{"title":"Evolutionary analysis of airline networks under different airport-provided subsidy regimes in the context of multiple airport systems","authors":"Xin Chen , Zhen Zhang , Chao Xuan , Rui Qiu","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102650","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102650","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>To determine the evolutionary trajectory of airline network selection under different airport-provided subsidy regimes in the context of multiple airport systems (MAS), we construct an evolutionary game model consisting of airports and airlines as the two involved parties and explore the evolutionary stable strategies (ESS) of both players under different scenarios, the factors influencing the evolutionary path of the stability strategies are also analyzed. The results show that: (1) ESS of airports is the low subsidy strategy, and airlines may evolve into the hub-spoke network or the point-to-point network. (2) From the perspective of total social welfare, it is preferable for airlines to choose the hub-spoke network. (3) Lower expected subsidies from non-hub airports and higher route fixed costs strongly encourage airlines to converge towards the hub-spoke network strategy as their stable equilibrium. (4) The increase in passenger demand in the MAS can encourage airports to choose the low subsidy strategy, and the increase of passenger demand served by non-hub airports has a dampening effect on the evolution equilibrium toward the hub-spoke network strategy. This study provides valuable insights for improving the airport-provided subsidy regimes of the aviation market and optimizing the development of the airline network.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"119 ","pages":"Article 102650"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141886407","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Petri net model-based approach to runway performance analysis","authors":"Jacek Skorupski, Izabela Siegień","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102651","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102651","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Runways are a crucial element of the aircraft operations system at an airport. The concept of practical capacity, which relates the number of takeoff and landing operations to the average delay per operation, is used to evaluate the effectiveness of their use. The study aims to identify factors influencing runway performance and then quantify the scale of this impact. An original simulation model in a colored Petri net was developed to achieve this goal. It enables studying the influence of various disturbances in the takeoff and landing process on the average delay per operation. As a result of the simulation experiments, it was found that the most significant impact on runway performance has (i) the delay between the issue of the takeoff clearance and the beginning of the takeoff run, (ii) air traffic congestion, and (iii) adverse weather conditions. These factors often overlap, which significantly increases the average delay per operation. We can only affect the take-off clearance response time of these three factors. Adequate procedures and training programs should be implemented to make aircrews and air traffic controllers aware of the importance of this issue.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"120 ","pages":"Article 102651"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141886364","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Decoding air passenger flows: Identifying the role of network autocorrelation in air travel","authors":"Lu Zhang , Jiaying Gong","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102658","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102658","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>With the rapid expansion of the global aviation industry, especially in the Eurasian continent, understanding the factors driving interregional air passenger flow is of increasing importance. While most existing studies emphasize node-level and edge-level influencing factors such as economic scale, population size, and geographic distance, they often neglect the pivotal variable of network autocorrelation. This research is the first to introduce network autocorrelation within the Eurasian context and systematically analyze it using the Eigenvector Spatial Filtering Negative Binomial Gravity Model. Our findings highlight: (1) A significant network autocorrelation in the Eurasian continental aviation network. The eigenvector spatial filtering negative binomial regression model effectively captures this autocorrelation, considerably reducing model estimation bias. Specifically, the leading 3.28% of eigenvectors capture a high degree of this network autocorrelation. (2) The presence of network autocorrelation introduces estimation biases in related variables, resulting in underestimations of economic size, population size, visa restriction, and international trade, while overestimating cultural and institutional differences, geographical distance, colonial relationship. (3) Various factors affect the Eurasian continental sub-region's air passenger flows differently, indicating regional variations. This study takes a step towards improving our understanding of network autocorrelation in air passenger flows research.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"120 ","pages":"Article 102658"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141886404","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Alberto Martínez-Gutiérrez, Iván Sánchez-Calleja, Rubén Ferrero-Guillén, Javier Díez-González
{"title":"On the selection of aircraft-engine pairs for medium-haul Low-Cost Carriers operations","authors":"Alberto Martínez-Gutiérrez, Iván Sánchez-Calleja, Rubén Ferrero-Guillén, Javier Díez-González","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102657","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102657","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The selection of aircraft and engine models poses a significant challenge for Low-Cost Carriers (LCCs) striving for profitability. This decision is compounded by numerous subjective and objective variables and the vast array of available aircraft and engine configurations. Current methodologies, utilizing Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) and fuzzy logic, often simplify the problem, neglecting the engine consideration and limiting variables and alternatives. In this paper, we propose a novel methodology that circumvents these simplifications, considering engine configurations within the aircraft selection and addressing this problem for 27 parameters and real 51 selection alternatives. Through the consultation of different experts in the aeronautic field, we establish a comprehensive approach to assess the relative and overall performance of multiple variables, as well as their weights and hierarchy in the selection scheme. We apply this methodology to the aircraft selection problem in the medium-haul market, providing a framework and a solution for this currently unexplored literature domain. The results provide valuable insights for validating the devised methodology and providing relevant insights on the characteristics of the medium-haul market for LCCs.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"120 ","pages":"Article 102657"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0969699724001224/pdfft?md5=73e01e9993ce451d5fff3d925c2f6e97&pid=1-s2.0-S0969699724001224-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141886405","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Mahdi Samadzad, Fatemeh Ansari, Mohammad Amin Afshari Moez
{"title":"Who will board urban air taxis? An analysis of advanced air mobility demand and value of travel time for business, airport access, and regional tourism trips in Iran","authors":"Mahdi Samadzad, Fatemeh Ansari, Mohammad Amin Afshari Moez","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102636","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102636","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Recent advancements in the development of a comprehensive urban air mobility ecosystem promise the opportunity for its implementation in the near future. However, the utility of this emerging mode of transportation in comparison to the existing modes varies for different trip purposes and geographical contexts. It is, therefore, imperative to assess its usage potential for various scenarios before moving forward with implementation efforts. This paper presents the findings of three stated preference surveys aimed at characterizing prospective urban air mobility travel demand for weekly business, airport access, and regional tourism trips in Iran. Hybrid multinomial logit and hybrid nested logit models are estimated for each trip purpose. The results indicate that urban air mobility for weekly business trips represents the most viable market segment. Value-of-time estimates for weekly business trips are more than two and a half times higher than those for airport access trips, and tourism trips are valued even less. There is a trend towards delaying the adoption of air taxis to gain trust, and reducing ticket prices is seen as the most effective incentive for increasing the adoption rate. This study pioneers research on urban air mobility in a developing country context, offering valuable insights into market viability for investors and policymakers.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"119 ","pages":"Article 102636"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141636955","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Taught postgraduate air transport management degrees in the UK: A systematic review and analysis","authors":"Robert Mayer , Lucy Budd , Stephen Ison","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102647","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102647","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper examines the provision, structure and curriculum content of taught postgraduate (Masters’ level) Air Transport Management degree programmes in the UK. In the academic year 2022–23, 14 UK Universities offered 19 different programmes. These programmes differed in terms of their duration, the fees that were charged, the delivery models, the content and the assessment regimes. In addition to examining the content and structure of the programmes, the paper conducts a SWOT analysis of the suite of degree programmes. While the inherent advantages of having a diversity of programmes for individuals, academic institutions and the air transport sector are recognised, it is suggested that prospective students and employers are cognisant of the differences between programmes to make informed decisions about their suitability and ability to meet personal career objectives and workplace planning requirements.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"119 ","pages":"Article 102647"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0969699724001121/pdfft?md5=64d5892455eb3d2430bfae496b26c344&pid=1-s2.0-S0969699724001121-main.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141623035","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Aircraft-related noises increased but compensation decreased in Chinese airports","authors":"Qiang Cui, Yujie Liu, Xinyue Zhao","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102643","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102643","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The rapid development of the aviation industry has brought convenience and noise hazards, altering the modes of travel but adversely affecting public health. Noise pollution is one of the essential factors affecting public health. This study offers a comprehensive examination of noise pollution data associated with the aviation industry, focusing on an array of airlines operating over 400 domestic routes within China from 2014 to 2019. It scrutinizes the noise emissions during the Lateral, Flyover, and Approach phases. It employs European Union standards to derive a formula for noise compensation relative to passenger volume, elucidating the quantum of noise indemnity allocable per passenger. (1) An upward trend in noise emissions is observed annually within China's civil aviation sector, with marked disparities in emission levels across various airports and airlines. (2) The mean annual value of noise compensation has shown a general decline, with China Express Airlines assuming a principal role in these compensations. (3) There is a correlation between noise compensation, noise emissions, and passenger volumes. Utilizing aircraft with low-emission and high passenger capacities significantly reduces airline compensation costs and safeguards the health of passengers and nearby residents.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"119 ","pages":"Article 102643"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141606189","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Airline safety: Still getting better?","authors":"Arnold Barnett, Jan Reig Torra","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102641","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102641","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We consider worldwide aviation safety on scheduled passenger flights over the years 2018–22, distinguishing the 34 weeks during the Covid-19 pandemic from the prior 26 weeks. Although the pandemic caused convulsions in airline operations, it caused no deviation from the trend under which global passenger death risk from accidents and deliberate acts dropped by about 7% per year. The nations of the world continued to differ substantially in passenger mortality risk, though nations in the previous “intermediate risk” category performed slightly better than those in the earlier “lowest risk” group. The difference, however, fell far short of statistical significance. Consistent with the previous pattern, passenger death risk in the “higher risk” nations was more than an order of magnitude higher than that in other nations. The transmission of Covid-19 aboard commercial flights may have taken thousands of lives worldwide over 3/20-12/22, which would have considerably exceeded passenger deaths over that period caused by accidents and deliberate attacks. However, this increase could be considered a transient effect if the pandemic is essentially over as of the mid-2020's.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"119 ","pages":"Article 102641"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141607186","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jiangling Wu , Qiang He , Amit Kumar Singh , Linjie Tian
{"title":"What drives users to accept flying cars for urban air mobility? Findings from an empirical study","authors":"Jiangling Wu , Qiang He , Amit Kumar Singh , Linjie Tian","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102645","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102645","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The rapid progression of technology has enabled the transformation of flying cars from a theoretical concept to a practical reality, aimed at alleviating urban traffic congestion and meeting the demand for efficient transportation. Key challenges currently revolve around legal frameworks, technological advancements, and financial resources. Additionally, societal concerns, particularly regarding user acceptance of flying cars, play a crucial role in their development. Therefore, investigating user acceptance behavior and identifying influencing factors for flying cars is essential for informing policy decisions, adjusting market strategies, assessing commercial feasibility, and ensuring successful integration into urban landscapes.</p><p>This study offers a synthesis, evaluation, and critique of relevant literature on technology acceptance models, user acceptance in the transportation sector, trust, and perceived risk. User behavioral intention is established as the primary criterion for assessing acceptance, with six core latent variables identified: performance expectancy, effort expectancy, social influence, hedonic motivation, trust, and perceived risk. Theoretical hypotheses are formulated based on these variables, leading to the creation of a theoretical model, followed by questionnaire design. A structural equation model is developed using sample data to validate research hypotheses and explore moderating effects, including the impact of demographic characteristics.</p><p>The research outcomes reveal that various factors influence user behavioral intention towards flying cars, with perceived risk emerging as the most significant factor. Trust not only directly affects user intention but also indirectly influences it through other variables. Moreover, age is identified as a significant moderating factor in this context.</p><p>The study draws several key conclusions: safety is a primary concern for users, emphasizing the need to enhance safety features of flying cars; trust plays a dual role, warranting further investigation into strategies for building user trust; catering to users over 30 requires emphasizing simplicity and safety, while younger users are more influenced by peers, necessitating tailored promotional strategies by companies.</p><p>This paper expands the utility of the UTAUT2 model, offering valuable insights for future research on flying cars and proposing policy recommendations for the commercial advancement of flying cars based on the research findings.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"119 ","pages":"Article 102645"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141607188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Chao-Che Hsu , Hsiang-Chuan Chang , Yan-Cheng Li , James J.H. Liou
{"title":"Developing an airport resilience assessment model for climate change","authors":"Chao-Che Hsu , Hsiang-Chuan Chang , Yan-Cheng Li , James J.H. Liou","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102646","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2024.102646","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Climate change is affecting the stability of all types of transportation systems, including air transport. Ensuring the disaster preparedness capability of an airport has become a crucial issue. Prior studies on assessing airport resilience and risk analysis have failed to consider the impact of the disaster at various stages and the interdependence between the factors or criteria. This study proposes airport resilience model that considers the various stages of disaster response. First, we collect criteria affecting airport resilience through literature review and experts' survey to develop a novel evaluation framework. Second, this study applies the modified DEMATEL (Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory) which was modified by introducing the concept of heterogeneous impact analysis and combined with the concept of centrality weighting. Then, the modified DEMATEL is further combined with the Dombi Weighted Aggregator method to explore the interdependence relationships among the criteria and effectively integrate expert opinions. Finally, modified VIKOR (VlseKriterijumska Optimizacija I Kompromisno Resenje) analysis is applied to assess the resilience performance of Taiwan's major international airports and provide suggestions for improvement. The results indicate that pre-disaster preparation, with a weight of 0.338 among four stages, is the most crucial stage for enhancing airport resilience. This can be achieved through the implementation of effective emergency response procedures and evacuation plans in the event of a disaster. Additionally, this study suggests various improvement strategies based on the assessment results to enhance disaster resistance and resilience.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"119 ","pages":"Article 102646"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2024-07-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141606188","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}