Environmental Impact Assessment Review最新文献

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Which policy can effectively alleviate the impact of raw material price fluctuations on battery recycling? 哪项政策可以有效缓解原材料价格波动对电池回收的影响?
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-22 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107996
Jingjing Li , Hui Li , Jianling Jiao , Yuwen Xu
{"title":"Which policy can effectively alleviate the impact of raw material price fluctuations on battery recycling?","authors":"Jingjing Li ,&nbsp;Hui Li ,&nbsp;Jianling Jiao ,&nbsp;Yuwen Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107996","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107996","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>China faces a massive wave of retired power batteries, making recycling crucial for sustainability in the electric vehicles (EV) industry. Fluctuations in raw material prices significantly impact the recycling market, highlighting the urgent need for policies to stabilize fluctuations and promote the recycling of power batteries (RPB). This paper is the first to quantitatively reveal the heterogeneous impacts of price fluctuations in nickel, cobalt, and lithium on RPB. It systematically evaluates the effects of disassembly subsidy policy, Research &amp; Development (R&amp;D) subsidy policy, carbon allowance policy, and comprehensive policy in alleviating price fluctuations, providing implications for policymakers. The main conclusions are as follows. (1) Price fluctuations have significant differences in impact on RPB. Cobalt price fluctuations most strongly impact the recycling rate, while lithium price fluctuations most significantly affect economic benefits. (2) Among individual policies, disassembly subsidy, R&amp;D subsidy, and carbon allowance policy all effectively alleviate the impacts of price fluctuations on RPB. The R&amp;D subsidy policy is the most impactful, with an R&amp;D subsidy of 840 million yuan leading to a 118 % increase in the recycling rate and a 101 % increase in economic benefits by 2030 compared to 2023. (3) The comprehensive policy generates a synergistic effect, enhancing the recycling rate by an extra 6 % and economic benefits by 11 % compared to the best-performing individual policy. To maximize the recycling rate and economic benefits, policymakers are advised to prioritize the comprehensive policy. When financial conditions are tight, the R&amp;D subsidy policy should be prioritized as the individual policy.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107996"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-22","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144106020","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Integrated optimization of border ecosystem services and risks: A multiscale exploration considering the past and future 边界生态系统服务与风险的综合优化:考虑过去与未来的多尺度探索
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107986
Pengcheng Wang , Rucheng Lu , Tongsheng Fan , Liguo Zhang , Xin Nong
{"title":"Integrated optimization of border ecosystem services and risks: A multiscale exploration considering the past and future","authors":"Pengcheng Wang ,&nbsp;Rucheng Lu ,&nbsp;Tongsheng Fan ,&nbsp;Liguo Zhang ,&nbsp;Xin Nong","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107986","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107986","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The global ecological environment is undergoing a systemic crisis driven by the combined effects of accelerated urbanization and climate change, with the ecosystem imbalance exceeding planetary boundary threshold. Border regions, serving as the frontline for national security, remain understudied, with insufficient research on ecosystem security simulations. This study takes the Yunnan-Guangxi region of China's land border (YGCB) as a case study, coupling a series of regional disparity and spatiotemporal mapping models to identify and simulate ecosystem services and risks across multiple scales, thereby establishing a comprehensive optimization framework for ecological security zones. The results indicate that: (1) The ecosystem services and risks in the YGCB exhibited spatiotemporal heterogeneity and regional interactions. The ecosystem service index (ESI) initially increased but later declined, dropping from 0.3775 in 1990 to 0.3769. The ecosystem risk index (ERI) rose to 0.4063 by 2020. The spatiotemporal trade-off relationship between ESI and ERI revealed the coupled effects of karst terrain sensitivity and human activities in the cross-border economic zone. (2) Significant variations exist in border ecological security across different development scenarios. Under the integrated optimization of security stabilization scenarios, ecosystem service capacity is markedly improved, showing a 6.22 % increase compared to 2020 levels, while ecosystem risks are effectively mitigated with a 37.88 % reduction from 2020 baselines. (3) As the core zones of geo-economic and social development in the YGCB, the border trade ports and central towns remain critical regions requiring focused attention and governance in the systematic engineering of border ecological protection. Therefore, the establishment of a Global Border Eco-Security Network is called for to analyze ecosystem service-risk interactions across borders, scales, and elements, systematically addressing the “protection-development” challenge.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107986"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144106018","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Green transition initiatives to reduce environmental degradation: Adaptation, mitigation and synergistic effects 减少环境退化的绿色转型倡议:适应、缓解和协同效应
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-21 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107993
Binlin Li , Mohammad Mafizur Rahman , Nils Haneklaus , Shuqin Li , Yufei Zhou
{"title":"Green transition initiatives to reduce environmental degradation: Adaptation, mitigation and synergistic effects","authors":"Binlin Li ,&nbsp;Mohammad Mafizur Rahman ,&nbsp;Nils Haneklaus ,&nbsp;Shuqin Li ,&nbsp;Yufei Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107993","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107993","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Green transitions are crucial strategies for mitigating environmental degradation and are aligned with the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) of the United Nations such as SDG 7, SDG 11 and SDG 13. This study used an expanded STIRPAT framework to investigate the adaptation, mitigation, and synergistic effects of green transition variables, namely, Renewable Energy Transition (RES), Green Finance (GFC) and Green Technology (GT). Ecological Footprint (EF) and Load Capacity Factor (LF) indicators were integrated to overcome the limitations of CO₂-centric indicators towards environmental degradation. Empirical analysis employs structured methods, including heteroskedasticity-robust panel unit root tests, long-run estimation (FMOLS), asymmetric effects (MMQR), and robustness checks (panel EGLS and D-H causality tests). The FMOLS results indicate that RES, GFC and GT create a synergistic governance framework that amplifies their individual impacts. GFC supports the R&amp;D and deployment of GT, while GT optimizes the performance of RES projects. RES accelerates the adoption of renewables, enhancing energy efficiency and further reducing environmental degradation. MMQR results show that RES consistently reduces EF and increases LF across all quantiles, highlighting its key role in mitigating degradation. GFC exhibits varied effects across quantiles, while GT has significant positive effects on LF in lower to middle quantiles and reduces EF in higher quantiles. However, its impact on both LF and EF is less pronounced compared to that of RES and GFC. The insights gained here from the G-6 countries serve as a valuable guide or emerging economies, such as those of the BRICS, in developing adaptation and mitigation strategies to navigate the trade-offs between socio-economic developments and ecological thresholds.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107993"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144099056","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Environmental impacts of artificial turf at end of life: A life cycle assessment approach 人造草坪使用寿命结束时的环境影响:生命周期评估方法
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107994
Amirsohrab Falsafi , Mariam Abdulkareem , Mika Horttanainen
{"title":"Environmental impacts of artificial turf at end of life: A life cycle assessment approach","authors":"Amirsohrab Falsafi ,&nbsp;Mariam Abdulkareem ,&nbsp;Mika Horttanainen","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107994","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107994","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study aimed to investigate methods for managing artificial turf (AT) at the end of its life cycle, assessing the challenges and opportunities associated with this critical phase. While many studies have analysed the full lifecycle of AT or compared it to natural turf, end-of-life management has often been oversimplified or approached with assumptions. This leaves a significant gap in accurately assessing the environmental impacts specific to AT disposal. Addressing this gap, our study evaluates three scenarios for end-of-life management: energy recovery in Finland, recycling in Denmark, and local recycling in Finland. Each scenario includes sub-scenarios based on crumb rubber (CR) management, either reuse or incineration.</div><div>Using a standard FIFA-size football field (7140 m<sup>2</sup>) as the functional unit, our analysis shows that CR management is the key determinant of environmental performance. The results demonstrate that local recycling in Finland with CR reuse achieves optimal environmental outcomes, with Global Warming Potential (GWP) of −6 t CO<sub>2</sub>.eq/field, compared to 2 t CO<sub>2</sub>.eq/field for international recycling and 25 t CO<sub>2</sub>.eq/field for energy recovery in Finland. Even in scenarios where CR is incinerated, local recycling in Finland remains environmentally preferable, with emissions of 162 t CO<sub>2</sub>.eq/field versus 167 and 179 t CO<sub>2</sub>.eq/field for international recycling and energy recovery in Finland, respectively. This research emphasizes the importance of developing local recycling infrastructure and optimizing CR management strategies. The findings provide valuable insights for policymakers and waste management operators, highlighting pathways to more sustainable AT disposal practices while addressing the environmental impacts of different treatment options.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107994"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144089801","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Local government debt governance and carbon emissions in China 中国地方政府债务治理与碳排放
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-20 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107991
Qingying Zheng , Wenjie Hao , Boqiang Lin
{"title":"Local government debt governance and carbon emissions in China","authors":"Qingying Zheng ,&nbsp;Wenjie Hao ,&nbsp;Boqiang Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107991","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107991","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The implicit debt risks arising from the unregulated expansion of financing platforms can easily lead to incentive distortions, causing local governments to engage in non-green behaviors. Using data from 284 prefecture-level cities between 2010 and 2021, and considering the new Budget Law's implementation in 2015 as a natural experiment, this paper employs a difference-in-differences model to investigate the carbon emission reduction effects of local government debt governance. The results indicate that the reform significantly reduced regional carbon emission intensity through two main channels: mitigating extensive land competition and reducing resource allocation distortion. Heterogeneity analysis shows that the carbon emission reduction effects are more pronounced in regions with greater fiscal pressure. Additionally, the study finds that the reform creates a co-governance benefit between carbon dioxide and other pollutants, with only the issuance of revenue bonds showing significant carbon emission reduction effects. The findings of this study provide important policy implications for synergizing government debt risk resolution with the achievement of “dual carbon” goals.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107991"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144089800","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Life cycle assessment of concrete with wind turbine blade waste: A real case study 风力涡轮机叶片废料混凝土的生命周期评估:一个真实案例研究
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-19 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107992
Javier Manso-Morato , Nerea Hurtado-Alonso , Marta Skaf , Víctor Revilla-Cuesta , Vanesa Ortega-López
{"title":"Life cycle assessment of concrete with wind turbine blade waste: A real case study","authors":"Javier Manso-Morato ,&nbsp;Nerea Hurtado-Alonso ,&nbsp;Marta Skaf ,&nbsp;Víctor Revilla-Cuesta ,&nbsp;Vanesa Ortega-López","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107992","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107992","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Europe is among the most important wind-energy producers in the world, yet a commonly accepted solution is to be found towards Wind Turbine Blade Waste (WTBW) from wind turbine blades at the end of their lifespan. In this research, Life Cycle Assessment (LCA), regarding Global Warming Potential (GWP) and Abiotic Depletion Potential for fossil fuels (ADPf), was first used to study landfilling, incineration and mechanical recycling of WTBW. Mechanical recycling was highlighted as the best option, as incineration showed higher impacts (x4.5 GWP, x1.2 ADPf) and landfilling is forbidden by the European Union. Afterwards, WTBW management was combined with concrete production by considering both incineration and mechanical recycling, WTBW being used as aggregate replacement (2%, 5%, and 10% vol.) to create fiber-reinforced concrete. Mechanical recycling of WTBW always yielded lower results (-28.3% GWP, -5.9% ADPf), even when including larger transportation impacts in a real case in <em>Castilla y León</em> (-28.0% for GWP, -5.4% for ADPf), a region in Spain among the top producers of WTBW in Europe in the next 5-10 years, which is in need for a recycling strategy to follow. Lastly, four mechanical recycling plants would be needed in <em>Castilla y León</em> to minimize WTBW transportation impacts, thus the average environmental damage being reduced by 0.2% GWP and 0.3% ADPf per cubic meter of ready-to-cast concrete. These key findings emphasize the benefits of mechanically recycling WTBW and its potential when combined with concrete production through LCA, yielding promising results that can be implemented in different regions around the world.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107992"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144089799","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Using economic methods to assess impacts of earth observation-based services: Why and how? 使用经济方法评估基于地球观测的服务的影响:为什么以及如何?
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107975
Reetwika Basu , Eric Anderson , Emil Cherrington , Chinmay Deval , Sadiksha Guragai , Kelsey Herndon , Moussa Sayo Issoufou , Amanda Markert , Julio Acosta Matos , Aparna Phalke , Lena Pransky , Alqamah Sayeed , Ekapol Sirichaovanichkarn
{"title":"Using economic methods to assess impacts of earth observation-based services: Why and how?","authors":"Reetwika Basu ,&nbsp;Eric Anderson ,&nbsp;Emil Cherrington ,&nbsp;Chinmay Deval ,&nbsp;Sadiksha Guragai ,&nbsp;Kelsey Herndon ,&nbsp;Moussa Sayo Issoufou ,&nbsp;Amanda Markert ,&nbsp;Julio Acosta Matos ,&nbsp;Aparna Phalke ,&nbsp;Lena Pransky ,&nbsp;Alqamah Sayeed ,&nbsp;Ekapol Sirichaovanichkarn","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107975","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107975","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Earth Observations (EO) are increasingly recognized for advancing scientific understanding and providing critical data for decision-making in environmental monitoring, risk management, and resource allocation. Yet, the social and economic impacts of EO-based services, particularly in the international development context, are still largely unexplored. This paper addresses this gap by presenting economic methods for assessing the impact of EO services across five key areas: agriculture and food security, water security, ecosystem and carbon management, weather and climate resilience, and air quality and health. Case studies from SERVIR, a U.S. Government program funded through NASA,<span><span><sup>1</sup></span></span> demonstrate the methods used to evaluate both direct and indirect economic impacts of EO-driven tools. Findings highlight the value of incorporating impact assessments into EO services, enabling policymakers to allocate resources better, shape sustainable policies, and maximize societal benefits. This integration is not only valuable but essential, bridging geophysical EO projects with economic assessments for more effective, informed decision-making. The urgency and importance of this task cannot be overstated.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107975"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144071124","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Impact of cropland use transformation on ecosystem carbon sinks in a typical agroforestry mixed region: An analysis from explicit and implicit perspectives 典型农林混交区耕地利用转型对生态系统碳汇的影响——显性与隐性视角分析
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107979
Yajuan Zhou , Lijie He , Ershen Zhang , Dan Lu , Aiwen Lin
{"title":"Impact of cropland use transformation on ecosystem carbon sinks in a typical agroforestry mixed region: An analysis from explicit and implicit perspectives","authors":"Yajuan Zhou ,&nbsp;Lijie He ,&nbsp;Ershen Zhang ,&nbsp;Dan Lu ,&nbsp;Aiwen Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107979","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107979","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Cropland use transformation (CUT) not only increases grain production but also considerably impacts regional ecosystem carbon sinks. However, comprehensive studies exploring connections between CUT and ecosystem carbon sinks are limited. We constructed an indicator system and transformation framework for CUT by considering explicit and implicit dimensions. Moreover, we analyzed changes in the CUT in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River Basin (MLYB), as well as the trends in net ecosystem productivity (NEP). Structural equation modeling was used to explore the direct and indirect impacts of CUT on NEP. The MLYB lost approximately 0.82–0.86 × 10<sup>3</sup> km<sup>2</sup> of cropland annually, with the cropland being primarily transformed into construction and forest land. The proportion of the three major grain crops showed fluctuating increases. The average NEP in the MLYB from 1999 to 2019 was 549.36 gC/m<sup>2</sup>/yr, while the capacity of ecosystem carbon sinks gradually weakened, with approximately 29.96 % of the area showing a highly significant degradation trend, and 19.42 % showing a significant degradation trend. In terms of explicit CUT indicators, the total effect of the cropland area on NEP was negative, with a direct effect of −0.21, an indirect effect of 0.10, and a total effect of −0.11. The overall effect of the cropping structure on NEP was positive, with a direct effect of 0.21, an indirect effect of 0.02, and a total effect of 0.23. Regarding implicit CUT indicators, the input of agricultural production factors directly inhibited ecosystem carbon sinks, with an effect value of −0.62. Cropland output directly promoted NEP, with an effect value of 0.65. This study explains the relationship between CUT and ecosystem carbon sinks, providing a scientific basis for advancing green agriculture in China.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107979"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144071269","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Nonlinear and weak interactions among sustainable development goals (SDGs) drive China's SDGs growth rate below expectations 可持续发展目标之间的非线性和弱相互作用导致中国可持续发展目标增长率低于预期
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107990
Junze Zhang , Weiyi Sun , Prajal Pradhan , Shihui Gao , Changhong Su , Keith R. Skene , Bojie Fu
{"title":"Nonlinear and weak interactions among sustainable development goals (SDGs) drive China's SDGs growth rate below expectations","authors":"Junze Zhang ,&nbsp;Weiyi Sun ,&nbsp;Prajal Pradhan ,&nbsp;Shihui Gao ,&nbsp;Changhong Su ,&nbsp;Keith R. Skene ,&nbsp;Bojie Fu","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107990","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107990","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite substantial efforts dedicated to achieving the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030, there remains a critical lack of focus on how the nonlinear interactions between the SDGs affect their progress. To fill this pressing knowledge gap, we conducted a comprehensive analysis of SDG interactions and progress in China, from 2000 to 2021, with a focus on assessing nonlinear interactions and their effects on compound annual growth rates of SDGs at both national and provincial scales. Our results show that unless its current trajectory improves, China will not fully achieve all SDGs by 2030, with actual growth rates of some of the goals falling short of desired targets. Crucially, nonlinear interactions among SDGs are more prevalent than linear ones, calling into question the conventional assumption of predominantly linear interactions. While linear synergies do exert the strongest positive influence on SDG progress, the unclassified interactions emerge as the most critical factor inhibiting it. Our findings emphasize the importance of adopting more tailored policy approaches that leverage beneficial nonlinear dynamics and tackle obstacles posed by isolated actions or trade-offs, thus offering valuable insights for both China and the global community in navigating the complexities of the timely achievement of the SDGs.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107990"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144069516","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Livelihood security and energy transition: A perspective on capacity reduction in fossil energy rich regions in North and Western China 生计安全与能源转型:西北地区化石能源富集区产能削减的视角
IF 9.8 1区 社会学
Environmental Impact Assessment Review Pub Date : 2025-05-16 DOI: 10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107976
Qing Li , Runkuan Li , Xiaohe Meng , Xiangyan Chen
{"title":"Livelihood security and energy transition: A perspective on capacity reduction in fossil energy rich regions in North and Western China","authors":"Qing Li ,&nbsp;Runkuan Li ,&nbsp;Xiaohe Meng ,&nbsp;Xiangyan Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107976","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107976","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Will the reduction of fossil energy production capacity have a serious impact on the livelihood level of traditional energy production areas? This is a major issue that needs to be addressed in order to achieve energy structure transformation while maintaining social stability. This article uses panel data from fossil energy production regions from 1986 to 2022 to apply the research ideas of resource curse and threshold regression method to the study of the relationship between energy industry dependence and per capita consumption level in fossil energy production regions. The study suggests that in the negative correlation zone between energy industry dependence and per capita consumption level, reducing production capacity in fossil energy production regions will not only not reduce people's livelihood level, but also help eliminate the crowding out effect on the manufacturing industry, reduce the inhibitory effect on innovation and technological progress, improve government performance, and thus promote long-term economic growth and long-term improvement of people's livelihood level.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107976"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144069615","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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