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Population Studies-A Journal of Demography最新文献

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Structural labour market change, cognitive work, and entry to parenthood in Germany. 德国劳动力市场的结构性变化、认知工作和为人父母。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-13 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2372018
Honorata Bogusz, Anna Matysiak, Michaela Kreyenfeld
{"title":"Structural labour market change, cognitive work, and entry to parenthood in Germany.","authors":"Honorata Bogusz, Anna Matysiak, Michaela Kreyenfeld","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2372018","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2372018","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Technological change and globalization have caused unprecedented transformations of labour markets, resulting in a growing division between workers who perform cognitive vs non-cognitive tasks. To date, only few studies have addressed the fertility effects of these long-term structural changes. This study fills that gap. We measure the cognitive task content of occupations using data from the Employment Survey of the German Federal Institute for Vocational Education and Training, which we link to individual histories from the German Socio-Economic Panel 1984-2018. We find that women and men with non-cognitive jobs are increasingly less likely to enter parenthood; this is reflected in lower first-birth intensities but also in higher probabilities of childlessness compared with workers in highly cognitive jobs. These findings imply that structural shifts in the labour market are exacerbating disparities between low-skilled and highly skilled individuals, not only within the labour market but also in the realm of family formation.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"225-251"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141976933","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The strictly Orthodox Jewish population in the United Kingdom: Assessment of the census undercount using an alternative estimation system. 英国严格的正统犹太人口：用另一种估计系统对人口普查少计的评估。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-07-01 Epub Date: 2025-02-18 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2024.2438702
L Daniel Staetsky
{"title":"The strictly Orthodox Jewish population in the United Kingdom: Assessment of the census undercount using an alternative estimation system.","authors":"L Daniel Staetsky","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2438702","DOIUrl":"10.1080/00324728.2024.2438702","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Strictly Orthodox Jews, otherwise known as Haredi, constitute about one-quarter of the total Jewish population of the UK. This population is growing very quickly. A religion question, first introduced into the census of England and Wales in 2001, is generally used to estimate the Haredi Jewish population. This paper claims that Haredi Jews have been severely and consistently undercounted in the census, leading to detrimental consequences for a proper understanding of the numerical dynamics of the UK's Jewish population as a whole and also compromised service provision. This paper develops an alternative estimation system that uses different types of administrative sources to quantify and correct for the census undercount of Haredi Jews. The paper proceeds to show that the undercount is not an exclusively 'Haredi problem': other ethnic and religious groups are also likely to be affected by it.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"407-428"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-07-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143442421","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Ancestral marriage cultures and first partnership choices of the children of immigrants. 祖先婚姻文化与移民子女的第一伴侣选择。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-06-18 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2510986
Kenneth Aarskaug Wiik, Janna Bergsvik, Jennifer A Holland, Michael J Thomas
{"title":"Ancestral marriage cultures and first partnership choices of the children of immigrants.","authors":"Kenneth Aarskaug Wiik, Janna Bergsvik, Jennifer A Holland, Michael J Thomas","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2510986","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2510986","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Using Norwegian register data and data from the World Marriage Database, we investigate how marriage behaviour in countries of origin is associated with the first partnership choices of the children of immigrants (i.e. the second generation and childhood migrants). We consider the timing and type of first partnership, distinguishing between marriage and cohabitation and between endogamous, exogamous, and majority-background partner choices. Results from discrete-time multilevel models confirm that less traditional partnership behaviour in origin countries, characterized by a later singulate mean age at marriage and a higher share unmarried at ages 25-29, is associated with less traditional behaviour in Norway, such as cohabitation and choosing a majority-background partner. We also examine heterogeneity by sex and migrant generation as well as the importance of the local partner market. Together, our results underscore the significance of origin-country norms and behaviours in shaping the partnership formation of young adults with migrant backgrounds.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-22"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144318391","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A new test of an old hypothesis: The link between women's perceptions of mortality conditions and their perceptions of modern healthcare amid demographic transition. 一个旧假设的新测试：在人口转型中，妇女对死亡率状况的看法与她们对现代医疗保健的看法之间的联系。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-06-18 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2506464
Emily Smith-Greenaway
{"title":"A new test of an old hypothesis: The link between women's perceptions of mortality conditions and their perceptions of modern healthcare amid demographic transition.","authors":"Emily Smith-Greenaway","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2506464","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2506464","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Demographers have long suspected that ordinary people in societies experiencing rapid demographic transition face difficulties in perceiving mortality decline. Recent empirical accounts have supported this supposition, demonstrating the extent of misperceptions in select transitioning societies and examining the individual life-course experiences that predate them. Yet, the broader significance of individuals misperceiving the presence or degree of mortality decline remains unclear. This paper examines whether individuals' perceptions of mortality conditions are systematically related to their perceptions of modern healthcare, as the old hypothesis suggested. Using data from the Tsogolo la Thanzi study of women in Balaka, Malawi-a context where mortality has declined dramatically alongside the expansion of modern healthcare-this study assesses whether a pessimistic outlook on mortality corresponds with scepticism of modern healthcare. The results emphasize the continued need for demographic research that grapples with individuals' perceptions of mortality decline, given the broader salience of perceptions to population health matters.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-10"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144318390","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Long-term fertility trends by birth order in Britain: Comparison between England & Wales and Scotland. 英国按出生顺序划分的长期生育率趋势：英格兰、威尔士和苏格兰的比较。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-06-12 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2491354
Hill Kulu, Bernice Kuang, Sarah Christison, Ann Berrington
{"title":"Long-term fertility trends by birth order in Britain: Comparison between England & Wales and Scotland.","authors":"Hill Kulu, Bernice Kuang, Sarah Christison, Ann Berrington","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2491354","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2491354","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This study uses census-linked administrative data to investigate childbearing trends by birth order in Britain over three decades. This is the first study to investigate longer-term changes in fertility dynamics in Britain by birth order and to compare parity-specific fertility by country. First-birth rates declined in the 1990s, slightly increased in the first decade of this century, and decreased thereafter, with changes in timing of parenthood responsible for these changes. Second- and third-birth rates declined in the 1990s but remained relatively stable in the early twenty-first century. Birth intervals remained unchanged, meaning that changes in quantum are responsible for trends in higher-order birth rates. Time trends are similar in England & Wales and Scotland but with significantly lower second- and third-birth rates in Scotland. Changes in population composition by education and ethnicity explain little of the aggregate fertility trends or between-country differences. Both countries have seen rapid declines in first-birth rates, especially among low-educated women.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-23"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-06-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144276316","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Unwanted fertility and impacts on self-rated health of women in India. 非自愿生育及其对印度妇女自评健康的影响。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-05-28 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2502114
Esha Chatterjee, Johny K D
{"title":"Unwanted fertility and impacts on self-rated health of women in India.","authors":"Esha Chatterjee, Johny K D","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2502114","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2502114","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>This is the first study in India to move beyond women's sexual and reproductive health, instead examining the consequences of having an unwanted birth on women's general health. We use nationally representative longitudinal data from the two waves of the India Human Development Survey (2005 and 2012) for 3,776 currently married, non-pregnant women aged 18-40 at baseline who were interviewed in both waves. Results from multivariate linear and logistic regression show that mothers having an unwanted birth between the two time periods were likely to report worse self-rated health in 2012 and more likely to experience a deterioration in health between the two waves compared with those who had a wanted birth, after accounting for other maternal and household characteristics. Results are robust to models accounting for propensity weighting.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-25"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-05-28","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144162936","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The fertility desires-intentions gap in the United States. 美国生育意愿与生育意愿的差距。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2501315
Luca Badolato
{"title":"The fertility desires-intentions gap in the United States.","authors":"Luca Badolato","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2501315","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2501315","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Indicators of fertility goals are crucial demographic tools, but the availability of different constructs and misleading language in empirical research are a source of confusion, with fertility desires and intentions often used interchangeably. Fertility desires reflect an intrinsic wish to have children, whereas fertility intentions reflect an actual plan. I operationalize the fertility desires-intentions gap by considering that individuals might: (1) <i>desire and intend</i>; (2) <i>desire but not intend</i>; (3) <i>not desire but intend</i>; or (4) <i>not desire or intend</i> to have (more) children. Using nationally representative data for the United States and drawing from a life-course and gender perspective, I estimate aggregate-level, age-specific, and parity-specific indicators for both men and women and use regression models to identify predictors of the fertility desires-intentions gap. These analyses clarify the confusion generated by different measures, provide insights in light of the recent fertility decline, and reveal the consequences of considering (or not) sterility status in measures of fertility goals.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-19"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144095446","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Belonging to the neighbourhood, residential mobility, and the transition to parenthood. 邻里关系，居住流动性，以及向为人父母的过渡。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-04-02 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2478929
Brian Buh, Eva Beaujouan, Ann Berrington
{"title":"Belonging to the neighbourhood, residential mobility, and the transition to parenthood.","authors":"Brian Buh, Eva Beaujouan, Ann Berrington","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2478929","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2478929","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>The sense of belonging to the current neighbourhood may play a role in the transition to parenthood by indicating a feeling of being 'at home' and having access to social resources. However, previous research has indicated that individuals often move house in anticipation of parenthood, likely altering their connection to the neighbourhood in the process. With data from the UK Household Longitudinal Study (2009-23) and using logit regression, we examine the likelihood of a first birth. The results reveal that individuals with a higher sense of belonging to their neighbourhood are more likely to have a first child: especially recent movers compared with long-term residents. Furthermore, while long-distance movers generally show a lower probability of becoming parents, those with a high sense of belonging are as likely as short-distance movers to become parents. These findings suggest that socio-spatial factors play a role in the transition to parenthood.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-19"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-04-02","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143765435","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Explaining immigrant-native differences in health at birth: The role of immigrant selectivity in Spain. 解释移民与本地人出生时健康状况的差异：西班牙移民选择性的作用。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-04-01 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2481953
Alessandro Ferrara, Marco Cozzani
{"title":"Explaining immigrant-native differences in health at birth: The role of immigrant selectivity in Spain.","authors":"Alessandro Ferrara, Marco Cozzani","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2481953","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2481953","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>Evidence shows that immigrants are often in better health than the native born-the so-called 'immigrant health paradox'-and this advantage may extend to their children's health. A commonly cited but rarely tested explanation is the 'selectivity hypothesis', positing that immigrants are healthier due to selection at origin based on health or socio-economic status (SES). Using 2007-19 Spanish birth registries, we investigate immigrant-native gaps in health at birth and whether they are explained by immigrants' educational selectivity. We find that babies born to immigrants are less likely to be low birthweight (LBW) but are disadvantaged in terms of macrosomia and gestational age. Selectivity is associated with reduced LBW even after accounting for parental SES, explaining the lower risk among children of Northern African and Latin American immigrants but not across other parental country-of-birth groups. Selectivity is not associated with other birth outcomes. We confirm the selectivity hypothesis but question its universality across groups and health outcomes.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-18"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-04-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143755209","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The contributions of immigration to demographic change across cities and regions in Australia. 移民对澳大利亚各城市和地区人口变化的贡献。
IF 2.5 2区 社会学
Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2025-03-31 DOI: 10.1080/00324728.2025.2479621
James Raymer, Qing Guan, Yao Jiang, James O'Donnell
{"title":"The contributions of immigration to demographic change across cities and regions in Australia.","authors":"James Raymer, Qing Guan, Yao Jiang, James O'Donnell","doi":"10.1080/00324728.2025.2479621","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1080/00324728.2025.2479621","url":null,"abstract":"<p><p>In the context of low fertility and population ageing, many countries look to immigration to address labour shortages and reduce the effects of population decline. While the short-term effects of immigration are relatively well understood, the long-term demographic consequences of high and sustained immigration are still undetermined. In this paper, we highlight the major contributions that immigration has made to population change across 11 geographic areas in Australia from 1981 to 2021. The analyses use recently reconciled demographic component data for 18 overseas-born subgroups and the Australia-born population by age and sex. While net international migration of overseas-born people contributed approximately 56 per cent of overall population growth over the 40-year period, immigrants also made sizeable contributions to other demographic processes: 28 per cent of births, 31 per cent of deaths, and 17 per cent of interregional migration. This research provides new insights into both period-specific and long-term demographic effects of diverse immigration streams across Australia's cities and regions.</p>","PeriodicalId":47814,"journal":{"name":"Population Studies-A Journal of Demography","volume":" ","pages":"1-19"},"PeriodicalIF":2.5,"publicationDate":"2025-03-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143755213","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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