{"title":"Suddenly with little or no warning: Learning from first person accounts of VFR into IMC","authors":"Stephen O’Mahony","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102830","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102830","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"128 ","pages":"Article 102830"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-06-03","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144195467","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Gold for global airline stock indices during COVID-19: Hedge or safe-haven asset?","authors":"Nedal Al-Fayoumi , Bana Abuzayed , Elie Bouri","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102791","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102791","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>We examine whether airline industry investors can gain hedging and/or safe-haven benefits from holding gold in a portfolio of global and regional airline stocks during the COVID-19 pandemic. Using daily data from June 8, 2016 until June 8, 2021, we employ multivariate GARCH models and show partial co-volatility spillovers of negative signs and evidence of weak but unstable correlations between gold and each of the four global/regional airline stock indices. We calculate hedge ratios, optimal weights, and hedging effectiveness and reveal that, during the peak of the pandemic, global airline investors expanded their investment in gold as a “flight-to-safety” asset, leading to substantial hedging effectiveness. Finally, we run regression models and the results indicate that gold is not a strong safe-haven asset against the downside risk of airline stock indices but acts as a strong hedge in many cases. Our findings are robust to the choice of the multivariate GARCH model.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 102791"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-31","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144184441","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Airline energy efficiency measurement considering heterogeneity","authors":"Ye Li , Jin-kun Zheng , Xi-xi Luo , Qiang Cui","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102829","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102829","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Characterized by rising labor costs, volatile fuel prices, and a slowdown in the global economy in recent years, the survival and development of airlines are facing a crisis under the influence of this series of internal and external risks. Therefore, it is essential to pay close attention to the efficiency of airlines worldwide. Currently, most studies do not consider the heterogeneity of airlines and treat all types of airlines as homogeneous decision-making units for efficiency evaluation. The results of the airline energy efficiency evaluation are biased. In this study, the meta-frontier model and the Epsilon-Based Measure (EBM) model are combined to measure the efficiency of airlines and, at the same time, open the internal operation process of the airline and analyze the aviation efficiency—three-stage efficiency of company operations, services, and sales. The results show that the efficiency value of the operation stage is the lowest, and the number of high-efficiency airlines in the operation stage is the least. Most airlines' inefficiency comes from the Operations stage. The efficiency under the meta-frontier does not exceed the corresponding efficiency under the group frontier, and ignoring the impact of heterogeneity will bias the airline's energy efficiency evaluation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 102829"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144134600","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zhenxiang Tao , Ying Li , Xubo Huang , Yisen Wang , Guanning Wang , Rui Yang
{"title":"Behavior study on pedestrian avoidance characteristics in aircraft cabin aisle","authors":"Zhenxiang Tao , Ying Li , Xubo Huang , Yisen Wang , Guanning Wang , Rui Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102825","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102825","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>With the diversification of transportation, the emergencies encountered by travelers during travel are becoming increasingly complex. The narrow aisle space within aircraft cabins, due to layout limitations, significantly restricts evacuation behavior, thereby escalating the complexity of evacuation procedures. This work studies the impact of common emergency-limiting factors such as obstacle types, initial movement speeds, aisle widths, and movement modes on personnel avoidance behavior within aircraft cabins. Research has found that the presence of suitcase obstacle primarily influenced the choice of avoidance behavior through subjective factors such as movement mode and initial speed. Conversely, in scenarios with pedestrian obstacles, avoidance behavior is shaped by both subjective factors and the evacuation environment (aisle width, obstacle type). Regarding movement trajectory, the lateral movement range of pedestrians is mainly related to the width of the aisle. At the same time, the lateral deviation of pedestrian movement trajectory will be adjusted according to the movement mode and obstacle type, and the safe distance for pedestrians to avoid the obstacles is approximately 0.5 m–1.5 m. In addition, research has found that in a 0.4m wide and obstacle-free aisle, the need for \"obstacle-free\" evacuation has been met, and the speed no longer increases with the width of the aisle. The aisle width is the main factor affecting the distribution of the average movement speed range. When there is suitcase obstacle, the frequency distribution of pedestrians' movement speed is related to their movement mode. The low-speed frequency of the \"individual\" is significantly higher than that of the \"group\".</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 102825"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144108051","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Multi-forces floor field model simulation of cabin evacuation scenarios for various passenger groups","authors":"Quan Shao, Ke Xue, Hui Li, Mingming Yang","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102819","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102819","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The behavior of passengers during aircraft cabin evacuations is characterized by its complexity and variability. To investigate the combination, backtracking, and following behaviors of passenger groups with specific social statuses, as well as the evacuation behavior of disabled groups using wheelchairs with the assistance of auxiliary personnel, we assess the influence of group behavior on evacuation efficiency employing the multi-forces floor field cellular automaton model. This model accounts for the logical differences in evacuation behaviors between different-sized and disabled groups. Through simulation, we analyze the effect of the timing of disabled groups joining the evacuation process on the evacuation duration and efficiency of different cabin segments. What is more, we examine the spatial distribution of groups of various sizes during the evacuation process. The results indicate that the early integration of disabled groups has a minimal overall impact, while their delayed involvement exacerbates the imbalance in exit usage time. The presence of groups prolongs the total evacuation time, with pairs exhibiting a denser spatial structure compared to larger groups. The negative impact brought by groups increases with the size of the group.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 102819"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-21","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144098782","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"An investigation of border restrictions policies on tourism spread of COVID-19 using scoring tools","authors":"Yoshiyasu Takefuji","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102826","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102826","url":null,"abstract":"<div><h3>Background</h3><div>There isn't a one-size-fits-all law to effectively handle future pandemics. It is imperative that policies are grounded in robust scientific evidence to minimize preventable fatalities. The more deaths occur, the weaker the economy becomes. This paper aims to reveal the COVID-19 relationship between policy changes and their policy outcomes.</div></div><div><h3>Methods</h3><div>This paper delves into the methodologies for scrutinizing and managing potential future pandemics. For the effective management of future pandemics, it is crucial to scrutinize the outcomes of the policies implemented during the COVID-19 crisis from an impact assessment perspective. The population mortality rate is used in this analysis study: dividing the number of COVID-19 deaths by the population in millions. The population mortality rate is effective in measuring the policy outcome. Two scoring tools are used, such as scorecovid for discovering a snapshot of the best COVID-19 policy in the world and hiscovid for a time series analyzing COVID-19 policies. A literature review is conducted on identified causes associated with policymakers’ mistakes.</div></div><div><h3>Results</h3><div>This paper discusses the causes of COVID-19 spread in three countries: United-Arab-Emirates, New-Zealand and Japan.</div></div><div><h3>Conclusions</h3><div>As a result, this paper will discover that recent policy updates to COVID-19 (lifting border restrictions and shortening the quarantine period on tourism) are responsible for the resurgence of COVID-19.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 102826"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144089459","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Predictors of safety promotion among Brazilian part 145 repair stations: regression and social network analysis","authors":"Marcio Cardoso Machado , Fernando Lustosa Grobman , Flavio Santino Bizarrias , Leonardo Marques","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102827","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102827","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Safety promotion is a component of any safety management system (SMS). Safety promotion in Part 145 repair stations can prevent accidents, injuries, and other adverse outcomes by proactively addressing safety concerns and continuously improving safety performance. Along with the safety promotion SMS component, there are three more components, namely safety policy, safety risk management, and safety assurance. Further, safety promotion in Part 145 repair stations can benefit from the relationship with other Part 145 repair stations based on a social network approach. This study reveals that SMS components (namely safety policy, safety risk management, and safety assurance) and the relative position of a Part 145 repair station in the social network can predict safety promotion performance. The data indicates that four predictors (i.e., all SMS components and one social network metric) are significant in this model, and the resulting regression equation predicts 78.6 % of the variance. Part 145 repair stations and aviation agencies can benefit from the findings by implementing or recommending safety promotion policies considering these predictors.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 102827"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144071886","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Inga Margrete Ydersbond , Niels Buus Kristensen , Harald Thune-Larsen , Trond Arild Ydersbond
{"title":"How can aviation be decarbonized faster? An assessment of relevant short- and medium-term policy measures in a Nordic context","authors":"Inga Margrete Ydersbond , Niels Buus Kristensen , Harald Thune-Larsen , Trond Arild Ydersbond","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102812","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102812","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The urgent need to mitigate the devastating effects of global warming demands a rapid, significant reduction in emissions across all sectors. However, decarbonizing the aviation industry presents unique challenges due to alternatives being either costly and scarce, technologically immature, or politically unpopular. This study focuses on the Nordic region and explores potential strategies for decarbonizing aviation. By analyzing Nordic aviation travel data, airport distances, natural resource potentials, fuel usage, policy measures, stakeholder positions, technological readiness levels, legal issues, and other relevant factors, we propose a dual approach. First, on short-haul routes, battery electric aircraft may be used, once the technology matures within the next years. Second, on medium- and long-haul routes, in the foreseeable future sustainable aviation fuels (SAFs) and, if available, hybrid and hydrogen technology. Furthermore, the successful implementation of well-designed policies to create markets for the new aircraft and fuel technologies is crucial for rapid progress. A collaborative Nordic approach, combined with implementing and strengthening current and upcoming EU policy initiatives, holds considerable promise.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 102812"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"144069114","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Cost pass-through in the U.S. aviation industry","authors":"Chang Dong , Gamal Atallah , Jose Galdo","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102823","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102823","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper analyzes disparities in the pass-through of fuel costs across legacy, low-cost, and ultra-low-cost carriers in the U.S. civil aviation industry from 2000 to 2019. We examine how the distinct business models of these carriers influence their pricing mechanisms. Using panel data and a fixed-effects regression approach, we assess which carrier type transfers more of the increased fuel costs on to consumers, drawing on detailed airfare and operational cost data. Our findings reveal that low-cost carriers are more inclined than legacy carriers to raise ticket prices in response to rising fuel costs, while ultra-low-cost carriers exhibit the lowest degree of cost pass-through.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 102823"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143942268","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Evolution of the Airport Industry and Regional Growth in the Pacific Alliance Member Countries","authors":"Wolfgang Dupeyrat Luque, Chunyan Yu","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102811","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102811","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study examines the relationship between airports and regional economic growth, and explores the extent to which airport privatization and commercialization have influenced air traffic growth within Pacific Alliance countries. Utilizing a comprehensive dataset comprising 86 airports across Chile, Colombia, Mexico, and Peru from 2006 to 2019, we employed Granger causality tests, Vector Autoregression (VAR), and Instrumental Variables (IV) with Two-Stage Least Squares (2SLS) models. Our findings reveal that privatization and commercialization significantly enhance airport traffic, which, in turn, promotes regional economic growth. Furthermore, we identified a bidirectional causal relationship between airport traffic and economic growth in Colombia, Mexico, and Peru. However, no evidence of such causality was observed in Chile.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"127 ","pages":"Article 102811"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-05-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143931876","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}