, Niels Blom
{"title":"So happy together … Examining the association between relationship happiness, socio-economic status, and family transitions in the UK.","authors":"Brienna Perelli-Harris,&nbsp;Niels Blom","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2021.1984549","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2021.1984549","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The increases in cohabitation and in childbearing within cohabitation raise questions about who marries. Most studies have found that childbearing within cohabitation is associated with disadvantage; here, we examine the role of relationship happiness and whether it helps to explain this association. Using the UK Household Longitudinal Study (2009-17), our competing risk hazard models follow respondents as they transition: (1) from cohabitation into marriage or childbearing; and (2) from marriage or cohabitation into childbearing. We find that marriage risks are highest among individuals who are happiest with their relationship. On average, the association between relationship quality and childbearing operates through marriage: the happiest individuals marry, and those who marry have children. While higher socio-economic status is weakly associated with marriage, conception, and separation, the associations do not differ by relationship happiness. The findings indicate that overall, relationship happiness appears to be most salient for transitions into marriage.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"76 3","pages":"447-464"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-11-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10421600","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 3
The illusion of stable fertility preferences. 对稳定生育偏好的错觉。
IF 2.4 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2022.2057577
Maximilian W Müller, Joan Hamory, Jennifer Johnson-Hanks, Edward Miguel
{"title":"The illusion of stable fertility preferences.","authors":"Maximilian W Müller,&nbsp;Joan Hamory,&nbsp;Jennifer Johnson-Hanks,&nbsp;Edward Miguel","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2057577","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2022.2057577","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Fertility preferences have long played a key role in models of fertility differentials and change. We examine the stability of preferences over time using rich panel data on Kenyan women's fertility desires, expectations, actual fertility, and recall of desires in three waves over a nine-year period, when respondents were in their 20s. We find that although desired fertility is quite unstable, most women perceive their desires to be stable. Under hypothetical future scenarios, few expect their desired fertility to increase over time but, in fact, such increases in fertility desires are common. Moreover, when asked to recall past desires, most respondents report previously wanting exactly as many children as they desire today. These patterns of bias are consistent with the emerging view that fertility desires are contextual, emotionally laden, and structured by identity.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"76 2","pages":"169-189"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9256780/pdf/nihms-1793609.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10535806","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 9
Constructing monthly residential locations of adults using merged state administrative data. 使用合并的州行政数据构建成年人每月的居住地点。
IF 2.4 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2022-07-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2022.2085776
Mark C Long, Elizabeth Pelletier, Jennifer Romich
{"title":"Constructing monthly residential locations of adults using merged state administrative data.","authors":"Mark C Long,&nbsp;Elizabeth Pelletier,&nbsp;Jennifer Romich","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2085776","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2022.2085776","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In any month, administrative data collected by government agencies contain a fraction of the polity's adults, namely those who have interacted with government agencies in that month. For researchers and policymakers who want to evaluate questions that require a spatial location of the whole population of adults at a given time (e.g. job-residence spatial mismatch, impacts of local policies), these fragmentary records are insufficient. Combining administrative data from several agencies in the State of Washington, United States (US), we impute residential histories by parameterizing the 'decay' in maintenance of an observed address. This process yields an imputed population whose demography and geographic distribution matches well with survey estimates. This work uses driving licence, voter, social services, and birth records to append address locations to Unemployment Insurance data, a process that could be replicated with administrative records in other US states and countries with sporadic address data from various agencies.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"76 2","pages":"253-272"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9261274/pdf/nihms-1814719.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9729170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ready-Willing-Able: Early childhood mortality decline in Turkey. 准备--愿意--能够:土耳其幼儿死亡率下降。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2022-07-01 Epub Date: 2022-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2022.2058596
Rengin Aktar, Alberto Palloni
{"title":"Ready-Willing-Able: Early childhood mortality decline in Turkey.","authors":"Rengin Aktar, Alberto Palloni","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2058596","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2058596","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>We test a conjecture to explain Turkey's decades-long 'underachievement' in early child mortality improvements. We argue that it is largely a consequence of cultural barriers to embracing available modern medical technology and healthcare practices. The empirical test rests on a reformulation of Coale's Ready-Willing-Able (RWA) framework for explaining fertility changes, which makes it suitable to understand mortality changes. We use structural equation modelling and Demographic and Health Surveys spanning 1993-2013 to estimate basic parameters of the reformulated framework. These parameters are then used to classify mothers into four groups with different configurations of RWA dimensions and different probabilities of adopting modern medical practices. We find that observed behaviours in these groups were consistent with RWA expectations. In addition, we find that an important contributor to Turkey's lagging mortality decline was a population distribution biased towards groups more reticent to adopting modern healthcare.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"76 2","pages":"273-293"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2022-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9256781/pdf/nihms-1792367.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9786213","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Population-level impact of adverse early life conditions on adult healthy life expectancy in low- and middle-income countries. 在低收入和中等收入国家,不良的早期生活条件对成人健康预期寿命的人口水平影响。
IF 2.4 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2022-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2021.1933149
Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez, Alberto Palloni, Yiyue Huangfu, Mary McEniry
{"title":"Population-level impact of adverse early life conditions on adult healthy life expectancy in low- and middle-income countries.","authors":"Hiram Beltrán-Sánchez,&nbsp;Alberto Palloni,&nbsp;Yiyue Huangfu,&nbsp;Mary McEniry","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2021.1933149","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2021.1933149","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Evidence from theories of Developmental Origins of Health and Disease (DOHaD) suggests that experiencing adverse early life conditions subsequently leads to detrimental adult health outcomes. The bulk of empirical DOHaD literature does not consider the nature and magnitude of the impact of adverse early life conditions at the population level. In particular, it ignores the distortion of age and cohort patterns of adult health and mortality and the increased load of chronic illness and disability that ensues. In this paper, we use a microsimulation model combined with empirical estimates of incidence and prevalence of obesity, type 2 diabetes, and associated disability in low- and middle-income countries to assess the magnitude of delayed effects on adult healthy life expectancy and on compression (or expansion) of morbidity at older ages. The main goal is to determine if, in what ways, and to what extent delayed effects due to early conditions can influence cohorts' chronic illness and disability profiles.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"76 1","pages":"19-36"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://sci-hub-pdf.com/10.1080/00324728.2021.1933149","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"10810943","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 6
Preferences for a mixed-sex composition of offspring: A multigenerational approach. 对后代混合性别构成的偏好:多代法
IF 2.4 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2022-03-01 Epub Date: 2022-02-08 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2022.2027003
Federica Querin
{"title":"Preferences for a mixed-sex composition of offspring: A multigenerational approach.","authors":"Federica Querin","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2027003","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2022.2027003","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Parents with two boys or two girls are more likely to have a third child than those with a 'sex mix'. However, little is known on whether these 'mixed-sex preferences' extend beyond the nuclear family. This study leverages the random variation in sex at birth to assess whether the sex of nieces and nephews, in combination with own children, matters for fertility choices. Using three-generational data from the US Panel Study of Income Dynamics (PSID), I show that extended families (including grandparents, their children, and their grandchildren) are collectively more likely to have three or more grandchildren when lacking sex mix, whether the first two grandchildren are siblings or cousins. I explore the pathways for these offspring sex preferences, finding support for a preference for an uninterrupted line of male descendants. This multigenerational approach also contributes a new estimation strategy that causally estimates the effects of family sizes on outcomes beyond fertility.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"76 1","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC8891064/pdf/nihms-1771236.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"9358490","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
What have we learned about mortality patterns over the past 25 years? 在过去的25年里,我们对死亡率模式有什么了解?
IF 2.4 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2021-12-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2021.1967430
Alyson A van Raalte
{"title":"What have we learned about mortality patterns over the past 25 years?","authors":"Alyson A van Raalte","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2021.1967430","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2021.1967430","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In this paper, I examine progress in the field of mortality over the past 25 years. I argue that we have been most successful in taking advantage of an increasingly data-rich environment to improve aggregate mortality models and test pre-existing theories. Less progress has been made in relating our estimates of mortality risk at the individual level to broader mortality patterns at the population level while appropriately accounting for contextual differences and compositional change. Overall, I find that the field of mortality continues to be highly visible in demographic journals, including <i>Population Studies</i>. However much of what is published today in field journals could just as easily appear in neighbouring disciplinary journals, as disciplinary boundaries are shrinking.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":"75 sup1","pages":"105-132"},"PeriodicalIF":2.4,"publicationDate":"2021-12-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"39721230","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
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