Akash Yadav, Ritesh Pandey, Navnit Jha, A. K. Misra
{"title":"MODELING THE EFFECTS OF PESTS AND PESTICIDE ON CROP YIELDS IN A MULTIPLE CROPPING SYSTEM","authors":"Akash Yadav, Ritesh Pandey, Navnit Jha, A. K. Misra","doi":"10.1142/s0218339024500396","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339024500396","url":null,"abstract":"Pest infestation poses a significant threat to agricultural crop yields, and to control it, farmers spray chemical pesticides. The persistent use of these chemical agents not only leads to pesticide residues within crops but also exerts collateral damage on the beneficial pest population. In this research work, we formulate a nonlinear mathematical model to assess the impacts of pesticide on crop yields within a multiple cropping system. Model analysis illustrates that crop consumption rates destabilize, and the spraying rate of pesticide stabilizes the system. Furthermore, we determine conditions for the global stability of the coexisting equilibrium and conduct a global sensitivity analysis to identify model parameters that significantly influence pest population density. Our findings emphasize that, for effective pest population control and enhanced crop yields, farmers should choose either pesticides with a high pest abatement rate or those with a higher pesticide uptake rate. Considering the spraying rate of pesticide as time-dependent, we also suggest an optimal control strategy to minimize the pest population and associated costs. We provide analytical results backed by numerical simulations implemented through the non-standard finite difference scheme to support our findings.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141819533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Villavicencio Geiser, NELSON-LÓPEZ Ángela, DOMÍNGUEZ-ALEMÁN Itzel, HERNÁNDEZ-GÓMEZ Juan Carlos
{"title":"EFFECTS OF SYMBIOTIC BACTERIA IN PATHOGENIC INTERACTIONS: THE CASE OF BATRACHOCHYTRIUM DENDROBATIDIS AND PSEUDOMONAS SP. IN AMPHIBIAN POPULATIONS","authors":"Villavicencio Geiser, NELSON-LÓPEZ Ángela, DOMÍNGUEZ-ALEMÁN Itzel, HERNÁNDEZ-GÓMEZ Juan Carlos","doi":"10.1142/s0218339024400060","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339024400060","url":null,"abstract":"The decline in amphibian populations in recent decades may be linked to the occurrence of infectious diseases such as chytridiomycosis, which is caused by the chytrid fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis (Bd). It is known that symbiotic bacteria protect the host due to their inhibitory nature. However, how the population dynamics of amphibians is affected by additional effects provided by symbiotic bacteria has not been analyzed in depth. In this paper, a model is proposed to describe the interaction among susceptible amphibians, susceptible amphibians with symbiotic bacteria and amphibians with chytrid fungus. When the modeling takes into account the additional reproductive benefits that the symbiont Pseudomonas sp. grants to the host, multiple endemic equilibrium points can exist if [Formula: see text] ([Formula: see text] is the basic reproduction number for Bd). In this scenario, the existence of a subcritical bifurcation at [Formula: see text], which can occur in two different disease-free equilibrium points, gives rise to complex dynamics and stability scenarios. Particularly, the analysis of the model shows that a sudden increase of fungus-infected amphibians can occur even when [Formula: see text] due to bistability phenomena. In this scenario, the existence of a subcritical bifurcation, which translates for the fungus into colonization even for values of [Formula: see text] less than one, represents an advantage for the chytrid fungus Batrachochytrium dendrobatidis since the pathogen should benefit from remaining as close as possible to an endemic equilibrium. To control the fungal infection, [Formula: see text] must be reduced to a value below one until the endemic equilibrium points disappear. Finally, we show that the amphibian population can reach a critical population level close to an extinction scenario when [Formula: see text] increases.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.3,"publicationDate":"2024-07-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141819157","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
ROBERTO MACRELLI, MARGHERITA CARLETTI, GIOVANNI STABILE
{"title":"A SIMPLE PROBLEM FOR SIMULATING DEMOGRAPHIC NOISE IN BIOLOGICAL DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION MODELS: A DISCREPANCY EFFECT","authors":"ROBERTO MACRELLI, MARGHERITA CARLETTI, GIOVANNI STABILE","doi":"10.1142/s0218339024400023","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339024400023","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Dynamical systems described by deterministic differential equations represent idealized situations where random implications are ignored. In the context of biomathematical modeling, the introduction of random noise must be distinguished between environmental (or extrinsic) noise and demographic (or intrinsic) noise. In this last context it is assumed that the variation over time is due to demographic variation of two or more interacting populations, and not to fluctuations in the environment. The modeling and simulation of demographic noise as a stochastic process affecting single units of the populations involved in the model are well known in the literature and they result in discrete stochastic systems. When the population sizes are large, these discrete stochastic processes converge to continuous stochastic processes, giving rise to stochastic differential equations. If noise is ignored, these stochastic differential equations turn to ordinary differential equations. The inverse process, i.e., inferring the effects of demographic noise on a natural system described by a set of ordinary differential equations, is an issue addressed in a recent paper by Carletti M, Banerjee M, A backward technique for demographic noise in biological ordinary differential equation models, <i>Mathematics</i><b>7</b>:1204, 2019. In this paper we show an example of how the technique to model and simulate demographic noise going backward from a deterministic continuous differential system to its underlying discrete stochastic process can provide a discrepancy effect, modifying the dynamics of the deterministic model.</p>","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141254875","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"Dynamics of a Tri-Trophic Level Model With Excess Food Nutrient Content and Intraguild Predation Structure","authors":"Shufei Gao, Sanling Yuan","doi":"10.1142/s0218339024500384","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339024500384","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141121102","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
Jun-Won Kang, Hyo-Jung Oh, Jae-Gyu Jeon, Chonghyuck Kim, Chan-Young Kim
{"title":"Effects of Rhythmic Reproduction on the Survival of Cooperators","authors":"Jun-Won Kang, Hyo-Jung Oh, Jae-Gyu Jeon, Chonghyuck Kim, Chan-Young Kim","doi":"10.1142/s0218339024500372","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339024500372","url":null,"abstract":"","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"141120523","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"MATHEMATICAL MODEL OF MEASLES IN TURKEY","authors":"Osman Isik Rasit, N. Tuncer, M. Martcheva","doi":"10.1142/s0218339024500323","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339024500323","url":null,"abstract":"In this paper, we use a previously developed measles model to forecast measles in Turkey for the period 1970–2021. We study the structural identifiability of the model both by hand and using software. By hand, we assume the prevalence and the total population size are given. Using software, we assume the incidence and the total population size are given. The model is structurally identifiable if one of the three parameters is fixed. We notice that Turkey has a significant change in time of the immigration rate and vaccination proportions, so we assume these two quantities are time-dependent. We fit the nonautonomous model to the measles incidences in Turkey for 1970–2021. We perform practical identifiability of the fitted model, and find that all parameters but one are practically identifiable. When fixing the unidentifiable parameter to a value derived from additional data, we obtain that all parameters are practically identifiable.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-05-09","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140996345","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"STABILITY AND BIFURCATION OF A PREDATOR–PREY SYSTEM WITH MULTIPLE ANTI-PREDATOR BEHAVIORS","authors":"YUE XIA, XINHAO HUANG, FENGDE CHEN, LIJUAN CHEN","doi":"10.1142/s021833902450030x","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s021833902450030x","url":null,"abstract":"<p>In this paper, a predator–prey system with multiple anti-predator behaviors is developed and studied, where not only the prey may spread between patches but also the fear effect and counter-attack behavior of the prey are taken into account. First, the stability and existence of coexistence equilibria are presented. The unique positive equilibrium may be a saddle-node or a cusp of codimension 2. Then, various transversality conditions of bifurcations such as saddle-node bifurcation, transcritical bifurcation, Hopf bifurcation and Bogdanov–Takens bifurcation are obtained. Moreover, compared with a single strategy, the multiple anti-predator strategies are more beneficial to the persistence and the population density of prey.</p>","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-27","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140834707","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
{"title":"FINAL SIZE RELATIONS FOR SOME COMPARTMENTAL MODELS IN EPIDEMIOLOGY","authors":"ABHIK MUKHERJEE, SOUVIK KUNDU, SOURAV KUMAR SASMAL","doi":"10.1142/s0218339024500311","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339024500311","url":null,"abstract":"<p>The summary measurement of an epidemic such as the final size is an important quantity that allows us to approximate the impact of the disease on the affected region. In recent years, final size measurements for vector-transmitted diseases have acquired importance because of the increased concern for mosquito-borne diseases like dengue, Zika, Chikungunya, etc. However, analytical expressions for this estimate in the stage-structured models applicable to vector-borne diseases are less, mostly focused on the classical Kermack–McKendrick model. In this paper, we first calculate the final size expressions for an SIR model with carrier state and a SEIR–SI host–vector model. Then we extend this for the SEIR–SI host–vector model with treatment class in the host, as well as for the model with vertical transmission in the vector population. Finally, we verify our final size expression with some real scenarios.</p>","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-26","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140842240","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
SUDDHYASHIL SARKAR, Joydeb Bhattacharyya, Samares Pal
{"title":"MODELING AND ANALYSIS OF OPTIMAL IMPLEMENTATION OF STERILE INSECT TECHNIQUE TO SUPPRESS MOSQUITO POPULATION","authors":"SUDDHYASHIL SARKAR, Joydeb Bhattacharyya, Samares Pal","doi":"10.1142/s0218339024500293","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339024500293","url":null,"abstract":"Sterile Insect Technique (SIT) is a biological insect (or pest) control tool aiming to reduce or eliminate wild insect (or pest) populations by releasing sterile insects (or pests). In this paper, we propose and study a stage- and sex-structured entomological model describing the dynamics of wild-type mosquito population and observed that the extinction equilibrium of the model is globally asymptotically stable when the basic offspring number is less than unity. However, when the basic offspring number is greater than unity, the extinction equilibrium becomes unstable, followed by the emergence of the stable interior equilibrium. We extend the model by introducing sterile male mosquitoes as a biological control agent against wild-type mosquito species. We have considered the Allee effect in the fertile female mosquito population due to the presence of non-egg-laying females in the mosquito population. While the wild mosquito-free equilibrium of the SIT model is always locally asymptotically stable, there exists either no interior equilibrium or a pair of interior equilibria, among which one is always unstable, and the other is always locally asymptotically stable. We observed that the wild mosquito population of the SIT system goes to extinction, followed by a saddle-node bifurcation when the supply rate of sterile males increases through some critical threshold value. As an alternative to the eradication policy, we formulated an optimal control problem to suppress the wild mosquito population, which suggests increasing the investment in awareness campaigns to suppress the mosquito population.","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-24","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140660008","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
SURYADEEPTO NAG, ANANDA SHIKHARA BHAT, SIDDHARTHA P. CHAKRABARTY
{"title":"STUDYING THE AGE OF ONSET AND DETECTION OF CHRONIC MYELOID LEUKEMIA USING A THREE-STAGE STOCHASTIC MODEL","authors":"SURYADEEPTO NAG, ANANDA SHIKHARA BHAT, SIDDHARTHA P. CHAKRABARTY","doi":"10.1142/s0218339024500190","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1142/s0218339024500190","url":null,"abstract":"<p>Chronic Myeloid Leukemia (CML) is a biphasic malignant clonal disorder that progresses, first with a chronic phase, where the cells have enhanced proliferation only, and then to a blast phase, where the cells have the ability of self-renewal. It is well recognized that the Philadelphia chromosome (which contains the BCR-ABL fusion gene) is the “hallmark of CML”. However, empirical studies have shown that the mere presence of BCR-ABL may not be a sufficient condition for the development of CML, and further modifications related to tumor suppressors may be necessary. Accordingly, we develop a three-mutation stochastic model of CML progression, with the three stages corresponding to the non-malignant cells with BCR-ABL presence, the malignant cells in the chronic phase, and the malignant cells in the blast phase. We demonstrate that the model predictions agree with age incidence data from the United States. Finally, we develop a framework for the retrospective estimation of the time of onset of malignancy, from the time of detection of the cancer.</p>","PeriodicalId":54872,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Biological Systems","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":1.6,"publicationDate":"2024-04-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"140634445","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}