WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi最新文献

{"title":"Efisiensi Pasar Valuta Asing di Indonesia: Analisis Empiris","authors":"Ignatia Bintang Filia Dei Susilo, Dian Pujiatma Vera Subchanifa, Risna Amalia Hamzah, Dwi Hastuti Lestari Komarlina","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v3i1.4794","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v3i1.4794","url":null,"abstract":"This study will examine the efficiency of foreign exchange market in Indonesia is it efficient in the weak form or semi-strong form, and see its implications in Indonesia. This study used data of the Rupiah’s spot market exchange rate with US Dollar (USD), Australian Dollar (AUD), Euro, Singapore Dollar (SGD), and Japanese Yen (JPY), from March 2017 to March 2022, taken from Bank Indonesia. Weak form of market efficiency is analyzed using the unit root test to determine whether the data follows a random walk or not. Semi-strong form efficiency is analyzed using cointegration test, Engle-Granger, Johansen, and variance decomposition analysis. Results indicate that the foreign exchange market in Indonesia has weak form. Players in the market can still use fundamental analysis to determine the next exchange rate movement in order for players to make a profit, which is more relevant to consider than historical data.Studi ini akan menelaah efisiensi pasar valuta asing di Indonesia. Apakah efisien dalam bentuk lemah atau semi-kuat, serta melihat bagaimana implikasinya di Indonesia. Data yang digunakan dalam penelitian adalah nilai tukar Rupiah dengan mata uang lima negara lain; Dolar Amerika (USD), Dolar Australia (AUD), Euro, Dolar Singapura (SGD), dan Yen Jepang (JPY), di pasar spot periode Maret 2017 – Maret 2022 yang diambil dari Bank Indonesia. Bentuk efisiensi pasar lemah dianalisis mengunakan unit root test untuk mengetahui apakah data mengalami random walk atau tidak. Adanya unit root mengindikasikan bahwa perilaku data tidak stasioner. Bentuk efisiensi semi-kuat dianalisis menggunakan uji kointegrasi, Engle-Granger, Johansen, dan variance decomposition analysis. Hasil analisis menunjukkan bahwa pasar valuta asing di Indonesia termasuk dalam bentuk efisien lemah. Penelitian ini menyimpulkan bahwa pemain di pasar valuta asing masih dapat menggunakan analisis fundamental yang lebih relevan sebagai pertimbangan dibandingkan data historis untuk menentukan pergerakan kurs selanjutnya agar pemain memperoleh keuntungan.","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"12 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"133982281","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Political Risk; Inflasi; dan Bi Rate; serta Pengaruhnya terhadap Return Saham (Survei pada Perusahaan Indeks LQ45 2009- 2019)","authors":"Dyah Ciptaning Lokiteswara Setya Wardhani, Nanang Rusliana","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v3i1.4746","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v3i1.4746","url":null,"abstract":"This research aims to determine the effect of political risk, inflation and interest rate on stock return in LQ45 index on 2009-2019 period either simultaneously or partially. Stock price always fluctuated depending on demand for stock. Therefore, investors need to consider macroeconomic factors or political risk factor beside fundamental factor analysis. The type of this researh using explanatory research with quantitative approach. Determination’s sample using quartely time series data on january 2009-2019 period and for analysis return using CAPM with 17 companies listed in indeks LQ45 on 2014-2019 period.  The analysis technique used multiple linier regression analysis. The result showed that partially variable interest rate has significant effest to stock return while political risk and inflation hasn’t significant effect to stock return. And simultaneously, influence of political risk, inflation and interest rate to stock return shows 44,05% which means 55.95% influenced by other factors.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh political risk , inflasi dan BI rate terhadap return saham indeks LQ45 periode 2009 sampai dengan 2019 baik secara simultan maupun parsial. Harga saham yang berfluktuasi tergantung tinggi rendahnya permintaan saham mengakibatkan investor harus mempertimbangkan faktor-faktor risiko politik maupun makroekonomi selain faktor fundamental perusahaan. Penentuan sampel menggunakan data time series kuartal periode 2009-2019 dan untuk perhitungan analisa nilai return yang diharapkan menggunakan teknik CAPM dengan jumlah perusahaan 17 perusahaan yang pernah terdaftar di indeks LQ45 periode 2014-2019. Teknik analisis yang digunakan menggunakan regresi linear berganda dengan hasil penelitian secara parsial hanya variabel bi rate yang berpengaruh signifikan terhadap return sedangkan risiko politik dan inflasi tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap return saham. Analisis secara bersama-sama menunjukkan bahwa sebesar 44,05% risiko politik, inflasi dan BI rate berpengaruh terhadap return saham. Adapun 55,95% dipengaruhi oleh faktor lain yang tidak dianalisis dalam penelitian ini.","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"30 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"116622143","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analisis Determinasi Kemiskinan 10 Kabupaten di Jawa Tengah Tahun 2017 – 2019","authors":"Hanand Krisna Aji, Rian Destiningsih","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3452","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3452","url":null,"abstract":"The complexity of poverty is influenced by various interrelated components such as location, geography, community income, unemployment, health, and environmental factors. The government through all its efforts has reduced poverty both at the urban and rural levels. These efforts are still not fully able to reduce poverty in large numbers. This study aims to analyze the factors that influence poverty in Central Java in 2017-2019. The dependent variable in this study is poverty, while the independent variables include the dependency ratio, the district minimum wage, and the labor force. The analytical tool used in this research is panel data regression analysis with the Fixed Effect Model (FEM) model. The results showed that the UMK (district minimum wage) had an influence on poverty in Central Java Province in 2017-2019; the dependency ratio variable and the labor force have no partial effect on poverty in Central Java Province in 2017-2019; and the dependency ratio, UMK, and labor force variables have a joint effect on poverty in Central Java Province in 2017-2019.Kompleksitas kemiskinan dipengaruhi oleh berbagai komponen yang saling terkait seperti faktor lokasi, geografis, pendapatan masyarakat, pengangguran, kesehatan, dan lingkungan. Pemerintah melalui segala upayanya telah mengurangi kemiskinan baik pada level perkotaan maupun pedesaan. Upaya tersebut masih belum sepenuhnya dapat mengurangi kemiskinan dalam jumlah besar. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhi kemiskinan di Jawa Tengah tahun 2017-2019. Variabel dependen dalam penelitian ini yaitu kemiskinan sedangkan variabel bebas meliputi antara lain dependency ratio, UMK (upah minimum kabupaten), dan angkatan kerja. Alat analisis yang digunakan pada penelitian ini yaitu analisis regresi data panel dengan model fixed effect model atau model efek tetap (FEM). Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa variabel UMK memiliki pengaruh terhadap kemiskinan di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Tahun 2017-2019; variabel dependency ratio dan angkatan kerja tidak memiliki pengaruh terhadap kemiskinan di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Tahun 2017-2019 secara parsial; serta variabel rasio ketergantungan, UMK, dan angkatan kerja berpengaruh terhadap kemiskinan secara bersama-sama di Provinsi Jawa Tengah Tahun 2017-2019.","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"152 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122060559","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Pengaruh Nilai Tukar Rupiah dan Bath terhadap Dolar serta Suku Bunga Indonesia terhadap Nilai Ekspor Indonesia ke Thailand Periode 2000-2019","authors":"Sugiartiningsih Sugiartiningsih","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3629","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3629","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to determine the effect of the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar, bath against the US dollar and Indonesian interest rates on Indonesian exports to Thailand for the period 2000-2019. The research methodology uses a multiple regression model of the relationship between the two Indonesian exchange rates and interest rates with the value of Indonesia's exports to Thailand. The use of data starting in 2000 with the reason that post-reform is the dynamics of Indonesia in responding to economic globalization. The 2019 limit is to provide a real picture of the Indonesian economy before it was hit by the Covid-19 outbreak. Based on the calculation results, it was found that there was a positive relationship between the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar and the value of Indonesia's exports to Thailand due to the high purchasing power of Thailand as a result of the decline in the rupiah exchange rate against the US dollar. On the other hand, the bath exchange rate which tends to appreciate against the US dollar actually increases the value of Indonesia's exports to Thailand. Likewise, a decrease in Indonesia's interest rates has the potential to increase economic productivity in the real sector and in turn increase the value of Indonesia's exports to Thailand. However, the amount of investment during the period studied was not optimal due to lack of trust in Indonesia that caused the results of the test conducted were not significant.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui pengaruh nilai tukar rupiah dan bath terhadap dolar AS serta suku bunga Indonesia terhadap ekspor Indonesia ke Thailand periode 2000-2019. Metodologi penelitian menggunakan model regresi berganda hubungan  kedua nilai tukar dan suku bunga Indonesia  dengan nilai ekspor Indonesia ke Thailand. Penggunaan data mulai tahun 2000 dengan alasan pasca reformasi merupakan dinamisasi Indonesia merespon globalisasi ekonomi. Batasan tahun 2019 untuk memberikan gambaran riil perekonomian Indonesia mengalami pandemi Covid-19. Berdasarkan hasil perhitungan diperoleh hubungan positif nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS dengan nilai ekspor Indonesia ke Thailand karena tingginya daya beli Thailand sebagai dampak penurunan nilai tukar rupiah terhadap dolar AS. Sebaliknya nilai tukar bath yang cenderung apresiasi terhadap dolar AS justru meningkatkan nilai ekspor Indonesia ke Thailand. Demikian halnya dengan penurunan sukubunga Indonesia berpotensi meningkatkan produktivitas ekonomi di sektor riil dan pada gilirannya meningkatkan nilai ekspor Indonesia ke Thailand. Namun demikian, besarnya penanaman modal selama periode yang diteliti belum optimal karena kurangnya kepercayaan terhadap Indonesia sehingga berdampak hasil uji yang tidak signifikan.","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"115939831","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analisis Faktor-Faktor Penentu Lama Mencari Kerja bagi Tenaga Kerja Terdidik di Kota Pangkalpinang","authors":"Puput Saddiyah","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3487","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3487","url":null,"abstract":"Education is one of the requirements to enter the labor market that can support a particular job, this is because formal education is considered a useful investment to increase labor productivity. The purpose of this study is to analyze and determine the effect of age, education, income, work experience, and gender individually or collectively on the length of seeking for work for educated workers in Pangkalpinang City. This research was conducted in Pangkalpinang City. This study uses primary data by conducting interviews with a sample of 100 respondents (n=100) and using secondary data, namely data from the Central Statistics Agency. The analytical tool used in this research is multiple regression analysis. The results of this study indicate that partially age has a positive and significant effect on the length of seeking for work while education and work experience have a negative and significant effect on the length of seeking for work, income and gender have no significant effect on the length of seeking for work for educated workers in Pangkalpinang City. Simultaneously age, education, income, work experience, and gender have a significant influence on the length of seeking for work for educated workers in Pangkalpinang City.Pendidikan merupakan salah satu syarat untuk memasuki pasar kerja yang dapat menunjang suatu pekerjaan tertentu karena pendidikan formal dianggap sebagai investasi yang berguna untuk meningkatkan produktivitas tenaga kerja. Tujuan dalam penelitian ini adalah untuk menganalisis dan mengetahui pengaruh umur, pendidikan, pendapatan, pengalaman kerja dan jenis kelamin secara individual maupun secara bersama-sama terhadap lama mencari kerja bagi tenaga kerja terdidik di Kota Pangkalpinang. Penelitian ini dilakukan di Kota Pangkalpinang. Penelitian ini menggunakan data primer dengan melakukan wawancara terhadap sampel yaitu sebanyak 100 responden (n=100) dan menggunakan data sekunder yaitu data yang berasal dari Badan Pusat Statistika (BPS). Alat analisis yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah analisis regresi berganda. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa secara parsial, umur berpengaruh positif dan signifikan, pendidikan dan pengalaman kerja berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan, dan pendapatan serta jenis kelamin tidak berpengaruh signifikan terhadap lama mencari kerja bagi tenaga kerja terdidik di Kota Pangkalpinang. Secara simultan, umur, pendidikan, pendapatan, pengalaman kerja, dan jenis kelamin memiliki pengaruh yang signifikan terhadap lama mencari kerja bagi tenaga kerja terdidik di Kota Pangkalpinang.","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"42 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"121834979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analisis Derajat Desentralisasi Fiskal pada Kabupaten/Kota di Indonesia Menjelang 20 Tahun Otonomi Daerah","authors":"Iis Surgawati","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3566","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3566","url":null,"abstract":" This study aims to analyze the degree of fiscal decentralization in district/city governments in Indonesia by estimating a map and testing whether the degree of fiscal decentralization of the city government is higher than the district government, as well as to identify the factors that influence it before the 20 years of the implementation of regional autonomy. The data used is secondary data with a cross-section structure in the form of the Laporan Hasil Pemeriksaan (LHP) on audited Laporan Keuangan Pemerintah Daerah (LKPD) for the 2019 fiscal year from 81 district governments and 19 city governments as samples published by the Badan Pemeriksa Keuangan (BPK) of the Republic of Indonesia. To estimate the degree of fiscal decentralization map used proportion and average estimation techniques, while to distinguish the degree of fiscal decentralization of districts and cities used Two Independent Sample t-Test. Multiple linear regression analysis is used to identify the factors that are thought to have an effect on the degree of fiscal decentralization. With a significance level  = 5%, the results of the study show that among 508 regencies/cities spread across 33 provinces (except DKI Jakarta) it is estimated that only around 32 to 90 regions are included in the autonomous category, while the average degree of fiscal decentralization for all districts/cities city is estimated at 10.33% to 13.31%. Another finding of this study is that there is significant support for the assumption that the degree of fiscal decentralization of cities is higher than districts. Furthermore, it was also found that the regional characteristics partially represented by the contribution of the industrial sector to the Gross Regional Domestic Product (GRDP), total assets, dependency level, local government status and the results of audit opinions had a significant effect on the degree of fiscal decentralization. Together, these factors have a significant effect.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis derajat desentralisasi fiskal pada pemerintah kabupaten/kota di Indonesia dengan mengestimasi peta dan menguji apakah derajat desentralisasi fiskal pemerintah kota lebih tinggi jika dibandingkan dengan derajat desentralisasi fiskal pemerintah kabupaten serta mengidentifikasi faktor-faktor yang mempengaruhinya menjelang 20 tahun diberlakukannya otonomi daerah. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder berstruktur silang tempat berupa Laporan Hasil Pemeriksaan (LHP) atas Laporan Keuangan Pemerintah Daerah (LKPD) audited Tahun Anggaran 2019 dari 81 pemerintah kabupaten dan 19 pemerintah kota sebagai sampel yang dipublikasikan oleh Badan Pemeriksa Keuangan (BPK) Republik Indonesia. Untuk mengestimasi peta derajat desentralisasi fiskal digunakan teknik penaksiran proporsi dan penaksiran rata-rata sedangkan untuk membedakan derajat desentralisasi fiskal kabupaten dan kota digunakan Two Independent Sample t-Test. Analisis regresi linier berganda digunakan untuk mengidentifikasi ","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"36 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"117147459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Tingkat Profitabilitas Koperasi BKPT Tjiawi Ditinjau dari Pengaruh Likuiditas dan Solvabilitas","authors":"Nanang Rusliana, Dyah Ciptaningsih Lokiteswara Setya Wardhani","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3628","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3628","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of the research is to find out liquidity ratio, solvability effect toward profitability ratio simultaneously and partially. The research conducted by field research using quantitative method. In this study, the data was collected by using the documentation and literary study. The location of this study is at Koperasi BKPT Tjiawi in Ciawi Tasikmalaya District, West Java. This research used multiple regression with SPSS V.20. Th results of the research indicate that the liquidity ratio strongly and significantly affects profitability ratio of Koperasi BKPT Tjiawi; the solvability ratio significantly affects towards the profitability ratio in Koperasi BKPT Tjiawi; analyzed together, the liquidity and the solvability ratios have significant effect on the profitability ratio in Koperasi BKPT Tjiawi. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui bagaimana pengaruh rasio likuiditas dan rasio solvabilitas terhadap rasio profitabilitas koperasi BKPT Tjiawi baik secara parsial maupun secara bersama-sama. Penelitian lapangan dilakukan dengan menggunakan metode deskriptif kuantitatif. Dalam penelitian ini, pengumpulan data dilakukan dengan menggunakan studi dokumentasi dan studi kepustakaan. Lokasi penelitian ini bertempat di Koperasi BKPT Tjiawi yang berada di Ciawi Tasikmalaya Provinsi Jawa Barat. Alat uji yang digunakan yakni uji regresi berganda dengan software SPSS V.20. Hasil penelitian ini menunjukkan bahwa rasio likuiditas berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap rasio profitabilitas pada Koperasi BKPT Tjiawi. Rasio solvabilitas berpengaruh secara signifikan terhadap rasio profitabilitas pada Koperasi BKPT Tjiawi. Secara bersama-sama, rasio likuiditas, dan rasio solvabilitas berpengaruh signifikan terhadap rasio profitabilitas Koperasi BKPT Tjiawi.","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"15 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130520504","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analisis Keterkaitan antar Sektor Kunci Berdasarkan Data Input Output Kabupaten Tasikmalaya Tahun 2012","authors":"Aso Sukarso, Asep Yusup Hanapia, Chandra Budhi.L.S","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3627","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3627","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to determine the backward linkages and forward linkages between key sectors in Tasikmalaya Regency. The data used is the Table of Input Output (BPS) of Tasikmalaya Regency in 2012. The data analysis in this study uses standard deviation processed by Excel. This study uses several approaches, namely: backward linkage and direct backward spreads; direct and indirect total backward linkage; direct, indirect, and induced total backward linkage; forward linkage and direct forward spreads; direct and indirect total forward linkages; direct, indirect, and induced total forward linkages. Based on the results of the study, it was found that sector 3 (processing industry) is a key sector that is directly, indirectly, and affected, this sector asks for inputs in other sectors equally. Meanwhile, sector 6 (trade, hotels and restaurants) is a key sector because directly, indirectly, and affected, this sector demands output in other sectors equally.Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mengetahui keterkaitan ke belakang dan keterkaitan ke depan antar sektor kunci di Kabupaten Tasikmalaya. Data yang digunakan adalah tabel Input Output (BPS) Kabupaten Tasikmalaya Tahun 2012. Analisis data pada penelitian ini menggunakan standar deviasi yang diolah dengan Excel. Penelitian ini menggunakan beberapa pendekatan, yaitu: keterkaitan ke belakang dan penyebaran ke belakang langsung; keterkaitan ke belakang total langsung dan tidak langsung; keterkaitan ke belakang total langsung, tidak langsung, dan terimbas; keterkaitan ke depan dan penyebaran ke depan langsung; keterkaitan ke depan total langsung dan tidak langsung; keterkaitan ke depan total langsung, tidak langsung, dan terimbas. Berdasarkan hasil penelitian, diperoleh bahwa sektor 3 (industri pengolahan) adalah sektor kunci karena secara langsung, tidak langsung, dan terimbas, sektor ini meminta input atau faktor produksi pada sektor-sektor lain secara merata. Adapun sektor 6 (perdagangan, hotel dan restoran) adalah sektor kunci oleh karena secara langsung, tidak langsung, dan terimbas, sektor ini meminta output atau hasil produksi pada sektor-sektor lain secara merata.","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"81 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"128609170","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Analisis Pertumbuhan Ekonomi Provinsi Jawa Barat Periode Tahun 2010-2020","authors":"Risna Amalia Hamzah","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3700","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v2i2.3700","url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to analyze and determine the effect of inflation, interest rates, unemployment on economic growth in West Java Province. The data used is secondary time series data for the period 2010 – 2020. The data is sourced from the Central Statistics Agency of West Java Province and Bank Indonesia. Data analysis was carried out using a quantitative approach with multiple linear regression model equations. The results of the study show that simultaneously (F test) inflation, interest rates and unemployment have a significant effect on economic growth in West Java Province. Partially (t test) inflation has a positive and insignificant effect on the economic growth of West Java province. The interest rate variable has a positive and significant effect on economic growth in the province of West Java. The unemployment variable has a negative and significant effect on the economic growth of the province of West Java. Penelitian ini bertujuan untuk menganalisis dan mengetahui pengaruh inflasi, suku bunga, pengangguran terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Provinsi Jawa Barat. Data yang digunakan adalah data sekunder time series selama periode tahun 2010–2020. Data bersumber dari Badan Pusat Statistik Provinsi Jawa Barat dan Bank Indonesia. Analisis data dilakukan dengan pendekatan kuantitatif dengan persamaan model regresi linier berganda. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahwa secara simultan (uji F) inflasi, suku bunga dan pengangguran berpengaruh signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Provinsi Jawa Barat. Secara parsial (uji t) inflasi memiliki pengaruh positif dan tidak signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Provinsi Jawa Barat. Variabel suku bunga berpengaruh positif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Provinsi Jawa Barat. Variabel pengangguran berpengaruh negatif dan signifikan terhadap pertumbuhan ekonomi Provinsi Jawa Barat.","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"1 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2022-01-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"130905463","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Proyeksi Penduduk Jawa Barat Tahun 2025 – 2035 Menggunakan Metode Campuran dengan Data Dasar Sensus Penduduk 2020","authors":"Yayat Karyana, Nanang Rusliana","doi":"10.37058/wlfr.v2i1.2824","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.37058/wlfr.v2i1.2824","url":null,"abstract":"The purpose of this study is to create projections of the population in West Java Province in the period of 2025-2035. The method used in this research is a mixed method which is a combination of the Mathematical Method and the Component Method. The Mathematical Method is used to make projections of the total population, while the Component Method is used to make projections of the total population and population per age group. Using basic population data from the 2020 Population Census, the projection of the population of West Java in 2025, 2030, and 2035 is 51,117,160 people, 54,127,589 people, and 57,315,311 people, respectively.Tujuan penelitian ini adalah untuk membuat proyeksi penduduk Jawa Barat tahun 2025-2035. Metode yang digunakan dalam penelitian ini adalah metode campuran yang merupakan gabungan Metode Matematik dan Metode Komponen. Metode Matematik digunakan untuk membuat proyeksi total penduduk, sedangkan Metode Komponen digunakan untuk membuat proyeksi total penduduk dan penduduk per kelompok umur. Dengan menggunakan data dasar jumlah penduduk hasil sensus penduduk 2020, diperoleh proyeksi penduduk Jawa Barat tahun 2025, tahun 2030, dan tahun 2035, berturut-turut adalah 51.117.160 orang, 54.127.589 orang, dan 57.315.311 orang.","PeriodicalId":369024,"journal":{"name":"WELFARE Jurnal Ilmu Ekonomi","volume":"15 1","pages":"0"},"PeriodicalIF":0.0,"publicationDate":"2021-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"122952633","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":"","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}