Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment最新文献

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Factors affecting crossing structure use by khulan and goitered gazelle in China 影响中国花羚和鹅喉羚利用穿越结构的因素
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104417
{"title":"Factors affecting crossing structure use by khulan and goitered gazelle in China","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104417","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104417","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Quantifying the utilization of wildlife crossing structures (CSs) requires considering the local population background. This study assessed the effectiveness of 22 CSs based on the abundance of two ungulates (khulan and goitered gazelle) in northwestern China and analyzed variables influencing their usage such as openness, water source, and human activities in drylands. Results showed that there were 7 and 13 CSs with higher performance indices (PRi) for khulan and goitered gazelle, respectively. Khulan favors CSs near water sources and with large openness, while goitered gazelle prefers structures that include ponding and also feature large openness. Factors like distance to the CSs of the railway, predators, and human activities affect the utilization of CSs by goitered gazelle. This study emphasized the importance of designing and managing effective wildlife CSs by focusing on openness and water resources. It is recommended that CSs can be spatially consistent in multiple transportation lines run parallel.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003742/pdfft?md5=d9dfd379a7ee0e8837b8650290226b62&pid=1-s2.0-S1361920924003742-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142232483","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Determinants of the price premium for eco vessels 生态船舶价格溢价的决定因素
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104414
{"title":"Determinants of the price premium for eco vessels","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104414","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104414","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Shipping companies face the trilemma of investing in cheaper but more polluting conventional vessels, in more expensive but eco-friendly ones or postponing their investment. We quantify the price premium paid for eco-friendly vessels and investigate its determinants. The results indicate that eco vessels trade at an average premium of 25% compared to their conventional counterparts, while the corresponding income premia are between 9% and 15%. Our findings further suggest that the price premium depends on the market conditions, with income premia, past price premia, and fleet supply being strong drivers, while fuel costs and market liquidity have a less important effect. The magnitude and significance of these drivers vary based on the market state and segment. Overall, the paper documents the adverse effect that the current technological and regulatory uncertainty has on vessel investment and highlights the need for further policy intervention to reduce market uncertainty and encourage green investment.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142232480","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Extreme particulate matter exposure at traffic intersections in a densely populated city 人口稠密城市交通路口的极端颗粒物接触情况
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104416
{"title":"Extreme particulate matter exposure at traffic intersections in a densely populated city","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104416","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104416","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Commuters are exposed to significantly high pollution levels at traffic intersections. This study utilized the generalized Pareto distribution to model commuters’ exposure to extreme particulate matter (PM) levels across 36 traffic intersections in Varanasi, India. A Bayesian hierarchical framework was deployed to account for the seasonal variation. The monthly return levels for extreme PM<sub>2.5</sub> (PM<sub>10</sub>) were 589 (1127), 474 (961), and 429 (902) µg/m<sup>3</sup> during winter, spring, and summer, respectively. The extreme PM<sub>2.5</sub> and PM<sub>10</sub> concentrations exceeded the NAAQS severe category for all three seasons. There is a 0.72 % (1.47 %) chance that during winter, PM<sub>2.5</sub> (PM<sub>10</sub>) levels would exceed that of the Delhi smog event (PM<sub>2.5</sub>: 585 µg/m<sup>3</sup>, PM<sub>10</sub>: 989 µg/m<sup>3</sup>). These findings raise concerns about public health and the environment, particularly in winter. The results would guide policymakers in enforcing stringent measures to reduce extreme exposures at traffic intersections in densely populated cities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142232481","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Are shared automated vehicles good for public- or private-transport-oriented cities (or neither)? 共享自动驾驶汽车适合公共交通型城市还是私人交通型城市(或者两者都不适合)?
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-14 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104373
{"title":"Are shared automated vehicles good for public- or private-transport-oriented cities (or neither)?","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104373","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104373","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Simulation studies suggest that Shared Automated Vehicles (SAVs) could reduce the total vehicle kilometres travelled (VKT) thanks to efficiently pooling multiple users in one vehicle. However, mode choice studies indicate that SAVs would attract mostly public transport users, leading to an increase in VKT. This paper is among the first to combine these operational and behavioural expectations and the first to do so analytically. In our theoretical set-up, travellers choose between car, public transport, and SAVs, depending on their individual valuation of private travel and other attributes of each mode. We find that the introduction of SAVs lead to a VKT change in public-transport-oriented cities ranging from a small decrease to a large increase, where the latter is true for plausible parameter settings and hence is a cautionary point for SAV-introduction policies. Conversely, SAVs would attract only few travellers in private-transport-oriented cities and therefore would not significantly impact VKT.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-14","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003304/pdfft?md5=d2b6a19ce0d69f27f7f851626e488fef&pid=1-s2.0-S1361920924003304-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142232482","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Maritime accident risk prediction integrating weather data using machine learning 利用机器学习整合气象数据进行海上事故风险预测
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-13 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104388
{"title":"Maritime accident risk prediction integrating weather data using machine learning","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104388","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104388","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The study explores the capability of various machine learning (ML) models in maritime accident risk prediction. Data from 1981 to 2021 from the Norwegian Maritime Authorities (NMA) was analysed together with the data of 51 different weather-related variables, which were collected from Visual Crossing for each accident recorded in the NMA dataset. The findings reveal an increased predictive ability of ML models when relevant weather data is introduced. The results show that the <em>Light Gradient Boosted Trees with Early Stopping</em> perform the best, with a five-fold cross validation accuracy of 70.23% when weather data was included, compared to 64.86% without. Furthermore, the study revealed that the leading weather variables for accident prediction are <em>wind</em>, <em>sea level pressure</em>, <em>visibility</em>, and <em>moon phase</em>. The most effective multi-classification ML algorithm can be deployed for improving maritime safety resilience through vulnerability assessment and preparedness.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003456/pdfft?md5=5d53a869a9f967d61742260db77f1d99&pid=1-s2.0-S1361920924003456-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142229438","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Emissions reduction potentials in business aviation with electric aircraft 公务航空电动飞机的减排潜力
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104415
{"title":"Emissions reduction potentials in business aviation with electric aircraft","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104415","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104415","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Under the looming climate crisis, public concerns have been raised regarding the environmental impacts of private jet flights. Electric aircraft are currently considered one of the most encouraging technological keys to significantly reducing the environmental impacts of aviation. This research aims to study the replacement of currently used business jets with fully electric aircraft. This study is based on actual flight data of a European business carrier. The carbon dioxide emissions reduction potential for different aircraft ranges was estimated. Obtained results showed that with fully electric aircraft the studied business carrier could significantly reduce its annual emissions by up to 93%. On a per-passenger basis, the emissions could decrease from 6,787 g of carbon dioxide equivalent per passenger kilometre to 449 g. However, as electric aircraft will operate at a slower speed than business jets, flight times would increase by 10–41 min, depending on the distance.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003729/pdfft?md5=39234f569600c4a215ba800b19537944&pid=1-s2.0-S1361920924003729-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142169139","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Barrier assessment of EV business model innovation in China: An MCDM-based FMEA 中国电动汽车商业模式创新的障碍评估:基于 MCDM 的 FMEA
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104404
{"title":"Barrier assessment of EV business model innovation in China: An MCDM-based FMEA","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104404","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104404","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Business model innovation is imperative for electric vehicles (EVs) firms to maintain a competitive edge and the transition towards transportation electrification. However, numerous socio-technical barriers are likely to impede this innovation process. This study aims to assess the risks of various barriers through a novel fuzzy multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM)-based failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA) model. To accomplish this, a panel of experts was convened to identify potential barriers, prioritizing risk criteria by interval-valued intuitionistic fuzzy sets (IVIFSs) and analytic hierarchy process, and utilizing the IVIF-improved grey relational projection for evaluating and ranking barriers. The model underscores the importance of considering the unique characteristics of EV business model innovation, and a hierarchical system of risk criteria for evaluating barriers is formulated based on the traditional risk factors of FMEA. The findings corroborate that ‘blocked network nodes’, ‘unprofitable revenue models’, and ‘inadequate market segmentation’ are the foremost barriers in China.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142172712","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Energy savings and emissions reduction of BEVs at an isolated complex intersection 在一个孤立的复杂交叉路口使用 BEV 可实现节能减排
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104403
{"title":"Energy savings and emissions reduction of BEVs at an isolated complex intersection","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104403","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104403","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Improving urban dwellers quality of life requires mitigating traffic congestion, minimizing waiting delays, and reducing fuel wastage and associated toxic air pollutants. Battery-electric vehicles (BEVs) are envisioned as the best option, thanks to zero exhaust emissions and regenerative braking. BEVs can be human-driven or autonomous and will co-exist with internal combustion engine vehicles (ICEVs) for years. BEVs can help at complex intersections where traffic is saturated. However, their benefits can be reduced by poor intersection management (IM) strategies that coordinate mixed traffic configurations inefficiently. This paper studies energy savings and emissions reduction using BEVs mixed with human-driven ICEVs under eight relevant IM approaches. It shows that adding BEVs has impacts on throughput, energy consumption, waiting delays, and tail-pipe emissions that depend on the specific IM approach used. Thus, this study provides the information needed to support an optimal choice of IM approaches considering the emerging trend towards electrical mobility.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003602/pdfft?md5=b6a8bb284ba3b20d8741d5ab796e7153&pid=1-s2.0-S1361920924003602-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142169138","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Effects of 1.5 °C global warming on pavement climatic factors and performance 全球升温 1.5 °C 对路面气候因素和性能的影响
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104393
{"title":"Effects of 1.5 °C global warming on pavement climatic factors and performance","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104393","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104393","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study compared 11 global climate models (GCMs) in assessing the variability of predicted pavement performance in 24 cities in the U.S. under 1.5 °C global warming and presented equations to estimate the impacts of global warming on pavement performance more simply. The results show a spread among GCMs regarding their predicted pavement deterioration with some models resulting in higher deterioration values than others. Thermal cracking, fatigue cracking, total rutting, and international roughness index (IRI) for the investigated 24 cities in the U.S. are found to increase by 124 ft/mi (23.11 m/km), 24 %, 4.6 %, and 1 % on average under 1.5 °C global warming comparatively to the baseline scenario (1991–2010). Regardless of GCMs, the results reveal southern U.S. cities are expected to suffer from greater changes in IRI and thermal cracking, while global warming induced rutting and fatigue cracking will be of greater concern in northern cities than in southern cities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142162948","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Decarbonising transport: Can we rely on fuel taxes? 交通脱碳:我们能依靠燃油税吗?
IF 7.3 1区 工程技术
Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment Pub Date : 2024-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.trd.2024.104391
{"title":"Decarbonising transport: Can we rely on fuel taxes?","authors":"","doi":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104391","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.trd.2024.104391","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Although not without criticism, carbon pricing has been identified as a key instrument to support the energy transition process, as it can convey the signal of the actual cost of carbon in relative prices. However, when price and tax elasticities are considered separately, the international literature has shown that energy demand may be more sensitive to changes in tax rates. We estimate gasoline and diesel demand elasticities for Italian households using a dynamic model on a custom-built pseudo-panel. Our results confirm that household demand for transport fuels is more sensitive to the tax component than to the oil price, controlling for income level, age and cohort effects. These results have important implications for the potential effectiveness of transport fuel taxation in setting the decarbonisation pathway: a lower tax rate is required to achieve the target than that assumed on the basis of gross price elasticities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":23277,"journal":{"name":"Transportation Research Part D-transport and Environment","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":7.3,"publicationDate":"2024-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920924003481/pdfft?md5=2d063d1306731ede7e6b6897c3e5f95f&pid=1-s2.0-S1361920924003481-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"142157526","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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