Temperature and fertility: Evidence from Spain.

IF 2.5 2区社会学 Q1 DEMOGRAPHY

Population Studies-A Journal of Demography Pub Date : 2024-08-21 DOI:10.1080/00324728.2024.2382152

Risto Conte Keivabu, Marco Cozzani, Joshua Wilde

引用次数: 0

Abstract

In this paper, we combine administrative data for Spain from 2010 to 2018 with meteorological data, to identify the effect of daily mean temperature on fertility. We demonstrate for Spain that hot days (≥25°C) decrease the total fertility rate nine months after exposure. Moreover, we do not observe any substantial heterogeneities in the effect of heat by mother's age, mother's educational attainment, sex of the newborn, climatic area, or air conditioning penetration. Our results suggest that climate change may be altering the seasonal distribution of births and affect fertility rates in a context with low fertility and rapid population ageing.

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温度与生育率：西班牙的证据。

在本文中，我们将西班牙 2010 年至 2018 年的行政数据与气象数据相结合，以确定日平均气温对生育率的影响。我们证明，在西班牙，高温天（≥25°C）会降低暴露九个月后的总和生育率。此外，我们没有观察到母亲年龄、母亲受教育程度、新生儿性别、气候区域或空调普及率对高温影响有任何实质性的异质性。我们的研究结果表明，在低生育率和人口快速老龄化的背景下，气候变化可能正在改变出生的季节性分布并影响生育率。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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来源期刊

Population Studies-A Journal of Demography DEMOGRAPHY-

CiteScore

5.00

自引率

4.20%

发文量

期刊介绍： For over half a century, Population Studies has reported significant advances in methods of demographic analysis, conceptual and mathematical theories of demographic dynamics and behaviour, and the use of these theories and methods to extend scientific knowledge and to inform policy and practice. The Journal"s coverage of this field is comprehensive: applications in developed and developing countries; historical and contemporary studies; quantitative and qualitative studies; analytical essays and reviews. The subjects of papers range from classical concerns, such as the determinants and consequences of population change, to such topics as family demography and evolutionary and genetic influences on demographic behaviour.