Peng Yating, Shen Di, Wen Xiangxi, Yu Fuping, Ji Yuren
{"title":"Multi-layer dynamic network model of traffic flow in terminal area and complexity analysis","authors":"Peng Yating, Shen Di, Wen Xiangxi, Yu Fuping, Ji Yuren","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102881","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102881","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Advanced modeling frameworks are required to examine multi-dimensional interactions among airspace structure, traffic flow, and safety threats due to the expanding complexity of terminal area (TMA) air traffic systems, which are fueled by increasing airspace congestion and operational inefficiencies. This paper proposes a novel three-layer dynamic network model to characterize TMA air traffic operations, integrating an air traffic situation evolution network (ATSEN) for spatiotemporal traffic distribution, an air traffic conflict network (ATCN) for safety-related conflict dynamics, and an integrated flow-driven dynamic network (IFDN) to map flow transmission patterns. To measure operational complexity and important risk indicators, an analytical framework that combines intricate network topology measurements and traffic flow dynamics is created. The model’s capacity to recognize crucial flight segments and assess operating conditions in real time is demonstrated by empirical validation using actual radar data from the Beijing TMA. Key findings show that network robustness and conflict intensities fluctuate under dynamic situations, with peak complexity occurring during periods of high traffic. In addition to providing useful insights for TMA design and operational decision-making, the framework gives air traffic controllers a multifaceted instrument to improve flow management, reduce congestion, and increase safety.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102881"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144997674","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Can low altitude economy development bring economic and environmental dividends? --evidence from Chinese cities","authors":"Jun Tang","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102919","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102919","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite the promising development of the low-altitude economy, its economic and environmental effects remain largely unexplored. This study investigates the effects of a low-altitude economy on economic growth and environmental protection and its mechanisms. Based on the panel data of 282 Chinese cities from 2012 to 2022, a synthetic difference-in-difference model and a causal mediator model are adopted to empirically test the effects of the low-altitude economy on total factor productivity and carbon emissions and its mechanisms. The findings indicate that (1) low-altitude economy enhances the city's total factor productivity while adding to the carbon emission intensity. (2) The low-altitude economy primarily drives economic growth through mechanisms such as technological innovation, resource allocation, and industrial upgrading. (3) The low-altitude economy influences carbon emissions by utilizing mechanisms related to energy efficiency and energy structure. Due to its reliance on fossil fuels, the low-altitude economy significantly offsets the contribution of energy efficiency enhancement to emission reduction. (4) Heterogeneity analysis reveals that the low-altitude economy exerts a more significant effect on plain regions, while its effect is more pronounced in regions with both high and low road network density.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102919"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145358574","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Real-time disruption recovery method for apron vehicles based on stability","authors":"Danwen Bao , Zhuo Chen , Di Kang , Jiayi Zhou","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102915","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102915","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study investigates the problem of real-time recovery under disruptions such as apron vehicle failures and service delays. The first contribution is the introduction of the concept of spare vehicles, which enhances vehicle utilization and reduces depreciation costs. In addition, planning stability metrics based on service start-time deviation and vehicle routing deviation are designed to quantitatively evaluate the stability of recovery plans. The second contribution is the development of a Disruption Recovery–Dynamic Multi-Period Operational Vehicle Routing Problem with Time Windows (DR-DMPOVRPTW) model. This model considers the delay cost of flight service requests, the total service cost of apron vehicles, and the overall deviation cost. Building on this, a stability-oriented real-time disruption recovery method is proposed. The method introduces a decision mechanism to determine the necessity of recovery actions and designs three real-time recovery strategies from both local and global perspectives, thereby enabling the recovery of operational vehicle scheduling under various disruption scenarios. Large-scale case studies demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach. Compared with local adjustment strategies, global adjustments achieve a superior balance between solution quality and stability, reducing request response time by over 16 %, decreasing the total travel distance of apron vehicles by approximately 14 %, and lowering service start-time deviations by about 62 %. Furthermore, the stability metrics significantly mitigate disruptions to the original schedule, while the use of spare vehicles reduces their average travel distance by more than 40 %. Overall, the findings provide practical insights and empirical references for setting disruption recovery thresholds and determining the appropriate scale of spare vehicles in airport operations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102915"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145358852","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft selection for ultra-short-haul routes: fuzzy AHP approach","authors":"Slavica Dožić , Jovana Kuljanin , Danica Babić , Milica Kalić , Jordi Pons-Prats","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102909","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102909","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The analysis and understanding of the environmental effects of air transport has been attracting the attention of academia and the industry for more than 20 years. It is also evident that this environmental concern has grown in recent years, with a special focus on ultra-short-haul flights. In light of a new restriction recently introduced in some EU countries related to ultra-short-haul flight bans, and the recent developments in electric propulsion technologies, the electric vertical take-off and landing aircraft (eVTOL) offers a possibility for airlines to regain these routes. Considering the route requirements, together with the performance of electric new vehicles, the main objective of this paper is to select the new eVTOL aircraft, which could be exploited instead of conventional aircraft types. The proposed approach is based on the Fuzzy Analytic Hierarchy Process (FAHP) in combination with logarithmic fuzzy preference programming (LFPP) to derive priorities from expert judgments. The analysis considers operational and performance requirements for six eVTOLs candidate, evaluates their suitability through multi-criteria decision making, and examines how sensitive the results are to changes in the weighting of criteria. To illustrate the practical potential of eVTOL adoption, two banned European routes are analyzed. The findings highlight both the opportunities and limitations of integrating eVTOLs into short-haul networks and provide directions for future research in sustainable air transport. Additionally, the FAHP-derived solution, is consistently confirmed across all stakeholder groups as the most appropriate alternative.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102909"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145106700","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Wei Zhou , Zhengyi Wang , Sameer Alam , Leo Julius Materne , Thorsten Mühlhausen , Daniel Delahaye
{"title":"Evaluating risk-based hazard corridors in air traffic controller decisions during space launch failures","authors":"Wei Zhou , Zhengyi Wang , Sameer Alam , Leo Julius Materne , Thorsten Mühlhausen , Daniel Delahaye","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102904","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102904","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The increasing frequency and diversity of space launch activities challenge the safety and reliability of current air traffic management systems. In this study, we present a risk-based hazard corridor methodology for managing air traffic during space launch failures. Our method combines a debris propagation model with a hazard corridor construction approach that estimates the risk posed by debris to aircraft. We evaluated the constructed risk-based hazard corridors using high-fidelity human-in-the-loop simulations. In our experiments, air traffic controllers managed two strategies of hazard corridors. The dynamic hazard corridor updated the boundary in real-time while the static hazard corridor remained fixed by consolidating the dynamic boundaries over the entire activation period until the last piece of debris fell. The results show that controllers maintained safety separation across all scenarios, although their real-time workload increased significantly during hazard corridor activation. Overall, the controllers’ perceived workload and situation awareness remained stable, implying that the task demands were acceptable for all the experimental runs. Efficiency measure results indicate that the dynamic hazard corridor can reduce extra flight distance and delays, thus minimizing operational disruption caused by space launch failures. We also found that more experienced controllers tend to choose more cautious and conservative rerouting strategies. These findings offer practical guidance for improving resilience in air and space management integration. Furthermore, our study provides a basis for modeling air traffic controller behavior under emergency conditions in a way that is more in line with the real world patterns.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102904"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145106703","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
John Beasley , Martin Kunc , Toni Martinez-Sykora , Chris N. Potts
{"title":"The effect of passenger-baggage arrival correlation on reclaim performance","authors":"John Beasley , Martin Kunc , Toni Martinez-Sykora , Chris N. Potts","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102926","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102926","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Baggage reclaim processes have barely changed for decades, even though there have been many innovations in systems and processes for outbound baggage. Airport developers are increasingly asking if innovations in the baggage arrivals process are possible and whether they will deliver benefits in terms of either better utilisation of space or better passenger experience. Furthermore, the introduction of E-gates for immigration can lead to passengers reaching baggage reclaim more quickly which starts to expose limitations in the current arrivals baggage process. In this paper, analytical and discrete event simulation models of the arrivals process are developed. The analytical results offer useful “rules of thumb” when considering the sizing and performance of reclaim facilities and processes, while the discrete event model allows a wider range of scenarios to be modelled than can be handled analytically. The impact of the degree of correlation between the passenger and baggage arrival times at reclaim is investigated since this has a material effect on passenger waiting times. The impact of the degree of correlation on waiting times should therefore be considered when modelling the reclaim process. We find that a seat-order loading and unloading approach for bags can offer material reductions in passenger waiting times at reclaim, can be operationally plausible and does not require major changes to equipment or capital expenditure.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102926"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145525875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Tsakonas Athanasios , C. Vasilakis , D. Charalampakis , E. Vasilakis , N. Thomaidis , G. Dounias
{"title":"Decision support for airfare forecasting using an evolutionary approach: Evidence on search engine data from Touristic agency","authors":"Tsakonas Athanasios , C. Vasilakis , D. Charalampakis , E. Vasilakis , N. Thomaidis , G. Dounias","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102917","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102917","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study addresses the complex issue of airfare forecasting pricing that influences decisions in the Airline Industry. Our approach involves an evolutionary methodology, combining statistical analysis and symbolic regression through grammar-guided genetic programming models. This innovative method aids internet users/clients in determining optimal periods to purchase fixed-date flight tickets. Data analysis identifies key relations, guiding effective data pre-processing. Results, based on novel data from the search engine of a large European Travel Online agency, cover one and a half years and millions of airfare search cases for seven travel destinations. Benchmarking against last year's price variation, our forecasting accuracy ranges between 80 and 90 % for the tested travel destinations.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102917"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145575892","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Tassew Dufera Tolcha , Eric Tchouamou Njoya , Panayotis Christidis
{"title":"Exploring the determinants of domestic air travel across Africa","authors":"Tassew Dufera Tolcha , Eric Tchouamou Njoya , Panayotis Christidis","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102924","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102924","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the determinants of domestic air travel demand within African countries, a region underrepresented in existing literature, which has predominantly focused on international routes or domestic travel in other continents. Using a gravity model, the study provides a comprehensive analysis that incorporates socio-economic variables and service-related factors. The findings indicate that domestic air travel demand is significantly influenced by socio-economic factors; specifically, larger educated populations and higher GDP per capita are positively associated with travel demand. The effect of government ownership of airlines on passenger demand is inconclusive: state ownership positively influences demand in Algeria, Ethiopia, and Morocco, but has a negative impact in Kenya, South Africa, and Nigeria. Service-related aspects also play a crucial role: higher flight frequencies, lower airfares, the presence of low-cost carriers (LCCs), and better connectivity positively influence domestic travel demand. These findings vary across countries, reflecting the diverse economic and infrastructural landscapes of Africa. The study highlights the importance of economic and infrastructural development in boosting domestic air travel across the continent. It suggests that policies aimed at supporting LCCs, enhancing airport connectivity, and promoting economic growth could effectively stimulate domestic air travel.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102924"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145463150","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Unveiling the psychological drivers of home-country Bias: Implications for passengers' behaviours toward national and foreign airlines","authors":"Hany Ragab , Ana I. Polo-Peña , Abeer A. Mahrous","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102891","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102891","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Despite strong field evidence highlighting the significant role of home-country bias in airline travel markets, academic and empirical research into its underlying psychological drivers remains limited. In light of ongoing geopolitical and economic disruptions, this study seeks to examine key psychological antecedents of home-country bias—specifically, passengers' national identity and ethnocentrism—and their influence on passengers' behaviours toward national versus foreign airlines. Additionally, the study investigates how passengers' perceptions of price fairness can moderate the potential effects of these constructs on passengers' actual purchase behaviour. Data were collected from 411 international passengers and analyzed using CFA and SEM via AMOS software. The findings indicate that national identity and ethnocentrism exert distinct and significant influences on passengers' behaviours toward both national and foreign airlines. Moreover, passengers' perceptions of price fairness were found to moderate the impact of these psychological factors on actual purchase decisions. The study concludes with outlining its theoretical contributions to the travel and hospitality literature and implications for airline service marketers.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102891"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144997675","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Integrated optimization of airport slot allocation and boarding gate assignment","authors":"Ning Wang, Manyu Li, Annan Zhao, Maolin Chen","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102930","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102930","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Addressing the challenge of increasing air travel demand within the context of limited resources requires a coordinated optimization of essential airport operations. Airport Slot Allocation (ASA) and Boarding Gate Assignment (GA) are two critical levers for enhancing airport operational efficiency. ASA deals with the strategic distribution of limited departure and arrival time slots among flights while considering the preferences of airlines. GA involves the practical assignment of aircraft to specific gates. Conventionally, both problems are studied in isolation, which overlooks their inherent interdependencies.</div><div>This paper investigates the integrated optimization of Airport Slot Allocation and Gate Assignment (ASA-GA), whose objectives are minimizing the total displacement of requested slots and the number of aircraft assigned to remote gates. A MIP model is established and an Adaptive Large-Scale Neighborhood Search (ALNS) algorithm is designed. Experimental based on real-world flight data demonstrate the performance of the proposed model and algorithm. The results show that the integrated optimization approach dramatically improves solution quality compared to handling the ASA and GA problems separately.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"131 ","pages":"Article 102930"},"PeriodicalIF":3.6,"publicationDate":"2026-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"145575891","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}