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Population Studies-A Journal of Demography最新文献

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Reassessing general explanations for long-run change in internal migration: Insights from Norway. 重新评估国内移民长期变化的一般解释：来自挪威的见解。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-03 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2461789
Ian Shuttleworth, Stefan Leknes, Michael J Thomas
{"title":"Reassessing general explanations for long-run change in internal migration: Insights from Norway.","authors":"Ian Shuttleworth, Stefan Leknes, Michael J Thomas","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2461789","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2461789","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Internal migration fell in high-income countries such as Australia, the UK, and the United States during the late twentieth and early twenty-first centuries. High-level explanations for these declines have referred to developmental stage (Zelinsky's super-advanced society), changed values and preferences (secular rootedness), and long-run socio-demographic change (second demographic transition). We assess the relevance of these overlapping interpretations in the Norwegian context via a combination of direct empirical tests (using full-population register data for 1981-2015 and Oaxaca-Blinder analysis) and indirect assessments based on the inherent features of the Norwegian case study. The net effect of changes in population composition and behaviours has been to increase migration: the upward effects of a more educated population and changed household structures have outweighed the downward effects of population ageing. Our results raise questions about how far these macro explanations of migration decline are generally applicable. We offer some suggestions for future conceptual and empirical investigation.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-24"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143543796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
When do mothers bury a child? Heterogeneity in the maternal age at offspring loss. 母亲何时埋葬孩子？母亲丧子年龄的异质性。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2345075
Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Ugofilippo Basellini, Emilio Zagheni
{"title":"When do mothers bury a child? Heterogeneity in the maternal age at offspring loss.","authors":"Diego Alburez-Gutierrez, Ugofilippo Basellini, Emilio Zagheni","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2345075","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2345075","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The experience of losing a child is increasingly uncommon worldwide but is no less devastating for parents who experience it. An overlooked aspect of this phenomenon is its timing: at which age do bereft parents lose a child and how are these ages at loss distributed? We use demographic methods to explore the mean and variability of maternal age at child loss in 18 countries for the 1850-2000 birth cohorts. We find that the distribution of age of child loss is bimodal, with one component representing young offspring deaths and another representing adult offspring deaths. Offspring loss is transitioning from being a relatively common life event, mostly experienced by young mothers, to a rare one spread throughout the maternal life course. Moreover, there is no evidence of convergence in the variability of age at offspring loss. These results advance the formal demography of kinship and underline the need to support bereaved parents across the life course.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"45-57"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141856797","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Microfoundations of the weakening educational gradient in fertility. 生育率教育梯度减弱的微观基础。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-03 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2319031
Daniel Ciganda, Angelo Lorenti, Lars Dommermuth
{"title":"Microfoundations of the weakening educational gradient in fertility.","authors":"Daniel Ciganda, Angelo Lorenti, Lars Dommermuth","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2319031","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2319031","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The disappearance of the social gradient in fertility represents a paradigm shift that has called into question the validity of theories that predicted a decline in fertility with increased access to education and resources. Emerging theories have tried to explain this trend by highlighting a potential change in the fertility preferences of more educated couples. In this paper we add additional elements to this explanation. Using a computational modelling approach, we show that it is still possible to simulate the weakening social gradient in fertility, in the context of steady declines in family size preferences. Our results show that one of the key drivers of the change in the education-fertility relationship can be found in the transition to an increasingly regulated fertility regime. As the share of unplanned births decreases over time, the negative association between education and fertility weakens and the mechanisms that positively connect educational attainment with desired fertility become dominant.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"103-122"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140859123","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Anomalous distributions of birthdates across days of the month: An analysis using Spanish statistical records. 不同月份出生日期的异常分布：利用西班牙统计记录进行分析。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-10-18 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2393622
Josep Lledó, Jose M Pavía, Carles Simó-Noguera
{"title":"Anomalous distributions of birthdates across days of the month: An analysis using Spanish statistical records.","authors":"Josep Lledó, Jose M Pavía, Carles Simó-Noguera","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2393622","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2393622","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study investigates birthdate patterns in a context of well-established civil registers and intensive migration inflows. Leveraging extensive Spanish microdata on residential variation flows and the Spanish Municipality Register, this research reveals new facets of the distributions of immigrants' birthdates across days of the month that differ significantly from those of non-migrants. The registered days of the month for birthdates are categorized into six distinct types based on the assumption that the anomalous distributions of birthdates will display rounding or simplifying patterns (digit preferences). The investigation reveals important anomalies in the distribution of birthdates that are much more pronounced for immigrants. A notable concentration of recorded birthdates is confirmed within all the designated types, contrasted by an under-recording of births on the remaining days of the month. These anomalies depend primarily on migrants' country of origin and age group. The paper ends by proposing some recommendations for mitigating the anomalies.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"167-185"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142477781","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Change in the perceived reproductive age window and delayed fertility in Europe. 欧洲育龄窗口期的变化与延迟生育。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-03-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2023.2298678
Ester Lazzari, Marie-Caroline Compans, Eva Beaujouan
{"title":"Change in the perceived reproductive age window and delayed fertility in Europe.","authors":"Ester Lazzari, Marie-Caroline Compans, Eva Beaujouan","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2023.2298678","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2023.2298678","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>While extensive literature documents the massive fertility delay of recent decades, knowledge about whether and how attitudes towards the timing of births have changed in Europe remains limited. Using data from two rounds of the European Social Survey, we investigate these changes and their association with macro-level fertility indicators in 21 countries. Between 2006-07 and 2018-19, societal consensus regarding the existence of optimal childbearing ages remained strong and became more in favour of later parenthood. Decomposition analyses show that these shifts were driven only partially by changes in population composition, supporting the idea that a general attitudinal change in favour of later childbearing is underway. We also find a trend towards gender convergence in upper age limits driven by the increasing social recognition of an age deadline for men's childbearing. Although shifts in perceived reproductive age windows occurred during periods of birth postponement, they corresponded only loosely to country-level changes in fertility.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"81-101"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7616508/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"139997865","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Child fostering and maternal migration in sub-Saharan Africa. 撒哈拉以南非洲的儿童抚养和孕产妇移徙。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-10 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2435312
Cassandra Cotton
{"title":"Child fostering and maternal migration in sub-Saharan Africa.","authors":"Cassandra Cotton","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2435312","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2435312","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Rising feminization of migration has resulted in substantial flows of women migrating in Africa, increasing the importance of migration in women's lives. Although child fostering is an enduring feature of family life throughout Africa, few studies have examined the role that maternal migration may play in these arrangements. I use Demographic and Health Survey data from 24 African countries to explore associations between maternal migration experience and fostering out of children aged 0-17, focusing on maternal migrant status, migrant stream, motivation, and timing of migration relative to births of children, to explore potential disruption introduced by migration. Results suggest that maternal migration disrupts mother-child co-residence, with greater fostering among children of migrant mothers, particularly rural-urban migrants. Children born before migration display the highest probability of fostering, consistently across migrant streams. These results suggest a need for greater attention to the impacts of maternal migration for children's living arrangements, particularly as migration flows become increasingly feminized.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"59-80"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142956772","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Drivers of contraceptive non-use among women and men who are not trying to get pregnant. 不打算怀孕的男女不使用避孕措施的驱动因素。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2025-01-17 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2416533
Jasmin Passet-Wittig, Detlev Lück
{"title":"Drivers of contraceptive non-use among women and men who are <i>not</i> trying to get pregnant.","authors":"Jasmin Passet-Wittig, Detlev Lück","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2416533","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2416533","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study examines an inconsistency between an attitude and a behaviour: non-use of contraception among people who are <i>not</i> trying to get pregnant. More than one in four people in that situation report <i>not</i> using contraception 'sometimes' or 'always' and consequently face the risk of pregnancy. We test three potential explanations: acceptability of having (further) children; perceived low pregnancy risk; and perceived social pressure. Using 10 waves of the German pairfam panel, we estimate sex-specific between-within models, where each explanation is tested by several indicators. We find evidence for the explanation of a(nother) child being considered acceptable: a positive fertility desire increases contraceptive non-use among women and men, and relationship duration increases it among women. Supporting the explanation of low perceived pregnancy risk, analyses show that perceived infertility, breastfeeding, and age increase the probability of non-use of contraception for women and men. However, there is no strong evidence for perceived social pressure affecting contraceptive non-use.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"141-165"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143013975","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Multimorbid life expectancy across race, socio-economic status, and sex in South Africa. 南非不同种族、社会经济地位和性别的多病预期寿命。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-01 Epub Date: 2024-05-16 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2331447
Anastasia Lam, Katherine Keenan, Mikko Myrskylä, Hill Kulu
{"title":"Multimorbid life expectancy across race, socio-economic status, and sex in South Africa.","authors":"Anastasia Lam, Katherine Keenan, Mikko Myrskylä, Hill Kulu","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2331447","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2331447","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Multimorbidity is increasing globally as populations age. However, it is unclear how long individuals live with multimorbidity and how it varies by social and economic factors. We investigate this in South Africa, whose apartheid history further complicates race, socio-economic, and sex inequalities. We introduce the term 'multimorbid life expectancy' (MMLE) to describe the years lived with multimorbidity. Using data from the South African National Income Dynamics Study (2008-17) and incidence-based multistate Markov modelling, we find that females experience higher MMLE than males (17.3 vs 9.8 years), and this disparity is consistent across all race and education groups. MMLE is highest among Asian/Indian people and the post-secondary educated relative to other groups and lowest among African people. These findings suggest there are associations between structural inequalities and MMLE, highlighting the need for health-system and educational policies to be implemented in a way proportional to each group's level of need.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-26"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC11956785/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140959752","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The gendered role of occupational characteristics in lifelong singlehood across Italian birth cohorts. 意大利出生组群中职业特征在终身单身中的性别作用。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-02-28 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2462284
Beatrice Caniglia, Anna Zamberlan, Paolo Barbieri
{"title":"The gendered role of occupational characteristics in lifelong singlehood across Italian birth cohorts.","authors":"Beatrice Caniglia, Anna Zamberlan, Paolo Barbieri","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2462284","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2462284","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>While concerns have been raised about declining marriage and fertility rates and increasing union dissolution, less attention has been paid to individuals remaining single. We ask whether individuals with different occupational characteristics experience different chances of remaining single throughout their lives and whether this relationship has changed across birth cohorts for men or women. We focus on Italy, a familistic context where exacerbated work-family conflict may hinder family formation for career-oriented women, while the male breadwinner norm makes occupational outcomes crucial for men's mating market chances. Based on Kaplan-Meier survival curves and logistic regression models using rich retrospective survey data, our analysis suggests that stronger labour market attachment is positively associated with singlehood for women and negatively for men. The work-family trade-off appears to have disappeared for women across the birth cohorts studied, whereas careers have become increasingly relevant for men, suggesting that the male breadwinner model is strongly entrenched in Italy.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-19"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-02-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143524560","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
African households: National and subnational trends from censuses and surveys. 非洲家庭：来自人口普查和调查的国家和次国家趋势。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-02-26 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2427580
Maria Pohl, Albert Esteve, Juan Galeano
{"title":"African households: National and subnational trends from censuses and surveys.","authors":"Maria Pohl, Albert Esteve, Juan Galeano","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2427580","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2024.2427580","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Using census and survey microdata from 49 African countries across 415 subnational areas, we offer a comprehensive overview of household size and composition in Africa. The study emphasizes the potential of these data for understanding family dynamics through co-residential units. Clear regional patterns emerge, showcasing a wide range of household sizes across the continent. We find that household size is linked primarily to the number of children and secondarily to the presence of other family and non-family members beyond the nuclear household. The analysis of household composition also highlights the uneven influence of polygyny and extended families. This research is a first step in examining harmonized census and survey data to delve into the structure and dynamics of households across Africa from a demographic perspective.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-21"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-02-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143504836","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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