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Population Studies-A Journal of Demography最新文献

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Fertility, birth, reproduction: Connecting formal demographic frameworks. 生育，出生，再生产：连接正式的人口结构框架。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-10-03 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2550770
Annette Baudisch, Antonino Polizzi
{"title":"Fertility, birth, reproduction: Connecting formal demographic frameworks.","authors":"Annette Baudisch, Antonino Polizzi","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2550770","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2550770","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The conventional framework of fertility research conceptualizes childbirth from the mother's perspective. From her perspective, birth is an uncertain and potentially recurring event. In contrast, the <i>Born once, die once</i> (B1D1) framework conceptualizes birth as an event experienced by the child. From that perspective, birth is certain and, like death, occurs only once. As an advantage over the conventional approach, the new perspective allows for the use of density, survival, and hazard functions to study age patterns of birth at the macro level, using birth counts for all parities by maternal age. Here, we reformulate the B1D1 framework using fertility-rate notation. This allows us to extend the conventional fertility framework by analogous density, survival, and hazard functions. These functions can shed new light on differences in age patterns of fertility across populations and advance conventional fertility research, including by capturing fertility and mortality age patterns with common concepts and measures.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-15"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-10-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145213780","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Child trafficking from south-west to south-east China: An investigation of Fujian Province as a final destination. 中国西南向东南贩卖儿童：以福建省为最终目的地的调查。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-09-15 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2542604
Annan Jin, Gang Li, Shuyan Xue, Yushan Huang, Yuting Li, Qifan Nie
{"title":"Child trafficking from south-west to south-east China: An investigation of Fujian Province as a final destination.","authors":"Annan Jin, Gang Li, Shuyan Xue, Yushan Huang, Yuting Li, Qifan Nie","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2542604","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2542604","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Fujian Province has been confirmed by several studies as one of China's hotspot destinations for child trafficking, making it a typical region for understanding the characteristics, routes, and causes of child trafficking. This study explores these issues in Fujian Province using publicly available data from a public-interest missing persons website. The results indicate that trafficked children in Fujian were predominantly infant aged. Trafficked children clearly flowed from south-west to south-east China, with Guizhou Province a major source of trafficking and Fujian Province as the primary destination, particularly between 1980 and 2000. Quanzhou and Putian have consistently been key node cities in Fujian's child-trafficking network. Furthermore, we find that the purchase of trafficked children is viewed by individuals as a means to resolve reproductive issues, maintain family lineage, and address other related concerns. This demand lowers the threshold for criminality and reduces the strength of crime regulation at the community and societal levels through interpersonal networks.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-19"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-09-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145066129","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Trends in fertility preferences among Italian young adults. 意大利年轻人的生育偏好趋势。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-09-08 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2542833
Francesca Luppi, Daniela Bellani, Alessandro Rosina
{"title":"Trends in fertility preferences among Italian young adults.","authors":"Francesca Luppi, Daniela Bellani, Alessandro Rosina","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2542833","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2542833","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In examining Italy's low fertility, recent studies have emphasized the role played by socio-economic factors, uncertainty, and the welfare state. Meanwhile, emerging research is highlighting a potential downward revision of fertility ideals among more recent generations. Our study analyses trends in fertility desires and expectations among young adults in Italy from 2012 to 2022. Findings reveal growing tendencies to: (1) not desire children, among more recent cohorts; and (2) to not expect to have children during the lifetime, in more recent years. Specifically, this indicates a nuanced demographic gradient: we observe a decline in fertility desires and expectations with age and a significant increase in the likelihood of not desiring children for women across birth cohorts. Our study highlights the need for robust, harmonized cross-national surveys to better understand new fertility ideals across different socio-demographic contexts.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145015222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Trend breaks in life expectancy in the United States over 120 years and potential sources of future gains. 美国人120岁以上预期寿命的趋势和未来收益的潜在来源。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-09-04 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2546993
Jiaxin Shi, Jason M Fletcher
{"title":"Trend breaks in life expectancy in the United States over 120 years and potential sources of future gains.","authors":"Jiaxin Shi, Jason M Fletcher","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2546993","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2546993","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Research indicates a significant slowdown in life expectancy growth in the United States (US) post 2010, marking a departure from the consistent progress in longevity throughout the twentieth century. We extend this understanding, tracing the deceleration of US life expectancy back to the 1950s, after which average decadal change dropped from 3.80 to 1.61 years. Surprisingly, these mid-twentieth-century shifts were consistent across race and sex in the US and also in other high-income countries. Using a simple approach of quantifying potential life expectancy gains by eliminating mortality at specific ages, we find that the potential gains in life expectancy from reducing midlife mortality have been larger in the US than in other countries since 1900. The findings suggest that US life expectancy is unlikely to progress at the high speed observed between 1900 and the 1950s, with future advancements hinging on the reduction of old-age mortality, particularly from cardiovascular diseases and mental and nervous system diseases.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144993890","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Health in early adulthood and fertility: A study based on the 1958 British cohort. 成年早期健康与生育：一项基于1958年英国队列的研究。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-08-18 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2531819
Eleonora Trappolini, Alyce Raybould, Giammarco Alderotti
{"title":"Health in early adulthood and fertility: A study based on the 1958 British cohort.","authors":"Eleonora Trappolini, Alyce Raybould, Giammarco Alderotti","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2531819","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2531819","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Health is rarely used as an explanatory variable in fertility studies in high-income contexts, unlike in low-income settings. Using the 1958 National Child Development Study, we explore how self-rated health (SRH) and body mass index (BMI) at age 23 relate to achievement of fertility goals by age 46. We find that worse SRH and a BMI outside the healthy range at age 23 are strongly associated with lower fertility and underachieving fertility goals. While poor SRH is associated with lower fertility mostly among men, BMI outside the healthy range at 23 is more significant for women. Additional analyses indicate that employment and union history partly mediate the effect of health on fertility, but health retains a substantive direct effect. Our findings suggest that health in early adulthood is an important determinant, whether direct or indirect, of family life-course trajectories. This paper endorses the inclusion of health as an explanatory variable in studies of fertility in high-income contexts.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-08-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144875954","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Too many men? Subnational population imbalances and men's childlessness in Finland. 男人太多了？芬兰地方人口失衡与男性无子女。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-07-29 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2534876
Henrik-Alexander Schubert, Christian Dudel
{"title":"Too many men? Subnational population imbalances and men's childlessness in Finland.","authors":"Henrik-Alexander Schubert, Christian Dudel","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2534876","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2534876","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Men's childlessness is increasing in many high-income countries. In Finland, 29 per cent of all men aged 45 were childless in 2022. The cause of these high levels of childlessness is unclear. In this paper, we use rich Finnish population register data to examine whether sex imbalances in regional partner markets are a potential driver of men's childlessness. Partner markets are imbalanced in a given region if there is a surplus of men relative to women or vice versa. The data generally show an increasingly imbalanced partner market situation for men over time but with considerable regional heterogeneity. Individual-level regression results for men born in 1968-75 (<i>N</i>  =  194,080) indicate an increased probability of childlessness at age 45 after extended exposure to imbalanced partner markets over the life course. This association is particularly strong for low-income men. These findings are robust across indicators and specifications. Overall, regional context seems to play a crucial role in the risk of childlessness.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-21"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144733988","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Changes in numerators and denominators of death rates and their contributions to changes in life expectancy. 死亡率分子和分母的变化及其对预期寿命变化的贡献。
IF 2.2 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-07-28 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2531823
Wen Su, Mike Hollingshaus, Vladimir Canudas-Romo
{"title":"Changes in numerators and denominators of death rates and their contributions to changes in life expectancy.","authors":"Wen Su, Mike Hollingshaus, Vladimir Canudas-Romo","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2531823","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2531823","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Demographers use ratios, proportions, and rates-all calculated as counts in numerators divided by counts in denominators-as key research inputs. For age-specific death rates, the numerator is observed deaths and the denominator is person-years lived. Life expectancy summarizes those rates into one measure, and its changes convey messages of changing mortality across time. We examine the contributions from the two components of life expectancy change: the population growth rate (relative changes in person-years in the denominator) and growth rate of deaths (relative changes in number of deaths in the numerator). We name this the numerator-denominator decomposition method. Applying the method to high-longevity countries during 2009-19 shows increases in life expectancy driven by high population growth at older ages without comparable increases in deaths. The United States experienced little life expectancy increase, and subnational comparisons show stark differences between urban and rural areas.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-14"},"PeriodicalIF":2.2,"publicationDate":"2025-07-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144733987","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Women's education and fertility in select countries of Africa and Asia: Moderation by quality of education. 非洲和亚洲某些国家的妇女教育和生育率：教育质量的调节。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-07-24 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2523761
Shuang Chen
{"title":"Women's education and fertility in select countries of Africa and Asia: Moderation by quality of education.","authors":"Shuang Chen","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2523761","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2523761","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Despite a large literature on education and fertility, most studies are narrowly focused on the level of schooling completed. Does the schooling-fertility relationship depend on the quality of education? Is more schooling still associated with lower fertility even when the quality of education is poor? Drawing on Demographic and Health Survey data from 42 countries in Africa and Asia, this study uses cross-national analysis to examine whether the quality of education moderates the schooling-fertility relationship. Findings show that the strength of the schooling-fertility relationship depends significantly on a country's quality of education: the higher the quality of education, the stronger the negative relationship. But even when educational quality is low, a negative relationship between level of schooling and fertility still exists. By conceptually and empirically distinguishing the level of schooling from the quality of education, this study contributes to a more nuanced understanding of women's education and fertility.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-23"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-07-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144700103","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Evaluating the impact on the sex ratio at birth of a Chinese pilot programme prohibiting prenatal sex selection. 评估中国禁止产前性别选择试点项目对出生性别比的影响。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-07-23 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2523750
Yudan Cheng, Jichao Li
{"title":"Evaluating the impact on the sex ratio at birth of a Chinese pilot programme prohibiting prenatal sex selection.","authors":"Yudan Cheng, Jichao Li","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2523750","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2523750","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study examines the impact of China's regional pilot programmes, which aimed to reduce the sex ratio at birth (SRB) by prohibiting prenatal sex selection. These programmes, implemented in six provinces between 1996 and 2001, served as a precursor to the nationwide policy introduced in 2003. Using a staggered difference-in-differences approach and microdata from the 2010 Population Census, we estimate the causal effects of these pilot programmes on the SRB. The results indicate a significant decline in SRB for second and higher-order births but no meaningful change for first births, suggesting a relatively modest overall impact. The policy was more effective among populations with better economic conditions and higher maternal education and among non-agricultural hukou holders and migrants. This heterogeneity underscores the importance of socio-economic factors, gender-egalitarian attitudes, and strength of policy enforcement in determining the policy's success. These findings provide valuable insights into the potential effects of the 2003 nationwide policy.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-20"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-07-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144692013","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Return migration of Dutch pensioners abroad: Intentions and behaviour in a three-year follow-up study. 荷兰退休人员在国外的回迁：一项为期三年的跟踪研究的意图和行为。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-07-03 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2510971
Juul Spaan, Kène Henkens, Matthijs Kalmijn
{"title":"Return migration of Dutch pensioners abroad: Intentions and behaviour in a three-year follow-up study.","authors":"Juul Spaan, Kène Henkens, Matthijs Kalmijn","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2510971","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2510971","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Insecurities and risks related to ageing in a foreign country could fuel return migration among international retirement migrants. The few studies examining retirement migrants' return have been small in scale and focused mainly on return intentions rather than return behaviour. In this paper, we examine the prevalence and predictors of return migration among retirement migrants and the discrepancy between return intentions and return behaviour. We collected survey data on a representative sample of 5,065 Dutch retirement migrants in 40 destinations and combined them with administrative data on return migration. Three years after data collection, almost 9 per cent had returned to the Netherlands, whereas less than 5 per cent had intended to return during this period. Our findings show how age-related changes and transnational ties to the country of origin increase the likelihood of return. Our results also suggest that retirement migrants may underestimate the long-term implications and social embeddedness of the return migration decision.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-19"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-07-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144555361","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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