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Retail gasoline pricing in a subsidized energy market: An empirical analysis from AIDS model for Iran 补贴能源市场中的零售汽油定价:来自伊朗艾滋病模型的实证分析
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113812
Siab Mamipour , Ali Asghar Salem , Mohammad Sayadi , Masoumeh Azizkhani
{"title":"Retail gasoline pricing in a subsidized energy market: An empirical analysis from AIDS model for Iran","authors":"Siab Mamipour ,&nbsp;Ali Asghar Salem ,&nbsp;Mohammad Sayadi ,&nbsp;Masoumeh Azizkhani","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113812","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113812","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span><span>The prevailing gasoline pricing policy in Iran has traditionally been the fixed-price policy, where both rationed and non-rationed prices are set below the free-market prices. This long-standing subsidy policy has led to excessive energy consumption, fuel smuggling<span>, and environmental concerns. However, efforts to reform these subsidies have faced social unrest due to abrupt price increases. To address these issues, we propose a new gasoline pricing policy that incorporates socio-economic factors using the AIDS model. We have categorized gasoline consumption into four groups: less than 60 L (current ration), 60 L–80 L, 80 L–120 L, and more than 120 L per month. Results shows that the price elasticity for the 60 L–80 L group is the highest (−0.94), while it is lowest for the above 120 L group (−0.48). Therefore, we recommend avoiding price increases for groups consuming below 80 L per month to prevent social unrest. Also, we suggest implementing a tax rate of 5% for consumption above the current ration. Under the proposed policy, the non-rationed price of gasoline will vary between the ration price and the </span></span>Persian Gulf </span>FOB price, depending on consumption levels. This approach ensures that higher levels of gasoline consumption will be associated with fewer subsidies and welfare benefits, and vice versa.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113812"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50202431","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Has the evolution of renewable energy policies facilitated the construction of a new power system for China? A system dynamics analysis 可再生能源政策的演变是否促进了中国新电力系统的建设?系统动力学分析
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113798
Jiaqian Wu , Yu Chen , Lean Yu , Guohao Li , Jingjing Li
{"title":"Has the evolution of renewable energy policies facilitated the construction of a new power system for China? A system dynamics analysis","authors":"Jiaqian Wu ,&nbsp;Yu Chen ,&nbsp;Lean Yu ,&nbsp;Guohao Li ,&nbsp;Jingjing Li","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113798","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113798","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>Renewable energy (RE) support policies play a significant role in promoting RE development. Both the feed-in-tariff (FIT) and renewable portfolio standards (RPS) policies have been implemented in China's power industry<span><span>, but the market response is far from satisfactory. Additionally, a rush to promote electric power generation from </span>RE sources poses </span></span>operational hazards<span><span><span> to the power system due to its intermittent nature. Therefore, this paper focuses on various forms of mainstream RE policies and develops </span>system dynamics<span> (SD)-based simulation models to examine their different incentive effects and evaluate the impacts on constructing a new power system for China. The simulation results show that the demand-side RPS (DRPS) outperforms the supply-side RPS (SRPS) policy at minimizing the costs of market participants, promoting RE consumption<span>, constraining the damage for thermal power generation, and providing long-term incentives for RE industry investment, but lacks incentives for promoting the liquidity of Tradable green certificates (TGC) market. The combined FIT&amp;RPS policy provides a transitional instrument to neutralize large volatility. When promoting energy transition, different RE policy forms should be enacted in stages and it is necessary to consider the construction of power </span></span></span>grid systems and appropriately plan RE development to achieve balanced development.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113798"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50202429","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Policies to reduce India's crude oil import dependence amidst clean energy transition 清洁能源转型中减少印度原油进口依赖的政策
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113804
Brajesh Mishra , Sajal Ghosh , Kakali Kanjilal
{"title":"Policies to reduce India's crude oil import dependence amidst clean energy transition","authors":"Brajesh Mishra ,&nbsp;Sajal Ghosh ,&nbsp;Kakali Kanjilal","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113804","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113804","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>This study estimates the income, price, and cross-price elasticity of crude oil import demand for India to assess whether policies adopted to reduce India's oil import dependence are on the right trajectory and recommends policies for clean energy transitions. We find that the oil import demand changes over time with its price, income and electricity price. The demand reacts differently with the increase or decrease in its determinants and as the demand for oil imports rises or falls. The outcomes reveal that the crude oil import demand has become more inelastic in price and income than in earlier studies (Dash et al., 2018; Ghosh, 2009). Also, the study finds that electricity is a potential substitute for crude oil. The inelastic price indicates that imposing a carbon tax would have a marginal impact on reducing </span>carbon emissions<span> from crude oil. Results advocate that the reduction in electricity prices would lead to a drop in crude oil import dependence with a cascading impact on India's carbon emissions. The study recommends a judicious mix of renewables supplemented by cleaner coal technologies to instigate India's clean energy transition by reducing carbon emissions from electricity generation and transportation.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113804"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50202430","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Big oil and the energy transition: Evidence from M&A 大型石油与能源转型:来自并购的证据
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113762
Adam Hawkes, Mirabelle Muûls, James W. Hamilton
{"title":"Big oil and the energy transition: Evidence from M&A","authors":"Adam Hawkes,&nbsp;Mirabelle Muûls,&nbsp;James W. Hamilton","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113762","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113762","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>International Oil Companies (IOCs) represent a significant source of capital and expertise that could be deployed to contribute to the investment required to achieve the energy transition to a low carbon future. This paper sheds light on the current motivations for mergers and acquisitions (M&amp;A) by the various energy sectors and focusses on policies and commercial contexts that would favour IOCs incorporating renewables into their core business. An empirical analysis of a twenty-year history of M&amp;A in the energy sector, covering over 10,000 transactions, is complemented by an economic model that differentiates between investment for innovation and investment for scale and transaction benefit. The analysis confirms that in the case of renewables, IOCs are currently at the exploratory stage of business development and appear to be valuing innovation based on renewables on subset of their business. The analysis concludes that IOCs favour core investment in functioning competitive energy markets rather than in rate-of-return regulated assets, and that for IOCs in particular policies and market rules directed towards that end would favour both near- and long-term investment by them into low carbon energy.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113762"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50202800","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Techno-economic and environmental assessment of solar photovoltaic, diesel, and electric water pumps for irrigation in Assam, India 印度阿萨姆邦太阳能光伏、柴油和电动灌溉水泵的技术经济和环境评估
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113807
Bharat Terang, Debendra Chandra Baruah
{"title":"Techno-economic and environmental assessment of solar photovoltaic, diesel, and electric water pumps for irrigation in Assam, India","authors":"Bharat Terang,&nbsp;Debendra Chandra Baruah","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113807","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113807","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span><span>This study assesses the techno-economic and environmental aspects of solar photovoltaic (PV), </span>diesel, and electric water pumps for irrigation in Assam, India. Two practical crop rotations are considered: Sali rice, strawberry, and Ahu rice; and Sali rice, mustard, and Boro rice. A comprehensive analysis, including performance, cost-effectiveness, and CO</span><sub>2</sub> emissions, was conducted through field surveys and data analysis. The findings highlight the advantages of solar photovoltaic water pumps (SPVWP), including reduced CO<sub>2</sub><span><span> emissions, lower operational costs, and the potential revenue from selling surplus electricity generated and participating in carbon trading. The study explores the sensitivity to varying subsidy rates, emphasizing the potential to promote SPVWP adoption through revised policies. Factors like crop rotation, energy costs, and groundwater availability are also considered. SPVWP emerges as a viable and sustainable irrigation solution in Assam and similar regions with appropriate financial incentives and support. The research offers valuable insights for policymakers and advances the understanding of renewable energy-based </span>irrigation systems.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113807"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-10","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50202745","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Clean energy use and subjective and objective health outcomes in rural China 中国农村清洁能源使用与主客观健康结果
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-09 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113797
Huanyu Zhu , Wanglin Ma , Puneet Vatsa , Hongyun Zheng
{"title":"Clean energy use and subjective and objective health outcomes in rural China","authors":"Huanyu Zhu ,&nbsp;Wanglin Ma ,&nbsp;Puneet Vatsa ,&nbsp;Hongyun Zheng","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113797","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113797","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This study analyses the impact of clean energy use on rural residents' subjective health outcomes (self-reported health status, health change, and discomfort) and objective health outcomes (bronchitis, asthma, medical expenditure, and fitness expenditure). Using an inverse probability-weighted regression adjustment estimator and the 2018 China Family Panel Studies data, we address the selection bias associated with clean energy use and estimate the treatment effects. The empirical results show that farmers using clean energy (liquid gas, natural gas, methane, solar energy, or electricity) as the primary cooking fuel report improved health, a lower probability of physical discomfort, and higher fitness expenditures than non-users. Clean energy use does not significantly affect self-reported health, the probability of having bronchitis and asthma, or medical expenditures. The health effects of clean energy use on men differ from those on women; they also vary across different economic strata. We also find that farmers’ decisions to use clean energy are positively associated with their educational level, household income, whether they rent farmland, and their happiness levels but are negatively related to their age, family size, whether they own real estate, and the ratio of elders in their household.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113797"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50202381","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Which Energy Security Union? An experiment on public preferences for energy union alternatives in 5 western European countries 哪个能源安全联盟?5个西欧国家公众对能源联盟替代品偏好的实验
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113734
Francesco Nicoli , David van der Duin , Brian Burgoon
{"title":"Which Energy Security Union? An experiment on public preferences for energy union alternatives in 5 western European countries","authors":"Francesco Nicoli ,&nbsp;David van der Duin ,&nbsp;Brian Burgoon","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113734","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113734","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The Russian invasion of Ukraine caught the European Union (EU) off-balance, leading some to propose a relaunch of the EU's Energy Union. However, the political feasibility of such programmes remains disputed, and any such policy design is inherently multidimensional with respect to scope, governance, source of financing and other dimensions. To determine public support for energy security cooperation, we conduct a (first ever) conjoint experiment on public support for alternative energy union designs, fielded among a highly representative sample of the French, German, Italian, Dutch and Spanish populations in November 2022. This multidimensional conjoint experiment allows us to determine the causal link between (hypothetical) policy features of potential energy solidarity pacts, and public support or opposition to such policy. Our results show that policy packages receiving the most support have higher levels of ambition, joint EU-level governance, joint purchases and procurement. All-in-all our results reveal considerable cross-border support for energy solidarity, indicating that a compromise policy is feasible and publicly supported. Furthermore, our results suggest that European citizens are willing to support the creation of joint institutions to face issues of common concern, suggesting that major crises open windows of opportunity to re-shape European integration.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113734"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49464583","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Energy systems modelling for just transitions 仅用于过渡的能源系统建模
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-08 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113791
Katherine Emma Lonergan, Nicolas Suter , Giovanni Sansavini
{"title":"Energy systems modelling for just transitions","authors":"Katherine Emma Lonergan,&nbsp;Nicolas Suter ,&nbsp;Giovanni Sansavini","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113791","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113791","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Policymaking increasingly targets an energy transition that is not only low cost and low carbon, but also just. While energy system models have been useful policymaking tools towards achieving the first two objectives, it is yet unclear to what extent they can also support a just transition. Here, we review 73 recent energy systems modelling studies using an analytical coding frame and observe a diversity of approaches to account for energy justice. While models do show promise in being able to support a just transition, especially in terms of assessing distributional outcomes, many of the approaches in the literature are poorly connected to current energy justice goals and discourses, decreasing the studies’ policy relevance and leaving policymakers with suboptimal planning support. Based on our results, we suggest eight actions for modellers to increase the policy relevance of their studies, which include more direct engagement with policy and research discourses, developing location-specific case studies, leveraging public participation in the modelling process, and considering asset decommissioning.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113791"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-08","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46896777","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Curse to blessing: The carbon emissions trading system and resource-based cities' carbon mitigation 祸转福:碳排放权交易制度与资源型城市碳减排
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-06 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113796
Jianxian Wu , Xin Nie , Han Wang
{"title":"Curse to blessing: The carbon emissions trading system and resource-based cities' carbon mitigation","authors":"Jianxian Wu ,&nbsp;Xin Nie ,&nbsp;Han Wang","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113796","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113796","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Does market-incentivized energy policy encourage low-carbon growth in resource-based cities (RBCs)? How to turn the resource curse<span> and the carbon curse into blessings depends on the answer to this question. Using panel data from 122 Chinese RBCs, we assess the policy effect of the carbon emissions trading system (CETS) through staggered difference-in-differences. The CETS effectively reduces carbon emissions in RBCs, and the policy effect is more pronounced in the short term. Mechanism analysis demonstrates that the CETS optimizes industrial and energy consumption structures, promotes technological progress, and enhances government and public environmental concerns. The heterogeneity analysis reveals that the CETS is more effective at reducing carbon emissions in mature RBCs than in declining RBCs, which stems from the fact that public concern is ineffective in the latter. The nonlinear relationship finds the existence of inverted U- and M-shaped evolutionary characteristics of the low-carbon transition in RBCs. Our findings highlight the carbon market’s vital role in RBCs' low-carbon transformation.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113796"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-06","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47469872","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 5
Can carbon market policies achieve a “point-to-surface” effect?—Quasi-experimental evidence from China 碳市场政策能否实现“点对面”效应?——来自中国的准实验证据
IF 9 2区 经济学
Energy Policy Pub Date : 2023-09-04 DOI: 10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113803
Xiaolin Yu , Kai Wan , Qunyang Du
{"title":"Can carbon market policies achieve a “point-to-surface” effect?—Quasi-experimental evidence from China","authors":"Xiaolin Yu ,&nbsp;Kai Wan ,&nbsp;Qunyang Du","doi":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113803","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.enpol.2023.113803","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>The carbon market<span> policy is an effective means to promote green and low-carbon development, and is important for China to achieve the carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals. We manually collated a list of non-pilot cities, neighbouring the regions implementing carbon market policies. With the panel data from 2006 to 2017, we examined the impact and mechanisms of the policy on non-pilot cities. The study found that the policy of the </span></span>pilot<span><span> city not only worked in its region but also promoted green and low-carbon development in the neighbouring non-pilot regions. This kind of external effect is self-reinforcing. Policy spillover effects and industrial relocation are important mechanisms for carbon market policies to exert externalities. However, the “pollution refuge hypothesis” holds if polluting </span>industries<span> dominate neighbouring areas. Further analysis shows that carbon market policies are more likely to have a point-to-surface effect in neighbouring cities if officials of the pilot city are at a critical stage. Such effect is strongest in Beijing, followed by Shanghai, while it is not effective in Hubei and Guangdong. Moreover, we found that carbon market policies were with synergistic effects in terms of carbon and pollution reduction.</span></span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":11672,"journal":{"name":"Energy Policy","volume":"183 ","pages":"Article 113803"},"PeriodicalIF":9.0,"publicationDate":"2023-09-04","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"43905450","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":2,"RegionCategory":"经济学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
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