Amel Ghouali, A. Moussaoui, P. Auger, Tri Nguyen Huu
{"title":"Optimal Placement of Marine Protected Areas to Avoid the Extinction of the Fish Stock","authors":"Amel Ghouali, A. Moussaoui, P. Auger, Tri Nguyen Huu","doi":"10.1142/s0218339022500115","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339022500115","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we propose to study a fishery model with variable price. We assume that the price evolves much faster than the rest of the system. Under certain assumptions, this makes it possible to consider the fishery system as a slow–fast system, on two time scales, and to study it with a reduced model of dimension two. Two main cases can occur. The first one which we called catastrophic equilibrium corresponds to over-exploitation leading to fish extinction and a booming price. The second case corresponds to a sustainable fishery equilibrium which is stable. The possible effects of the creation of marine protected areas (MPAs), sites where fishing is prohibited, on the fish stock and fishery are evaluated. We show that MPAs can have a positive effect on the restoration of depleted fish stocks by destabilizing the catastrophic equilibrium and keeping only one positive equilibrium which will be globally asymptotically stable. This problem is addressed by proposing a model with MPA for the fish dynamics. Fish are assumed to move between MPA and fishing area and are subject to harvesting through fishing. We show that to avoid the extinction of the stock and stabilize the fishery in the long term, it is necessary to define a fishing zone such that the ratio of its carrying capacity to its surface is small enough. We further show that with a judicious choice of the surface area of the MPA, it is possible to optimize the total capture.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-04-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44085275","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Zhibo Zhang, Sheng Li, Peng Si, Xuefang Li, Xiongxiong He
{"title":"A TUMOR-IMMUNE MODEL WITH MIXED IMMUNOTHERAPY AND CHEMOTHERAPY: QUALITATIVE ANALYSIS AND OPTIMAL CONTROL","authors":"Zhibo Zhang, Sheng Li, Peng Si, Xuefang Li, Xiongxiong He","doi":"10.1142/s0218339022500127","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339022500127","url":null,"abstract":"We develop a mathematical model of tumor-immune interactions, including six populations (tumor cells, CD8[Formula: see text]T cells, natural killer (NK) cells, dendritic cells, helper T cells, cytokine interleukin-12 (IL-12)) and three potential treatments (chemotherapy, Tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte (TIL) therapy and IL-12 therapy). We characterize the dynamics of our model without treatment through stability and sensitivity analysis, which provides a broad understanding of the long-term qualitative behavior. To find the best combination of the chemo-immunotherapy regimens to eliminate tumors, we formulate an optimal control problem with path constraints of total drug dose and solve it numerically with the optimal control software Pyomo. We also simulate the scenarios of traditional treatment protocols as a comparison and find that our optimal treatment strategies have a better therapeutic effect. In addition, numerical simulation results show that IL-12 therapy is a good adjunctive therapy and has a high potential for inhibiting a large tumor in combination with other therapy. In most cases, combination therapy is more effective than a single treatment.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-04-12","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44640884","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"DYNAMIC BEHAVIOR OF A STOCHASTIC NON-AUTONOMOUS PREDATOR–PREY MODEL WITH CROWLEY–MARTIN FUNCTIONAL RESPONSE AND IMPULSES","authors":"Yaru Guo, Shulin Sun","doi":"10.1142/s0218339022500061","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339022500061","url":null,"abstract":"A stochastic non-autonomous one-prey two-predator model with Crowley–Martin functional response and impulses is proposed in this paper. First, by constructing the equivalent system without impulses, we investigate the existence and uniqueness of the global positive solution of the system. Second, by using Itô formula, strong law of large numbers and Chebyshev’s inequality, some sufficient conditions are established to ensure the extinction, non-persistence in the mean, persistence in the mean and stochastic permanence of the system. Third, we prove the system is globally attractive under some conditions. Finally, we choose different white noise intensities and impulsive parameters to illustrate the analytical results by numerical simulations.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-03-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46855563","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"GLOBAL DYNAMICS OF A PREY–PREDATOR MODEL WITH HOLLING TYPE III FUNCTIONAL RESPONSE IN THE PRESENCE OF HARVESTING","authors":"S. Debnath, P. Majumdar, Sudeep Sarkar, U. Ghosh","doi":"10.1142/s0218339022500073","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339022500073","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we have investigated global dynamics of a two-species food chain model with the Holling type III functional response that includes linear harvesting for the prey and nonlinear harvesting for the predator. The long-time continued existence of both species is discussed using uniform persistence theory. Stability of various equilibrium points is described in terms of model parameters. The local asymptotic stability of non-hyperbolic equilibrium points is determined with the help of center manifold theorem. Global behavior of solutions of the model system when both species are present is determined by considering the global properties of the coexistence equilibrium. Here, we have taken a comprehensive view by considering different bifurcations of co-dimension one and two and have discussed the importance of various model parameters on the system dynamics. The model system shows much more complex and realistic behavior compared to a model system without any harvesting, with constant harvesting or linear-yield harvesting of either or both of the species. Numerical simulations have been conducted to illustrate the theoretical findings.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46422973","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"ROLE OF ALLEE EFFECT AND HARVESTING OF A FOOD-WEB SYSTEM IN THE PRESENCE OF SCAVENGERS","authors":"R. Gupta, Dinesh K. Yadav","doi":"10.1142/s021833902250005x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s021833902250005x","url":null,"abstract":"The role of scavengers, which consume the carcasses of predators along with predation of the prey, has been ignored in comparisons to herbivores and predators. It has now become a topic of high interest among researchers working with food-web systems of prey–predator interactions. The food-web considered in these works contains prey, predators, and scavengers as the third species. In this work, we attempt to study a food-web model of these species in the presence of the multiplicative Allee effect and harvesting. It is observed that this makes the model more complex in the form of multiple co-existing steady states. The conditions for the existence and local stability of all possible steady states of the proposed system are analyzed. The global stability of the steady state lying on the x-axis and the interior steady state have been discussed by choosing suitable Lyapunov functions. The existence conditions for saddle-node and Hopf bifurcations are derived analytically. The stability of Hopf bifurcating periodic solutions with respect to both Allee and harvesting constants is examined. It is also observed that multiple Hopf bifurcation thresholds occur for harvesting parameters in the case of two co-existing steady states, which indicates that the system may regain its stability. The proposed model is also studied beyond Hopf bifurcation thresholds, where we have observed that the model is capable of exhibiting period-doubling routes to chaos, which can be controlled by a suitable choice of Allee and harvesting parameters. The largest Lyapunov exponents and sensitivity to initial conditions are examined to ensure the chaotic nature of the system.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44135260","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"OPTIMAL CONTROL OF GENETIC DIVERSITY IN THE MORAN MODEL WITH POPULATION GROWTH","authors":"N. Bonneuil","doi":"10.1142/s0218339022500012","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339022500012","url":null,"abstract":"In the Moran model of drift and selection of a mutant allele with population growth, instead of examining the consequences of pre-specified selection and population growth, the coexistence of the wild allele and the mutant allele becomes the maximization of the expected sojourn time in a given set. The process is controlled by the additional mortality of the mutant and by population growth. This makes it possible to retroactively assign fitness values as functions of the constraints, thus guiding a conservation policy or the achievement of a wishful proportion of mutants. This also gives the optimal conditions that have allowed an observed coexistence.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49176299","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
B. Buonomo, Rossella Della Marca, Sileshi Sintayehu Sharbayta
{"title":"A BEHAVIORAL CHANGE MODEL TO ASSESS VACCINATION-INDUCED RELAXATION OF SOCIAL DISTANCING DURING AN EPIDEMIC","authors":"B. Buonomo, Rossella Della Marca, Sileshi Sintayehu Sharbayta","doi":"10.1142/s0218339022500085","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339022500085","url":null,"abstract":"The success of mass vaccination campaigns may be jeopardized by human risky behaviors. For example, high level of vaccination coverage may induce early relaxation of social distancing. In this paper, we focus on the mutual influence between the decline in prevalence, due to the rise in the overall immunization coverage, and the consequent decrease in the compliance to social distancing measures. We consider an epidemic model where both the vaccination rate and the disease transmission rate are influenced by human behavior, which in turn depends on the current and past information about the spread of the disease. We highlight the impact of the information-related parameters on the transient and asymptotic behavior of the system that is on the early stage of the epidemic and its final outcome. Among the main results, we evidence that sustained oscillations may be triggered by the behavioral memory in the prevalence-dependent vaccination rate. However, the relaxation of social distancing may induce a switch from a cyclic regime to damped oscillations.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-03-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"42090222","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
A. J. Ouemba Tassé, B. Tsanou, J. Lubuma, J. L. Woukeng, Francis Signing
{"title":"EBOLA VIRUS DISEASE DYNAMICS WITH SOME PREVENTIVE MEASURES: A CASE STUDY OF THE 2018–2020 KIVU OUTBREAK","authors":"A. J. Ouemba Tassé, B. Tsanou, J. Lubuma, J. L. Woukeng, Francis Signing","doi":"10.1142/s0218339022500048","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339022500048","url":null,"abstract":"To fight against Ebola virus disease, several measures have been adopted. Among them, isolation, safe burial and vaccination occupy a prominent place. In this paper, we present a model which takes into account these three control strategies as well as the indirect transmission through a polluted environment. The asymptotic behavior of our model is achieved. Namely, we determine a threshold value [Formula: see text] of the control reproduction number [Formula: see text], below which the disease is eliminated in the long run. Whenever the value of [Formula: see text] ranges from [Formula: see text] and 1, we prove the existence of a backward bifurcation phenomenon, which corresponds to the case, where a locally asymptotically stable positive equilibrium co-exists with the disease-free equilibrium, which is also locally asymptotically stable. The existence of this bifurcation complicates the control of Ebola, since the requirement of [Formula: see text] below one, although necessary, is no longer sufficient for the elimination of Ebola, more efforts need to be deployed. When the value of [Formula: see text] is greater than one, we prove the existence of a unique endemic equilibrium, locally asymptotically stable. That is the disease may persist and become endemic. Numerically, we fit our model to the reported data for the 2018–2020 Kivu Ebola outbreak which occurred in Democratic Republic of Congo. Through the sensitivity analysis of the control reproduction number, we prove that the transmission rates of infected alive who are outside hospital are the most influential parameters. Numerically, we explore the usefulness of isolation, safe burial combined with vaccination and investigate the importance to combine the latter control strategies to the educational campaigns or/and case finding.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2022-02-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"47003666","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"ROLE OF MEDIA COVERAGE IN MITIGATING AN EPIDEMIC OUTBREAK: AN OPTIMAL CONTROL MODEL","authors":"Anshika Kapoor, Aniruddha Deka, S. Bhattacharyya","doi":"10.1142/s0218339021500212","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339021500212","url":null,"abstract":"Flu is an acute respiratory infection caused by the influenza virus. The outbreak usually occurs every year in temperate region during the fall and winter seasons, but it is present year-round in tropics. Perceived risk of infection, affordability and lack of awareness among the population results in a low level of vaccination coverage. To control disease transmission and promote vaccination, public health officials use media coverage to spread awareness on vaccine safety, vaccine coverage, disease prevalence in the population through public health websites, advertisements, and other social media web pages. Media coverage acts as an incentive as it helps to decrease overall transmission potential and also at the same time increases the vaccination coverage in the population. Since the public health department has a limited budget, it needs to make optimum allocation of its effort to reduce the total cost of infection. Our paper investigates the effect of media coverage using SIR model of disease transmission. We look at three possible functional relationships — linear, exponential, and hyperbolic — the way media coverage may affect the disease transmission and vaccination rate. We derive necessary conditions of optimal solution using Optimal Control Theory and Pontryagin Maximum Principle (PMP) to minimize the total cost for infection. Analysis of our paper demonstrates that the cost of optimal management is four times less than the cost of constant control effort, and putting more effort into reducing transmission is optimal rather than an effort to increase vaccination at the beginning of the outbreak. Analysis of the role of media coverage under three different scenarios may help in formulating policies for public health programs in mitigating the influenza outbreak.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"46104851","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
P. Tiwari, Maitri Verma, Soumitra Pal, Yun Kang, A. Misra
{"title":"A DELAY NONAUTONOMOUS PREDATOR–PREY MODEL FOR THE EFFECTS OF FEAR, REFUGE AND HUNTING COOPERATION","authors":"P. Tiwari, Maitri Verma, Soumitra Pal, Yun Kang, A. Misra","doi":"10.1142/s0218339021500236","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339021500236","url":null,"abstract":"Fear of predation may assert privilege to prey species by restricting their exposure to potential predators, meanwhile it can also impose costs by constraining the exploration of optimal resources. A predator–prey model with the effect of fear, refuge, and hunting cooperation has been investigated in this paper. The system’s equilibria are obtained and their local stability behavior is discussed. The existence of Hopf-bifurcation is analytically shown by taking refuge as a bifurcation parameter. There are many ecological factors which are not instantaneous processes, and so, to make the system more realistic, we incorporate three discrete time delays: in the effect of fear, refuge and hunting cooperation, and analyze the delayed system for stability and bifurcation. Moreover, for environmental fluctuations, we further modify the delayed system by incorporating seasonality in the fear, refuge and cooperation. We have analyzed the seasonally forced delayed system for the existence of a positive periodic solution. In the support of analytical results, some numerical simulations are carried out. Sensitivity analysis is used to identify parameters having crucial impacts on the ecological balance of predator–prey interactions. We find that the rate of predation, fear, and hunting cooperation destabilizes the system, whereas prey refuge stabilizes the system. Time delay in the cooperation behavior generates irregular oscillations whereas delay in refuge stabilizes an otherwise unstable system. Seasonal variations in the level of fear and refuge generate higher periodic solutions and bursting patterns, respectively, which can be replaced by simple 1-periodic solution if the cooperation and fear are also allowed to vary with time in the former and latter situations. Higher periodicity and bursting patterns are also observed due to synergistic effects of delay and seasonality. Our results indicate that the combined effects of fear, refuge and hunting cooperation play a major role in maintaining a healthy ecological environment.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":" ","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2021-12-11","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"45891609","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}