{"title":"Persistence Probabilities for MA(1) Sequences with Uniform Innovations","authors":"Frank Aurzada, Kilian Raschel","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03720-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03720-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study the persistence probabilities of a moving average process of order one with uniform innovations. We identify a number of regions—characterized by the location of the uniform distribution and the coupling parameter of the process—where the persistence probabilities have qualitatively different behaviour. We obtain the generating functions of the persistence probabilities explicitly in all possible regions. In some of the regions, the persistence probabilities can be expressed explicitly in terms of various combinatorial quantities.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149189982","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Simple Analyticity Criteria for Repulsive Multi-body Potentials","authors":"Tyler Helmuth, Marcus Pappik, Will Perkins","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03722-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03722-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We prove a simple, explicit lower bound on the radius of a zero-free disk for Gibbs point processes defined by finite-range, repulsive multi-body interactions. Our lower bound improves on those previously known, and we demonstrate that it is essentially sharp in the generality with which our arguments apply. The key ingredient is a multi-body generalization of integral identities for point densities of Gibbs point processes in the spirit of earlier work of Michelen and Perkins.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10955-026-03722-y.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149189979","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Non-Markov Logistic Evolution with Bounded and Unbounded Noisy Growth Rate: Moments, Dispersion and Extrema Densities","authors":"Guillermo Hansen, Manuel O. Cáceres","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03721-z","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03721-z","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We propose an extended logistic equation with a generic fluctuating growth rate and solve the resulting random differential equation driven by bounded or unbounded non-white noise, using a previously reported functional method. This approach yields the exact evolution of the probability density function (PDF), moments and dispersion for different types of noise, namely, Gaussian colored noise (GCN), dichotomous noise, decaying noise, and Lévy noise, that may perturb the growth rate of a population. To address the problem of extrema densities for the logistic equation, we obtain exact analytical formulas for the maxima and minima densities, the first-passage time density, and the mean first-passage time for the particular case of Gaussian white noise (GWN). For the GCN, we further introduce an absorbing-boundary approximation that allows us to calculate analytically the maxima, minima, and first-passage time densities. Analytical predictions for the mean first-passage time are validated by Monte Carlo simulations in which the colored-noise trajectories are generated by an exact sampling scheme for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process, valid for any discretization step.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149176651","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Thierry Dauxois, Ann Menzel, Antonio Ponno, Stefano Ruffo, Mary Tsingou-Menzel
{"title":"Interview with Mary Tsingou Menzel, November 22, 2024","authors":"Thierry Dauxois, Ann Menzel, Antonio Ponno, Stefano Ruffo, Mary Tsingou-Menzel","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03699-8","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03699-8","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Mary Tsingou Menzel was interviewed on November 22, 2024, at her Los Alamos home, with the assistance of her daughter, Ann Menzel.\u0000</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 11","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-16","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149176650","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"One-Dimensional Particle Clouds with Elastic Collisions","authors":"Mikhail Menshikov, Serguei Popov, Andrew Wade","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03700-4","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03700-4","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study an interacting particle system of a finite number of labelled particles on the integer lattice, in which particles have intrinsic masses and left/right jump rates. If a particle is the minimal-label particle at its site when it tries to jump left, the jump is executed. If not, ‘momentum’ is transferred to increase the rate of jumping left of the minimal-label particle. Similarly for jumps to the right. The collision rule is ‘elastic’ in the sense that the net rate of flow of mass is independent of the present configuration, in contrast to the exclusion process, for example. We show that the particle masses and jump rates determine explicitly, via a concave majorant of a simple ‘potential’ function associated to the masses and jump rates, a unique partition of the system into maximal stable subsystems. The internal configuration of each stable subsystem remains tight, while the location of each stable subsystem obeys a strong law of large numbers with an explicit speed. We indicate connections to adjacent models, including diffusions with rank-based coefficients, where, to the authors’ knowledge, the problem of identifying the analogous decomposition into stable sub-systems is yet to be fully solved.\u0000</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149189126","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Dariusz Buraczewski, Alexander Iksanov, Alexander Marynych
{"title":"On Local Large Deviations for Decoupled Random Walks","authors":"Dariusz Buraczewski, Alexander Iksanov, Alexander Marynych","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03715-x","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03715-x","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>A decoupled standard random walk is a sequence of independent random variables <span>((hat{S}_n)_{n ge 1})</span> such that, for each <span>(n ge 1)</span>, the distribution of <span>(hat{S}_n)</span> is the same as that of <span>(S_n = xi _1 + ldots + xi _n)</span>, where <span>((xi _k)_{k ge 1})</span> are independent copies of a nonnegative random variable <span>(xi )</span>. We consider the counting process <span>((hat{N}(t))_{tge 0})</span> defined as the number of terms <span>(hat{S}_n)</span> in the sequence <span>((hat{S}_n)_{n ge 1})</span> that lie within the interval [0, <i>t</i>]. Under various assumptions on the tail distribution of <span>(xi )</span>, we derive logarithmic asymptotics for the local large deviation probabilities <span>(P{hat{N}(t) = lfloor bE[hat{N}(t)]})</span> as <span>(t rightarrow infty )</span> for a fixed constant <span>(b>0)</span>. These results are then applied to obtain a logarithmic local large deviations asymptotic for the counting process associated with the infinite Ginibre ensemble and, more generally, for determinantal point processes with the Mittag-Leffler kernel.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://link.springer.com/content/pdf/10.1007/s10955-026-03715-x.pdf","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149189124","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Sequential Detection and Estimation of Multiple Thresholds in Nonlinear Stochastic Differential Equations","authors":"Dingwen Zhang, Jian Zhao, Zhuowei Sun","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03704-0","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03704-0","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper considers the parameter estimation for a class of continuous-time stochastic dynamics driven by stochastic differential equations with multiple thresholds, based on discrete-time observations. The underlying state is characterized by state-dependent regime switching, where the drift function changes across different threshold regimes. To address the practically relevant case where both the number and locations of thresholds are unknown, we propose a sequential testing procedure to detect the presence of additional thresholds over a given interval, and develop a method to estimate the locations of thresholds and drift parameters. Building on these results, we propose a SNTD algorithm (sequential algorithm for nonlinear threshold dynamics) to jointly determine the number of thresholds, their locations, and the associated drift parameters. Theoretical guarantees for all proposed estimators are established, including convergence and asymptotic distributions. Simulation studies are provided to demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed methods.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-13","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149189125","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Quasi-Product States and Factor Types for the One-Dimensional Hard-Core Model","authors":"Farrukh Mukhamedov, Yuri Suhov","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03691-2","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03691-2","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study the von Neumann algebra generated by a quasi-product state associated with the one-dimensional hard-core lattice gas. If <span>(kappa >0)</span> denotes the activity (fugacity), the transfer-matrix construction gives the stationary transition matrix </p><div><div><span>$$ P=begin{pmatrix}p& q 1& 0end{pmatrix}, quad p+q=1, quad kappa =frac{q}{p^2}. $$</span></div></div><p>The stationary Markov measure on the hard-core path space induces a faithful diagonal state on the corresponding path <span>(AF)</span>-algebra. We give a state-preserving identification of its GNS von Neumann algebra with the Feldman–Moore algebra of the measured tail equivalence relation. The relation is hyperfinite and ergodic, and its nonzero ratio set is <span>(kappa ^{mathbb {Z}})</span>. Consequently, the generated algebra is the hyperfinite factor of type <span>(textrm{II}_1)</span> when <span>(kappa =1)</span>, and of type <span>(textrm{III}_{lambda })</span>, where <span>(lambda =min {kappa ,kappa ^{-1}})</span>, when <span>(kappa ne 1)</span>. The point <span>(kappa =1)</span> is not a thermodynamic phase transition: the pressure and particle density are analytic for all <span>(kappa >0)</span>. We also describe the precise support-corner relation with the GNS algebra of the diagonal Gibbs state on the quasi-local spin algebra, and we determine the centralizer and the flow of weights.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149189257","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Sensitivity–Chaos Equivalence in Linear Cellular Automata","authors":"Chunlin Liu, Changlin Wang","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03714-y","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03714-y","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We study the interplay between various notions of chaos for scalar linear cellular automata over <span>(mathbb Z_m)</span>. We show that the following properties are equivalent:</p><ul>\u0000 <li>\u0000 <p>sensitivity (equivalently, the system is neither equicontinuous nor mean equicontinuous);</p>\u0000 </li>\u0000 <li>\u0000 <p>mean sensitivity (equivalently, <i>k</i>-sensitivity and <i>k</i>-mean sensitivity for every integer <span>(kge 2)</span>);</p>\u0000 </li>\u0000 <li>\u0000 <p>Li–Yorke chaos (equivalently, mean Li–Yorke chaos and <i>k</i>-mean Li–Yorke sensitivity for every integer <span>(kge 2)</span>);</p>\u0000 </li>\u0000 <li>\u0000 <p>the existence of a non-atomic ergodic invariant probability measure whose support contains the null configuration.</p>\u0000 </li>\u0000 </ul><p> As a consequence, each such scalar linear cellular automaton is either equicontinuous (and hence mean equicontinuous) or simultaneously mean sensitive and Li–Yorke chaotic.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149189258","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Response Theory for Locally Gapped Systems","authors":"Joscha Henheik, Tom Wessel","doi":"10.1007/s10955-026-03703-1","DOIUrl":"10.1007/s10955-026-03703-1","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>We introduce a notion of a <i>local gap</i> for interacting many-body quantum lattice systems and prove the validity of response theory and Kubo’s formula for localized perturbations in such settings. On a high level, our result shows that the usual spectral gap condition, which concerns the system as a whole, is not a necessary condition for understanding local properties of the system. More precisely, we say that an equilibrium state <span>(rho _0)</span> of a Hamiltonian <span>(H_0)</span> is locally gapped in <span>({varLambda ^{textrm{gap}}}subset varLambda )</span>, whenever the Liouvillian <span>(- textrm{i}, [H_0, , cdot , ])</span> is almost invertible on local observables supported in <span>({varLambda ^{textrm{gap}}})</span> when tested in <span>(rho _0)</span>. To put this into context, we provide other alternative notions of a local gap and discuss their relations. The validity of response theory is based on the construction of <i>non-equilibrium almost stationary states</i> (NEASSs). By controlling locality properties of the NEASS construction, we show that response theory holds to any order, whenever the perturbation <span>(varepsilon V)</span> acts in a region which is further than <span>(|log varepsilon |)</span> away from the non-gapped region <span>(varLambda backslash varLambda textrm{gap})</span>.\u0000</p></div>","PeriodicalId":667,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Statistical Physics","volume":"193 10","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1,"publicationDate":"2026-10-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC13658436/pdf/","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"149178620","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"物理与天体物理","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"OA","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}