Environmental Impact Assessment Review最新文献

{"title":"Scale effects and driving mechanisms of flood in a multilevel sub-basin perspective - A case study of Haihe River Basin, China","authors":"Hanyan Li ,&nbsp;Qiao Wang ,&nbsp;Minghao Zuo ,&nbsp;Xinyu Long ,&nbsp;Xinyu Zang","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107984","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107984","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Amidst the escalating dynamics of climate change, there has been a notable global uptick in the frequency and intensity of extreme meteorological phenomena. The resultant basin-wide flooding, triggered by extreme rainfall events, poses a formidable challenge to regional security and stability. In an effort to transcend the constraints inherent in previous studies that employed single-scale or raster-based approaches, the present research adopts a novel methodology by utilizing sub-watersheds as the fundamental units for delineation, thereby facilitating a multi-scale hierarchical analysis. This approach has been meticulously applied to the delineation of eight distinct sub-basins within the Haihe River Basin, with scales varying from 100 to 40,000 km², serving as a robust case study. The analytical framework of this study is both comprehensive and multidisciplinary, incorporating advanced techniques such as spatial autocorrelation analysis, Spearman regression analysis, and random forest modeling. These methodologies are employed with the objective of unraveling the complex mechanisms influencing flood phenomena and elucidating the scale-dependent dynamics that drive flood patterns across various scales. Empirical results from this study reveal a distinct spatial distribution of flood occurrences within the Haihe River Basin, characterized by a higher frequency in the eastern regions and a lower frequency in the western areas. Notably, flood aggregation predominantly manifests in designated flood storage zones and along riverine corridors. This research also accentuates the significant scale effects in flood distribution, particularly highlighting that the impact of spatial indicators reaches its zenith at the 300 km² sub-basin scale. Furthermore, the study delineates the differential impacts of topographic, hydrological, and land cover elements across varying basin scales. It is observed that these elements exert their most pronounced effects at large, medium, and small basin scales respectively. Intriguingly, the contribution rates of these indicators fluctuate across different sub-basin scales, with surface cover emerging as the most influential factor, followed by topographical features and hydrographic conditions. These insights offer invaluable guidance for the strategic prioritization and targeted management of flood mitigation efforts within river basins, thereby contributing significantly to the enhancement of regional resilience against hydrological disasters. This study not only advances our understanding of flood dynamics but also underscores the critical importance of scale-aware strategies in the effective management of water resources in the face of climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107984"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143948142","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Contributions of natural and anthropogenic factors to summertime thermal environments across different urban scales: An investigation in Chengdu-Chongqing agglomeration, China","authors":"Yangtao Wan ,&nbsp;Song Yang ,&nbsp;Han Han ,&nbsp;Yao Mao ,&nbsp;Xiao Liu ,&nbsp;Meizi You ,&nbsp;Xuecheng Fu ,&nbsp;Junqing Tang ,&nbsp;Ali Cheshmehzangi ,&nbsp;Leila Mohaghegh Zahed ,&nbsp;Bao-Jie He","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107981","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107981","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Understanding regional heat islands (RHIs) is important for initiating proper macro-interventions for mitigation and adaptation. However, limited studies have been conducted to reveal the underlying mechanisms and associated drivers. This study addresses this gap by analyzing RHI features and the contributions of anthropogenic and natural factors in the Chengdu-Chongqing area, China, at macro- (e.g., urban agglomeration, UA), meso- (e.g., metropolitan area, MA), and micro-scales (e.g., urban district, UR). This study verified the significant RHI growth in the Chengdu-Chongqing area, especially at the meso- and micro scales. For instance, the significantly increased areas at the macro scale accounted for 4 %, while those at the two meso-scale areas accounted for 7.0 % and 7.8 %, respectively. The proportions at the micro-scale were much higher. Anthropogenic factors contributed more than natural factors to RHI formation at the macro scale, while RHI growth at all scales was due to anthropogenic factors, and natural factors mainly contributed to RHI mitigation. Impervious surface density, population density, nighttime light intensity, precipitation, and the normalized difference vegetation index were the predominant contributors across all scales. Overall, this study explored the scale-dependent RHI and associated drivers from a multi-scale regional perspective and identified the critical areas for RHI mitigation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107981"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143941101","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Landscape management strategy for cultivated land ecosystem: New evidence from differentiation of supply and demand dynamics","authors":"Yunxiao Gao ,&nbsp;Ruimin Yin ,&nbsp;Ji Chai ,&nbsp;Zhihui Li ,&nbsp;Xiangzheng Deng","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107980","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107980","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Effective landscape management plays a crucial role in promoting the sustainability of cultivated land ecosystems and mitigating land degradation. While traditional research has primarily focused on the supply of cultivated land ecosystem functions (CLEFs), it has often overlooked the complex dynamics of societal demand, especially the theoretical framework for landscape management of cultivated land systems integrating supply and demand, nonlinear models and parameters for demand-side multi-scenario simulation, and accurate threshold boundaries rather than simple impact effect. This study addresses this gap by constructing a theoretical framework based on pattern-process, developing a methodological framework to predict CLEFs supply-demand under multiple scenarios, and using threshold regression to explore the boundaries of landscape patterns impact on CLEFs in Wuhan across various scenarios of Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) with Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs). The findings reveal heterogeneous effects arising from different mismatch types, highlighting variations in the effectiveness and thresholds of landscape regulatory measures. Specifically, landscape patterns were found to influence CLEFs through single and double thresholds. In regions with insufficient supply, thresholds under SSP1–1.9 were reached later compared to SSP2–4.5, whereas in areas with surplus supply, these thresholds were reached more quickly. Additionally, under SSP5–8.5, the transition from exacerbating to alleviating mismatches in grain production in undersupplied regions was shown to depend on technological advancements and improved resilience to climatic extremes. By elucidating the non-linear interactions between landscape patterns and CLEFs, this study provides valuable insights into achieving sustainability in coupled human-natural systems and addressing the challenges posed by urbanization and climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107980"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143941103","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Foreign direct investment exerts heterogeneous impacts on the global ecosystem services values: Evidence from 62 countries globally","authors":"Yufan Wu ,&nbsp;Wei Wu ,&nbsp;Shiqi Tian ,&nbsp;Kai Li ,&nbsp;Zhe Li ,&nbsp;Linjuan Li","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107973","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107973","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The global flow of foreign direct investment (FDI) has an impact on the ecosystem services value (ESV) of the host country. However, current research has paid insufficient attention to the mediating role of land use cover change (LUCC) in this process. This study combines all currently available sectoral FDI data to quantify the impact of 6 types of FDI on LUCC and ESV and discusses the potential causes. The study found that 1) FDI_total will have a heterogeneous impact on LUCC, among which it will have a negative impact on forests, wetlands, shrublands, and water bodies, and a positive impact on impervious surfaces and cropland. Affected by sectoral attributes, FDI_sector will have further heterogeneous impacts on LUCC. 2) FDI has country-specific heterogeneous impact characteristics. The lower the income/urbanization rate of a country, the greater the impact of FDI on natural land. The host country's governance capacity, technological level, and policy regulations also directly affect the degree of environmental impact brought by FDI. 3) In the scenario simulation, the country with the most significant change in ESV quantity is Canada, and the countries with significant changes in proportion include Mongolia, Morocco, Switzerland, etc. We provide corresponding measures and policy references on how to alleviate the negative environmental impacts brought by FDI in different sectors. The study provides a new perspective for understanding the environmental impact brought by FDI and provides a scientific basis for governments to optimize foreign investment policies and promote sustainable development.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107973"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143942491","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Global warming potential estimates of mass timber constructions beyond the first life: A dynamic radiative forcing modeling approach","authors":"Christina Bjarvin ,&nbsp;Francesca Pierobon ,&nbsp;Indroneil Ganguly","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107968","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107968","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In the face of a warming planet, steps must be taken to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions (GHG) associated with our building industry, which is a significant contributor to global emissions. Large, prefabricated wood elements such as mass timber panels (MTP) have great potential to achieve these reductions as they help displace high-embodied‑carbon materials like concrete and steel. Furthermore, storing the wood's biogenic carbon in buildings benefits the climate because it delays the eventual release of the carbon into the atmosphere. While these climate impacts have been assessed for the construction phase of mass timber buildings, relatively few life cycle assessment (LCA) studies have evaluated the climate impacts for the buildings' end-of-life (EOL) phase.</div><div>This research estimates the climate impacts of four EOL scenarios for MTP: reusing as MTP, recycling into particleboard, incinerating, and landfilling. Using dynamic radiative forcing modeling and factoring in temporal GHG emissions and biogenic carbon storage, the global warming potential impacts are calculated for construction, deconstruction, and EOL processing of hybrid mass timber buildings in the U.S. Pacific Northwest for 160 years (GWP₁₆₀). The 160-year temporal scale used in this paper is an arbitrary scale, with the first 80 years being the assumed life of the building, followed by a series of reuse, recycle, or disposal scenarios over the second 80 years of that temporal scale. Of the four EOL scenarios considered in this paper, the ‘reuse’ scenario has the lowest net GWP₁₆₀ impact (calculated by summing the GWP₁₆₀ and carbon storage benefits, i.e., <span><math><msubsup><mi>GWP</mi><mn>160</mn><mtext>bioCS</mtext></msubsup></math></span>), emerging as a climate-preferred scenario, followed by ‘landfill’, ‘incinerate’, and ‘recycle’ scenarios. The lower net GWP₁₆₀ impact associated with the reuse scenario is due to the low fossil carbon emissions during EOL processing, as well as the biogenic carbon storage benefits. The results of this study also highlight the importance of efficient reuse and recycling strategies for wood in MTP.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107968"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143942489","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Disentangling and hedging global warming risk: A machine learning approach","authors":"Shusheng Ding ,&nbsp;Tianxiang Cui ,&nbsp;Anna Min Du ,&nbsp;John W. Goodell ,&nbsp;Nanjiang Du","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107987","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107987","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As global warming provokes increasing attention from investors, this study disentangles global warming risk (GWR) for investors by leveraging energy futures volatilities. This study derives GWR from energy futures using an extreme gradient boosting (XGB)-genetic programming (GP) framework. Our XGB-GP framework develops volatility forecasting models for GWR from selected energy futures markets identified by XGB as key contributors to global warming, surpassing traditional models in forecasting accuracy. The originality of the study rests on the pioneering integration of the XGB-GP framework in predicting climate risk, linking energy futures markets with climate risk management and enabling feasible climate-featured portfolio hedging. Our study also sheds new insights for policymakers to design carbon trading systems and carbon pricing mechanisms, as they can use relevant energy futures prices as a basis for carbon trading calibration.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107987"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143942490","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Bamboo pulp as a sustainable alternative in China's pulp industry: Economic and environmental assessment","authors":"Yingfan Duan ,&nbsp;Min Dai ,&nbsp;Ju Wang ,&nbsp;Yutao Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107966","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107966","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>As China faces a growing crisis in paper raw material supply, there is increasing interest in using bamboo pulp as a sustainable alternative. This study evaluates the environmental and economic performance of bamboo pulp production in China using Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) and Life Cycle Costing (LCC), and compares the results with those of wood pulp. In terms of environmental impacts, bamboo pulp production in China shows variability in different regions. The environmental burden of bamboo pulp ranges from 23.6 % lower to 62.8 % higher compared to wood pulp, primarily due to differences in the pulping and alkali recovery stages. In terms of economic benefits, bamboo pulp is more economical than wood pulp. The life cycle cost per ton of bamboo pulp is $211.0 less than that of wood pulp, representing a reduction of 19.3 % in cost. Furthermore, several future technological advancement scenarios were designed, showing that increased adoption of advanced pulping technologies could reduce the environmental impact of bamboo pulp by 9.2 %–12.6 %. Under an optimal technology scenario, there is no significant difference in environmental impact between bamboo pulp and wood pulp. These demonstrate the potential of bamboo pulp to be a sustainable solution to China's papermaking raw material crisis, while also contributing to carbon neutrality goals.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107966"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143948140","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Enhancing Hong Kong's climate resilience: Integrating climate change into environmental impact assessment","authors":"Meiyu Guo ,&nbsp;Jack Hui ,&nbsp;Ka Ka Chan ,&nbsp;Yuan Zhu","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107982","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107982","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Hong Kong's Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) system currently faces challenges in adequately addressing the pressing issue of climate change, as evidenced by recent extreme weather events. This viewpoint article argues for an urgent reform of Hong Kong's EIA framework, drawing upon a systematic analysis of 76 EIA reports between 2015 and 2024, global best practices, and stakeholder perspectives. The suggested reforms include amending the EIA Ordinance to explicitly mandate climate change assessment, improving technical guidelines, and promoting a comprehensive, science-based, and participatory approach to integrating climate change considerations into EIAs. This article contributes to the ongoing discussion in Hong Kong on whether to incorporate climate change into the EIA system, providing evidence to support this issue and accelerate its entry into the realm of policy formulation and implementation. By implementing the suggested reforms, Hong Kong can transform its EIA system into an effective tool for climate-responsive decision-making and establish itself as a leader in sustainable urban development, providing a model for other coastal cities facing similar challenges in the context of climate change.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107982"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143941100","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Environmental and social impacts from desalinated water supply projects","authors":"Claudia Moreno-Silva ,&nbsp;Liliana Pagliero ,&nbsp;Neil McIntyre","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107961","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107961","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Large-scale desalinated water supply is increasingly being employed to mitigate water scarcity in arid regions. This alternative water source, while potentially reducing water shortage, has adverse environmental and social impacts, which should be considered at a project and regional scale if multiple projects exist. A methodological framework based on evidence from environmental impact studies is proposed to identify the main environmental and social concerns using the Atacama region in the north of Chile as a case study. This methodology incorporates project activities and receiving environment identification to understand the most significant impacts for a region, as well as a standardisation process to compare the findings from different environmental assessments. This methodology identifies the pressing environmental and social issues to guide a Strategic Environmental Assessment at a regional scale. Beyond the more recognised impacts of brine and energy consumption, our analysis identified impacts on terrestrial environments, principally affecting fauna, flora, and the cultural values of local communities, as primary concerns. This emphasis arises from the endemic nature of flora and fauna in arid regions and the often-irreversible nature of these impacts.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107961"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143941853","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}

{"title":"Automating refined on-site construction carbon emissions calculation for prefabricated buildings based on BIM: Model development and validation","authors":"Zujian Huang ,&nbsp;Yang Zhao ,&nbsp;Hao Zhou ,&nbsp;Hao Tang ,&nbsp;Ao Luo ,&nbsp;Peijun Lu ,&nbsp;Yicheng Wang ,&nbsp;Borong Lin","doi":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107970","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.eiar.2025.107970","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Prefabricated construction significantly contributes to low-carbon building efforts, especially during the on-site construction stage. Traditional methods for estimating on-site construction carbon emissions (<em>CE</em>_A5), which multiply machine working time by empirical energy consumption rates, often lack operability and credibility. Hence, this study proposes an approach for calculating <em>CE</em>_A5 based on the construction processes of prefabricated buildings as the functional unit, and it develops a building information model-based tool using ArchiCAD, Rhino, and Grasshopper. This tool enables the extraction of the construction process activity data list from building engineering plans and then integrates it with a pre-established database of construction process carbon emission factors to calculate the carbon emissions of each construction process and accumulate the total <em>CE</em>_A5. Validation through on-site measurements at a multistory steel structure in northern China demonstrated the approach's feasibility. The developed method successfully extracted data from building design, structural calculations, and component production from the ArchiCAD model. For major subprojects generating 98.3 % of total <em>CE</em>_A5, the exported process activity data was consistent with manual calculations, with 1.7 % requiring manual adjustments. The approach provides refined calculation results that are specific to the construction subprojects and subprocesses. The on-site measured CE factors for the construction processes contribute to a more realistic parameter database. It can be used in the early stages of a project to quickly calculate <em>CE</em>_A5 as well as to accurately present the proportion of carbon emissions generated by each construction process, which allows for identification of the main sources of <em>CE</em>_A5, facilitates comparisons between different processes, and enables the low-carbon optimization of construction plans.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":309,"journal":{"name":"Environmental Impact Assessment Review","volume":"115 ","pages":"Article 107970"},"PeriodicalIF":9.8,"publicationDate":"2025-05-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143936358","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"社会学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}