Jan K. Brueckner , Achim I. Czerny , Alberto A. Gaggero
{"title":"Gauging the effectiveness of airline schedule buffers in reducing arrival delays","authors":"Jan K. Brueckner , Achim I. Czerny , Alberto A. Gaggero","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102776","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102776","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>In a novel contribution to the literature on airline flight delays, this paper explores the effects of airline schedule buffers on arrival delays, showing that buffers reduce delays and are thus beneficial. The exercise relies on the approach followed in our previous work, which allows us to measure buffer sizes and flight delays by using government data on the flight sequences of individual aircraft. Our empirical results roughly match the predictions of an analytical model regarding the expected sizes of the buffer effects.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102776"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143808795","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The determinants of air travel demand to the Bahamas and its seasonality comparison with cruise travel","authors":"Li Zou, Tamilla Curtis","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102782","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102782","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the differences between air and cruise travel to the Bahamas in terms of seasonality and traffic growth over the period from 2010 to 2022. Despite the presence of 20 international airports and nearly 50 airlines operating in the Bahamas, air travel only accounted for 32 % of foreign arrivals to the Bahamas, as compared to 67 % by cruise travel in 2019. During the 2010–2019 period, air travel increased by 35 %, less than a 49 % growth of cruise travel. Moreover, air traffic showed consistently higher seasonality than cruise traffic, as measured by Gini coefficients over our study period. To empirically investigate the facilitating and restraining factors affecting air travel to the Bahamas, we estimate a structural equation of passenger traffic and airfare, using panel data consisting of monthly air traffic from 96 countries to the Bahamas over the years from 2015 to 2023. Our results shed light on the important role played by flight frequency, direct flight service, low-cost carriers, and airport connectivity in lowering airfare and thus driving inbound air traffic to the Bahamas. These findings will help airlines, airports, and the Bahamian government in developing strategies and policies to increase air travel and tourist arrivals in the Bahamas for its economic growth and prosperity.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102782"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-19","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143654476","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Service-led growth in airport economic zones: A multi-period DID analysis of China's asymmetric policy impacts","authors":"Qi Xu , Kaixin Huang , Xuezhou Zhao , Yonglei Jiang","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102781","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102781","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study employs a multi-period Difference-in-Differences (DID) model to analyze the impact of the establishment of 22 national-level airport economic zones in China on firm agglomeration and investment growth within these regions. The results indicate that the establishment of airport economic zones has significantly promoted the growth of both the number of firms and capital investment, particularly within the service sector. However, further robustness checks reveal that only the significant impact on the service sector is consistent and valid. Sub-sector analysis shows that both business services and professional technical services are significantly affected, but only the agglomeration effect in the business services sector is confirmed by robustness tests. The study also finds that the annual number of airport aircraft movements and urban fixed asset investment have a significant positive effect on firm agglomeration. Based on these findings, this paper proposes policy recommendations such as optimizing the air transport network and improving infrastructure development. It also highlights the study's limitations and suggests that future research could expand the sample and methods to enhance the reliability of the results.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102781"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-18","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143642305","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Fieldwide versus organization-specific crises in the global airline industry: The advantages of shared adversity","authors":"Jungwon Min","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102783","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102783","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This study explores the contrasting effects of organizational crises on operational performance by focusing on both organization-specific and fieldwide crises. Drawing on the social capital literature and empirical context of the global airline industry, it highlights the positive aspects of collective crises on organizational operational efficiency. Unlike organization-specific crises (serious accidents experienced by specific organizations), fieldwide crises (9/11 terrorist attacks) facilitate mutual support and coordinated responses to shared adversity, leading to a significant enhancement of operational efficiency of organizations in the field. Additionally, organizations can mitigate the negative performance consequences of organization-specific crises through alliance constellation membership, enabling the sharing of adversity within networks. Overall, by elucidating the contrasting effects of organizational crises depending on their scope, this study contributes to the crisis management literature and provides valuable insights into leveraging crises as strategic opportunities for organizational sustainability.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102783"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143629349","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Corrigendum to “How do increased job demands resulting from rationalization of costs exhaust flight attendants and push them to leave? An international study” [J. Air Trans. Manag. 115 (2024) 102539]","authors":"Sari Mansour, Malik Faisal Azeem","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102775","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102775","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102775"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143808796","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"The nexus between air cargo and international trade: Empirical evidence from country groups","authors":"Kasım Kiracı","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102778","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102778","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Air cargo transportation is one of the most important transportation modes when the value of goods is taken into consideration. However, the relationship between air cargo transportation and international trade has been neglected. This study contributes to the literature by focusing on the relationship between these variables in a large country sample group. The aim of this study is to examine the multidimensional relationship between air freight transportation and international trade. In the study, international trade (ME) and air cargo (AC) data for 127 countries are analysed for the period 2000–2021. In the study, cointegration tests and short and long run causality tests were used to identify the relationship between variables. Pedroni cointegration test results indicate that AC may have an impact on ME in the long run. In addition, according to the results of the study, the effect of ME on AC is significant in the short run. Dumitrescu and Hurlin (2012) panel Granger causality test results find evidence of homogeneous bidirectional causality from AC to ME and from ME to AC. In country-by-country analyses, there is causality from ME to AC in 7 countries from Africa, 7 from Asia, 2 from Europe, 2 from Europe, 9 from the Americas and 2 from the Middle East. Causality towards ME was statistically detected in 9 countries from Africa, 8 from Asia, 10 from Europe, 3 from America and 2 from the Middle East. Bidirectional causality is found in 3 countries from Africa, 2 from Asia, 2 from Europe, 2 from Europe, 3 from America and 1 from the Middle East.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102778"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143592714","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Prediction of noise of commercial aircraft based on itself specifications by using machine learning methods","authors":"Suat Toraman , Omer Osman Dursun , Hakan Aygun","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102779","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102779","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The concerns related to aircraft noise have come to light due to the increase in commercial aircraft activities. Forecasting aircraft noise with high accuracy is of high importance for helping attempts regarding noise mitigation, which is an important concern for people living in the environment of the airports. In this study, the noise of commercial aircraft is predicted for lateral, flyover and approach points based on maximum take-off mass (MTOM), maximum landing mass (MLM) and engine take-off thrust. For this study, the data of more than 12000 is filtered to 3528 due to existing repeated data and the prediction is performed by employing two machine learning methods such as Random Forest (RF) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). Moreover, the analysis of feature importance is carried out for three cases where the modeling is established. According to analysis results, noise is predicted with between about 0.96 and 0.97 of R<sup>2</sup> through three points by RF where mean absolute error (MAE) changes 0.043–0.049. On the other hand, LSTM achieves noise modeling with higher accuracy, which provides more than 0.99 of R<sup>2</sup>. Namely, MAE is obtained to change between 0.0085 and 0.023 for all phases. Lastly, MTOM has the highest importance for prediction of noise with 82.58%–94.48% whereas it is followed by engine take-off thrust, which has 12.5% importance at flyover phase. This study shows that aircraft noise can be forecasted with relatively low model error using three known specifications of any aircraft-engine pairing. To predict aircraft noise with high accuracy helps the designers to observe the effects of changes in aircraft weight and power of the engine on aircraft noise due to the retrofitting of new technologies.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102779"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143592712","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Xueying Wang, Guangbin Wang, Yucong Li, Dongping Cao
{"title":"Dynamics of the air transport network in China: A geographical and socioeconomic embeddedness perspective","authors":"Xueying Wang, Guangbin Wang, Yucong Li, Dongping Cao","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102764","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102764","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>The development of air transport networks is deeply embedded in geographical and socioeconomic contexts. Drawing upon advances in actor-oriented network modelling and longitudinal data on domestic air flights in China from 2002 to 2022, this study aims to explore how the evolution of the air transport network in China is systematically and dynamically shaped by multi-dimensional activity and similarity effects related to regional geographical, economic and social characteristics. The results illustrate that the air transport network exhibits persistent small-world properties and increasingly cohesive core-periphery structure. After controlling for the impacts of network structure and other characteristics, the results illustrate that the network tie formation is most strongly driven by economic and population scales, followed by geographical centrality, and finally by economic and population growth rates. Although the effects of economic and population growth rates are relatively weak, they exhibit distinct strengthening trends over time. The results further provide evidence that these effects do not operate in isolation. While the effect of geographical centrality generally strengthens the economic and population effects, the effects of economic and population scales substitute each other, and the scale- and growth-rate-related effects strengthen each other. With a deepened understanding of the dynamic associations between air transport systems and socioeconomic contexts, the findings offer implications for more equitable and efficient socioeconomic development through strategic inter-city air transport network planning.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102764"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143578872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Directs in European air traffic management: When and why are they actually granted?","authors":"Pau Esteve, Massimiliano Zanin","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102766","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102766","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>Directs, i.e. instances in which an aircraft skips one or more waypoints to head straight to the next one in the flight plan, are essential instruments in the toolbox of air traffic controllers. They can be used both to reduce the flown distance and to avoid conflicts, thus directly affecting the efficiency and safety of the system. In spite of their importance, few studies have analysed how directs are used in real operational contexts. We here present an analysis of how and when directs were granted in the European airspace in 2015 and 2019. While effective at reducing delays, results indicate that directs are mostly associated with low traffic situations, hence weakly affecting delayed flights. We further estimate the real and potential savings they entail for the system, in terms of CO<span><math><msub><mrow></mrow><mrow><mn>2</mn></mrow></msub></math></span> emissions, showing how they are minor with respect to the global environmental impact of aviation.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102766"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-03-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143592713","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Spatial effects of urban economic activities on airports’ passenger throughputs: A case study of thirteen cities and nine airports in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, China","authors":"Ming Wei , Yu Xiong , Bo Sun","doi":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102765","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.jairtraman.2025.102765","url":null,"abstract":"<div><div>This paper employs spatial econometrics to empirically analyze the possible spatial effects of the economic activities of thirteen cities in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region in China on passenger throughput (PT) and infrastructures of nine airports from 2005 to 2019. In the first step, the global Moran's I index with airport PT or city GDP is calculated to explore their overall spatial dependence. In the second step, a suitable spatial measurement model was determined using the Lagrange multiplier, likelihood ratio, Hausman, and Wald tests to evaluate direct and spillover effects of infrastructures of airports, economic activities of cities as well as spatial weight matrix between airports and cities on airport PT, providing an unambiguous basis for policy formulation and testing. The main findings prove that the urban economic and demographic growth directly influences PTs of the local airport and those in neighboring cities. While positive economic activities in all cities promote PT growth in airports, they are also influenced by other factors, including infrastructure and network layout. Finally, the same economic activities of the airport city and neighboring cities have different impacts on the PT under various spatial distance weights.</div></div>","PeriodicalId":14925,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Air Transport Management","volume":"125 ","pages":"Article 102765"},"PeriodicalIF":3.9,"publicationDate":"2025-02-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"143487763","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}