Environmental Impact Assessment Review最新文献

{"title":"Exploring the freshwater provision service flows from a “Past-Future” perspective: A case study of the hilly area of South China","authors":"Weiyin Wang ,&nbsp;Wenshu Liu ,&nbsp;Hongjiao Qu ,&nbsp;Luo Guo","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108059","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108059","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Against the backdrop of accelerating urbanization, freshwater provision services have become a critical area of research for sustainable development. This study develops a novel framework integrating river paths and watershed boundaries to simulate and predict freshwater provision service flows. The results revealed that from 2000 to 2020, the areas with a significant surplus water were primarily located in the northern regions of the Qiantang, Oujiang, and Minjiang River Basin, whereas severe freshwater shortages occurred predominantly in the Taihu Lake Basin. Additionally, the number of pixels with a surplus exceeding 1.5 × 10⁵ m³ per square kilometer initially increased and then declined, reaching 1.68 times the 2000 level by 2020. Based on watershed boundaries and their surplus, provision service flows were classified into three types, and a total of 34 flow paths were identified. Moreover, future projections for 2025 and 2030, have highlighted persistent spatial disparities. Machine learning models, particularly Random Forest, demonstrated superior predictive accuracy (R² &gt; 0.8), outperforming traditional methods. Overall, this framework offers a robust approach for cross-basin water resource management, aiding in efficient allocation and sustainable governance of freshwater ecosystem services. Additionally, the proposed methodology offers a novel perspective for analyzing the spatiotemporal dynamics of freshwater provision service flows.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108059"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144471129","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Evaluating the environmental impacts of tin ingot production in China: Insight from life cycle assessment","authors":"Wei Chen ,&nbsp;Lulu Hu ,&nbsp;Tianzuo Zhang ,&nbsp;Jinglan Hong ,&nbsp;Yong Geng","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108049","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108049","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Tin is an indispensable metal for contemporary society, but its extraction processes result in adverse environmental impacts. A comprehensive environmental impact assessment of tin ingot production is crucial to enhance the environmental transparency of downstream products. However, few studies have examined the environmental impacts of tin production, and none have focused on tin ingot production from mining to smelting in China, the global top producer of refined tin. This research endeavors to address this gap by examining the potential environmental impacts of tin ingot (99.95 % tin) production in China for the first time using a life cycle assessment that includes the mining, beneficiation, and smelting stages. An uncertainty analysis was conducted using a Monte Carlo simulation to provide reliable results for stakeholder decision-making. The results showed that the potential environmental impacts on resources, human health, and ecosystem quality from producing one ton of tin ingot were 1.16 × 10⁶ $, 0.10 disability-adjusted life years, and 1.57 × 10⁻³ Species·year, respectively. The inputs of tin and natural gas in the ground and the emissions of particulates, carbon dioxide, chromium VI, mercury, and iron, were major contributors to the potential environmental burden. These substances primarily originated from the production of tin ore, steel, explosives, freshwater, and natural gas, and direct on-site emissions associated with tin ingot production. Several recommendations were then proposed to promote the sustainable development of tin industry based on these results. These included the promotion of tin recycling, the adjustment of energy structure, the implementation of carbon labeling certification, the use of economic instruments, and the promotion of international cooperation. These findings (e.g., life cycle inventory, impact assessment results, key contributing factors, and recommendations) will provide valuable insights to stakeholders seeking to diminish the environmental strain of the tin and metallurgical industries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108049"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144344630","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Pathway selection to achieving synergistic benefits of pollution and carbon reduction through solid waste resource utilization based on system dynamics","authors":"He Liu ,&nbsp;Dongfang Guo ,&nbsp;He Xu","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108053","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108053","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As carbon peaking and neutrality goals advance, along with the development of “Zero-Waste City,” the resource utilization of solid waste has garnered considerable attention for its dual impact on reducing pollutant and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. However, there is limited research on synergistic evaluation in the field of solid waste. This research seeks to develop a quantitative approach for evaluating the synergistic degree of solid waste utilization and offers recommendations for selecting comprehensive and effective development pathways. A system dynamics (SD) model encompassing eight categories of influencing factors was developed to predict the synergy index (SI) for China from 2024 to 2050. The results indicate that China's solid waste resource utilization will yield significant co-benefits in both pollution and carbon reduction, with a greater impact on pollutant reduction than on GHG mitigation. The level of technology and education, urbanization, economic development, and resource utilization have a crucial impact on the synergy between pollution and carbon reduction. Moderately slowing the urbanization process in the short term, accelerating technological and educational development, and optimizing industrial structure can enhance the carbon emission reduction benefits of solid waste resource utilization. This study not only provides a methodological reference for quantifying the synergistic degree of pollution and carbon reduction through solid waste resource utilization at a national scale, but also delineates the dynamic patterns between various influencing factors and synergy, offering a foundation for selecting development pathways.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108053"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144471127","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Small cities can achieve great accomplishments: Transnational climate actions and carbon emissions – Evidence at the city level","authors":"Chun-yu Guo,&nbsp;Jin-sheng Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108034","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108034","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Strategies for addressing climate risk are commonly developed at the national level, often overlooking the role of cities as the actual implementers of specific actions. We examine the contributions of urban actions to transnational climate initiatives by investigating cities that have joined the European Union Covenant of Mayors for Climate and Energy Initiative (EUCoM), which aims to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions. Adopting a city perspective enables us to observe the micro mechanisms through which transnational climate actions make a difference. Using a stacked difference-in-differences strategy, our analysis reveals that joining the EUCoM leads to an 8.6 % reduction in carbon dioxide emissions, which also spills over to neighboring cities. This positive impact persists for 3–5 years. The effect of joining the initiative is more pronounced in coastal and densely populated cities, whereas spatial spillover effects weaken beyond a distance of 30 km. Moreover, the spatial linkages between cities significantly influence local authorities' decision to participate in the initiative and may result in an “joining for appearance” phenomenon. Importantly, self-reported emission inventories reflect cities' ambitions and capacities for emission reduction, but there is a disconnect between their mitigation performance and ambitious emission reduction goals.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108034"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-23","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144351529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Co-benefit or tradeoff? The impact of inter-provincial trade-embodied pollutants on air quality and public health under climate targets in China","authors":"Yu Cui ,&nbsp;Silu Zhang ,&nbsp;Xiaotian Ma ,&nbsp;Meng Xu ,&nbsp;Hancheng Dai","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108050","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108050","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Trade-embodied pollutants significantly impact air quality and and public health across regions, particularly under climate policy constraints, yet their transboundary health impacts via inter-regional trade remain underexplored. To address this, this study integrates a general equilibrium model, an air quality model, and health impact model to assess how interprovincial trade redistributes PM₂.₅ and health burdens between China's Chuan-Yu zone (Sichuan-Chongqing) and their trade partner regions under business-as-usual (BaU) and 1.5 °C scenarios. The findings indicate that CO₂ emissions in the Chuan-Yu zone follow an inverse U-shape pattern, peaking earlier under the 1.5 °C target than the BaU scenario, with Chongqing (133.94 Mt, 2017) achieving peak emissions 5–8 years before Sichuan (318.79 Mt, 2025). While SO₂ shows the sharpest decline, agricultural NH₃ remains challenging to mitigate. Trade shifts redistribute PM_2.5 pollution under the 1.5 °C target, with Shaanxi, Liaoning, and Hubei as inflow regions and Shanghai, Beijing, and Jiangsu as outflow regions. Notably, PM_2.5 concentrations rise in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Guangdong as they absorb production originally from Chuan-Yu. Stricter climate targets exacerbate spatial and temporal inequalities in Chuan-Yu's morbidity and mortality rates. Strikingly, health inequalities intensify spatially duto to trade, with Chongqing benefiting from shifted pollution burdens while Sichuan facing higher mortality. Stroke and ischemic heart disease (IHD) remain leading mortality causes, with significant reductions projected by 2060 in developed regions like Shanghai, Jiangsu, and Beijing, though the decline is slower in Inner Mongolia and Heilongjiang. The findings underscore the necessity for spatially differentiated governance, advocating for province-level pollution offset mechanisms and health compensation funds to address trade-induced disparities.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108050"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144330503","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Pinpointing low environmental efficiency crops boosts pertinently regulating diversified agricultural environmental footprints","authors":"You Wu ,&nbsp;Junnian Song ,&nbsp;Jiahao Xing ,&nbsp;Chen Sun ,&nbsp;Wei Yang ,&nbsp;Cheng Sun ,&nbsp;Pan He ,&nbsp;Lixiao Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108052","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108052","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Crop production imposes various environmental burdens when feeding humanity. Targeting regional critical crops for effective environmental footprints regulation remains intractable especially when indicator-extended and localized environmental efficiencies of crops are unclear. This study pinpoints regional critical crops and extract potential regulation paths for diversified environmental footprints by tracing 12 types of life cycle environmental impacts of 15 crop species inflicted by 8 groups of activities, and evaluating magnitudes and multidimensional efficiencies (measured by crop yield, sown area, and economic value) of crops' footprints at the provincial scale in China. The complete quantitative links among activities, crops, impacts, and efficiencies in each region are presented. Sugarcane, sugar beet, and vegetables always demonstrate higher efficiencies measured by crop yield. Soybean shows the greatest efficiencies measured by sown area in all impact categories. Cash crops (such as tobacco and tea) and peanut are regularly more environmentally efficient when the measure shifts to economic value. For three measurements, rice consistently shows lower efficiency in Climate change due to methane emission. Fruits, with heavy pesticide input, have lower efficiencies in the ecotoxicity-related impacts. When both low efficiency and high contribution to footprints are integrated, fruits are identified as critical crops, primarily in the northwest and southwest, for Climate change and Ozone depletion. Wheat and maize are critical crops, mainly in the north, for Climate change and Photochemical oxidant formation. Targeting efficiency improvements in critical crops may yield mitigation outcomes comparable to those from improving all inefficient crops, with differences of less than 3.5% observed between the two scenarios. The extracted regulation paths covering explicit impact-region-crop-activity correspondence yield insights into more precise and cost-effective environmental footprints control for crop production.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108052"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144322477","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Decomposition of carbon emission chains in global value chains and its implications for bilateral trade between China and the United States","authors":"Weiming Chen ,&nbsp;Zhenjun Zhang","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108054","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108054","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Currently, global trade is undergoing restructuring, and tracking carbon emissions in the global value chain will help build a low-carbon and sustainable global trading system. We construct an integrated accounting framework for value chain and carbon emission chain decomposition, and conduct multi-scale comprehensive quantitative assessments of the value chains and carbon emission chains worldwide. The study found that: Most developing countries are experiencing a dual ascent trend towards high-value-added and low-emission segments in the global value chain, while developed countries show the opposite trend; The ability of developing countries to obtain added value has significantly improved; In bilateral trade between China and the United States, China shows a dual ascent trend in both value chain and carbon emission chain, and the gap between China and the United States is gradually narrowing. The results can help propose systematic value chain restructuring schemes for alleviating trade disputes between countries.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108054"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144322478","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"For how long can the global buildings sector operate as Net-Zero?","authors":"Bashar Al Shawa","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108028","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108028","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Reaching <em>Net-Zero</em> emissions is often proposed as the solution to climate change, which can be achieved – it is argued – through large deployment of renewable energy. This paper tests the <em>Net-Zero</em> concept within the global buildings sector by assessing if the sector could operate within its share of renewable energy systems' maximum output under an Energy Return On Investment (EROI) ≥ 10, and for how long it could do so given the amount of minerals needed to build these systems. The paper shows that the sector could become <em>Net-Zero</em> in operation under ‘relaxed’ buildings' energy efficiency rates but, from a minerals' availability perspective, it can only remain so until 2067. Notably, improving energy efficiency could extend this period to 2124. The paper demonstrates the ‘shortsightedness’ of focusing exclusively on CO₂ emissions to limit climate change and questions the extent to which such an approach can truly be considered ‘science-based’.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108028"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144322476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Are farmers willing to adopt climate-smart Water-Energy-Food-Environment Nexus designs? A case of olive producers in Crete using a participatory choice experiment","authors":"Olha Halytsia ,&nbsp;Maria Vrachioli ,&nbsp;Nektarios N. Kourgialas ,&nbsp;Johannes Sauer","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108048","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108048","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Given a closing window of opportunity to address threats posed by climate change, its mitigation and adaptation are high on the agenda of researchers, policymakers, and the public. The Water-Energy-Food-Environment (WEFE) Nexus approach can prove useful in the planning and implementation of adaptation actions due to its multi-sectoral nature. In this study, we conduct a discrete choice experiment in Greece to elicit olive producers' preferences for groups of WEFE Nexus climate-smart strategies. Our findings suggest that farmers prefer to adopt less technology-intensive practices, and more common and conventional ones, such as pruning, are the most likely to be adopted. Results obtained highlight the importance for policymakers to increase awareness among agricultural producers, with a targeted approach to different groups of them (traditional, transitioning, environmentally conscious), about climate-smart practices with a special focus on the expected benefits from the adoption of more technology-intensive ones, and to provide technical advice.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108048"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144322475","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Continuous reduction in socio-ecological system vulnerability on the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau from 2000 to 2050 under an intermediate protection scenario","authors":"Zhengyuan Zhao ,&nbsp;Bojie Fu ,&nbsp;Yihe Lü ,&nbsp;Ting Li ,&nbsp;Yuelu Wang ,&nbsp;Haoyue Wang ,&nbsp;Binbin Huang ,&nbsp;Xing Wu","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108055","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.108055","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The intensifying interactions and pressures within socio-ecological systems (SESs) have precipitated a convergence of multifaceted challenges in recent decades, including environmental degradation and imbalanced socioeconomic development. Despite the critical importance of vulnerability assessments in informing climate preparedness strategies and formulating adaptive governance frameworks, limited scholarly attention has been directed toward comprehensive assessments of socio-ecological system vulnerability (SEV) through an integrated SES perspective across both historical baselines and future climate projections. To address this, we developed an integrative assessment framework for SEV and explored the spatiotemporal dynamics of SEV across the Qinghai–Tibet Plateau (QTP) from 2000 to 2020. Random forest models were employed to project vulnerability trajectories under three future scenarios (SSP1–2.6, SSP2–4.5, and SSP3–7.0) spanning 2030–2050. Our geospatial analyses revealed a distinct latitudinal gradient in SEV distribution across the QTP, with vulnerability levels progressively increasing from the southeastern high-vegetation regions to the northwestern arid zones under both historical conditions and modeled future scenarios. Temporally, the study period witnessed a 1.38 % reduction in aggregate vulnerability, particularly evident in the eastern region. Forward projections indicate accelerated vulnerability mitigation across all scenarios, with the SSP2–4.5 moderate climate trajectory demonstrating optimal outcomes - extreme vulnerability areas are projected to diminish to 12.66 % by 2050, representing a 9.26 % reduction from 2020 baseline levels, while maintaining consistent downward trends throughout the projection window. This methodological innovation provides a transferable framework for regional-scale SEV quantification, enabling evidence-based policymaking for SES management. The scenario-specific vulnerability projections offer critical insights for optimizing disaster risk reduction strategies and enhancing climate adaptation pathways, particularly crucial for high-altitude ecosystems facing accelerated warming trends. Our findings underscore the synergistic potential of integrated ecological conservation measures and sustainable development initiatives in mitigating socio-ecological risks under evolving climate regimes.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 108055"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-06-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144330529","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}