Progress in Aerospace Sciences最新文献

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Engineering perspective on bird flight: Scaling, geometry, kinematics and aerodynamics 鸟类飞行的工程视角:尺度、几何、运动学和空气动力学
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100933
Tianshu Liu , Shizhao Wang , Hao Liu , Guowei He
{"title":"Engineering perspective on bird flight: Scaling, geometry, kinematics and aerodynamics","authors":"Tianshu Liu ,&nbsp;Shizhao Wang ,&nbsp;Hao Liu ,&nbsp;Guowei He","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100933","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100933","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>From the perspective of aeronautical engineers, this paper gives a systematical summary of the technical aspects of bird flight that should be considered in the analysis and design of flapping unmanned and micro air vehicles (UAVs and MAVs). The relevant aspects include the scaling laws, avian wing geometry, avian wing kinematics, aerodynamics models<span>, computations, and special topics. Instead of extensively and uniformly reviewing a wide range of materials studied by avian biologists, we focus on the analytical and semi-analytical models and quantitative data as the useful guidelines for the design of flapping UAVs and MAVs.</span></p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"142 ","pages":"Article 100933"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"44899183","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
On the importance of studying asteroids: A comprehensive review 关于研究小行星的重要性:全面回顾
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100957
M. Azadmanesh , J. Roshanian , M. Hassanalian
{"title":"On the importance of studying asteroids: A comprehensive review","authors":"M. Azadmanesh ,&nbsp;J. Roshanian ,&nbsp;M. Hassanalian","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100957","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100957","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This comprehensive study delves into the significance of asteroid research and proposes a systematic classification consisting of seven distinct categories. Initially, a concise definition is presented to differentiate between asteroids, meteorites, and comets, accompanied by a brief exploration of their unique characteristics. Recognizing the valuable scientific insights that these celestial bodies hold, the reasons for studying asteroids are categorized as follows: 1) Life's origin, 2) The Moon's origin, 3) The origin of water on Earth, 4) Vast reservoirs of valuable resources, 5) Colonization, 6) Threats, and 7) Advancing our understanding of physics. This paper meticulously reviews these seven reasons and subsequently delves into the achievements of past missions to low-gravity bodies, including Pioneer 10, Galileo, Clementine, NEAR Shoemaker, Deep Space 1, Cassini–Huygens, Stardust, Hayabusa, New Horizons, Rosetta, Dawn, Change 2, Hayabusa2, Lucy, Dart, and OSIRIS-REx. Additionally, future missions are introduced, while the challenges associated with flybys, mining operations, and asteroid landings are thoroughly examined.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"142 ","pages":"Article 100957"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71416708","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Model validation hierarchies for connecting system design to modeling and simulation capabilities 用于将系统设计连接到建模和仿真功能的模型验证层次结构
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100950
James M. Luckring , Scott Shaw , William L. Oberkampf , Rick E. Graves
{"title":"Model validation hierarchies for connecting system design to modeling and simulation capabilities","authors":"James M. Luckring ,&nbsp;Scott Shaw ,&nbsp;William L. Oberkampf ,&nbsp;Rick E. Graves","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100950","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100950","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Hierarchical structures provide a means to systematically deconstruct an engineering system of arbitrary complexity into its subsystems, components, and physical processes. Model validation hierarchies can aid in understanding the coupling and interaction of subsystems and components, as well as improve the understanding of how simulation models are used to design and optimize the engineering system of interest. The upper tiers of the hierarchy address systems and subsystems architecture decompositions, while the lower tiers address physical processes that are both coupled and uncoupled. Recent work connects these two general sections of the hierarchy through a transition tier, which blends the focus of system functionality and physics modeling activities. This work also includes a general methodology for how a model validation hierarchy can be constructed for any type of engineering system in any operating environment, e.g., land, air, sea, or space. We review previous work on the construction and use of model validation hierarchies in not only the field of aerospace systems, but also from commercial nuclear power plant systems. Then an example of a detailed model validation hierarchy is constructed and discussed for a surface-to-air missile defense system with an emphasis on the missile subsystems.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"142 ","pages":"Article 100950"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"71416705","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
Additive manufacturing in the new space economy: Current achievements and future perspectives 新空间经济中的增材制造:当前成就与未来展望
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100959
T. Ghidini , M. Grasso , J. Gumpinger , A. Makaya , B.M. Colosimo
{"title":"Additive manufacturing in the new space economy: Current achievements and future perspectives","authors":"T. Ghidini ,&nbsp;M. Grasso ,&nbsp;J. Gumpinger ,&nbsp;A. Makaya ,&nbsp;B.M. Colosimo","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100959","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100959","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p><span>In recent years, the realm of space exploration has undergone a transformative shift, marked by the emergence of a thriving new space economy. This evolution has not only redefined existing space infrastructures and services but has also democratized access to space, accelerating exploration endeavors. At the core of such evolution is additive manufacturing (AM), a groundbreaking technology that has fundamentally altered the landscape of designing and producing launchers and space systems. AM not only enhances the efficiency of existing space missions but also unlocks novel avenues for space exploration and the establishment of sustainable human settlements beyond Earth. This paper provides a comprehensive and current exploration of the industrial catalysts driving AM adoption across key space domains. It delves into existing applications and uncharted frontiers, exploring innovative advancements while spotlighting industry gaps and obstacles. Motivated by the maturation of </span>AM technologies, the proven track record of additively manufactured components in space missions, and the surge in research and investments aligning with major space market trends, this paper aims to provide aerospace and manufacturing communities with a panoramic view of present and future opportunities for AM within the rapidly expanding new space economy. Additionally, it sheds light on the profound impact and momentum gathering in this field, all the while examining the significant challenges that demand concerted attention.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"142 ","pages":"Article 100959"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"138085692","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
A holistic review of the current state of research on aircraft design concepts and consideration for advanced air mobility applications 全面回顾飞机设计概念的研究现状以及对先进空中机动应用的考虑
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-10-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100949
Lukas Kiesewetter , Kazi Hassan Shakib , Paramvir Singh , Mizanur Rahman , Bhupendra Khandelwal , Sudarshan Kumar , Krishna Shah
{"title":"A holistic review of the current state of research on aircraft design concepts and consideration for advanced air mobility applications","authors":"Lukas Kiesewetter ,&nbsp;Kazi Hassan Shakib ,&nbsp;Paramvir Singh ,&nbsp;Mizanur Rahman ,&nbsp;Bhupendra Khandelwal ,&nbsp;Sudarshan Kumar ,&nbsp;Krishna Shah","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100949","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100949","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) represents a collaborative vision shared by NASA, regulatory agencies, and global industry leaders, aimed at establishing a robust and reliable air transportation ecosystem, which is expected to facilitate safe and efficient movement of both people and cargo within urban, suburban, and regional environments. This paper presents a holistic review and analysis encompassing various aircraft designs, including different propulsion system designs and architectures (electric, hybrid electric, turboelectric, etc.), for different AAM aircraft applications, and state-of-the-art air traffic management, cybersecurity, and infrastructure strategies. Recent academic and industry literature on these aspects is critically reviewed and summarized, and a compilation of the aircraft models currently in development is also provided. The aircraft designs are categorized into a set of core groups, which include lift + cruise, tilt-wing, tiltrotor, multirotor, and rotorcraft, to analyze the existing literature systematically. For each of these core groups, literature on different propulsion system designs and architectures is reviewed and analyzed. Next, these core groups, including their variations based on propulsion system designs and architectures, are analyzed through a set of evaluation lenses. This provides a comprehensive insight into their respective strengths, weakness, and gaps in design considerations. The identified lenses include range and payload, performance, environmental impact, feasibility, traffic and infrastructure, noise, vehicle safety, and cybersecurity. Finally, directions for future research in AAM aircraft and overall ecosystem development are identified. In general, a more in-depth, quantitative analysis on the various evaluation lenses identified in this study and appropriate consideration to all these evaluation lenses at the design and development stage are highly recommended. This type of holistic approach will drive AAM aircraft designs towards convergence and help build an efficient, affordable, and sustainable AAM ecosystem.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"142 ","pages":"Article 100949"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-10-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"49696533","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
An open thinking for a vision on sustainable green aviation 对可持续绿色航空愿景的开放思考
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100928
Antonio Ficca , Francesco Marulo , Antonio Sollo
{"title":"An open thinking for a vision on sustainable green aviation","authors":"Antonio Ficca ,&nbsp;Francesco Marulo ,&nbsp;Antonio Sollo","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100928","DOIUrl":"https://doi.org/10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100928","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The main goal of this paper is to present a vision for the future of aviation. Developing such a vision is always a complex matter, but in times of environmental emergencies and unjustifiable wars it becomes even more difficult. One of the main reasons of this paper is to show that there is still room for advancing clean technology developments and to demonstrate that the aviation sector is ready for embarking on new challenge.</p><p>Green and environmentally sustainable aviation, in our opinion, can be achieved with continuous improvements along multiple parallel paths, ramp up of SAF (Sustainable Aviation Fuel) production, and of course, breakthrough technologies. The latter will require a significant amount of research, testing and probably mistakes need to be made before reaching the level of transportation efficiency and mission safety obtained with traditional propulsion, but these drawbacks should only encourage scientists, engineers, politicians and visionaries to strongly pursue the objectives of a new eco-aviation.</p><p>Aviation decarbonization requires a strategy change from near term improvements in aircraft fuel efficiency to long term (from neutral to zero carbon emissions) fuel switching. The successful introduction of long-term solutions requires transdisciplinary research into technological, operational and economy fields.</p><p>New technologies should probably be introduced into smaller aircraft segments first then migrate into the larger segments as the technologies mature. We should expect a first electric and hydrogen fuel cell commuter aircraft entry into service by the end of this decade, with hydrogen combustion-powered narrow bodies around 2040.</p><p>In 2019, aviation accounted for approximately 2.3% of global greenhouse gas emissions, with global commercial fleet CO<sub>2</sub> emissions totaling 0.918 Gigatonnes. Narrowbody and widebody aircraft produce over 95% of the industry's greenhouse gas emissions, therefore, while the introduction of new technologies on smaller aircraft will be important for the development of sustainable solutions, they will have minimal impact on the overall carbon footprint until they make their way onto larger platforms. However, carbon-free fueled (electric, hydrogen) aircraft will require significant infrastructure investments to develop the novel transportation network and the re-fueling procedures that will be required to support their use. Therefore, their success will require the coordinated combined efforts of the entire industry (airlines, airports, air navigation service providers, manufacturers) and significant government support.</p><p>This paper tries to summarize the most important aspects for a vision on sustainable green aviation and to indicate a possible roadmap for reaching this goal.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 100928"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50187546","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 2
Review of sustainable energy carriers for aviation: Benefits, challenges, and future viability 航空可持续能源载体综述:优势、挑战和未来可行性
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100919
Phillip J. Ansell
{"title":"Review of sustainable energy carriers for aviation: Benefits, challenges, and future viability","authors":"Phillip J. Ansell","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100919","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100919","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Sustainability has recently been identified as the greatest challenge facing the modern aviation field. Given the extreme power and energy characteristics of transport-class aircraft today,achieving sustainability goals across the aviation sector is a tremendous challenge when compared to other modes of transportation. Several key energy carriers have emerged, promising an environmentally sustainable aviation future. Those considered here include bio-jet fuel pathways for synthetic kerosene, power-to-liquid pathways for synthetic kerosene, liquid hydrogen, ammonia, liquid natural gas, ethanol, methanol, and battery electric systems, all of which are compared to conventional fossil-derived aviation turbine fuel. However, these alternate energy carriers bring forward significant technoeconomic considerations that must be addressed before such approaches can be viably implemented. These factors include material properties impacting aircraft performance and fuel handling, emissions, cost and scalability, resource and land requirements, and social impacts. The purpose of this review is to provide a summary of current approaches to alternative aviation energy carriers, which includes a discussion of key advantages, challenges, and implications determining the future viability of each approach. It is found that bio-jet fuels, power-to-liquid synthetic kerosene, liquid natural gas, and liquid hydrogen all have technical feasibility and can contribute to improved environmental outcomes. However, hydrocarbon fuels and non-renewable production pathways for carbon-free energy carriers are not viable permanent solutions for a fully sustainable aviation ecosystem. As a result, potential transition scenarios from fossil-derived aviation turbine fuel to synthetic kerosene, with simultaneous development for adoption of liquid hydrogen and battery-electric systems, are recommended.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 100919"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50164453","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Review of the hybrid gas - electric aircraft propulsion systems versus alternative systems 气电混合动力飞机推进系统与替代系统综述
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100925
Agata Kuśmierek , Cezary Galiński , Wieńczysław Stalewski
{"title":"Review of the hybrid gas - electric aircraft propulsion systems versus alternative systems","authors":"Agata Kuśmierek ,&nbsp;Cezary Galiński ,&nbsp;Wieńczysław Stalewski","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100925","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100925","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>The continuously increasing interest in alternative aircraft propulsion systems is caused by the requirements and demands set by international institutions and government organizations. For instance, nowadays in the European Union, the objective called the European Green Deal seems most demanding. According to this regulation, the members of the European Union should ensure the net zero emission of greenhouse gases by the year 2050. This is why many efforts are devoted to finding ecological solutions for the aviation sector which almost completely relies on fossil fuels at the moment. One of the solutions, which has already proved beneficial for the automotive industry, is the hybrid gas-electric propulsion. Combining the advantages of the electric motors and batteries with the Internal Combustion Engines (ICE) creates an opportunity to reduce fuel consumption, thereby decreasing the greenhouse gas emission. However, challenges such as the immature batteries technology, complicated power management system or the cooling system for high power propulsion systems, among others, need to be dealt with. These all offer great potential for scientific studies, thus the associated literature is accumulating very quickly. The aim of this paper is to update the status and review the state of the art concerning aircraft with hybrid gas-electric propulsion systems. However, the other alternative propulsion systems are also described to indicate and emphasize drawbacks and benefits coming from the hybrid gas-electric propulsion.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 100925"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50164457","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
Hydrogen-powered aircraft: Fundamental concepts, key technologies, and environmental impacts 氢动力飞机:基本概念、关键技术和环境影响
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100922
Eytan J. Adler, Joaquim R.R.A. Martins
{"title":"Hydrogen-powered aircraft: Fundamental concepts, key technologies, and environmental impacts","authors":"Eytan J. Adler,&nbsp;Joaquim R.R.A. Martins","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100922","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100922","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>Civil aviation provides an essential transportation network that connects the world and supports global economic growth. To maintain these benefits while meeting environmental goals, next-generation aircraft must have drastically reduced climate impacts. Hydrogen-powered aircraft have the potential to fly existing routes with no carbon emissions and reduce or eliminate other emissions. This paper is a comprehensive guide to hydrogen-powered aircraft that explains the fundamental physics and reviews current technologies. We discuss the impact of these technologies on aircraft design, cost, certification, and environment. In the long term, hydrogen aircraft appear to be the most compelling alternative to today’s kerosene-powered aircraft. Using hydrogen also enables novel technologies, such as fuel cells and superconducting electronics, which could lead to aircraft concepts that are not feasible with kerosene. Hydrogen-powered aircraft are technologically feasible but require significant research and development. Lightweight liquid hydrogen tanks and their integration with the airframe is one of the critical technologies. Fuel cells can eliminate in-flight emissions but must become lighter, more powerful, and more durable to make large, fuel cell-powered transport aircraft feasible. Hydrogen turbofans already have these desirable characteristics but produce some emissions, albeit much less damaging than kerosene turbofans. Beyond airframe and propulsion technologies, the viability of hydrogen aircraft hinges on low-cost green hydrogen production, which requires massive investments in the energy infrastructure.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 100922"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50164455","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0
The carbon dioxide challenge facing U.S. aviation and paths to achieve net zero emissions by 2050 美国航空业面临的二氧化碳挑战以及到2050年实现净零排放的途径
IF 9.6 1区 工程技术
Progress in Aerospace Sciences Pub Date : 2023-08-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100921
Luke L. Jensen , Philippe A. Bonnefoy , James I. Hileman , Jay T. Fitzgerald
{"title":"The carbon dioxide challenge facing U.S. aviation and paths to achieve net zero emissions by 2050","authors":"Luke L. Jensen ,&nbsp;Philippe A. Bonnefoy ,&nbsp;James I. Hileman ,&nbsp;Jay T. Fitzgerald","doi":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100921","DOIUrl":"10.1016/j.paerosci.2023.100921","url":null,"abstract":"<div><p>This paper investigates the potential pathways and associated requirements to meet a goal of net-zero greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions from the US commercial aviation sector by 2050 as outlined in the US 2021 Aviation Climate Action Plan. Aviation traffic (RTK) is projected to grow at an average of 2.0% per annum between 2019 and 2050, suggesting that a progressive and ultimately total decoupling of emissions from traffic growth will be required to meet the US aviation sector goal. Aircraft technology advancements, operational efficiency improvements, sustainable aviation fuels, and market-based measures (MBM) are considered as emissions reductions measures towards the goal. A parametric analysis framework is used to develop low, medium, and high emission reduction scenarios for each of these emissions reduction measures. If aircraft technology, operations, and fuels were frozen at 2019 levels, the aviation sector is projected to emit ≈430 million tonnes of CO<sub>2</sub> (MtCO<sub>2</sub>) in 2050. Retirements of older aircraft, replaced by current-generation alternatives, may contribute 17% of the total 2050 emissions reduction goal. Further introduction of advanced aircraft technologies may contribute an additional system-level 11% emissions reductions towards the goal. Operational improvements may contribute ≈2% with a range from 1.5 to 4%. The remaining 70% of emissions in 2050 will be addressed through a combination of sustainable fuels and MBM, where appropriate. The level of contribution from fuels will be dependent on continued production ramp-up to meet aviation demand as well as improvements in lifecycle emissions reduction factor (ERF) for current and future fuel feedstock and production pathways, ranging from 0% for current petroleum-based fuels to 100% for sustainable aviation fuels with zero life-cycle emissions. Meeting a net-zero emissions goal by 2050 with SAF would require an increase in SAF production by 57% annually from 2022 to 2030 and 13% per year thereafter, reaching 100% emissions reductions factor by 2050. MBM may fill the gap between residual lifecycle emissions after accounting for all other in-sector improvement opportunities and the goal.</p></div>","PeriodicalId":54553,"journal":{"name":"Progress in Aerospace Sciences","volume":"141 ","pages":"Article 100921"},"PeriodicalIF":9.6,"publicationDate":"2023-08-01","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":null,"resultStr":null,"platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":"50164454","PeriodicalName":null,"FirstCategoryId":null,"ListUrlMain":null,"RegionNum":1,"RegionCategory":"工程技术","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":"","EPubDate":null,"PubModel":null,"JCR":null,"JCRName":null,"Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 1
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